一种适于较强台风的切向风廓线方案及其对异常台风路径的数值模拟研究   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9       下载免费PDF全文

孟智勇  徐祥德  陈联寿 《大气科学》2001,25(2):193-199

针对现今台风数值预报中强热带气旋切向风廓线设计上的困难，提出了一种利用台风报告中7级风和10级风的半径来确定台风切向风廓线的方法。它既可反映真实台风外围结构又避免了强风速切变问题。该方案有可能改进台风尤其是异常路径台风的预报效果，具有广阔的业务应用前景。  相似文献   

9806号台风非对称结构形成及其高纬西折路径分析   总被引：5，自引：4，他引：5  

邓华军  韩桂荣  樊永富 《热带气象学报》2001,17(2):172-178

对9806号台风在弱环境场中的向北移动，至强环境场中折向西行的物理机制进行了分析，得出在弱环境场中台风可形成不对称结构，其物理量如高度的变化在台风进入强环境场后与环境场叠加，从而改变台风移向，强弱环境场的更替，可能是9806号台风移向突变的重要原因。  相似文献   

THE STUDY OF STORM RAINFALL CAUSED BY INTERACTION BETWEEN THE NON-ZONAL HIGH LEVEL JET STREAK AND TYPHOON IN THE DISTANCE   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

丁治英  张兴强  何金海  徐海明 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2001,7(2):187-198

In this paper, statistics were analyzed concerning correlation between the storm rainfall far from typhoon and non-zonal upper-level jet stream. The results show that the jet stream at 200 hPa is constantly SW (90.2 %) during the period in which storm rainfall occurs. Rainfall area lies in the right rear regions of the jet axes. While the storm intensifies, the jet tends to be stronger and turn non-zonal. With the MM4 model, numerical simulation and diagnosis were carried out for Typhoon No.9711 (Winnie) on August 19 to 20, 1997. The distant storm rainfall is tightly correlative to the jet and low-level typhoon trough. The divergence field of jet is related to the v component. The upper level can cause the allobaric wind convergence at low level. This is the result of the form of low-level typhoon trough and the strength of the storm. By scale analysis, it is found that there is a branch of middle scale transverse inverse circulation in the right entrance regions behind the jet below the 300-hPa level, which is very important to the maintenance and strengthening of storm rainfall. This branch of inverse circulation is relative to the reinforcement of jet's non-zonal characteristics. From the field of mesoscale divergence field and non-zonal wind field, we know that the stronger symmetry caused by transverse circulation in the two sides of the jet, rainfall’s feedback and reinforcement of jet’s non-zonal characteristics had lead to positive feedback mechanism that was favorable of storm rainfall’s strengthening.  相似文献   

南水北调西线雅砻江调水工程温波引水枢纽坝址径流计算的研究   总被引：1，自引：2，他引：1  

蓝永超  康尔泗  马全杰 《冰川冻土》2001,23(1):67-73

南水北调西线雅砻江调水工程（简称西线调水）是从长江的一级支流雅砻江上游区引水至黄河源头地区的跨流域调水工程，是补充黄河水资源不足与解决我国西北和华北部分地区干旱缺水的重大战略措施，由于引水枢纽坝址缺乏实测水文资料，我们依据附近孜水文站实测资料，采用一些非确定性的数理统计模型来计算温波引水坝址的设计年径流量，并对计算成果进行了合理性分析，结果表明，上述计算成果基本反映了温波引水坝址径流变化的客观情况，从而为南水北调西线雅砻江调水工程缺乏实测水文资料地区的水文计算提供了科学依据。  相似文献   

非常定自适应网格模式在台风路径数值预报中的应用   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

刘卓  曾庆存 《大气科学》1995,19(3):301-308

本文将作者在前文中介绍的非常定自适应网格模式用于台风路径的数值预报。由于自适应网格在台风中心附近安排了较密的网格，有效地提高了网格的分辨率，使得台风环流的结构在预报48小时以后仍能保持，其预报的路径与实况相比令人鼓舞。  相似文献   

台湾岛地形对台风移动路径的作用   总被引：27，自引：3，他引：27       下载免费PDF全文

罗哲贤  陈联寿 《大气科学》1995,19(6):701-706

本文用一个β平面准地转正压模式实施了九组试验，研究台湾岛地形对台风移动路径的作用。初始场系根据SPECTRUM和TCM-90期间加强观测资料确定。结果表明:台湾岛地形的引进会使台风路径向右偏移；地形使台风环流的最大风速区向台风中心方向推移，造成台风环流空间尺度减小，这个结构的变化是路径右偏的一个可能原因。  相似文献   

短路线岩石地球化学测量在地质工作中的应用     

查仁荣  朱星南  林关玲 《新疆地质》1993,(4)

