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961.
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963.
We investigate how smallholder farmers at two sites in Kenya and Tanzania cope with climate stress and how constraints and opportunities shape variations in coping strategies between households and over time during a drought. On the basis of this analysis, we draw out implications for adaptation and adaptive policy. We find that households where an individual was able to specialize in one favoured activity, such as employment or charcoal burning, in the context of overall diversification by the household, were often less vulnerable than households where each individual is engaged in many activities at low intensity. Many households had limited access to the favoured coping options due to a lack of skill, labour and/or capital. This lack of access was compounded by social relations that led to exclusion of certain groups, especially women, from carrying out favoured activities with sufficient intensity. These households instead carried out a multitude of less favoured and frequently complementary activities, such as collecting indigenous fruit. While characterized by suitability to seasonal environmental variations and low demands on time and cash investments, these strategies often yielded marginal returns. Both the marginalization of local niche products and the commercialization of forest resources exemplify processes leading to differential vulnerability. We suggest that vulnerability can usefully be viewed in terms of the interaction of such processes, following the concept of locality. We argue that coping is a distinct component of vulnerability and that understanding the dynamism of coping and vulnerability is critical to developing adaptation measures that support people as active agents. 相似文献
964.
青藏高原冬季积雪异常和长江中下游主汛期旱涝及其与环流关系的研究 总被引:36,自引:5,他引:31
在对青藏高原冬季异常积雪资料进行了综合分析的基础上 ,用 3种方法对长江中下游的旱涝指标进行了综合评定 ,计算了高原积雪日数和深度资料与长江中下游 6~ 8月降水量之间的相关系数 ,结果表明 ,青藏高原冬季积雪异常与长江中下游流域的旱涝呈正相关关系 ,最大正相关区主要位于江南北部。通过对冬季北半球 50 0 h Pa高度场、OLR、SSTA资料的合成分析以及对夏季风指数的联系揭示表明 ,高原多雪和少雪所反映出的环流特征显著不同。讨论了异常积雪 -大气 -海洋 -雨带相互之间的可能联系 ,给出了一个初步与青藏高原冬季积雪相联系的长江中下游旱涝物理过程概念模型 ,进而为短期气候监测、预测提供参数线索。 相似文献
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966.
欧亚和青藏高原冬春季积雪与我国夏季降水关系的分析和预测应用 总被引:56,自引:18,他引:38
通过高原积雪和欧亚积雪与我国夏季降水的相关分析和统计检验,表明冬春季雪盖对我国夏季旱涝有重要的影响,虽然冬季和春季雪盖与我国夏季降水的相关分布存在差异,总趋势大致相仿。但是,冬春季高原积雪和欧 亚积雪与我国夏季降水的相关分布基本是相反的,其中高原积雪与长江中下游和西北东部地区夏季降水为正相关,欧亚积雪与东北和华北东部以及西南地区降水为正相关冬季节积雪异常偏多时,长江流域夏季易发生洪涝,这也是汛期降 相似文献
967.
农田蒸散量计算方法的比较研究 总被引:9,自引:1,他引:8
根据观测资料,采用波文比法、廓线梯度法和综合阻地等分别计算了农田植被层上的蒸散量,并对比分析了不同方法之间的相对误差和相关程度。结果表明,用波文比法计算的潜热通量存在系统性偏小的现象,而工法和综合阻抗法的计算结果比较一致。文中还讨论了不同方法的优缺点和产生误差的可能原因。 相似文献
968.
969.
970.
The influence of a driving static shear stress on the liquefaction resistance of medium dense granular soils is investigated. A laboratory study of the behavior of five sands (percentage of silt varying between 2 and 42%, and D50 varying between 0.55 and 0.09 mm) was undertaken. These five sands were sampled from the foundations of two dams in Quebec (Canada). Sixty cyclic direct simple shear (DSS) tests were performed with and without a driving static shear stress. Relative densities Dr varied between 60 and 70%, and static shear stress ratios =τst/σ′vc varied between 0.2 and 0.6. The presence of static shear stress increased the cyclic strength of these soils. A relation between and K() factor giving the effect of preshearing on cyclic shear resistance is obtained. The mechanical competence is examined as a function of D50 and percentage of fines. The observed dilatancy yielded rather cyclic mobility than liquefaction. 相似文献