新疆孔雀河流域人工绿洲近40年土地利用/覆被变化     

张军峰  孟凡浩  包安明  李长春  齐修东  刘铁  张鹏飞 《中国沙漠》2018,38(3):664-672

区域尺度土地利用/覆被变化（LUCC）时空特征及驱动力是研究大尺度变化乃至全球变化演变过程的基础,而干旱区LUCC对区域水文、生态影响尤为显著,是全球变化研究的重点之一。以新疆孔雀河流域上游作为研究区,基于1977-2015年6期Landsat数据,采用多规则人机交互目视解译的方法完成LUCC制图,并利用LUCC模型从数量变化、空间变化、土地利用集约程度变化等多方面分析了近40年来该区域LUCC特点及演变机制。结果表明：（1）研究区仅有耕地和建设用地面积增加,且增幅均在200%以上,其他土地类型面积则均有不同程度的减少;（2）耕地变化呈现出空间集聚现象,而建设用地的扩张则呈现空间连续性;（3）2000年前后自然植被经历小幅退化—恢复过程;（4）受西部大开发、塔里木河生态综合治理工程等多种因素影响,2000-2005年间,空间变化的综合动态度最高（2.76%）;（5）自然因素影响较小,人口增长和政策因素是主要驱动因子。  相似文献   

基于重心-GTWR模型的京津冀城市群城镇扩展格局与驱动力多维解析   总被引：9，自引：3，他引：6  

王海军  张彬  刘耀林  刘艳芳  徐姗  邓羽  赵雲泰  陈宇琛  洪松 《地理学报》2018,73(6):1076-1092

城镇用地扩展格局及驱动力研究对城市群发展规划与决策具有重要意义。以京津冀地区为例,基于城镇用地扩展强度指数、城镇用地扩展差异指数、分形维数、土地城镇化率和重心转移模型,多维解析了城市群城镇用地扩展格局特征,并耦合重心转移模型和时空地理加权回归（GTWR）模型构建重心-GTWR模型,在对空间格局进行长时间序列多维度指标分析的基础上,运用该模型依序对其特征进行驱动力解读,进而总结凝练京津冀区域发展的主导模式与城市核心驱动力。主要结论为：① 1990-2015年,京津冀城市群城镇用地扩展强度呈现“下降-上升-下降”的趋势,高峰时期在2005-2010年,在2005年之前高速发展城市集中在北京、天津、保定和廊坊,2005年之后集中在邢台和邯郸;② 城市群城镇用地重心虽呈现出发散态势,但城市之间的局部相互作用力逐渐增强,城镇用地扩展驱动力表现出空间溢出特征;③ 京津冀城市群空间发展模式由以北京和天津为中心的双核发展模式向多核发展模式转变,并出现北部资源运输核心、中部经济发展核心和南部投资发展核心三大功能核心组团,城市群趋向于多核功能协同发展模式;④ 重心-GTWR模型结合了时空非平稳性和城市空间相互作用,将城市群城镇用地扩展作为一个时空变化系统进行分析,经验证,该模型在城镇用地扩展格局驱动力分析研究中具有可行性。  相似文献   

北京市老年人口空间分布格局特征及驱动力     

蔺雪芹  王岱  王女英  任宇飞 《地域研究与开发》2016,(3):158-164

基于北京市第五次、第六次人口普查街道数据,多尺度考察了北京市老年人口的空间分布演化特征。研究表明:2000—2010年北京城市功能拓展区老年人口分布最为集中,城市发展新区增长迅速;10年间老龄化程度加深,区县间空间分布差异增大;老年人口总体呈"中心高、外围低、东高西低、南高北低"的空间分布格局;高社会隔离度区域面积显著扩大且在郊区集中分布,低社会隔离度区域面积缩小;养老设施总体供给不足,老年人口与养老设施空间分布不匹配;基于老年人口的医疗卫生服务设施可达性空间分布不均衡。最后从人口自然加龄、外来人口、经济发展、公共服务设施和城市发展战略等方面分析了其影响因素。  相似文献   

Study on Current-Random Wave Forces Acting on a Framework     

E Xuequan  SHAO Chuanping  GAO Yuxin Professor 《中国海洋工程》1998,(3)

—The forces of random wave plus current acting on a simplified offshore platform(jacket)mod-el have been studied numerically and experimentally.The numerical results are in good agreement withexperiments.The mean force can be approximated as a function of equivalent velocity parameter and theroot-mean-square force as a function of equivalent significant wave height parameter.  相似文献   

不规则波远破波对直墙的作用   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李玉成  刘大中  齐桂萍  苏小军 《海洋学报》1999,21(2):99-107

基于物模试验、理论推理、因次分析和工程实例验证等综合分析方法,就不规则波远破波对直墙作用力的计算方法进行了研究,用推荐的方法得到的结果与工程实例符合较好.  相似文献   

Issues in Eulerian–Lagrangian modeling of sediment transport under saltation regime     

Reza Barati  Seyed Ali Akbar Salehi Neyshabouri  Goodarz Ahmadi 《国际泥沙研究》2018,33(4):441-461

