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951.
利用基于客观分析方法重构的Argo网格资料(未同化其他观测资料),分析探讨了2004年1月-2011年12月期间太平洋海域(60°S-60°N、120°E-80°W)温度气候态分布特征与变化规律。结果表明,在西太平洋赤道附近海域,29℃等温线的包络范围(暖池),夏季显著增大,位置也明显偏北,且其厚度仅限于约100 m上层;在亚热带海域次表层(约150 m),形成南北两个高温(南部大于27℃,北部大于24℃)中心,呈马鞍形分布,但并不以赤道为对称中心,而是偏向北半球8个纬度;在南、北纬40°附近海域,等温线十分密集,形成"极锋";在新西兰东南海域存在低温水舌由南向北的入侵现象,从表层至1 000 m深层始终可见,似是终年存在的一个水文特征。温度的年变化规律表层最明显,每年呈一高一低的分布趋势,亚热带海域尤为显著,北半球温度年较差大于9.5℃,南半球约为6.0℃,且北半球的最高、最低温度值分别出现在每年的8月份和2月份,南半球则相反。表层以下,温度的周期性变化远不如表层明显,至500 m中层,整个太平洋海域的温度最大变幅仅为1.0℃。赤道海域表层温度明显存在3年的周期性年际振荡,北亚热带表层也表现为3-6个月的周期性年际变化,中层年际振荡较缓,振幅也较小,而亚南极海域从表层直至500 m中层,均存在不规则年际振荡。 相似文献
952.
WRF_Lake湖气模式对我国太湖的湖温模拟应用评估 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
文章把一维热扩散湖模式成功地耦合到中尺度天气研究和预报模式WRF3.2中,建立了湖气耦合模式。并用太湖区梅梁湾获得的2010年8月11—28日的观测资料对该耦合模式模拟湖温的能力进行了初步评估。设计了3组方案进行对照试验,分别为:(1)没有加入湖模块的WRF模式试验(WRF);(2)没有对参数进行优化的原始耦合模式试验(WRF_Lake_Old);(3)对3个参数进行优化后的耦合模式试验(WRF_Lake_New)。结果表明耦合了湖泊模块并且参数优化后的湖气耦合模式(WRF_Lake_New)比没有包含湖面方案的WRF模式对太湖水温的模拟能力有了很大的改进。WRF_Lake_New能够合理地模拟出太湖梅梁湾上湖表温度的日变化,模拟的湖表温度误差范围平均在±1℃左右,模拟的空气温度平均误差范围在±0.5℃以内,模拟的感、潜热通量也与观测更为接近。该耦合模式在太湖的初步评估结果表明,该湖气耦合模式为下一步研究湖泊过程和湖气相互作用提供了重要的工具。 相似文献
953.
基于地基微波辐射计资料对咸宁两次冰雹天气的观测分析 总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1
利用地基微波辐射计观测资料,对两次冰雹过程进行观测分析。结果表明:中低层暖湿气流输送、中层干冷空气侵入,在0~10 km形成"上干、下湿"2层垂直分布结构。低层的感热和潜热随上升气流向上输送,2~3 km层明显增温,0、-5和-20℃层略微上升。同时,低层水汽也随上升气流向上输送,降雹前大气液态水总含量(ILW,下同)和大气水汽总含量(IWV,下同)及过冷水含量快速增长。水汽经过冷层后,冰晶增多增大。当冰晶增大落入0℃以上区融化层时,冰晶融化导致液态水增加,一部分形成冰雹或地面降水,导致降雹之后ILW、IWV及0℃以下液态水含量减小。上述结论对冰雹的预警有一定指示意义。 相似文献
954.
