World continental modeling for water resources using system dynamics     

Toshiharu Kojiri  Tomoharu Hori  Junpei Nakatsuka  Teng-Sheng Chong 《Physics and Chemistry of the Earth》2008,33(5):304-311

This research assesses the severity of future water scarcity and its impact on the growth of human civilization through system dynamics modeling of the world at regional level. Six sectors of activities are modeled in each continent to represent the human society. Continental interactions such as migration and trade are also modeled to express the synergy of activities among the various continents. Results of the model simulations from 1960 to 2100 show that water scarcity, unlike other limitations such as nonrenewable resources and persistent pollution, gives severe, detrimental problems within short delays after its occurrence.  相似文献   

亚热带4种行道树树干表面CO_2释放速率昼夜动态     

魏国军  盛浩  杨智杰  袁一丁  杨玉盛 《福建地理》2009,(1)

采用LI-8100土壤碳通量自动测量系统,与自制的树干呼吸观测气室相连,原位观测亚热带春、秋2个季节4种行道树树干呼吸速率及相关环境因子的昼夜动态.结果表明:在秋季土壤水分较低水平下(VWC平均为11.6%),羊蹄甲、香樟树干呼吸速率昼夜动态呈单峰曲线,和温度变化呈极显著指数函数关系,峰值分别出现在17:00和13:00;芒果和高山榕树干呼吸速率昼夜动态单峰不明显,白天与树干温度变化呈极显著指数函数关系,但芒果白天与夜间的树干呼吸速率差异不显著,而高山榕树干呼吸速率夜间显著高于白天,二者出现"白昼抑制"现象.在春季土壤水分较高水平下(VWC平均为22.1%),羊蹄甲、芒果和高山榕树干呼吸速率昼夜动态呈单峰型曲线,峰值分别出现在11:00、15:00和14:00;而香樟树干呼吸速率单峰不明显,4种树种的树干呼吸速率昼夜动态均与温度变化呈极显著指数函数关系.2个季节中,树干温度与树干呼吸的指数函数关系最好,秋季羊蹄甲、芒果和香樟树干呼吸速率对树干昼夜温度变化的Q10值分别为2.04、2.37和2.18,春季羊蹄甲、芒果、香樟和高山榕树干呼吸速率对树干昼夜温度变化的Q10值分别为2.27、2.58、1.90和1.8...  相似文献   

不同水淹环境下河口感潮湿地枯落物分解及营养动态   总被引：6，自引：2，他引：4  

仝川  刘白贵 《地理研究》2009,28(1)

采用分解袋法,以我国东南沿海典型的感潮河口--闽江河口最大的鳝鱼滩湿地为研究区域,选取2个潮水水淹环境差异显著的地段(一个为近潮沟地段,另一个为远潮沟地段)为研究样地,对闽江河口主要的本地种芦苇、短叶茳芏及外来人侵种互花米草枯落物分解过程及影响因素进行研究,结果表明:(1)经常性的潮汐水淹对3种植物枯落物分解速率的影响不显著;(2)经常性的潮汐水淹促进了短叶茳芏和互花米草枯落物N、P元素的损失,但对芦苇的影响不大;(3)在2种不同的水淹环境,3种植物枯落物分解速率由快到慢的顺序均是短叶茳芏>互花米草>和芦苇,分解速率在0.003166～0.005280 d-1之间,95%干物质分解需要的时间在1.56～2.61 a之间;(4)C浓度基本稳定,N浓度呈上升趋势,总N在研究末期表现为净损失,P浓度呈较大的波动,总P在研究末期也表现为净损失;(5)具有最低C/P的短叶茳芏枯落物分解速率最快.  相似文献   

科尔沁沙质草甸土壤微生物数量的垂直分布及季节动态   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

王少昆  赵学勇  左小安  郭轶瑞  李玉强  曲浩 《干旱区地理》2009,32(4)

