对流参数化与微物理过程的耦合及其对台风预报的影响研究   总被引：8，自引：2，他引：6  

徐道生  陈子通  钟水新  戴光丰 《气象学报》2014,72(2):337-349

在SAS（Relaxed Arakawa-schubert Scheme）对流参数化方案中引入对流云和层状云的相互耦合机制,并通过一个台风个例对改进前后两种方案的预报效果进行了比较。试验结果表明：对于台风这种对流云和层状云相互作用非常强烈的天气系统,在对流参数化方案中引入对流云和层状云的耦合机制可以有效地提高模式对台风路径的预报水平,但是对于台风强度的预报效果不明显。考虑对流参数化和微物理过程耦合后模式的参数化降水变弱而格点降水增强,与NCEP再分析资料的对比发现,改进方案对于台风外围的大尺度温度场和湿度场的预报会有所改进,但仍然存在偏干偏冷的现象。对雨和雪的不同处理方式、不同云底条件以及是否考虑雨雪的卷入抬升三个方面进行了敏感性试验,发现72 h内模式预报结果对这些因素的差异不是很敏感。从多个个例的统计结果来看,新方案对台风路径预报的改进效果是比较稳定的。  相似文献   

Linear Stability of Thermal Convection in Rotating Systems with Fixed Heat Flux Boundaries     

Shin-ichi Takehiro  Masaki Ishiwatari  Kensuke Nakajima  Yoshi-Yuki Hayashi 《地球物理与天体物理流体动力学》2013,107(6):439-459

Linear stability of rotating thermal convection in a horizontal layer of Boussinesq fluid under the fixed heat flux boundary condition is examined by the use of a vertically truncated system up to wavenumber one. When the rotation axis is in the vertical direction, the asymptotic behavior of the critical convection for large rotation rates is almost the same as that under the fixed temperature boundary condition. However, when the rotation axis is horizontal and the lateral boundaries are inclined, the mode with zero horizontal wavenumber remains as the critical mode regardless of the rotation rate. The neutral curve has another local minimum at a nonzero horizontal wavenumber, whose asymptotic behavior coincides with the critical mode under the fixed temperature condition. The difference of the critical horizontal wavenumber between those two geometries is qualitatively understood by the difference of wave characteristics; inertial waves and Rossby waves, respectively.  相似文献   

Nonlinear Convection in a Rotating Annulus with a Finite Gap     

C.X. Chen  Keke Zhang 《地球物理与天体物理流体动力学》2013,107(6):499-518

Thermal convection in a fluid-filled gap between the two corotating, concentric cylindrical sidewalls with sloping curved ends driven by radial buoyancy was first studied by Busse (Busse, F.H., "Thermal instabilities in rapidly rotating systems", J. Fluid Mech . 44 , 441-460 (1970)). The annulus model captures the key features of rotating convection in full spherical geometry and has been widely employed to study convection, magnetoconvection and dynamos in planetary systems, usually in connection with the small-gap approximation neglecting the effect of azimuthal curvature of the annulus. This article investigates nonlinear thermal convection in a rotating annulus with a finite gap through numerical simulations of the full set of nonlinear convection equations. Three representative cases are investigated in detail: a large-gap annulus with the ratio of the radii ( s i and s o ) of the sidewalls ξ = s i / o s = 0.1, a medium-gap annulus with ξ = 0.35 and a small-gap annulus with ξ = 0.8. Near the onset of convection, the effect of rapid rotation through the sloping ends forces the first (Hopf) bifurcation in the form of small-scale, steadily drifting rolls (thermal Rossby waves). At moderately large Rayleigh numbers, a variety of different convection patterns are found, including mixed-mode steadily drifting, quasi-periodic (vacillating) and temporally chaotic convection in association with various temporal and spatial symmetry-breaking bifurcations. Our extensive simulations suggest that competition between nonlinear and rotational effects with increasing Rayleigh number leads to an unusual sequence of bifurcation characterized by enlarging the spatial scale of convection.  相似文献   

Possibility of Convection for Diffusion (Newtonian) Viscosity in the Ice Shell of Europa?     