短路线岩石地球化学测量在地质找矿工作中是一种简便、快速、经济的方法之一,应用范围广,对解决某些地质问题能发挥较好的作用。此方法在构造地球化学与地质找矿中被实际应用,具有简便、快速经济等特点。  相似文献   

On the propagation of an in-plane shear fault with super-S-wave velocity     

Shi-Yu Li  Yun-Tai Chen 《地震学报(英文版)》1993,6(2):335-341

The speedv, especially the problem whether super S-wave velocity in the classical model (linear elasticity fracture mechanics) exists, of spontaneous propagation of a shear fault is investigated theoretically. An in-plane shear crack propagating in the crack plane is taken as the model of the shear fault. The results obtained firstly by Kostrov (1975) is extended from sub-Rayleigh wave velocity to super S-wave velocity, and the analytical expression for the stress intensity factorK ₂ in the case ofα>v>β is derived. It is proved that for Poisson mediumK ₂ is positive and real in the velocity range (β, 1.70β). This demonstrates that (β, 1.70β) is the velocity range which fulfils the conditions for spontaneous crack propagation. The existence, convergence and positiveness or negativeness ofK ₂ forv in individual sections are examined, and it is found that for an in-plane shear crack: 1. There are three sections forv, i.e., [0.v _R], (β, 1.70β), andα, respectively, and 2. There are two physically reasonable sections forv, the first is [v _R, β], and the second is [1.70β, α]. These two forbidden sections behave as barriers to fault propagation. The analytical expressions derived in this paper are not only suitable to classical model, but also to the other derivative models (e. g., the slip-weakening model and the renomalization model etc.). The model considered in this paper is more realistic than the static model employed by previous authors. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica, 15, 9–14, 1993.  相似文献   

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF MESOSCALE STRUCTURES OF TYPHOON AND OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS USING MM5^*          下载免费PDF全文

Wang Pengyun 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1999,13(4):474-493

The track,landfall,dynamic and thermodynamic and cloud-rain physical mesoscale structures and their evolution of typhoon HERB 1996 in 36 h from 0000 UTC 31 July to 1200 UTC 1 August 1996 were simulated by using the non-hydrostatic mesoscale model MM5.This period covered the process of typhoon HERB landfall at Taiwan and Fujian Provinces.Results show that the model successfully simulated the landfall process of typhoon HERB,revealed the most important characteristics of the mesoscale dynamic and thermodynamic and cloud-rain physical structure during its landfall.The simulated typhoon track was close to the observation.The center of cyclonic circulation simulated at 0000 UTC on 1 August 1996 (24 h integration) was located in shore near Fuqing,Fujian Province at which the typhoon was reported to landfall two hours later.It shows that strong upward motion formed by low level convergence existed in the eye-wall and subsidence at the eye.The wind field shows clear asymmetrical structure near the typhoon center.The cloud and rainband was screw-typed distributed around typhoon center,and consisted of meso-β scale rain cores.During the period of typhoon HERB staying near and passing over Taiwan,the lower cloud was developed in the eye region so that the previous clear typhoon eye on the satellite pictures became fuzzy.Observation shows that the typhoon center was "warm",but the model simulations with higher space resolution show that in the mid-troposphere the region of eye-wall with stronger upward motion and more cloud-and rain-water was warmer than the eye.During the period of typhoon passing over Taiwan and its following landfall at Fujian,the track of model typhoon deviated about 30 km northward (i.e.,rightward) because of the orographic effects of Taiwan Island,but the strength of the typhoon was not affected remarkably.The amount of rainfall on Taiwan in the 36 h simulations was enhanced more than six times by the orographic lifting of Taiwan Mountain.  相似文献   

TYPHOON ACTIVITY IN NORTHWEST PACIFIC IN RELATION WITH EL NINO AND LA NINA EVENTS     

何敏  宋文玲  陈兴芳 《热带气象学报(英文版)》1999,5(2):153-162

Statistic and typical-year composition methods are used to study the northwest Pacific typhoon activities in relation with the EI Niño and La Niña events. The result indicates that the typhoon tends to be inactive in the EI Niño years and active in the La Niña years and it is also dependent on the onset and ending time and intensity of the events and areas of genesis of typhoons. With statistic features of the frequency of typhoon activity in the EI Niño and La Niña years and the time-lag correlation between the frequency and sea surface temperature(SST), useful information is provided for the prediction of typhoon occurrence. In addition, the singular values disassemble(SVD)method is applied to study the correlation between the geopotential field and SST field. The result shows that the air-sea coupling in the EI Niño years is unfavorable for the typhoon to develop. Which take place with a smaller number. Opposite situations are found with the La Niña years.  相似文献