常量元素记录的毛乌素沙地东南缘全新世气候变化   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

苏志珠  吴宇婧  孔梦园  马义娟  梁爱民  柳苗苗  张彩霞 《中国沙漠》2018,38(3):516-523

毛乌素沙地处于中国季风边缘的半干旱区,对气候变化响应敏感,是研究过去全球气候变化的理想场所。对沙地东南缘锦界剖面全新统砂质黄土-古风成砂-古土壤互层沉积序列进行研究,在OSL测年基础上,通过沉积物常量元素氧化物含量及其比值分析,结合粒度、磁化率特征,探讨了毛乌素沙地东南缘7.9ka BP以来气候变化。结果表明：（1）地层常量元素氧化物以SiO₂和Al₂O₃为主,其他元素含量依次为Na₂O、K₂O、Fe₂O₃、CaO、MgO。各种元素活动性不同,K、Na活动性较强,易淋失;Si活动性较稳定,风成砂中易富集;Ca、Mg、Al、Fe活动性较弱,古土壤中富集。（2）7.9ka BP以来气候变化分为6个阶段。7.9～7.3 ka最温暖湿润时段;7.3～6.8 ka,气候转冷干;6.8～4.3 ka,整体上温暖湿润,期间存在2次由暖湿变冷干的波动,并出现过6次风沙活动,即6.6～6.3、6.1、5.9、5.7～5.5、5.3～5.0、4.7～4.4 ka;4.3～2.5ka BP,气候转冷干;2.5～1.8ka BP出现过短暂湿润期,但暖湿程度不及全新世中期;1.8ka BP以来气候渐趋干旱并接近现代气候。（3）全新世气候变化与毗邻的萨拉乌苏河流域、浑善达克沙地等记录的气候变化具有很好的一致性,这是通过东亚冬夏季风强弱消长变化对全球变化的区域响应。  相似文献   

Different Generating Mechanisms for the Summer Surface Cold Patches in the Yellow Sea     

Minghai Huang  Hui Wu  Yihe Wang 《大气与海洋》2018,56(4):199-211

ABSTRACT

It has been frequently observed that there are surface cold patches (SCPs) in the Yellow Sea in summer. Although previous studies based on monthly mean temperature distribution found that these SCPs are a result of tidal mixing and tide-induced upwelling, tidal mixing and upwelling alone cannot explain all the occurrences. In our study we found that the three typical patches, namely, the Shandong SCP, the Subei SCP, and the Mokpo SCP, have different temporal patterns over a spring–neap tidal cycle; hence, they have different generating mechanisms. Based on a multiple-year simulation, the latter two show conspicuous spring–neap variations. The highest temperature occurs during the neap tide phase (about two days after a quarter moon). Because of weak upwelling and mixing, strong stratification is established and the SCPs are suppressed or even disappear. The opposite holds for the spring tide phase (about two days after a new or full moon). This is quite different from the Shandong SCP, which does not display a distinct difference between spring and neap tides. Buoy observations and composite analyses with data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) further support this conclusion.  相似文献   

Combining low-carbon economic development and oil exploration in Brazil? An energy–economy assessment     

Julien Lefèvre  William Wills  Jean-Charles Hourcade 《Climate Policy》2018,18(10):1286-1295

Brazil's nationally determined contribution (NDC) pledged under the Paris Agreement has marked a new stage in its climate policy towards strengthening low-carbon economic development beyond the recent drastic cuts in emissions from deforestation. Brazil especially means to limit oil consumption driven by future economic growth and to increase energy efficiency and biofuel use in the transport sector. On the other hand, Brazil still aspires to become a major petroleum province given its huge reserves of ‘pre-salt’ oil. This article aims to clarify under what conditions low-carbon economic development and oil exploration can possibly be combined in Brazil and what would be the energy system, environmental and macroeconomic implications of enabling policies for doing so. To address these questions, an energy–economy computable general equilibrium (CGE) model of the Brazilian economy is used to simulate alternative scenarios up to 2030. The results first show that implementing the most recent energy plans, which take into account the new economic reality in Brazil, should lead to over 20% lower domestic CO₂ emissions in 2030 than the indicative NDC target, and to the export of the bulk of newfound crude oil. Second, with the same level of oil production, deeper domestic decarbonization, triggered by additional carbon pricing and sustainable efficiency measures, appears achievable with very small gross domestic product (GDP) loss and maximum oil exports, while being aligned with a 2°C emission pathway. However, (i) extra oil exports may induce net additional emissions outside Brazil and be seen as a perverse incentive and (ii) the economic growth strategy based on high oil exports may hinder the necessary diversification of the Brazilian economy.

