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Current methods of estimation of the univariate spectral density are reviewed and some improvements are made. It is suggested that spectral analysis may perhaps be best thought of as another exploratory data analysis (EDA) tool which complements, rather than competes with, the popular ARMA model building approach. A new diagnostic check for ARMA model adequacy based on the nonparametric spectral density is introduced. Additionally, two new algorithms for fast computation of the autoregressive spectral density function are presented. For improving interpretation of results, a new style of plotting the spectral density function is suggested. Exploratory spectral analyses of a number of hydrological time series are performed and some interesting periodicities are suggested for further investigation. The application of spectral analysis to determine the possible existence of long memory in natural time series is discussed with respect to long riverflow, treering and mud varve series. Moreover, a comparison of the estimated spectral densities suggests the ARMA models fitted previously to these datasets adequately describe the low frequency component. Finally, the software and data used in this paper are available by anonymous ftp from fisher.stats.uwo.ca.  相似文献   
23.
A series of experiments were conducted about the effects of different CO_2 concentrations andventilating time on cotton using OPT-1 open top chambers.The results show that.for all theventilating treatments,the development stages of cotton were advanced,plant height increased,thebiomass of root and stalk increased when CO_2 concentration increased: the number of bolls formed insummer was more than 85% of the total for the treatment of 700 ppm CO_2 concentration; single bollweight,the number of bolls per plant,ginned and unginned cotton weights,and stalk weightincreased obviously when CO_2 concentration increased,but the influences of CO_2 enrichment on theratio of ginned weight to the total weight of ginned and unginned cotton,fibre length and ginnedweight of 100-seed were small.  相似文献   
24.
By comparing with ENSO events that ever happened in the history, the basic features and probable causes of the anomalous sea surface temperature of the tropical Pacific Ocean during 1997 and 1998 have been analyzed diagnostically. It is found that the 1997/1998 El Nino had significant abnormalities and peculiarities. It differs from the previous El Ni?o events falling into the simple “eastern pattern” or “western pattern”. The predictions of 1997/1998 El Ni?o event have also been tested with an intermediate ocean-atmosphere coupled dynamic model. The results show that the skills of the 0~24 lead month forecasts for the warm event are all above 0.5. The predictions of the mature phase and the later stages of the warm event are better than those of the beginning phase.  相似文献   
25.
Atmospheric concentrations of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in Santiago de Chile city were evaluated to study particulate PAHs profiles during cold and spring weather periods. Urban atmospheric particulate matter PM10 was collected using High Volume PM10 samplers. Fifteen samples of 24 h during austral winter and 20 samples of 24 h during spring, 2000 were collected at two sampling sites (North–East and Central areas of the city) whose characteristics were representative of the prevailing conditions. Seventeen PAHs were quantified and total PAHs concentration ranged from 1.39 to 59.98 ng m−3, with a seasonal variation (winter vs. spring ratio) from 0.5 to 12.6 ng m−3. Molecular diagnostic ratios were used to characterize and identify PAHs emission sources such as combustion and biogenic emissions. Results showed that the major sources of respirable organic aerosol PM10 in Santiago are mobile and stationary ones.  相似文献   
26.
文章从赋矿层位、构造入手,研究了金矿形成的特殊矿源层及构造作用下的成矿裂隙特征,认为小尖山金矿位于全区含金丰度最高的石炭系下统雅满苏组地层内,差异的矿化特征主要由不同的裂隙导致形成.  相似文献   
27.
地面起伏对成像及雷达景象匹配的影响   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
叶勤  李启炎 《测绘学报》2002,31(Z1):50-55
景象匹配是飞行器导航与定位的一种重要手段,其中的雷达图像匹配由于具有全天候的特征而受到人们的重视.在分析了实时雷达图像成像方式的基础上,具体分析了地面高程起伏对雷达图像构像的影响,并进一步推导出在实时雷达图像上,图像像点位移与地面高程起伏的具体关系;以及为了保证一定的匹配定位精度,对于实飞地区地面起伏的定量要求.同时还对导航定位匹配所用的参考基准图受地面高程起伏的影响情况进行了定量的分析,并对理论情况和实际图像进行了计算分析与比较,最后得出在给定匹配精度的情况下,生成参考图时对成像区域内点之间的高差限制要求.  相似文献   
28.
近40年高层温度场和高度场的时空变化特征   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
用4种方式对NCEP/NCAR全球再分析资料中1958-1997年300hPa月均温度、100hPa月均高度资料序列进行对比分析,发现300hPa温度资料可靠性高于100hPa高度资料;详细考察近40a高层温度场、高度场的时空变化特征,并通过Morlet小波进一步分析两要素场的周期变化发现,温度场和高度场的EOF第1模态具有很好的空间整体民生和明显的年际和年代际变化,以10a左右和3a左右的周期为主要周期。  相似文献   
29.
通过与历史上已发生的ENSO事件的比较,对1997-1998年热带太平洋海温异常的基本特征和可能成因进行了诊断分析,发现1997/1998年E1Nino事件具有显著的异常性和独特性,不同于以往单纯的东部型或西部型E1Nino。对用一个简化海气耦合动力学模式做1998/1998年E1Nino事件的预报进行检验。结果表明该模式对这次暖事件超前0-24个月的预报技巧均在0.5以上,模式对暖事件的成熟位相及以后阶段的预报比对暖事件的开始阶段预报得好。  相似文献   
30.
中国西北地区1993年5月5日黑风暴的机理探讨   总被引:16,自引:0,他引:16       下载免费PDF全文
该文用天气学、诊断分析方法对1993年5月5日我国西部地区黑风暴天气过程的发生发展及形成机理进行研究。结果表明,这次黑风暴是由强寒潮爆发,在特定季节(春季)和裸露、疏松的下垫面(沙漠、戈壁)条件下形成的中尺度现象。在对流层中低层垂直方向上存在很强的风切变,利于湍流发展;非地转强迫作用对次级环流贡献大于地转强迫作用;黑风暴前后显著的辐射加热不均匀分布所形成的热力正反馈作用,造成近地层局地锋生,并使热力正环流大大加强。  相似文献   
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