石家庄市霜冻期的气候异常特征分析   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

杨荣珍  朱伟军  岳艳霞  曹春丽 《气象与减灾研究》2011,34(2):67-70

基于1955-2009年逐日最低气温资料,采用线性倾向估计法和异常霜冻指标,分析了石家庄市霜冻期的年际和年代际气候异常特征.结果表明,从气候平均上来看,石家庄市初霜冻日为11月7日,终霜冻日为3月21日,无霜冻期为230d;石家庄市特早初霜冻发生频率为5%,偏早初霜冻发生频率16%,特晚终霜冻发生频率为4%,偏晚终霜冻...  相似文献   

海安县优质弱筋小麦气候区划研究   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

吴洪颜  陆志刚  肖卉  程婷 《气象科学》2011,(S1):94-98

本文利用海安县及周边6个基本台站(27个自动站)1990—2009年气象资料,通过对海安县农业气候资源和小麦生产气候条件的调查分析,在地理信息系统平台的支持下,采用样条函数法对气候因子和区划因子进行网格细化,运用综合评价法对海安县优质弱筋小麦种植实现基于小网格的气候适宜性区划,分为最佳种植区和适宜种植区,结果显示:海安中西部地区为优质弱筋小麦最佳种植区,东部沿海为适宜种植区。这为开发和利用海安县农业气候资源、高质高效生产种植弱筋小麦提供科学依据。  相似文献   

1960-2009年汉中市气候变化特征及未来趋势   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

刘阳  延军平  杜继稳 《气象与环境学报》2011,27(3):45-50

运用一元回归分析、Mann-Kendall和R/S方法,对1960-2009年汉中市气温、降水量和日照时数变化特征及未来趋势进行分析。结果表明：近50 a来,汉中市年平均气温以0.14℃/10 a的速率升高,并在1997年发生增温突变,其Hurst值为0.94,表明未来气温的变化与过去50 a有较强的持续性,仍将呈现上...  相似文献   

近50年中国东南地区地面太阳辐射变化对气温变化的影响          下载免费PDF全文

申彦波  王彪 《地球物理学报》2011,54(6):1457-1465

太阳是地球表层的最终能量来源,地面太阳辐射的变化会深刻影响地球的气候变化.本文利用中国东南地区14个气象台站1961～2008年总辐射和气温的同步观测资料,分析了近50年该地区地面太阳辐射的变化对气温变化的可能影响.结果表明,1961～1989年期间,该地区的地面太阳辐射显著减弱,所引起的气温下降超过了其他因素的增温效...  相似文献   

城市化对北京气象站极端气温指数趋势变化的影响   总被引：11，自引：2，他引：9       下载免费PDF全文

张雷  任国玉  刘江  周雅清  任玉玉  张爱英  冯亚文 《地球物理学报》2011,54(5):1150-1159

利用5个乡村气象站和北京气象站(简称北京站)1960～2008年日最高、最低气温资料,比较分析了北京地区城市和乡村极端气温指数年、季节的时间变化以及城市化对北京站各极端气温指数趋势变化的影响.结果表明:1960～2008年北京站霜冻日数、冷夜日数、冷昼日数和平均日较差均显著减少,暖夜日数、暖昼日数、平均最高气温和平均最...  相似文献   

Global water resources modeling with an integrated model of the social-economic-environmental system   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Evan G.R. Davies  Slobodan P. Simonovic 《Advances in water resources》2011,34(6):684-700

Awareness of increasing water scarcity has driven efforts to model global water resources for improved insight into water resources infrastructure and management strategies. Most water resources models focus explicitly on water systems and represent socio-economic and environmental change as external drivers. In contrast, the system dynamics-based integrated assessment model employed here, ANEMI, incorporates dynamic representations of these systems, so that their broader changes affect and are affected by water resources systems through feedbacks. Sectors in ANEMI therefore include the global climate system, carbon cycle, economy, population, land use and agriculture, and novel versions of the hydrological cycle, global water use and water quality. Since the model focus is on their interconnections through explicit nonlinear feedbacks, simulations with ANEMI provide insight into the nature and structure of connections between water resources and socio-economic and environmental change. Of particular interest to water resources researchers and modelers will be the simulated effects of a new water stress definition that incorporates both water quality and water quantity effects into the measurement of water scarcity. Five simulation runs demonstrate the value of wastewater treatment and reuse programs and the feedback-effects of irrigated agriculture and greater consumption of animal products.  相似文献   