Valle López  Rosa Tejero  Javier Ruiz 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2003,93(4):281-287

Recent investigations into convection in Europa’s ice shell have been based on non-Newtonian (stress-dependent) or Newtonian (stress-independent) viscosity for water ice. However, despite the wide use of Newtonian convection, experimentally observed water ice flow is non-Newtonian, and analysis of stability against convection of the ice shell using updated flow laws has been only performed for non-Newtonian rheologies. Here we use the flow law proposed for diffusion creep to analyze the possibility of the onset of convection for Newtonian viscosity in relation to the thermal state of Europa. Our findings indicate that for diffusion creep convection might have started, but that significantly lower heat flows (and equivalently higher shell thicknesses) and/or grain sizes are required than for superplastic flow, which is the most probable flow mechanism if the ice shell is convective.  相似文献   

北京一次强飑线过程的闪电辐射源演变特征及其与对流区域和地面热力条件的关系   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0       下载免费PDF全文

孙凌  陈志雄  徐燕  孙竹玲  袁善锋  王东方  田野  徐文静  郄秀书 《大气科学》2019,43(4):759-772

利用2015年夏季北京闪电综合探测（BLNET）总闪辐射源定位、多普勒天气雷达、地面自动气象站和探空资料等多种协同观测资料,详细分析了2015年8月7日北京一次强飑线过程不同阶段的闪电特征,并探讨了闪电与对流区域和地面热力条件之间的关系。飑线过程整体上以云闪为主,根据雷达回波和闪电频数可以将飑线过程分为发展、增强及减弱三个阶段。发展阶段表现为多个孤立的γ中尺度对流降水单体,随着北京城区降水单体的迅速发展,强回波顶高延伸到-20℃温度层高度,闪电辐射源高度也逐步增加,闪电明显增多,但总闪电频数整体低于80次/min。增强阶段单体合并,闪电频数快速增长,0℃层以上及以下的强回波（＞40 dBZ）体积明显增大,飑线形成后,总闪和地闪均达到峰值,分别约248次/min和18次/min,负地闪占总地闪比例为90%,辐射源主要分布在线状对流降水区内,辐射源数量峰值出现在5～9 km高度层。减弱阶段飑线主体下降到0℃以下并迅速衰减,辐射源分布明显向后部层云降水区倾斜。95%的闪电发生在对流线附近10 km范围内,即对流云区和过渡区。在系统发展和增强阶段,对流云区与层云区辐射源的活跃时段基本一致;系统减弱阶段,对流降水云区辐射源数量迅速减少。在系统的不同发展阶段,闪电活跃区域对应于冷池出流同平原暖湿气流在近地面形成的相当位温强梯度带内。  相似文献   

Evaluation of geothermal flow at the springs in Aragón (Spain), and its relation to geologic structure     

José?ángel?Sánchez Navarro  Pablo?Coloma LópezEmail author  Antonio?Perez-Garcia 《Hydrogeology Journal》2004,12(5):601-609

The geothermal flow which emerges by convection at the springs in Aragón is evaluated, and compared with the theoretical heat flow which permeates the surface of the region by conduction. The geological materials through which the convection takes place are defined (geothermal formations), and the areas where thermal convection appears most intensely are related.

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Resumen En el presente trabajo se evalúa el flujo geotérmico que emerge por convección en los principales manantiales de aguas termales de Aragón (España), comparándolo con el flujo geotérmico que penetra en la corteza terrestre por conducción. Se definen las formaciones geotérmicas y se estudian las áreas en las que se concentra de forma preferente ese flujo termal por convección.

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Résumé Le flux géothermique qui émerge par convection à la source Aragon est évalué, et comparé avec le flux de chaleur théorique par conduction. Le matériel géologique dans lequel la convection prend place est défnit (formations géothermiques) et les zones qui manifestent les plus importantes convections thermiques sont relatés.

