江苏及邻区中小地震能量场的时空变化分析     

王俊  孙业君  詹小艳  郑江蓉  江昊琳  霍祝青 《中国地震》2009,25(4)

采用随机能量场的概念,将地震活动能量场看作时间和空间的随机函数场,用自然正交函数展开的分析方法,研究江苏及邻区自1970年1月至2007年12月的中小地震(2.1≤M_L≤4.5)能量场变化特征,以及主要典型能量场的时间"权重"系数的变化特征.结果显示:前7个典型场的展开精度为0.9244.研究区内不同构造块体的地震活动能量场强度存在明显差异,其中下扬子块体的苏中、苏南地区及南黄海海域的地震背景能量值高于其他地区;从典型场的分布来看,该区域对研究区能量场的影响也最为显著.前6个主要典型场的时间"权重"系数随时间的变化幅度与研究区大部分中强震之间在时间上存在很强的相关性.  相似文献   

Hazards from pyroclastic density currents at Mt. Etna (Italy)     

Boris Behncke   《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2009,180(2-4):148

Despite the recent recognition of Mount Etna as a periodically violently explosive volcano, the hazards from various types of pyroclastic density currents (PDCs) have until now received virtually no attention at this volcano. Large-scale pyroclastic flows last occurred during the caldera-forming Ellittico eruptions, 15–16 ka ago, and the risk of them occurring in the near future is negligible. However, minor PDCs can affect much of the summit area and portions of the upper flanks of the volcano. During the past ~ 20 years, small pyroclastic flows or base-surge-like vapor and ash clouds have occurred in at least 8 cases during summit eruptions of Etna. Four different mechanisms of PDC generation have been identified during these events: (1) collapse of pyroclastic fountains (as in 2000 and possibly in 1986); (2) phreatomagmatic explosions resulting from mixing of lava with wet rock (2006); (3) phreatomagmatic explosions resulting from mixing of lava with thick snow (2007); (4) disintegration of the unstable flanks of a lava dome-like structure growing over the rim of one of the summit craters (1999). All of these recent PDCs were of a rather minor extent (maximum runout lengths were about 1.5 km in November 2006 and March 2007) and thus they represented no threat for populated areas and human property around the volcano. Yet, events of this type pose a significant threat to the lives of people visiting the summit area of Etna, and areas in a radius of 2 km from the summit craters should be off-limits anytime an event capable of producing similar PDCs occurs. The most likely source of further PDCs in the near future is the Southeast Crater, the youngest, most active and most unstable of the four summit craters of Etna, where 6 of the 8 documented recent PDCs originated. It is likely that similar hazards exist in a number of volcanic settings elsewhere, especially at snow- or glacier-covered volcanoes and on volcano slopes strongly affected by hydrothermal alteration.  相似文献   

Modeling unusual eruptive behavior of Mt. Etna,Italy, by means of event bush     

Boris Behncke  Cyril A. Pshenichny 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2009

One of the best-studied volcanoes of the world, Mt. Etna in Sicily, repeatedly exhibits eruptive scenarios that depart from the behavior commonly considered typical for this volcano. Episodes of intense explosive activity, pyroclastic flows, dome growth and cone collapse pose a variety of previously underestimated threats to human lives in the summit area of the volcano. However, retrospective analysis of these events shows that they were likely caused by the same very sets of premises and starting conditions as “normal” eruptions, yet combined in an unexpected, probably unique, way. To cope with such unexpected consequences, we involve an approach of artificial intelligence developed specially for needs of the geosciences, the event bush. Scenarios inferred from the event bush fit the observed ones and allow to foresee other low-probability events that may occur at the volcano. Application of the event bush provides a more impartial vision of volcanic phenomena and may serve as an intermediary between expert knowledge and numerical assessment, e.g., by means of Bayesian Belief Networks.  相似文献   

Estimating leaf area index by inversion of reflectance model for semiarid natural grasslands     

Na Zhang  YingShi Zhao 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2009,52(1):66-84

The study developed an integrated reflectance model combining radiative transfer and geometric optical properties in order to inverse leaf area index (LAI) of semiarid natural grasslands. In order to better link remote sensing information with land plants, and facilitate regional and global climate change studies, the model introduced a simple but important geometrical similarity parameter related to plant crown shapes. The model revealed the influences of different plant crown shapes (such as spherical, cylindrical/cuboidal and conic crowns) on leaf/branch angle distribution frequencies, shadow ground coverage, shadowed or sunlit background fractions, canopy reflectance, and scene reflectance. The modeled reflectance data agreed with the measured ones in the three Leymus chinensis steppes with different degradation degrees, which validated the reflectance model. The lower the degradation degree was, the better the modeled data agreed with the measured data. After this reflectance model was coupled with the optimization inversion method, LAI over the entire study region was estimated once every eight days using the eight-day products of surface reflectance obtained by multi-spectral Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) during the growing seasons in 2002. The temporal and spatial patterns of inversed LAI for the steppes with different cover degrees, swamps, flood plains, and croplands agreed with the general laws and measurements very well. But for unused land cover types (sands, saline, and barren lands) and forestlands, totally accounting for about 10% of the study region, the reasonable LAI values were not derived by inversing, requiring further revising of the model or the development of a new model for them. Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 30500076), the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 2007CB714407), and the President Foundation of Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. YZJJ200205)  相似文献   

