Early Estimation of Strong Aftershock Duration Time     

Zhou Cuiying  Wang Hongwei  Wang Mei  and Zhang YuxiaSeismological Bureau of Shandong Province  Jinan  China Center for Analysis  Prediction  SSB  Beijing  China 《中国地震研究》1997,(4)

In order to solve the problem of early estimation of moderately strong aftershock duration time in an earthquake sequence,this study has been conducted.First,the definition of the strong aftershock has been given.It is pointed out that there is a difference in the strong aftershock duration time between the main shock type sequence and the strong earthquake swarm sequence.After dividing the three cases,i.e.,a strong aftershock duration time larger than 1 day,smaller than 1 day,and no strong aftershock occurred in a main shock type sequence by using the pattern recognition method,we gave the rough correlation relation between strong aftershock duration time and first large shock magnitude for two types of sequences.Finally,the judgment index and method of estimating strong aftershock duration times for different sequence types have been given.  相似文献   

Regionalization of unit hydrograph Parameters: 2. Uncertainty analysis     

K. -C. Yeh  J. -C. Yang  Y. -K. Tung 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1997,11(2):173-192

Hydrologic model parameters obtained from regional regression equations are subject to uncertainty. Consequently, hydrologic model outputs based on the stochastic parameters are random. This paper presents a systematic analysis of uncertainty associated with the two parameters, N and K, in Nash's IUH model from different regional regression equations. The uncertainty features associated with N and K are further incorporated to assess the uncertainty of the resulting IUH. Numerical results indicate that uncertainty of N and K from the regional regression equations are too significant to be ignored.  相似文献   

Regionalization of unit hydrograph Parameters: 2. Uncertainty analysis     

K. -C. Yeh  J. -C. Yang  Y. -K. Tung 《Stochastic Hydrology and Hydraulics》1997,11(2):173-192

Hydrologic model parameters obtained from regional regression equations are subject to uncertainty. Consequently, hydrologic model outputs based on the stochastic parameters are random. This paper presents a systematic analysis of uncertainty associated with the two parameters, N and K, in Nash's IUH model from different regional regression equations. The uncertainty features associated with N and K are further incorporated to assess the uncertainty of the resulting IUH. Numerical results indicate that uncertainty of N and K from the regional regression equations are too significant to be ignored.  相似文献   

参数椭球表面的重力   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10       下载免费PDF全文

郝晓光 《地球科学》1997,22(2):223-226

推导了带密度参数的界面深度参数的旋转椭球表面重力的封闭公式，提出了“参数椭球”的概念。  相似文献   

2003年6月青岛崂山4级震群序列初步分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

潘元生  侯海锋  万连初  邓向明  史雯  周焕鹏 《内陆地震》2004,18(1):77-83

从震群监测、地震影响、地震地质构造、序列特点及性质判定等方面对2003年6月青岛崂山王哥庄发生的4级震群进行了介绍及初步分析。此次地震的活动强度、频次、持续时间均为青岛历史上所罕见。地震时整个青岛市普遍有感，震中区有一定破坏，造成较大的社会影响。  相似文献   

基于复模态的有限元模型修正算法   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

陈健云  王建有 《世界地震工程》2004,20(2):12-16

针对地下结构地震响应分析中无限地基辐射阻尼问题，引入复模态情况下的具有非简化的堆积阻尼矩阵的阻尼模型，并针对具有集中质量阵的阻尼模型提出了合并与质量有关的阻尼和堆积阻尼的思想，并据此提出了一种修正此类有限元模型的两步法，首先从复模态参数中提取实模态参数，采用基于模态残余力的识别算法修正刚度矩阵，然后根据复模态参数和已得的刚度矩阵来识别阻尼模型中的刚度参与系数和质量阻尼堆积阻尼联合矩阵。  相似文献   

利用Cole-Cole模型组合得到SIP真参数的联合频谱最优化反演   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2       下载免费PDF全文

张辉  李桐林 《地震工程学报》2004,26(2):108-112

利用Cole-Cole模型组合和稀释系数理论，可以描述测量得到的视复电阻率频谱与地下多个电性体SIP真参数之间的正演关系。本利用此正演关系进行反演试算，并比较了几种Cole-Cole模型反演方案的效果；提出固定极化目标体和围岩体的极化率同时反演其它各SIP真参数的反演方案。结果表明在固定极化率为真值时，利用此反演方案可以稳定、准确、快速地得出地下电性体SIP真参数。  相似文献   

依兰-萝北地区地震危险区地震活动跟踪研究   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

郭德明 《东北地震研究》2004,20(3):8-16

本文选取地震活动图像演化和地震学参数变化两项指标，采用有时间段的时空扫描进行演化研究，逐步将这种演化研究推进到短期阶段进行跟踪研究。认为依兰-萝北地区近期发生5级左右地震可能性较小，黑龙江断裂两侧可能会有4级左右地震发生。  相似文献   

安徽淮河构造变形带及邻近块体现代构造应力场特征   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：3  

刘东旺  刘泽民  沈小七  夏瑞良  李敏莉  闫素萍  凌学书 《中国地震》2004,20(4):364-371

针对安徽省较特殊的构造环境及历史地震分布特点，利用直达波最大振幅比和系统聚类分析方法，在对安徽淮河中游区1974年以来近百个中小地震震源机制反演、聚类及空间合成的基础上，分析了华北断块南缘的安徽淮河构造变形带及邻近块体震源断层滑动方式、构造应力场分布及块体运动方式、应力场随时间变化等。结果显示：淮河构造变形带及其邻近块体上震源断层总体上以近走滑型或斜滑型破裂为主，但倾滑型破裂也占一定比例；该地区构造应力以水平作用为主，但也存在一定的垂向作用。其中淮北和皖中块体仍可能分别向SWW和NEE方向运动，并在淮河构造变形带上产生左旋剪切作用，呈现一定的继承性活动特征；各块(带)上主压应力P轴走向随时间的变化在总体上较为一致，而各时段之间P轴方位存在一定差异，显示安徽淮河中游区受华北和华南应力场的共同作用，但其地震活动可能主要受控于华北应力场。  相似文献   

Geochemistry of Brines from Salt Ore Deposits in Western Tarim Basin   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

马万栋  马海州  谭红兵  董亚萍  张西营  孙国芳 《中国地球化学学报》2004,23(3):238-244

In the geological evolution of the Tarim Basin, many transgressions and relictions happened. So there have been plentiful sources of salt. Moreover, because of uttermost drought, a lot of salt has been deposited. It is possible to find potash salt in this area. In our fieldwork, we have found salt and brine in western Tarim Basin. Based on a geological survey and the characteristics of sedimentary facies and paleogeography, this paper deals with the geochemical parameters and discusses the possibility of formation of potash salt in terms of the chemical analyses of samples collected from western Tarim Basin. Results of brine analysis lead to some conclusions: most of these salt brines have eluviated from very thick halite beds, mainly chloridetype salt and this kind of halite does not reach the stage of potash deposition in all aspects; WKSL (Wukeshalu) occupies a noticeable place, and we should attach importance to this district because there have been some indicators of the occurrence of potash deposits as viewed from the contents of Br and K. Finally, low Br contents are recognized in the Tarim Basin as a result of salt aggradation, and this point of view has been proved by the results of this experiment and the data available. It cannot depend upon the index of Br to judge the evolution stage of halite. We must look for other facies of potash except marine facies.  相似文献