一次降水相态转换过程中温度垂直结构特征分析 总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6
2012年11月3-5日华北地区出现了该年度的第一次大范围雨雪天气过程,各地区依次都出现了雨转雪的复杂天气,这给预报带来了较大的难度。一直以来,冬季降水相态类型的预报都是国内外气象预报的难题之一,而温度的垂直结构特征是影响最终降水类型的关键因素之一。利用常规地面观测资料、NCEP再分析资料及中尺度数值模式WRF对此次雨雪天气过程中的温度垂直结构演变特征以及相态转变对温度垂直结构的作用等几个方面进行了分析讨论。结果表明:(1)在发生雨转雪过程中,温度递减率会持续减小,并最终会在低层形成一个上下一致的均温层,同时还伴有浅薄逆温层的产生;(2)降水相态类型严重依赖于温度的垂直结构,温度垂直结构的细微改变将决定最终到达地面的降水类型,因此,相关层次的厚度差可以成为判别降水相态类型的重要指标;(3)在降水类型由雨转雪的过程中,由于相关层次的融化作用,伴随着相态的变化温度垂直结构会发生一定程度的改变。 相似文献
955.
温度升高会引起光伏电池发电效率下降,电池板温度是确定温度折减系数的必要条件,目前我国尚没有充足的外场实测电池板温度数据。该文基于北京南郊太阳能试验站2010年全年逐时电池板温度、气温、地表温度、斜面和水平辐照度实测数据,分析了电池板温度随时间的变化及其与各气象要素的关系。结果表明:电池板温度与气温和斜面辐照度的综合相关或与地表温度的线性相关最好,但实测数据不易获得;电池板温度与气温的线性相关较好,数据较易获得且质量有保证,从现实可行性考虑,是推算电池板温度最实用的相关方程;电池板温度与气温和水平辐照度的综合相关可以作为辅助方程,用于推算气温较高情况下的电池板温度。基于2010年电池板温度实测数据和加权计算的方法,得到北京地区年平均光伏发电温度折减系数约为2%,最高可达到13.3%。 相似文献
956.
957.
The characteristic changes of South Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) for the period January 1979 to December 2011, during which the 1990s Pacific pan-decadal variability (PDV) interdecadal regime shifts occurred, were examined. Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis was applied to the monthly mean SSTA for two sub-periods: January 1979 to December 1994 (P 1) and January 1996 to December 2011 (P2). Both the spatial and temporal features of the leading EOF mode for P1 and P2 showed a remarkable difference. The spatial structure of the leading EOF changed from a tripolar pattern for P 1 (EOF-P 1) to a dipole-like pattern for P2 (EOF-P2). Besides, EOF-P 1 (EOF-P2) had significant spectral peaks at 4.6 yr (2.7 yr). EOF-P2 not only had a closer association with E1 Nifio-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), but also showed a faster response to ENSO than EOF-P1 based on their lead-lag relationships with ENSO. During the development of ENSO, the South Pacific SSTA associated with ENSO for both PI and P2 showed a significant eastward propagation. However, after the peak of ENSO, EOF-P1 showed a stronger persistence than EOF-P2, which still showed eastward propagation. The variability of the SSTA associated with the whole process of ENSO evolution during P1 and the SSTA associated with the development of ENSO during P2 support the existence of ocean-to-atmosphere forcing, but the SSTA associated with the decay of ENSO shows the phenomenon of atmosphere-to-ocean forcing. 相似文献
958.
Effects of meridional sea surface temperature changes on stratospheric temperature and circulation 总被引:4,自引:1,他引:3
Using a state-of-the-art chemistry-climate model,we analyzed the atmospheric responses to increases in sea surface temperature (SST).The results showed that increases in SST and the SST meridional gradient could intensify the subtropical westerly jets and significantly weaken the northern polar vortex.In the model runs,global uniform SST increases produced a more significant impact on the southern stratosphere than the northern stratosphere,while SST gradient increases produced a more significant impact on the northern stratosphere.The asymmetric responses of the northern and southern polar stratosphere to SST meridional gradient changes were found to be mainly due to different wave properties and transmissions in the northern and southern atmosphere.Although SST increases may give rise to stronger waves,the results showed that the effect of SST increases on the vertical propagation of tropospheric waves into the stratosphere will vary with height and latitude and be sensitive to SST meridional gradient changes.Both uniform and non-uniform SST increases accelerated the large-scale Brewer-Dobson circulation (BDC),but the gradient increases of SST between 60°S and 60°N resulted in younger mean age-of-air in the stratosphere and a larger increase in tropical upwelling,with a much higher tropopause than from a global uniform 1.0 K SST increase. 相似文献
959.