南京江心洲大桥主桥的地震反应谱分析     

王晨  李爱群  王浩  谢静 《地震学刊》2009,(3):325-328

以南京江心洲大桥主桥为研究对象,采用大型有限元分析软件ANSYS建立了该独塔自锚式悬索桥的三维有限元模型,采用子空间迭代法对该桥模型进行了自振特性的分析,在其中考虑了几何非线性的影响。对该桥模型进行模态分析。在此基础上运用反应谱法计算了该桥的纵向、横向、竖向、纵向＋竖向以及横向＋竖向的地震响应,并针对其主要截面位置进行分析。结果表明,横向地震下的塔底应力比纵向、竖向输入下大,竖向地震作用下主梁地震应力要比横向、纵向地震作用下的大,塔顶位移在纵向＋竖向地震动输入时的位移值最大等。研究结果对同类桥型的工程抗震研究具有参考意义。  相似文献   

利用自然电位与自然伽马测井曲线划分沉积相带及储层分布   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0       下载免费PDF全文

宋子齐  李伟峰  唐长久  李文芳  庞振宇  王艳 《地球物理学进展》2009,24(2):651-656

自然电位、自然伽马测井曲线形态和特征与沉积相带及其储集砂体关系密切,它们对不同岩性地层特征响应十分敏感.利用自然伽马、自然电位同步减小的较大幅度评价识别渗砂层,指示划分水下分流河道主体沉积微相带;利用自然伽马、自然电位减小的幅度差评价识别低渗砂、致密砂层,指示划分水下分流河道堤泛(侧翼)沉积微相带;并以自然电位比自然伽马减小幅度的相对细小差异识别油水层.在安塞油田沿河湾地区长6自然伽马、自然电位曲线划分沉积相带及储层的应用中,建立了自然伽马、自然电位划分储层的下限标准,有效地评价了特低渗透储层沉积微相带及储层类型,提高和扩大了测井曲线的应用及效果.  相似文献   

古构造应力场数值模拟及危险性预测研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

周春梅  章泽军  徐大杰  王生维  李先福 《岩土力学》2009,30(7):2141-2146

在精确确定构造序列与构造格架的基础上,探索出一套从建立构造模型、确定边界条件、选取岩体力学参数与危险性判断准则、计算古构造应力值、预测危险区与安全岛的基本思路与方法。采用有限元法,建立了矿区平面应力与三维构造模型,从加载方式和加载大小两方面模拟历史时期作用于成庄煤矿上的古构造应力。根据地表岩体和深部煤层中的节理,计算其内摩擦角和岩体抵抗变形破坏的能力,获得了古构造应力作用下地表表层、3#煤层的临界区、危险区与安全区。结合研究区节理、断层、褶皱、陷落柱等构造形迹特征,对危险性分区进行综合预测。预测结果揭示,山西晋城成庄煤矿区存在先南北向、后东西向的两期大的古构造运动,即先东西向加载60 MPa,再南北向加载110～180 MPa,可能的危险区分东、西两带,该结论对煤层岩体应力集中带和瓦斯突出区的预测具有重要的意义。  相似文献   

几种天然半导体矿物热电特性对地震电场变化的 启示意义          下载免费PDF全文

申俊峰  申旭辉刘倩 《地学前缘》2009,16(4):313-319

采用BHTE 06型热电测量仪,选择磁铁矿、毒砂、黄铁矿、黄铜矿4种代表性天然半导体矿物进行了不同活化温度下热电势的测量。测试结果显示:几种矿物均有“热电势绝对值随活化温度增加而增加”的规律。根据半导体矿物热电特性的基本理论和天然矿物形成条件的分析,笔者认为:地壳内广泛存在天然半导体矿物,绝大多数半导体矿物具有热电特性。由于“孕震发震过程中存在同源电磁场和热场相互作用”,所以伴随孕震发震过程的热场变化可能激发半导体矿物产生热电效应,进而产生新的附加热电势场。这种附加热电势场可能是映震前兆信息源。这说明,广泛存在的天然半导体矿物极有可能是孕震发震过程大地电场异常变化的重要影响因素之一。因此,深入探讨天然半导体矿物的热电效应,对全面理解震前电场前兆异常变化的机理具有启示意义。  相似文献   

模糊综合评判法在新宾县地质灾害易发程度分区评价中的应用     

陈国钧  封灵 《地质与资源》2009,18(1):74-76

结合辽宁省新宾县地质灾害发育情况,在充分分析影响该地区地质灾害发生发展的自然因素和人为因素基础上,应用模糊综合评判方法,通过网格单元剖分,对泥石流、崩塌、滑坡、地面塌陷、地裂缝5种地质灾害进行易发程度划分与评价.结合Visual BASIC软件编程对各单元区评定等级,对其数字化结果进行叠加分析,最后应用Sufer 7.0软件生成等值线进行了新宾县地质灾害易发区的划分并作出评价.  相似文献   

自然与人文交互作用下的干旱区典型绿洲耕地动态变化驱动力分析——以新疆于田绿洲为例   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

田源  丁建丽  塔西甫拉提·特依拜  张飞  张芳  罗江燕 《中国沙漠》2009,29(6):1162-1168

 绿洲是干旱区独特的自然景观,是人们生产生活的载体。如何在保持经济发展、提高人民生活水平的基础上保护有限的耕地资源,是关系到干旱区绿洲和谐以及可持续发展的重要问题。选取干旱区典型绿洲——于田县1949\_2004年的自然与人文统计资料,首先分析了五十余年来该县耕地变化的情况。然后从自然与人文两个角度对影响耕地面积变化的因子进行分析,结果表明,自然因素往往构成一定区域绿洲发展的基本限制,人为因素在短时期内,对耕地的变化起着决定性作用,这种作用如果顺应自然因素的限制,则对绿洲发展有利,绿洲稳定性增强;反之,绿洲稳定性减弱,由于新疆绿洲外围多为戈壁及沙漠,因此,对绿洲的利用要遵循自然规律,以保护绿洲为前提,合理利用水等自然资源,否则绿洲的面积随时都有可能缩小。  相似文献