通过对中国农牧交错带科尔沁沙质草甸土壤微生物数量的垂直分布及其季节动态的研究分析表明:(1)微生物总数、细菌和放线菌数量均表现出与降雨量同步的季节动态,即6月份较5月份有所减少,7月份增至最多,7月份以后微生物数量逐渐下降,真菌则表现出从5月份到8月份一直增加,9月份开始回落;(2)土壤微生物具有明显的垂直分布差异.细菌和放线菌的垂直分布表现出随土壤深度增加逐渐减少的趋势,真菌数量表层最高,20 cm以下变化不够规律;(3)土壤微生物的层化比率均大于2(5月份放线菌除外);(4)不同土壤生态因子对微生物的影响不同,相同因子对不同微生物类群的影响也不相同.细菌受水分影响较大,真菌与地温的变化趋势相近,放线菌与水热条件的共同作用有关.土壤养分(有机碳和全氮)与微生物数量呈显著的正相关.  相似文献   

Hydrodynamics and sediment dynamics in the German Bight. A focus on observations and numerical modelling in the East Frisian Wadden Sea     

Joanna Staneva  Emil V. Stanev  Jörg-Olaf Wolff  Thomas H. Badewien  Rainer Reuter  Burghard Flemming  Alexander Bartholomä  Karsten Bolding 《Continental Shelf Research》2009

This work deals with analysis of hydrographic observations and results of numerical simulations. The data base includes acoustic Doppler current profilers (ADCP) observations, continuous measurements on data stations and satellite data originating from the medium resolution imaging spectrometer (MERIS) onboard the European Space Agency (ESA) satellite ENVISAT with a spatial resolution of 300 m. Numerical simulations use nested models with horizontal resolutions ranging from 1 km in the German Bight to 200 m in the East Frisian Wadden Sea coupled with a suspended matter transport model. Modern satellite observations have now a comparable horizontal resolution with high-resolution numerical model of the entire area of the East Frisian Wadden Sea allowing to describe and validate new and so far unknown patterns of sediment distribution. The two data sets are consistent and reveal an oscillatory behaviour of sediment pools to the north of the back-barrier basins and clear propagation patterns of tidally driven suspended particulate matter outflow into the North Sea. The good agreement between observations and simulations is convincing evidence that the model simulates the basic dynamics and sediment transport processes, which motivates its further use in hindcasting, as well as in the initial steps towards forecasting circulation and sediment dynamics in the coastal zone.  相似文献   

地下水超采区承压井水位变化机理探讨     

张素欣  刘耀炜  盛艳蕊 《地震研究》2009,32(4)

通过研究河北平原区地下水超采区第四系第三承压含水层水位的变化机理,依据上覆地层的荷载效应、非稳定流抽水中弱透水层的释水和越流过程,阐明地下水超采区内地下水位大幅下降的内在规律,为科学合理地提取地震前兆信息提供科学依据。  相似文献   

The formation of headland/island sandbanks     

Simon P. Neill  James D. Scourse 《Continental Shelf Research》2009

There are four extensive sandbanks in the vicinity of the Isle of Portland, a headland in the English Channel. The formation and maintenance of the two most prominent of these sandbanks (one on either side of the headland) can largely be explained by net bedload convergence, driven by instantaneous headland eddies generated by tidal flow past the headland. However, there are also two less prominent sandbanks (again, one on either side of the headland), which are not located in zones of bedload convergence. It is suggested here that these latter two sandbanks were formed when the Isle of Portland was isolated from the mainland by a tidal strait. Relative sea-level data and radiocarbon dates indicate that this would have occurred ca. 9–7 ka BP, prior to the closure of the strait by sedimentation. Tidal flow through this strait generated eddy systems in addition to the headland eddies, leading to the formation of associated headland/island sandbanks. At 7 ka BP, sedimentation resulted in closure of the strait, leading to the present-day headland configuration, and subsequent reworking of these now moribund sandbanks formed by the strait. A series of idealised morphological model experiments, parameterised using bedrock depths and glacial isostatic adjustment model output of relative sea level, are here used to simulate this hypothesised sequence of sandbank evolution over the Holocene. The results of the model experiments are corroborated by in situ observations of bedforms and sediment characteristics, and by acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP) data applied to predictions of bedload transport over the sandbanks. In addition to demonstrating the mechanism which leads to the formation of sandbanks by tidal flow through a strait, the model results show that upon subsequent closure of such a strait, these sandbanks will no longer be actively maintained, in contrast to sandbanks which are continuously maintained by headland eddies.  相似文献   

