沉降监测多项式回归分析与神经网络预测     

田丰  文鸿雁  张静 《海洋测绘》2007,27(4):23-27

使用多项式和切比雪夫(Tchebyshev)多项式分别对沉降监测数据进行回归分析以预测未来沉降值,其中切比雪夫多项式的外推效果较好;应用前向BP神经网络对两种不同的单因子输入模式进行非线性函数逼近,并进行了不同采样步长的比较,实例表明将时间点作为网络的输入对沉降进行预测效果较好。  相似文献   

基于模糊神经网络(FNN)的赤潮预警预测研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

张容  阎红  杜丽萍 《海洋通报(英文版)》2006,8(1):83-91

为研究各种理化因子与赤潮藻类浓度间的非线性对应规律和有效预测赤潮藻类浓度,构建了基于BP 算法的一个四层模糊神经网络模型。将模糊神经网络(FNN)技术引入赤潮预测研究,并与普通 BP 网络、RBF 网络的结果作比较,结果表明,该模型能够较好地反演出各种理化因子与夜光藻密度的非线性对应变化规律,有更好的预测功能。  相似文献   

岬间海湾岸线平衡形态神经网络模型   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

李志龙  陈子燊 《海洋通报》2007,26(3):19-25

讨论了目前海湾岸线平衡形态经验模型存在的不足之处。从沿岸输沙公式入手,阐述了平衡岸线的机理模式,重新定义了平衡海湾的“下岬角”,给出了模型参数与主波向的具体计算方法,并以华南典型海湾为学习样本,建立了岸线平衡形态的神经网络模型。通过模拟海湾与实际稳定海湾——乌场湾间的对比分析,表明所建神经网络模型是较抛物模型更为理想的平衡岸线模型。  相似文献   

Microcoleus autumnalis and filamentous algae-dominated mats and chlorophyll-a increase with agricultural land use but respond differently to associated nutrient and sediment enrichment     

Susanna A. Wood  Annika Wagenhoff  Logan Brown  Javier Atalah 《新西兰海洋与淡水研究杂志》2020,54(3):449-466

ABSTRACT

This study investigated the impact of pastoral land use and nutrient and fine sediment inputs on Microcoleus autumnalis and filamentous algae-dominated mats, and benthic chlorophyll-a in streams (lower North Island, New Zealand). Surveying and sampling was undertaken monthly at 61 sites spanning a wide gradient in catchment cover and environmental conditions. Two boosted regression tree models were built. The first models included pastoral land cover and five environmental variables as predictors. In the second model pastoral land cover was replaced by nutrient/sediment data. The abundance of the two mat types and chlorophyll-a increased when pastoral land cover was between 20% and 70% (model 1). Replacement of pastoral land cover by nutrient/sediment data (model 2) slightly improved the model fit for all three periphyton variables. Microcoleus autumnalis-dominant mats increased with dissolved inorganic nitrogen concentrations up to ca. 0.6?mg?L^?1, and in streams with more frequent flushes. In contrast, filamentous algal-dominated mats increased with turbidity, and in streams with less frequent flushes. Chlorophyll-a generally followed the response of the dominant periphyton type. Increased knowledge on responses of specific periphyton types, rather than total biomass, to environmental variables is essential to guide effective management strategies.  相似文献   

基于神经-模糊方法的单料烟感官质量评价专家系统   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

林丽莉  冯天瑾  周文晖  郑宏伟 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2001,31(6):931-936

作者通过对单料烟评吸的结果与理化测定的指标参数进行分析 ,结合专家经验并采用神经 -模糊方法 ,提出一种基于单料烟的理化指标对各感官参数进行分类、分级 ,建造单料烟感官质量评价专家系统的方法。实验表明 ,该系统具有学习与知识提取能力 ,在卷烟产品质量管理新产品开发中具有指导意义  相似文献   

Comparing the Benguela and Humboldt marine upwelling ecosystems with indicators derived from inter-calibrated models   总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10  

Moloney  Coleen L.; Jarre  Astrid; Arancibia  Hugo; Bozec  Yves-Marie; Neira  Sergio; Roux  Jean-Paul; Shannon  Lynne J. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》2005,62(3):493-502

  相似文献   

Response-based method for determining the extreme behaviour of floating offshore platforms     

Said Mazaheri  Martine J. Downie 《Ocean Engineering》2005,32(3-4):363-393

The accurate prediction of extreme excursion and mooring force of floating offshore structures due to multi-variete environmental conditions which requires the joint probability analysis of environmental conditions for the worst case situation is still impractical as the processing of large amount of met-ocean data is required. On the other hand, the simplified multiple design criteria (e.g. the N-year wave with associated winds and currents) recommended by API known as traditional method does lead neither to the N-year platform response nor to the N-year mooring force. Therefore, in order to reduce the level of conservatism as well as uncertainties involved in the traditional method the response-based method can be used as a reliable alternative approach. In this paper this method is described. In order to perform the calculations faster using large databases of sea states, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) is designed and employed. In the paper the response-based method is applied to a 200,000 tdw FPSO and the results are discussed.  相似文献   

人工神经网络方法反演东中国海悬移质浓度     

李伟 《海洋湖沼通报》2007,(4):55-58

海中悬移质是决定海洋光学性质、海洋水质,河口海岸带演变动力过程的重要环境参数。本文利用模拟遥感反射比数据集建立人工神经网络反演悬移质浓度,并利用东中国海现场同步数据对该算法进行验证。  相似文献   

盐田水体遥感分类方法研究   总被引：3，自引：1，他引：3  

王晶晶  张鹰  陶菲 《海洋技术学报》2005,24(1):67-71

以连云港台北盐场为研究区，介绍了监督分类法和神经网络分类法及其在盐田水体遥感分类中的具体应用。研究结果表明，用神经网络分类法进行遥感影像自动分类，其分类精度高，显示了其在遥感领域较为广阔的应用前景。  相似文献   

长期天气预报中有关预报因子的若干探讨   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

向元珍  曾九芳 《海洋预报》1995,12(2):1-11

目前行之有效的长期天气预报方法都是数理统计方法。本文以江淮流域夏季旱涝的长期预报为例，对有关预报因子的几个问题作了探索。挑选有实际天气学意义、各自独立、单相关系数较高的物理因子作预报因子，更有利于提高预报准确率，预报因子的时间尺度以月、季平均值最为适宜，而以三个旬滑动平均值的效果最佳，建立各种预报量的初选、精选因子库，更适用于计算机技术制作长期预报。  相似文献