Pelagic fish abundance in relation to regional environmental variation in the Gulf of Finland, northern Baltic Sea     

Peltonen  Heikki; Luoto  Miska; Paakkonen  Jari-Pekka; Karjalainen  Miina; Tuomaala  Antti; Ponni  Jukka; Viitasalo  Markku 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2007,64(3):487-495

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Inverse reconstructions of ecosystem flows in investigating regime shifts: impact of the choice of objective function     

Alain F. Vzina  Florence Berreville  Svetlana Loza 《Progress in Oceanography》2004,60(2-4):321

Inverse analysis is increasingly used in ecosystem modelling to objectively reconstruct a large number of unknown flows or interactions from a small number of observations. This type of analysis may be useful in relating observed regime shifts in ecosystem structure to underlying processes. Inversions of ecosystem flow networks currently use a constrained least-squares solution which at the same time minimizes the squared norm (the sum of squares) of the reconstructed flows. This minimum norm (MN) inversion is thought to be a parsimonious solution to the ecosystem flow inverse problem, but it may well not reflect how ecosystems are organised. It has been proposed instead that ecosystems evolve to maximize energy/mass flows or that they maximize the information content of the network weighted by ecosystem flows (ascendancy). We used simulated inverse experiments, where inverse analyses are applied to simulations of flow networks, to explore objective functions different than the MN generally used. We could not compute inverse solutions that maximize ascendancy because the objective function is unbounded. We could calculate inversions that maximize flows; however, these generally overestimated the simulated flows, even though the simulations were designed to maximize flows. It appears that the ecosystem flow inverse problem is too under-determined (too few data relative to the number of unknowns) to allow the use of these maximizing goal functions. We introduce a new minimization that simultaneously minimizes the squared flows and the squared differences between flows. This smoothing minimization makes the inverse flows as even as possible and it helps with some technical issues with MN inversions. The simulated inverse experiments indicated that this smoothed norm (SM) is the most robust in comparative analyses of contrasting ecosystem states, such as those that can be associated with regime shifts. Like the MN inversion, the SM inversion has no ecological basis. However, it is a conservative norm that is less likely to produce false differences between the dynamics of regimes.  相似文献   

3D gravity modelling for Anyongbok Seamount in the East Sea     

Moo Hee Kang  Hyun-Chul Han  Hyesu Yun  Gee Soo Kong  Kyong O. Kim  Youn Soo Lee 《Marine Geophysical Researches》2007,28(3):257-269

A seamount chain with an approximately WNW trend is observed in the northeastern Ulleung Basin. It has been argued that these seamounts, including two islands called Ulleung and Dok islands, were formed by a hotspot process or by ridge related volcanism. Many geological and geophysical studies have been done for all the seamounts and islands in the chain except Anyongbok Seamount, which is close to the proposed spreading ridge. We first report morphological characteristics, sediment distribution patterns, and the crustal thickness of Anyongbok Seamount using multibeam bathymetry data, seismic reflection profiles, and 3D gravity modeling. The morphology of Anyongbok Seamount shows a cone shaped feature and is characterized by the development of many flank cones and flank rift zones. The estimated surface volume is about 60 km³, and implies that the seamount is smaller than the other seamounts in the chain. No sediments have been observed on the seamount except the lower slope, which is covered by more than 1,000 m of strata. The crustal structure obtained from a 3D gravity modeling (GFR = 3.11, SD 3.82 = mGal) suggests that the seamount was formed around the boundary of the Ulleung Plateau and the Ulleung Basin, and the estimated crustal thickness is about 20 km, which is a little thicker than other nearby seamounts distributed along the northeastern boundary of the Ulleung Basin. This significant crustal thickness also implies that Anyongbok Seamount might not be related to ridge volcanism.  相似文献   

Indirect economic indicators in bio-economic fishery models: agricultural price indicators and fish stocks in Lake Victoria   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Simonit  Silvio; Perrings  Charles 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2005,62(3):483-492

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Modelling morphological processes in the vicinity of shore-parallel breakwaters     

Julio A. Zyserman  Hakeem K. Johnson 《Coastal Engineering》2002,45(3-4)

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Modelling the effect of swimbladder compression on the acoustic backscattering from herring at normal or near-normal dorsal incidences     

Gorska  Natalia; Ona  Egil 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2003,60(6):1381-1391

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Multiscale Terrain Analysis of Multibeam Bathymetry Data for Habitat Mapping on the Continental Slope   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Margaret F. J. Wilson  Brian O'Connell  Colin Brown  Janine C. Guinan  Anthony J. Grehan 《Marine Geodesy》2007,30(1):3-35

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Uncertainty in predictions of oil spill trajectories in open sea     

P. Sebastio  C. Guedes Soares 《Ocean Engineering》2007,34(3-4):576-584

A method is introduced to calculate and to account for the uncertainties in the predictions of oil spill trajectories using a classic oil spill model. The method considers the output of the oil spill model as a function of random variables, which are the input parameters, and calculates the standard deviation of the output results which gives a measure of the uncertainty of the model given the uncertainties of the input parameters.Instead of a single trajectory that is calculated by the oil spill model using the mean values of the parameters, a band of trajectories can be defined when various simulations are done taking into account the uncertainties of the input parameters. This band of trajectories defines envelopes of the trajectories that are likely to be followed by the spill given the uncertainties of the input.The method is applied to an oil spill that occurred in open sea near Madeira Islands, in the Atlantic Ocean, in December 1989. The simulations allow the understanding of how a change in the wind direction drove the spill towards the Islands.The envelope of likely trajectories that is obtained with the uncertainty modelling shows a band of trajectories that is in better agreement with the observations than the single trajectory simulated by the oil spill model, based on mean parameters.  相似文献   

Simulation of Pollutant Transport in Marmaris Bay     

Lale BALAS 《中国海洋工程》2001,(4):565-578

The circulation pattern and the pollutant transport in the Marmaris Bay are simulated by the developed three-dimensional baroclinic model. The Marmaris Bay is located at the Mediterranean Sea coast of Turkey. Since the sp ring tidal range is typically 20- 30 cm, the dominant forcing for the circulation and water exchange is due to the wind action. In the Marmaris Bay, there is sea outfall discharging directly into the bay. and that threats the bay water quality significantly. The current patterns in the vicinity of the outfall have been observed by tracking drogues which are moved by currents at different water depths. In the simulations of pollutant transport, the coliforms-counts is used as the tracer. The model provides realistic predictions for the circulation and pollutant transport in the Marmaris Bay. The transport model component predictions well agree with the results of a laboratory model study.  相似文献   

Temporal variations in benthic communities and their response to physicochemical forcing: a numerical approach   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Triantafyllou  G.; Petihakis  G.; Dounas  C.; Koutsoubas  D.; Arvanitidis  C.; Eleftheriou  A. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2000,57(5):1507-1516

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