The resilience paradox: flooding experience,coping and climate change mitigation intentions     

Charles A. Ogunbode  Gisela Böhm  Stuart B. Capstick  Christina Demski  Alexa Spence  Nicole Tausch 《Climate Policy》2019,19(6):703-715

Climate change is projected to increase the frequency, intensity and unpredictability of extreme weather events across the globe and these events are likely to have significant mental health implications. The mental health literature broadly characterises negative emotional reactions to extreme weather experiences as undesirable impacts on wellbeing. Yet, other research in psychology suggests that negative emotional responses to extreme weather are an important motivation for personal action on climate change. This article addresses the intersection of mental health and functional perspectives on negative emotions, with a specific focus on the potential that reduced negative emotional responses to extreme weather may also translate to diminished motivation to undertake climate change mitigation actions – which we term the ‘resilience paradox’. Using survey data gathered in the aftermath of severe flooding across the UK in winter 2013/2014, we present new evidence indicating that self-appraised coping ability moderates the link between flooding experience and negative emotions and thereby attenuates the indirect link between flooding experience and climate change mitigation intentions. We conclude that support for flood victims should extend beyond addressing emotional, physical and financial stresses to include acknowledgement of the involvement of climate change and communication of the need for action to combat future climate risks.

Key policy insights

• Psychological resilience to flooding and other extreme weather events can translate to diminished motivation to mitigate climate change

• Negative emotional reactions need to occur at an optimal level to enable people to respond appropriately to climate risks.

• Flood victims’ subjective appraisal of their ability to cope does not necessarily encompass consideration of the role played by climate change. Therefore, support for victims of extreme weather should include explicit acknowledgement of the involvement of climate change and the need for action to mitigate future climate risks.

  相似文献   

石家庄市气象要素对成人哮喘住院人数的影响     

刘华悦  付桂琴  王洁 《气象与环境学报》2019,35(5):137-143

为研究气象要素对成人哮喘住院人数的影响,利用2013年1月1日至2016年12月31日石家庄市成人哮喘医保住院资料及气象、环境观测站数据,采用广义相加模型（GAM）,在控制了时间趋势、节假日效应、空气污染等混杂因素后,分析气象要素与成人哮喘住院人数的暴露—反应关系。结果表明：各气象要素对成人哮喘住院人数的影响差异明显,日均气温（T）、日最高气温（T_max）、日最低气温（T_min）每上升1℃,成人哮喘住院风险分别减少0.7%、0.6%、0.7%;日均气压（P）每上升1 hPa,成人哮喘住院风险增加0.6%;日均风速（W_s）每增大1 m·s^-1,成人哮喘住院风险减少5.2%;当相对湿度RH<24%时,相对湿度每增加1%,成人哮喘住院风险减少3.4%;当RH≥92%时,相对湿度每增加1%,成人哮喘住院风险增加12.5%;气温、气压、风速对成人哮喘住院人数的的影响均在当天或滞后1天（lag0—1）效应最大;根据各气象要素影响特点,可为健康气象预报服务及公众防御提供依据。  相似文献   

2012—2016年宁波市中暑流行特征及热浪对其影响分析     

孙仕强  鹿文涵  郭建民  钱燕珍  卢晶晶 《气象与环境学报》2019,35(1):66-71

城市高温热浪事件严重影响人体健康和生命安全已成共识。利用宁波市2012—2016年中暑病例数据和同期气候数据对宁波市夏半年中暑流行特征及热浪对其的影响作了相关分析。结果表明:2012—2016年,2012年和2013年中暑人数最多,并集中在6—8月,其中7月人数最多占比55. 3%;男性中暑概率明显高于女性,中暑程度主要集中在轻度中暑,31—60岁年龄段中暑人数占比最高,市区中暑人数占比要高于郊区(县);用温湿两要素结合的炎热指数和热浪公式定义宁波热浪过程,发现热浪天数和中暑人数的相关系数高达0. 898,选出7次热浪过程计算热浪中暑的相对危险度,发现除2013年以外其他年份热浪中暑的相对危险度均在10以下,2013年的3次热浪中暑的相对危险度分别为18. 1、21. 6和25. 8,这与2013年热浪出现相对频繁集中有关;同时通过这7次热浪过程的前、后段热浪中暑的相对危险度的比较,并未见明显的热浪滞后效应存在。  相似文献   

环境中氟的来源及健康风险评估研究进展   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李凤嫣  蒋天宇  余涛  杨忠芳  侯青叶  王凌霄 《岩矿测试》2021,(6):793-807

