APPLICATION OF BDA SCHEME IN TYPHOON TRACK PREDICTION     

张根生  费建芳  黄小刚  卢龙 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2006,12(2):179-185

The MM5, which is the PSU/NCAR mesoscale nonhydrostatic limited-area model, and its adjoining modeling system are used in this paper. Taking T106 analysis data as background field the authors generate an optimal initial condition of a typhoon by using two bogus data assimilation schemes, and conduct some numerical simulating experiments. The results of No.9608 typhoon (Gloria) show that the optimal initial field have some dramatic improvements, such as inaccurate position of typhoon center, weaker typhoon circulation and incomplete inner structure of the typhoon, which are caused by shortage of data over the sea. Some improvements have been made in the track forecast. Through several comparing experiments, the initialization optimized by BDA scheme is found to be more reasonable than GFDL scheme and its typhoon track forecast is better.  相似文献   

 标记分水岭算法及区域合并的遥感图像分割   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

陈波  张友静  陈亮 《国土资源遥感》2007,18(2):35-38

传统的分水岭算法通常对梯度图像进行无标记分割，其结果是容易造成过度分割。本文采用了一种基于标记的分水岭算法，首先,利用Sobel边缘算子对原遥感图像进行梯度重建，获得梯度幅值图像，同时计算待分割区域的周长、面积和形态因子，并对其进行标记； 然后,利用距离函数图标定种子法和等值线跟踪法获得初始分割图像； 最后，利用改进的区域合并方法获得最终的分割结果。实验结果表明了该方法的有效性。  相似文献   

塔里木北缘前寒武基底隆升剥露史：来自磷灰石裂变径迹的证据   总被引：3，自引：5，他引：3  

朱文斌张志勇  舒良树万景林卢华复  王胜利杨伟 苏金宝 《岩石学报》2007,23(7):1671-1682

库鲁克塔格隆起位于塔里木盆地北缘,广泛出露前寒武基底岩石。辛格尔村附近出露的太古宙杂岩,包括灰色片麻岩、角闪岩、片岩、混合岩和大理岩。新元古代地层出露在库鲁克塔格隆起西部的兴地、西山口、辛格尔和杀马山附近,不整合在古元古代和中元古代的片麻岩、角闪岩和片岩之上,并被早古生代的地层不整合。因此,该地区是了解塔里木盆地前寒武基底热演化史的理想地区。本研究的目的是为了探索:①塔里木基底岩石最初于何时剥露于地表?②塔里木基底剥露以后是否经历过再次埋藏和剥露?③塔里木基底岩石构造热演化过程对大陆边缘不同构造事件的响应。为了获取塔里木北缘剥露史和冷却过程信息,我们开展了裂变经迹的研究。含磷灰石的样品采自库鲁克塔格隆起的兴地断裂两侧。样品池年龄介于146.0±13.4和67.6±6.7Ma 之间,平均经迹长度介于.11.79±0.14和13.89±0.27μm之间。根据样品年龄和样品所处的构造位置,样品可以分为3组。A 组样品包括 F2、F3、F4、F5和 F8,裂变经迹表观年龄约100～110Ma,通常位于未遭断层变形的地区。B 组样品包括 F7、F9和 F10,裂变经迹表观年龄小于80Ma,构造上位于断层上盘并靠近断层。C 组样品 F11具有最大的裂变经迹表观年龄146.0±13.4Ma。热模拟表明,库鲁克塔格地区的隆升剥露作用可以划分为四期,分别是早侏罗世晚期(180Ma)、晚侏罗世—早白垩世(144～118Ma)、晚白垩世早期(94～82Ma)和新生代晚期(约10Ma)。裂变经迹记录的库鲁克塔格多阶段隆升作用,是对亚洲南缘多期地体碰撞增生的响应。  相似文献   

Constraining the stepwise migration of the eastern Tibetan Plateau margin by apatite fission track thermochronology   总被引：8，自引：1，他引：8  

LAI QingZhou  ?  DING Lin  WANG HongWei  YUE YaHui & CAI FuLong Institute of Geology  Geophysics  Chinese Academy of Sciences  Beijing  China  Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research  Chinese Academy of Sciences  Beijing  China 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2007,50(2):172-183

Granites sampled from Garzê-Litang thrust, Longmen Shan thrust, Garzê and Litang strike-slip faults in the eastern Tibetan Plateau have been analyzed with apatite fission track thermochronological method in this study. The measured fission track apparent ages, combined with the simulated annealing mod- eling of the thermal history, have been used to reconstruct the thermal evolutionary histories of the samples and interpret the active history of the thrusts and faults in these areas. Thermal history mod- eling shows that earlier tectonic cooling occurred in the Garzê-Litang thrust in Miocene (~20―16 Ma) whereas the later cooling occurred mainly in the Longmen Shan thrust since ~5 Ma. Our study sug- gests that the margin of eastern Tibetan Plateau was extended by stages: through strike-slip faults deformations and related thrusts, the upper crust formed the Garzê-Litang margin in the Miocene epoch and then moved to the Longmen Shan margin since ~5 Ma. During this process, the deformations of different phases in the eastern Tibetan Plateau were absorbed by the thrusts within them and conse- quently the tectonic events of long-distance slip and extrusion up to hundreds of kilometers have not been found.  相似文献   

Geological analysis and FT dating of the large-scale right-lateral strike-slip movement of the Red River fault zone   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1  