Key policy insights

• Low-carbon development goals will strongly interact with oil policy in Brazil.

• The 2030 NDC target should be easy to achieve considering the new economic reality in Brazil.

• Deeper domestic decarbonization is achievable with very limited GDP loss and significant oil exports, while being aligned with a 2°C emission pathway.

• A broad strategic vision is needed to reconcile climate policy, energy policy and other economic development objectives.

  相似文献   

Reducing global GHG emissions by replicating successful sector examples: the ‘good practice policies’ scenario     

Mark Roelfsema  Hanna Fekete  Niklas Höhne  Michel den Elzen  Nicklas Forsell  Takeshi Kuramochi 《Climate Policy》2018,18(9):1103-1113

This article shows the potential impact on global GHG emissions in 2030, if all countries were to implement sectoral climate policies similar to successful examples already implemented elsewhere. This assessment was represented in the IMAGE and GLOBIOM/G4M models by replicating the impact of successful national policies at the sector level in all world regions. The first step was to select successful policies in nine policy areas. In the second step, the impact on the energy and land-use systems or GHG emissions was identified and translated into model parameters, assuming that it would be possible to translate the impacts of the policies to other countries. As a result, projected annual GHG emission levels would be about 50 GtCO₂e by 2030 (2% above 2010 levels), compared to the 60 GtCO₂e in the ‘current policies’ scenario. Most reductions are achieved in the electricity sector through expanding renewable energy, followed by the reduction of fluorinated gases, reducing venting and flaring in oil and gas production, and improving industry efficiency. Materializing the calculated mitigation potential might not be as straightforward given different country priorities, policy preferences and circumstances.

Key policy insights

• Considerable emissions reductions globally would be possible, if a selection of successful policies were replicated and implemented in all countries worldwide.

• This would significantly reduce, but not close, the emissions gap with a 2°C pathway.

• From the selection of successful policies evaluated in this study, those implemented in the sector ‘electricity supply’ have the highest impact on global emissions compared to the ‘current policies’ scenario.

• Replicating the impact of these policies worldwide could lead to emission and energy trends in the renewable electricity, passenger transport, industry (including fluorinated gases) and buildings sector, that are close to those in a 2°C scenario.

• Using successful policies and translating these to policy impact per sector is a more reality-based alternative to most mitigation pathways, which need to make theoretical assumptions on policy cost-effectiveness.

  相似文献   

PHYSICO‐GEOCHEMICAL AND MINERAL COMPOSITION OF NEEM TREE SOILS AND RELATION TO ORGANIC PROPERTIES          下载免费PDF全文

WILLIAM C. MAHANEY  JOAN VOROS  RAMANATHAN KRISHNAMANI  RONALD G.V. HANCOCK  SUSAN AUFREITER  MICHAEL W. MILNER  CHRISTOPHER C.R. ALLEN 《Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography》2016,98(2):143-154

The Neem tree, the oil of which has a long history of pesticide, fertilizer and medicinal use in India, has been studied extensively for its organic compounds. Here we present a physical, mineralogical and geochemical database resulting from the analyses of two Neem soil profiles (epipedons) in India. Neem tree derivatives are used in the manufacture of a variety of products, from anti‐bacterial drugs and insecticides to fertilizers and animal feeds. A preliminary geochemical and mineralogical analysis of Neem soils is made to explore the potential for chemical links between Neem tree derivatives and soils. Physical soil characteristics, including colour, texture and clay mineralogy, suggest the two pedons formed under different hydrological regimes, and hence, are products of different leaching environments, one well‐drained site, the other poorly drained. Geochemically, the two Neem soils exhibit similarities, with elevated concentrations of Th and rare earth elements. These elements are of interest because of their association with phosphates, especially monazite and apatite, and the potential link to fertilizer derivatives. Higher concentrations of trace elements in the soils may be linked to nutritional derivatives and to cell growth in the Neem tree.  相似文献   