氟是存在于自然环境中的一种人体必需的微量元素,其在环境中的缺乏或过剩可能导致健康问题。本文综述了氟在自然界如大气、岩石、土壤、水体、植物中的来源,分析了其形态及含量受环境影响的因素如地形、雨水淋溶、土壤母质、土壤酸碱度、土壤有机质等。氟的来源广泛,目前全球超过2.6亿人受氟带来的环境问题影响,因此开展健康风险评估具有重要意义。氟的健康风险评估常用的风险评估模型有危害系数（Hazard Quotient）、危害指数（Hazard Index）,概率方法也常运用于风险分析中,目前还出现应用多途径暴露评估法对氟进行评估,不确定性和灵敏度的研究对于评估模型尤为关键。本文比较了传统模型的可行性和局限性,认为确定氟富集的途径,完善复合暴露评估的模式,考虑氟摄入的生物有效性,对于氟的健康风险评估十分必要;氟的健康风险评估下一步的研究还可以趋向于使用模型对氟的风险进行预测;对于氟的来源、赋存状态、迁移途径以及含量影响因素等仍然需要深入了解,全面评估其带来的健康风险。  相似文献   

有机磷农药污染地块异味污染调查与健康风险评估     

孟洁  王静  肖咸德  张妍  翟增秀  李伟芳 《岩矿测试》2021,(6):907-918

农药污染地块修复过程中频繁出现异味污染问题,严重影响周边居民日常生活和身体健康。以往报道多集中在场地内有毒有害物质分析,较少关注场地异味污染问题。为预测某有机磷农药场地修复过程异味污染情况,本文以该地块7个潜在异味污染控制区为研究对象,分析了近土壤空气异味污染程度和影响范围,并应用气相色谱-四极杆/静电场轨道阱高分辨质谱技术测定近土壤空气、土壤中挥发性有机物（VOCs）和半挥发性有机物（SVOCs）,阐明地块控制区内异味污染排放特征,评估近土壤空气地块污染的人体健康风险。结果表明,7个区域监测点位散发不同程度刺激性气味,臭气浓度值范围为309~72443;生产区异味影响范围最大,达到3.2km;共识别出近土壤环境空气中209种VOCs、土壤样品中246种VOCs和SVOCs,主要包括芳香化合物、卤代物、烷烯烃和含氧有机物;主要异味贡献物质种类包括有机硫化物、芳香化合物和含氧有机物;7个区域近土壤空气均存在致癌风险（>1.0×10^-4）,5个区域存在非致癌风险,主要致癌物质为1,4-二氯苯、苯、四氯化碳。本文开展的农药场地异味物质组分与致病致癌风险持续研究结果,可为研究区生态环境修复和居民健康保护等提供重要依据。  相似文献   

雄安新区某金属冶炼区土壤重金属污染程度及风险评价          下载免费PDF全文

王昌宇  张素荣  刘继红  邢怡  李名则  刘庆学 《中国地质》2021,48(6):1697-1709

为支撑雄安新区土地资源科学管理,完善中国土壤污染评价体系,文章以雄安新区某废旧金属冶炼区为研究区开展地质调查,采集541件表层土壤样品,测定了土壤中的Cd、Hg、Pb、As、Cu、Zn、Cr、Ni八种重金属元素的含量和pH,采用主成分分析法研究重金属元素的组合及分布特征,通过单因子指数法、内梅罗综合指数法、地质累积指数法、潜在生态风险评价法和人体健康风险评价法对土壤重金属的污染程度及风险进行评价。结果显示：研究区土壤中Cu、Zn、Cd、Pb元素超标主要受冶炼活动影响,As、Hg元素高值异常主要由受唐河污染的地下水灌溉引起;单因子污染指数超标比例大小顺序为Cd>As>Cu>Zn>Pb>Hg>Cr=Ni;内梅罗综合指数评价结果显示54%的样品达到了污染水平;地质累积指数超标比例大小为Cd>Cu>Pb>As>Zn>Hg>Ni>Cr,Cu、Cd、Zn、Pb、As极重污染比例分别为13.5%、10.2%、9.1%、10.9%、17.2%;Cd和Hg是主要的生态危害元素,Cd中等-强生态危害比例为65.2%,Hg中等-强生态危害比例为71.3%;非致癌风险因子主要为As、Cr、Pb,95.2%样品对儿童的非致癌风险超过了1,29件样品中As对儿童的致癌风险超过10^-4,研究区土壤重金属对儿童具有较高的健康风险。  相似文献   