Cu在TaN(111)表面团聚行为的分子动力学模拟     

陈蓓  韩波  周成冈  吴金平 《地球科学》2009,34(4):635-640

原子层沉积(ALD) 是下一代超大规模集成电路的首选工艺, 但是Cu籽晶层在阻挡层上的团聚限制了ALD工艺在半导体工业中的应用.目前对Cu在阻挡层TaN表面的团聚机理和行为还缺乏足够的理论认识, 为此利用第一性原理密度泛函理论(DFT) 对不同覆盖度下Cu原子在TaN (111) 表面的吸附能和电荷转移进行了研究, 结果显示, Cu在TaN (111) 表面的吸附强度随着Cu覆盖度的增加而减弱.利用从头算分子动力学模拟了500K温度下Cu单分子层在TaN (111) 表面的吸附动力学行为, 结果表明, 在这一典型的ALD温度下, Cu层在TaN (111) 表面发生团聚, 与实验中的观察结果相符.   相似文献   

路堑边坡开挖对邻近既有隧道影响研究   总被引：5，自引：2，他引：3  

赵东平  王明年  贾玲利 《岩土力学》2009,30(5):1399-1402

设计中的承德迎宾大道路堑边坡邻近既有京承铁路21号隧道,边坡开挖后会对既有隧道产生不利影响。根据现场试验取得的围岩及隧道衬砌的力学参数,对边坡开挖进行了静力学和动力学数值分析,研究了路堑边坡可开挖的最大范围及爆破振动对隧道的影响。结果表明：当路堑二级边坡坡脚距离隧道中心线距离大于等于30 m时,边坡开挖后隧道衬砌内力虽有增加,但仍可保证结构安全。进行边坡爆破开挖时,如考虑3倍的安全系数,当京承铁路21号隧道衬砌振速小于1.5 cm/s时,隧道衬砌内产生的动拉应力小于衬砌极限抗拉强度,可按此控制指标进行现场监测。  相似文献   

Bedforms and bed material transport pathways in the Changjiang (Yangtze) Estuary   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Jiaxue Wu  Yonghong Wang  Heqin Cheng 《Geomorphology》2009,104(3-4):175-184

Bed features were mapped using a thermal depth recorder and a side-scan sonar in the Changjiang (Yangtze) Estuary, and flows were observed and bed surface materials were sampled to investigate bed material transport pathways. Distinct scales and dimensions of dunes were observed in terms of the classification scheme of Ashley [Ashley, G.M., 1990. Classification of large-scale sub-aqueous bedforms: A new look at an old problem. Journal of Sedimentary Research, 61, 160–172], forming a dune set in the flood season. Large dunes occurred predominately in the surveyed area of the estuarine zone, and two-dimensional dunes predominated in the dry season while three-dimensional dunes prevailed in the flood season. Sharp lee sides of dunes have low angles, indicating a significant suspended-load transport for the bedform migration, and the majority of them face down-estuary reflecting the controlling process by the ebb current. The bed material migrations in terms of relative maximum gross transport show a satisfactory agreement with the sonar mapping in the dry season. The relative maximum gross transport as an independent estimator of migration direction, can be used to effectively determine the bed material transport directions in the Changjiang Estuary.  相似文献