土地规划的自然过程基础与大数据时代的方法探索     

单卫东  胡月明  贺灿飞  曹小曙  黄贤金  童昕  吴常艳 《地理科学》2016,36(12):1912-1919

随着城市化与工业化程度不断加深,产业空间结构不断重组,导致土地供需矛盾日益突出,国土资源无序开发日益严重,因而优化国土资源空间格局,成为生态文明建设的首要任务。同时,科学合理配置土地资源对土地规划提出了更高要求,传统土地规划方法有待改革。在基于尊重自然、顺应自然的开发理念下,总结土地自然过程基础对土地规划的影响,实现“山水路林田生命共同体”的协调规划发展。其次,“大数据”时代的来临,云计算、空间数据整合、云分析等技术对土地规划方法提供新的技术支撑;最后,针对土地规划数据特殊性、移动用户终端的广泛性,提出应创建土地规划云服务平台,使土地规划实现数据集成管理和更新,从而提高土地规划质量。  相似文献   

数字地形分析应用适配性知识的案例表达与推理方法     

吴雪薇  秦承志  朱阿兴 《地理科学进展》2016,35(1):89-97

数字地形分析(Digital Terrain Analysis, DTA)在应用时依赖于建模知识,尤其是关于所建的应用模型是否与研究区特点、数据等条件相适配的知识(称为“应用适配性知识”);由于这类知识难以形式化表达,现有的数字地形分析工具对此类知识缺乏利用,从而导致普通用户在应用数字地形分析时建模困难。针对该问题,设计了一套数字地形分析领域应用适配性知识的案例表达与相应的推理方法。以美国32个河网提取案例为例,通过交叉验证,初步表明案例及其推理应用方法适合于数字地形分析领域应用适配性知识的形式化表达与应用,该方法通过与建模环境的集成,可大幅降低数字地形分析应用建模难度。  相似文献   

新疆西南天山地区水系沉积物测量地球化学特征及找矿方向          下载免费PDF全文

韩庆彬 《山东国土资源》2022,38(12)

新疆西南天山地区隶属于塔里木板块北缘,该区是我国重要的铜、铅、锌、镍等成矿带。为查明区内主要成矿元素地球化学分布和浓集特征、确定找矿靶区,对西南天山一带进行1∶5万水系沉积物地球化学测量。通过采集分析8347件化学样品的17种元素,结合研究区成矿地质条件共圈定出33处异常。并对HS26、HS18综合异常进行了异常查证,新发现了3处铜、铅锌多金属矿化点。圈定了3处找矿远景区,即阿克塔什Pb、Zn、Cu找矿远景找矿远景区、苏约克Ni、Co、Cr找矿远景区和阿依浪苏阿舒别勒Ni、Co、Cr找矿远景区,为该区下一步找矿工作指明了方向。  相似文献   

山东青州王坟地区1∶5万水系沉积物地球化学特征及找矿方向          下载免费PDF全文

董美川  武斌  杜振明  刘继勇  李保卫  夏影 《山东国土资源》2022,38(9)

鲁西近年来陆续发现了多处金及多金属矿床,如沂南铜井、金场,平邑归来庄、磨坊沟,沂源金星头,临朐铁寨等,但对上述地区以外的找矿工作还相对薄弱。王坟地区作为临朐铁寨金银多金属矿区外围地区,具有相似的成矿地质条件。本次研究通过在王坟地区开展的1∶5万水系沉积物测量工作,对其相关成矿元素进行聚类分析、因子分析等地质统计学分析。结果表明,区内Pb、Ag异常规模大,峰值高,富集特征及浓集中心明显,相关元素套合较好。通过地化剖面及探槽工程等手段进行异常查证,所取样品中Pb、Ag等低温热液元素分析结果与异常特征套合较好,本区内沿断裂带找寻Pb、Ag等低温热液元素矿床或矿化体潜力较大。  相似文献   

Integration of Sparse Geologic Information in Gold Targeting Using Logistic Regression Analysis in the Hutti–Maski Schist Belt,Raichur, Karnataka,India—A Case Study     

Sahoo  Nihar Ranjan  Pandalai  Hari Shankar 《Natural Resources Research》1999,8(3):233-250

Logistic regression has been used in the study to integrate indicator patterns for estimation of the probability of occurrence of gold deposits in a part of the auriferous Archaean Hutti–Maski schist belt. Data used consist of categorical and continuous variables obtained from a coded lineament map and geochemical anomaly maps of the pathfinder elements of gold in soil and groundwater. Main effects and interactions of the variables studied were used in formulating the logistic regression model. Regression models using lineament-proximity data, combined with soil and groundwater geochemical anomalies were tested on parts of the schist belt with data not used in estimation of model parameters. Predicted probabilities greater than 0.9 identified known deposit locations in the area.  相似文献