主流海表风场资料在舟山群岛近海的性能评估     

刘紫薇  赵帅康  魏笑然  白晔斐 《海洋与湖沼》2022,53(3):528-537

再分析风场资料已广泛应用于我国舟山群岛海域可再生能源评估、海洋灾害预防决策以及港口运维和船舶运输等涉海发展领域,然而不同业务机构所提供的再分析数据在舟山近海的性能表现不一,严重阻碍了此类数据的有效应用。基于2018年全年单点浮标观测资料,综合评价了舟山群岛近海面(10 m)风场的长期变化趋势,并利用误差分析和风玫瑰图等统计工具对6种主流海表风场再分析资料,包括:ECMWF第五代全球大气再分析数据(the 5th generation ECMWF atmospheric reanalysis,ERA5)、NECP第二版全球高分辨率再分析数据(climate forecast system version 2,CFSv2)、美国宇航局物理海洋学分布存档中心的多卫星融合资料(cross-calibrated multi-platform,CCMP)、日本55年再分析数据(Japanese 55-year reanalysis,JRA-55)、第二版现代研究与应用回顾性分析数据(modern-era retrospective analysis for research and applications version 2,MERRA-2)和ECMWF哥白尼大气监测服务再分析数据(the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service,CAMS)在时间变化特征上进行了对比与评估。研究表明:在综合性能方面,ERA5对风场的再现能力最优,其次为JRA-55;在要素可信度方面,ERA5对风速的再现情况相对较优,而CFSv2的风向再现情况较好;风场产品在不同季节的模拟能力有所差异;不同风场产品在不同风速区间的重构能力也有所不同;在全年风向分布方面,各再分析资料都存在显著的东向偏差。研究结果为不同应用场景下风场资料的选取提供评估依据,并为进一步开发适用于舟山群岛近海的高精度长周期风场数据产品奠定基础。  相似文献   

Are We There Yet? A Roadmap to Understanding National Park Service Rulemaking     

Jeffrey J. Cook 《社会与自然资源》2014,27(12):1257-1270

The preproposal stage of the rulemaking process is notoriously understudied, but enormously important in determining regulatory outputs. Recently, Rinfret (2011c Rinfret , S. R. 2011c . Frames of influence: U.S. environmental rulemaking case studies . Rev. Policy Res. 28 ( 3 ): 231 – 245 .[Crossref], [Web of Science ®] , [Google Scholar]) analyzed the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS) rulemaking process and developed a frame analysis model to interpret stakeholder influence during the preproposal stage. Rinfret argues that stakeholders use three frames to influence agency rulemaking, including an expertise, a fiscal feasibility, and an information frame. This article tests this model to determine whether it is applicable to other federal agencies such as the National Park Service (NPS). Through an analysis of stakeholder framing within the 2012 NPS Yellowstone Winter Use Rule, this research confirms that Rinfret's model is indeed applicable to the NPS process. Therefore, this research suggests that this theoretical model examining stakeholder influence is applicable to other public land agencies, and arguably can be applied across the bureaucracy.  相似文献   

Politics eclipses climate extremes for climate change perceptions     

《Global Environmental Change》2014

Whether or not actual shifts in climate influence public perceptions of climate change remains an open question, one with important implications for societal response to climate change. We use the most comprehensive public opinion survey data on climate change available for the US to examine effects of annual and seasonal climate variation. Our results show that political orientation has the most important effect in shaping public perceptions about the timing and seriousness of climate change. Objective climatic conditions do not influence Americans’ perceptions of the timing of climate change and only have a negligible effect on perceptions about the seriousness of climate change. These results suggest that further changes in climatic conditions are unlikely to produce noticeable shifts in Americans’ climate change perceptions.  相似文献   

华北地台西缘早-中寒武世过渡期核形石：微生物群落对浅海缺氧环境的响应*   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3       下载免费PDF全文

张文浩  史晓颖  汤冬杰  王新强 《古地理学报》2014,16(3):305-318

地质记录表明在早-中寒武世过渡期发生了一次重要的生物灭绝事件,但对其成因的认识仍存在分歧。作者试图通过对华北地台该时段广泛发育的核形石微组构和矿化过程研究,揭示微生物群落对灾变事件和海洋环境变化的响应。研究发现核形石内富含细菌化石;包壳的微组构和有机矿化特征表明其形成于细菌硫酸盐还原(BSR)作用活跃的高碱度海水条件,密集的莓状黄铁矿微粒和异养细菌残余指示为缺氧环境;而沉积相分析显示核形石发育于浅海陆棚背景。研究认为,同期的核形石及其他可对比微生物岩不仅在华北广泛分布,在其他大陆和板块上也有良好记录,表明在这个生物灾变期浅海环境有广泛的微生物群爆发,并可能与大火成岩省喷发、全球气温升高以及深部缺氧海水向陆棚侵进引起的浅海广泛缺氧相关。早-中寒武世过渡期广泛发育的微生物岩可能记录了底栖动物大量灭绝后,微生物群在缺氧水体中的快速繁盛与生态扩张过程。  相似文献   