XIANG HongFa  WAN JingLin  HAN ZhuJun  GUO ShunMin  ZHANG WanXia  CHEN LiChun & DONG XingQuan Institute of Geology  China Earthquake Administration  Beijing  China  Earthquake Administration of Yunnan Province  Kunming  China 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》2007,50(3):331-342

Tectonically, the large-scale right-lateral strike-slip movement along the Red River fault zone is char-acterized at its late phase with the southeastward extension and deformation of the Northwestern Yunnan normal fault depression on its northern segment, and the dextral shear displacement on its central-southern segment. Research of the relations between stratum deformation and fault movement on the typical fault segments, such as Jianchuan, southeast Midu, Yuanjiang River, Yuanyang, etc. since the Miocene Epoch shows that there are two times dextral faulting dominated by normal shearing occurring along the Red River fault zone since the Miocene Epoch. The fission track dating (abbrevi-ated to FT dating, the same below) is conducted on apatite samples collected from the above fault segments and relating to these movements. Based on the measured single grain’s age and the con-fined track length, we choose the Laslet annealing model to retrieve the thermal history of the samples, and the results show that the fault zone experienced two times obvious shear displacement, one in 5.5 ± 1.5 MaBP and the other in 2.1± 0.8 MaBP. The central-southern segment sees two intensive uplifts of mountain mass in the Yuanjiang River-Yuanyang region at 3.6―3.8 MaBP and 1.6―2.3 MaBP, which correspond to the above-mentioned two dextral normal displacement events since the late Miocene Epoch.  相似文献   

伪三维地震勘探法在煤田勘查中的应用     

李金花  李建国 《中国煤田地质》2007,19(1):63-65

勘探区属郭庄煤矿的后备井田，勘探的目的是掌握井田主可采煤层的赋存形态与断层、陷落柱发育特征。根据勘探区的地质条件，地质任务，兼顾质量和成本，勘探设计方案最终确定为3线1炮制线束状观测系统，采用中间放炮，使勘探物理点由常规二维设计的3000个减至700个，勘探成本明显降低。勘探前后的资料对比分析表明，3#煤层的展布特征和断层构造有较大不同，其中3#煤层展布形态由NE向变化均匀，两翼对称的背斜构造修改为等高线变化扭曲相对剧烈，两翼对称的向斜构造；勘探后新解释断层5条，断点3处，另外3条已知断层的形态、位置、落差等相差各异。  相似文献   

北太平洋风暴轴异常变化特征及其与纬向风场的关系研究   总被引：7，自引：2，他引：7       下载免费PDF全文

韩博  任雪娟  杨修群 《气象科学》2007,27(3):237-245

摘要本文通过对300 hPa5、00 hPa和850 hPa的北太平洋风暴轴(PST)的异常研究,分别提取出两个主异常模态进行比较。分析表明在三层的第一主模态都主要对应有PST异常的准10 a的周期变化;而对300 hPa和500 hPa的第二主模态,以及850 hPa的第三模态,对应有更长时间的趋势变化。进一步通过相关的分析,说明PST的异常从低层到高层的变化存在一定的一致性。通过PST与纬向风场在300 hPa的相关分析发现,两个模态与纬向风场的异常在空间上都呈同位相的分布,说明高层纬向风场异常与PST发展可能存在一种互相反馈的作用。进一步通过斜压增长率和水平两维的E-P通量矢的合成分析发现,这种反馈作用,无论从纬向风场异常所产生的环境斜压增长条件的改变,还是从平均动能与扰动动能的转化关系,都是存在的。  相似文献   

9711号台风的移动路径和影响山东的特大暴雨分析   总被引：5，自引：2，他引：3  

陈秀杰  顾润源  耿勃  杨晓霞 《气象》1998,24(4):46-49

对９７１１号台风的移动路径及其造成的暴雨进行了分析。分析表明,副高外围环流在台风移动过程中有明显的引导作用;台风的移动路径和暴雨落区与正涡度轴线及高能轴线都有较好的对应关系;对流层中层变能场的分布对台风移动路径有明显的预报指示意义。  相似文献   

AN EXPERIMENT WITH THE CONSENSUS FORECAST OF TYPHOON TRACK     

李建云  丁裕国  史久恩 《热带气象学报(英文版)》1998,4(2):215-219

Obvious results have been achieved in the forecast of typhoon track that is improved with a consensus procedure Forecast experiments were conducted with the analogue model (TSF) and the Markov type model (MTSF)that are widely used and the results show that there has been significant increase in the capability of forecasting with the improvement by the consensus procedure.  相似文献   

冬季菲律宾周围对流活动与北太平洋风暴轴联系的数值模拟   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

胡增臻  黄荣辉 《大气科学》1998,22(1):46-56

通过利用IAP 2-L AGCM进行的数值模拟,进一步揭示了冬季菲律宾周围对流活动异常对北太平洋风暴轴变化的影响及其二者联系的物理机制和物理过程。结果表明:当菲律宾周围对流活动增强时,在500 hPa等压面图上强迫产生一个自赤道西太平洋开始,经我国东部、堪察加半岛、白令海,到美国西海岸的异常波列;位于西太平洋的经向三圈环流增强,位置北移;在风暴轴的西半部和东端斜压性增强;从而导致了北太平洋风暴轴增强、北抬、东伸。  相似文献