柴达木盆地大浪滩地区表层芒硝的形成时代及环境意义     

马妮娜  郑绵平  马志邦 《地质学报》2011,85(3):433-444

通过对柴达木盆地大浪滩地区的两次实地勘查,发现小梁山多处可见芒硝—碳酸盐粘土互层的露头,选取了完整沉积的D26剖面进行研究。比较盐湖学的研究表明,芒硝是典型的冷相盐类矿物;而碳酸盐粘土和石膏则反映了相对温暖潮湿和温暖的环境。本文通过对芒硝—碳酸盐粘土互层的矿物鉴定,石膏的铀系不平衡法定年,以及结合碳酸盐粘土的碳氧同位素分析,首次揭示出大浪滩地区在倒数第二次冰期（MIS 6阶段）前后经历了偏暖潮湿期（＞195.1 ka BP）→寒冷干旱期（195.1 ~ 169.9 ka BP）→偏暖湿期（169.9 ka BP ka BP）→冷暖交替时期（169.9 ka BP ~ 118 ka BP）→偏暖湿期（118 ka BP）的气候演变序列。经与黄土剖面,深海氧同位素和区域研究资料的对比表明,自中晚更新世以来,大浪滩地区不仅受到区域地质活动的影响,也与全球的气候变化同步响应。  相似文献   

Paleogene carbon isotope excursions in the Bunkers Hill borehole: Hampshire Basin, UK     

Emma Hodgson  Stephen T. Grimes  Gregory D. Price  Meriel E.J. Fitzpatrick  Malcolm B. Hart  Melanie J. Leng 《Proceedings of the Geologists' Association. Geologists' Association》2011,122(3):460-471

This study demonstrates that the Bunkers Hill borehole, which is located within the Hampshire Basin, contains a carbon isotope excursion (CIE) in the Upnor Formation followed by a positive recovery from another CIE within the overlying Reading Formation. This study has also shown that the CIE in the Upnor Formation predates the Paleocene/Eocene Thermal Maximum (PETM), while the carbon isotope recovery at the base of the Reading Formation is most likely related to it. The positive carbon isotope trend, before a return to more negative values, seen throughout the majority of the Reading Formation can also be seen in coeval deposits in the Jubilee 404T borehole in the London Basin and in the Tienen Formation in the Doel and Kallo boreholes from the Belgium Basin. This indicates that this post-PETM carbon isotope signal may, therefore, be regional if not global in nature.  相似文献   

An annually resolved bristlecone pine carbon isotope chronology for the last millennium     

Roderick J. Bale  Iain Robertson  Neil J. Loader  Mary Gagen  Danny McCarroll 《Quaternary Research》2011,76(1):22-29

We present the first near millennium-length, annually resolved stable isotope record from bristlecone pines (Pinus longaeva, D.K Bailey). The carbon isotope ratios from the cellulose of seven trees from the White Mountains of California, corrected for anthropogenic changes in atmospheric chemistry, are used to reconstruct growing season (June through August) precipitation back to AD 1085. Extremely negative isotope results are strongly correlated with proposed severest El Niño events over the last 500 yr, and similar values in the first half of the millennium are used to reconstruct a further 13 strong El Niño events, concentrated in the 12th Century and the mid 13th and 14th Centuries. Ring-width chronologies from adjacent sites in the White Mountains demonstrate a high degree of decadal covariance with the δ¹³C series, although there are several periods of notable divergence.  相似文献   

Late Pleistocene climatic change in the French Jura (Gigny) recorded in the δO of phosphate from ungulate tooth enamel     

Magali Fabre  Christophe Lcuyer  Jean-Philip Brugal  Romain Amiot  Franois Fourel  Franois Martineau 《Quaternary Research》2011,75(3):605-613

Oxygen isotope compositions of phosphate in tooth enamel from large mammals (i.e. horse and red deer) were measured to quantify past mean annual air temperatures and seasonal variations between 145 ka and 33 ka in eastern France. The method is based on interdependent relationships between the δ¹⁸O of apatite phosphate, environmental waters and air temperatures. Horse (Equus caballus germanicus) and red deer (Cervus elaphus) remains have δ¹⁸O values that range from 14.2‰ to 17.2‰, indicating mean air temperatures between 7°C and 13°C. Oxygen isotope time series obtained from two of the six horse teeth show a sinusoidal-like signal that could have been forced by temperature variations of seasonal origin. Intra-tooth oxygen isotope variations reveal that at 145 ka, winters were colder (? 7 ± 2°C) than at present (3 ± 1°C) while summer temperatures were similar. Winter temperatures mark a well-developed West–East thermal gradient in France of about ? 9°C, much stronger than the ?4°C difference recorded presently. Negative winter temperatures were likely responsible for the extent and duration of the snow cover, thus limiting the food resources available for large ungulates with repercussions for Neanderthal predators.  相似文献