Promoting geodiversity: learning lessons from biodiversity     

Roger Crofts 《Proceedings of the Geologists' Association. Geologists' Association》2014

Progress made in promoting geodiversity in recent times is reviewed, concluding that it is now an established component of the Earth Sciences. However, it still lacks the status and standing of biodiversity in governmental, political and public forums. The paper assesses what can be learnt from the experience of the development and promotion of biodiversity. Based on this experience, eight suggestions for increasing the understanding and ownership of geodiversity beyond the Earth science community are provided as a basis for discussion.  相似文献   

土库曼斯坦阿姆河盆地卡洛夫-牛津阶储层特征及控制因素分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

郑荣才  陈浩如  王强  崔璀  费怀义  徐文礼 《岩石学报》2014,30(3):779-788

土库曼斯坦东北部的阿姆河盆地,是中亚地区最重要的含油气盆地之一。根据钻井岩芯和分析化验资料,确定阿姆河盆地卡洛夫-牛津阶为碳酸盐台地相沉积,具有特征的前缘缓斜坡沉积模式,可划分为蒸发台地、局限台地、开阔台地、台地边缘、前缘缓斜坡和盆地6个相带。其中台内、台地边缘和前缘缓斜坡为储层发育相带,尤以发育于台地边缘、开阔台地和前缘缓斜坡相带中的礁、滩微相最有利于储层发育。沉积微相和岩性对储层类型及物性有直接控制,特点为高能环境条件下沉积的块状礁灰岩和中-厚层状滩相颗粒灰岩以发育原生孔隙保存良好的孔隙型和裂缝-孔隙型储层为主,而较低能环境条件下沉积的(含)颗粒微晶灰岩、隐藻灰岩和泥-微晶灰岩以发育基质岩物性很差的裂缝型储层为主。通过综合分析,认为储层发育受沉积微相、岩性和成岩作用复合控制,以各相带内的礁、滩微相灰岩为高效勘探开发目标的"甜心"位置。  相似文献   

基于GIS的广东省综合运输体系规划信息平台构建研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

周智勇  方顺 《测绘软科学研究》2014,(5):101-104

广东省交通运输厅从2012年起,组织分期研究开发基于地理信息系统的广东省综合运输体系规划信息平台（简称＂平台＂）,旨在建立健全统一的全省交通运输业数据采集、发布标准及技术管理规范,分别构建5大类运输方式线网及重要的运输枢纽站场节点的多级图层,叠加形成全省综合运输体系布局规划＂一张图＂。＂平台＂采用4层设计,依托后台管理、应用分析和综合展示3大子系统,搭建了基础地理信息、经济社会、交通运输现状、综合运输体系规划成果及其他共5大类数据库,＂平台（一期）＂于2014年3月26日通过验收,实现了多维度、多视角展示和查询交通运输业数据成果的预期功能。研究实践将力促综合运输体系规划研究和决策方式实行根本性变革。  相似文献   

The GeoCitizen-approach: community-based spatial planning – an Ecuadorian case study     

Karl Atzmanstorfer  Richard Resl  Anton Eitzinger  Xiomara Izurieta 《制图学和地理信息科学》2014,41(3):248-259

Over the last years, geospatial web platforms, social media, and volunteered geographic information (VGI) have opened a window of opportunity for traditional Public Participatory GIS (PPGIS) to usher in a new era. Taking advantage of these technological achievements, this paper presents a new approach for a citizen-orientated framework of spatial planning that aims at integrating participatory community work into existing decision-making structures. One major cornerstone of the presented approach is the application of a social geoweb platform (the GeoCitizen platform) that combines geo-web technologies and social media in one single tool allowing citizens to collaboratively report observations, discuss ideas, solve, and monitor problems in their living environment at a local level. This paper gives an account of an ongoing participatory land-zoning process in the Capital District of Quito, Ecuador, where the GeoCitizen platform is applied in a long-term study.  相似文献   

新媒体时代基于政务微博新平台建设服务型政府浅议     

王兆丰 《国土资源信息化》2014,(5):40-44

作为社会化媒体的重要类型,微博已经成为继新闻网站、论坛、博客之后,网络舆论生成的主要载体,＂微博问政＂成为热点和趋势,政务微博也成为政府信息公开、发布权威信息、提供公共服务、加强政民互动、引导网络舆论的重要平台。随着政务微博的快速发展,一系列新问题、新挑战也逐步显现。本文结合国土资源部政务微博的现状,就如何使用政务微博为民服务,提高政务微博应用水平,促进政务微博的健康发展,提升政府公信力,提出了对策建议。  相似文献   

基于RIA和SOA的分布式WebGIS研究     

刘磊  韩立钦 《测绘标准化》2014,(3):21-24

基于当前流行的RIA平台和SOA体系,以分布式WebGIS为研究对象,探讨RIA/Services架构的分布式WebGIS开发方式,并以Silverlight和ArcGIS Server为平台阐述实践方案,开发的实验系统提高了WebGIS的表现力与交互性,同时降低了开发的复杂性、缩短了产品生产周期,具有一定的理论和现实意义。  相似文献