The saltation regime is very important for understanding the sediment transport mechanism. However,there is no consensus on a model for the saltation regime. This study answers several questions raised with respect to the Eulerian-Lagrangian modeling of sediment transport. The first question is why the previous saltation models that use different combinations of hydrodynamic forces yielded acceptable results? The second question is which shear lift model(i.e. a shear lift expression and its coefficient) is more appropriate? Another important question is which hydrodynamic forces have greater contributions to the saltation characteristics of a sediment particle? The last question is what are the contributions of the turbulence fluctuations as well as effects of using two-and three-dimensional(2 D and 3 D) models on the simulation results? In order to fairly answer these questions, a systematic study was done by considering different scenarios. The current study is the first attempt to clearly discuss these issues. A comprehensive 3 D saltation model for non-cohesive sediment was developed that includes all the hydrodynamic forces acting on the particle. The random nature of sediment transport was included using turbulent flow and bed-particle collision models. The eddy interaction model was applied to generate a3 D turbulent flow field. Bed-particle collisions were considered using the concept of a contact zone and a corresponding contact point. The validation of the model was done using the available experimental data for a wide range of sediment size(0.03 to 4.8 cm). For the first question, the results indicated that some of the hydrodynamic effects show opposing trends and some have negligible effects. With these opposing effects it is possible to adjust the coefficients of different models to achieve acceptable agreement with the same experimental data while omitting some aspects of the physics of the process. A suitable model for the shear lift force was developed by linking the lift coefficient to the drag coefficient and the contributions of the hydrodynamic forces and turbulence fluctuations as well as the consequences of using of 2 D and 3 D models were studied. The results indicate that the shear lift force and turbulent flow fluctuations are important factors for the saltation of both sand and gravel, and they cannot be ignored.  相似文献   

将微粒群和支持向量机用于耕地驱动因子选择的研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

杨柳  刘艳芳 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》2010,(2)

结合微粒群算法(PSO)具有执行速度快、受问题维数变化影响小的优点及支持向量机算法(SVM)结构风险最小化原理,构建了基于离散二进制微粒群(BPSO)与支持向量机的耕地驱动力因子选择方法,使用特征子集中确定的特征来训练支持向量回归机,用适应度函数来评价回归机的性能,指导BPSO的搜索。实验表明,该方法能有效地提取出耕地驱动因子的特征子集,从而降低了指标的维数,保留了关键信息,以获得知识的最小表达。  相似文献   

考虑桩间土体抗滑作用的单排抗滑桩受力计算方法          下载免费PDF全文

肖世国 《中国地质灾害与防治学报》2020,31(1):89-94

为了充分考虑桩间距范围内滑体对抗滑桩受力的影响,从单排抗滑桩加固边坡的整体稳定角度出发,在采用传递系数法分析指定设计安全系数情况下抗滑桩的内力时,提出对一个桩间距范围内的加固坡体进行整体分析,将抗滑桩所在部位单独划分条块,该条块包括桩体受荷段及其两侧桩间距范围内的滑体。推导了与此分析模型相应的桩体受荷段底端内力计算公式,并给出了在滑坡推力线性分布条件下作用于受荷段的净滑坡推力计算表达式。分析结果显示,在不考虑与完全考虑受荷段两侧桩间距范围内滑体抗力作用时,得到是桩体内力及位移的上、下边界值。实例分析进一步表明,理论分析与数值模拟结果具有良好的一致性。所提出的方法比传统方法更有利于抗滑桩设计的经济性。  相似文献   

1988-2018年滇池氮磷比的时空演变特征与原因解析     

高伟  程国微  严长安  陈岩 《湖泊科学》2021,33(1):64-73

氮、磷浓度是制约湖泊营养状态和生产力水平的重要环境因子,而氮磷化学计量比是湖泊生态系统的主要指标,因此,判识氮磷比变化趋势及其驱动力对湖泊生态恢复具有重要意义.研究基于19882018年连续观测数据,分析了滇池氮磷浓度和氮磷摩尔比(简称氮磷比)的时空分布演变特征;采用多元线性回归模型分别对滇池草海和外海氮磷比驱动效应进行定量解析,筛选出影响湖体氮磷比变化的潜在驱动因子.结果表明:①19882018年滇池氮磷比呈现显著的线性上升趋势,其中草海和外海氮磷比分别上升1.3和0.7 a^-1.②草海和外海分别在2008年和2004年发生了氮磷比上升突变,突变前上升归因于总氮浓度快速增加,突变后则是由于总磷浓度下降较快.③滇池的氮磷浓度变化主要是受流域氮磷输入负荷、跨流域调水、流域氮磷削减、风速和水位的综合影响,但受控因子在不同区域可能存在差异.④气温是滇池氮磷比变化的主要驱动因子,流域人为氮磷输入差异是滇池氮磷比变化的次要驱动因子.  相似文献   

Modelling aspects of structures isolated with the frictional pendulum system     

Jos L. Almazn  Juan C. De La Llera  Jos A. Inaudi 《地震工程与结构动力学》1998,27(8):845-867

Different modelling aspects of structures isolated using the frictional pendulum system and subjected to earthquake ground motions are studied herein. Although the vertical dynamics of these structures is given special emphasis, other effects such as large isolator deformations and bidirectional input motion are also considered. Different structural models of the FPS are developed and tested for single-storey structures and a real four-storey building frame; among them, an ‘exact’ formulation of the FPS force–deformation constitutive relationship is presented. Results show that global building responses can be computed within 20 per cent error in the mean using a simplified model that ignores the vertical motion of the building; however, structural member deformations and forces need to be computed using a model that considers such motion. This is of particular importance when there exist correlation between the horizontal and vertical components of ground motion. Further, a physical model of the FPS is introduced and used to determine the response of a real four-storey frame, including uplift and downward impact. Results from this analysis show that local column responses may vary substantially depending on the stiffness of the isolation storey and the presence of a mass at the isolation level. Such mass is capable of filtering the large increase in column shear that results from the impact of the structure after uplift. Uplift occurs at several instants of the response of the structure considered, leading to an increase in column base shear as large as 3 times the shear obtained by ignoring the vertical dynamics of the building. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献