大叶藻(Zostera marina)的热值和元素含量(碳、氮、磷)及其相关性     

杨贵福  邢坤  李耕  刘海映  潘玉洲  张力 《海洋与湖沼》2015,46(1):212-220

选取辽宁獐子岛近岸海域大叶藻样品,对其须根、根状茎和不同生长阶段叶片的灰分含量、热值和元素含量(碳、氮、磷)及其相关性进行研究,结果表明:在不同生长阶段,叶片长度随着生长顺序先增大后减小;灰分含量随着叶片生长逐渐升高,且极显著小于根状茎和须根(P0.01);不同部位干质量热值差异极显著(P0.01),以初生叶最高,为(14.89±0.040)k J/g,后逐渐减小,在须根中最小,为(8.15±0.079)k J/g;不同生长阶段叶片的去灰分热值差异不大,但极显著大于须根和根状茎(P0.01);碳、氮、磷含量均呈同一趋势:初生叶幼叶成熟叶1成熟叶2衰老叶根状茎须根;N/P比值为27.08,说明大叶藻存在P限制;N/P比值在根状茎中最大,须根中最小,这说明大叶藻存在能量的转移和存贮;大叶藻不同部位灰分含量与干质量热值、去灰分热值、碳含量、氮含量、磷含量之间呈极显著的负相关(P0.01),干质量热值与碳含量、氮含量、磷含量之间呈极显著的正相关(P0.01);大叶藻不同部位的热值与碳、氮、磷元素含量之间均呈显著的线性关系(P0.05)。  相似文献   

Tolerance,oxygen consumption and ammonia excretion of Ophiopholis sarsii vadicola in different temperatures and salinities     

Fang  Jinghui  Zhang  Jihong  Jiang  Zengjie  Zhao  Xuewei  Jiang  Xu  Du  Meirong  Gao  Yaping  Fang  Jianguang 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2015,14(3):549-556

There are more than 2000 species of brittle stars in the world. For most of them, many scientific questions including basic characteristics of eco-physiology are still unknown. In the present study, Ophiopholis sarsii vadicola acclimated at 15℃, salinity 31, were assessed for temperature and salinity tolerance. Its oxygen consumption and ammonia excretion were studied at different temperatures(5, 10, 15, 20, 25℃) and salinities(25, 30, 35). O. sarsii vadicola could tolerate 0–24℃ and no brittle star was dead in the salinity range of 19–48 in the experimental situation. Two-way ANOVA showed that the oxygen consumption and ammonia excretion normalized with both dry mass and wet mass, Q10, which is used to describe the temperature sensitivity of respiration, and moisture content were significantly affected by temperature and salinity, and the combined effects of the two factors were significant. Stepwise multiple regression analysis revealed that logarithmic oxygen consumption and ammonia excretion showed a significant positive relationship with logarithmic temperature and salinity. The logarithmic moisture content of the brittle stars showed an inverse relationship with logarithmic salinity, but a positive relationship with logarithmic temperature. This suggests that the tolerance of temperature and salinity of brittle stars is closely related to their living environment, and that the effects of temperature on oxygen consumption are more significant at higher salinity, and that the ammonia excretion is less affected by salinity at lower temperatures.  相似文献   

基于时空轨迹数据的传染病传播风险评估     

宫路  刘湘南  邹信裕 《测绘学报》2015,(Z1):6-12

本文利用CRAWDAD提供的2009年10月份纽约市的出租车时空轨迹数据,依据复杂网络理论在城市交通网络中的应用,提出了一种方法求解出租车空间密度表示移动人群的时空密度变化,并用不同时段的平均速度表示人群的移动速度综合判定传染病在市内传播的高风险区域,重点分析了13时传染病传播的风险区位。通过建立空间密度与平均速度的二维特征空间,并将齐夫定律与能够遍历曼哈顿区的最大速度作为条件确定传染病传播的风险边界。结果反映在二维特征空间中,由最大遍历速度、安全行驶的空间密度临界值与数据上边界围成的三角区内节点对应的实际区位为传染病传播的高危区域。  相似文献   

Application of GIS and remote sensing techniques in frost risk mapping for mitigating agricultural losses in the Aberdare ecosystem,Kenya   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Susan Malaso Kotikot  Simon M. Onywere 《国际地球制图》2015,30(1):104-121

Frost is a perennial agricultural hazard that normally causes crop damage leading to huge agricultural losses within the Kenyan highlands; aggravated by inadequate information on frost. This research mapped frost hotspots within the Aberdare and Mount Kenya regions and identified the extent of arable land under frost risk while establishing the trend of minimum temperature occurrences between the years 2000 and 2013. Minimum temperature values were extracted from daily Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer land surface temperature data-sets, and frost risk categorized into very severe frost (<250 K), severe frost (250–260 K), moderate frost (260–270 K), minor frost (270–280 K) and areas of no frost. Concentration of frost (<273 K) was mapped within regions above 1500 m asl and occasional occurrences within valleys lower than this altitude with recurrent occurrences in the months of April, May, July, August and November. Elevation, land surface convexity and humidity were found to influence frost occurrence. Improved agricultural practice to mitigate against losses is recommended.  相似文献