Planetary-Scale Wave Structures of the Earth’s Atmosphere Revealed from the COSMIC Observations 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1 下载免费PDF全文
S. K. A. V. Prasad Rao ANISETTY P. S. BRAHMANANDAM G. UMA A. Narendra BABU HUANG Ching-Yuang G. Anil KUMAR S. Tulasi RAM WANG Hsiao-Lan CHU Yen-Hsyang 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2014,28(2):281-295
GPS radio occultation(GPS RO) method,an active satellite-to-satellite remote sensing technique,is capable of producing accurate,all-weather,round the clock,global refractive index,density,pressure,and temperature profiles of the troposphere and stratosphere.This study presents planetary-scale equatorially trapped Kelvin waves in temperature profiles retrieved using COSMIC(Constellation Observing System for Meteorology,Ionosphere,and Climate) satellites during 2006-2009 and their interactions with background atmospheric conditions.It is found that the Kelvin waves are not only associated with wave periods of higher than 10 days(slow Kelvin waves) with higher zonal wave numbers(either 1 or 2),but also possessing downward phase progression,giving evidence that the source regions of them are located at lower altitudes.A thorough verification of outgoing longwave radiation(OLR) reveals that deep convection activity has developed regularly over the Indonesian region,suggesting that the Kelvin waves are driven by the convective activity.The derived Kelvin waves show enhanced(diminished) tendencies during westward(eastward) phase of the quasi-biennial oscillation(QBO) in zonal winds,implying a mutual relation between both of them.The El Nino and Southern Oscillation(ENSO) below 18 km and the QBO features between 18 and 27km in temperature profiles are observed during May 2006-May 2010 with the help of an adaptive data analysis technique known as Hilbert Huang Transform(HHT).Further,temperature anomalies computed using COSMIC retrieved temperatures are critically evaluated during different phases of ENSO,which has revealed interesting results and are discussed in light of available literature. 相似文献
960.
ABSTRACT Satellite-based observations provide great opportunities for improving weather forecasting. Physical retrieval of atmo spheric profiles from satellite observations is sensitive to the uncertainty of the first guess and other factors. In order to improve the accuracy of the physical retrieval, an ensemble methodology was developed with an emphasis on perturbing the first guess. In the methodology, a normal probability density function (PDF) is used to select the optimal profile from the ensemble retrievals. The ensemble retrieval algorithm contains four steps: (1) regression retrieval for original first guess; (2) perturbation of the original first guess to generate new first guesses (ensemble first guesses); (3) using the ensemble first guesses and nonlinear iterative physical retrieval to generate ensemble physical results; and (4) the final optimal profile is selected from the ensemble physical results by using PDE Temperature eigenvectors (EVs) were used to generate the pertur- bation and generate the ensemble first guess. Compared with the regular temperature profile retrievals from the Atmospheric InfraRed Sounder (AIRS), the ensemble retrievals RMSE of temperature profiles selected by the PDF was reduced between 150 and 320 hPa and below 400 hPa, with a maximum improvement of 0.3 K at 400 hPa. The bias was also reduced in many layers, with a maximum improvement of 0.69 K at 460 hPa. The combined optimal (CombOpt) profile and a mean optimal (MeanOpt) profile of all ensemble physical results were improved below 150 hPa. The MeanOpt profile was better than the CombOpt profile, and was regarded as the final optimal (FinOpt) profile. This study lays the foundation for improving temperature retrievals from hyper-spectral infrared radiance measurements. 相似文献