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Experiments On Buoyant Plume Dispersion In A Laboratory Convection Tank     

Jeffrey C. Weil  William H. Snyder  Robert E. Lawson Jr.  Michael S. Shipman 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2002,102(3):367-414

Plume dispersion in the convective boundary layer (CBL) is investigated experimentally in a laboratory convection tank. The focusis on highly-buoyant plumes that loft near or become trapped in the CBL capping inversion and resistdownward mixing. Such plumes are defined by dimensionless buoyancy fluxes F_* 0.1, where F_* = F_b/(U w_* ² z_i), F_b is the stack buoyancy flux,U is the mean wind speed, w_* is the convective velocity scale, and z_i is the CBL depth. The aim is to obtain statistically-reliable mean (C) and root-mean-square (rms, _c) concentration fields as a function of F_* and the dimensionless distance X = w_*x/(U z_i), where x is the distance downstream of the source.The experiments reveal the following mainresults: (1) For 3 X 4and F_* 0.1, the crosswind-integrated concentration (CWIC) fields exhibit distinctly uniform profiles below z_i with a CWIC maximum aloft, in contrast to the nonuniform profiles obtained earlier by Willis and Deardorff. (2) The lateral dispersion (_y) variation with X is consistent with Taylor's theory for _* 0.1 and a buoyancy-enhanced dispersion, _y/z_i F_* ^1/3X^2/3, forF_* = 0.2 and 0.4. (3) The entrapment, the plume fraction above z_i, has a mean (E) that follows a systematic variationwith X and F_*, and a variability (_e/E) that is broad ( 0.3 to 2) near the source but subsides to 0.25 far downstream. (4) Vertical profiles of the concentration fluctuation intensity (c/C) are uniform for z < z_i and X > 1.5, but exhibit significant increases: (a) at the surface and close to the source (X 1.5), and(b) in the entrainment zone. (5) The cumulative distribution functions (CDFs) of the scaled concentration fluctuations (c/_c) separate into mixed-layer and entrainment-layer CDFs for X 2, with the mixed-layer group collapsing to a single distribution independent of z.These are the first experiments to obtain all components of the lateral and vertical dispersion parameters (rms meander, relative dispersion, total dispersion) for continuous buoyant releases in a convection tank. They also are the first tank experiments to demonstrate agreement with field observations of: (1) the scaled ground-level concentration along the plume centreline, and (2) the dimensionless lateral dispersion _y/z_i of buoyant plumes.  相似文献   

均匀覆盖层中氡迁移的数值模拟   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7       下载免费PDF全文

刘菁华  王祝文  田钢  王晓丽 《地球物理学报》2007,50(3):921-925

氡能从地下深部运移到地表，可带来反映地下地质状态的信息.本文以氡在均匀覆盖层中的迁移过程为对流-扩散方式作为理论基础，推导了二维氡浓度微分方程，用有限差分方法计算了无限氡源层、有限单氡源层、有限双氡源层在均匀覆盖层中氡浓度的数值解，以二维断面的形式展示了氡的分布，其结果与野外实测相符.  相似文献   

Variable-density groundwater flow and solute transport in irregular 2D fracture networks     

Thomas Graf  René Therrien 《Advances in water resources》2007

Numerical simulations of variable-density flow and solute transport have been conducted to investigate dense plume migration for various configurations of 2D fracture networks. For orthogonal fractures, simulations demonstrate that dispersive mixing in fractures with small aperture does not stabilize vertical plume migration in fractures with large aperture. Simulations in non-orthogonal 2D fracture networks indicate that convection cells form and that they overlap both the porous matrix and fractures. Thus, transport rates in convection cells depend on matrix and fracture flow properties. A series of simulations in statistically equivalent networks of fractures with irregular orientation show that the migration of a dense plume is highly sensitive to the geometry of the network. If fractures in a random network are connected equidistantly to the solute source, few equidistantly distributed fractures favor density-driven transport. On the other hand, numerous fractures have a stabilizing effect, especially if diffusive transport rates are high. A sensitivity analysis for a network with few equidistantly distributed fractures shows that low fracture aperture, low matrix permeability and high matrix porosity impede density-driven transport because these parameters reduce groundwater flow velocities in both the matrix and the fractures. Enhanced molecular diffusion slows down density-driven transport because it favors solute diffusion from the fractures into the low-permeability porous matrix where groundwater velocities are smaller. For the configurations tested, variable-density flow and solute transport are most sensitive to the permeability and porosity of the matrix, which are properties that can be determined more accurately than the geometry and hydraulic properties of the fracture network, which have a smaller impact on density-driven transport.  相似文献   

对流涡自组织过程的数值研究     

薛具奎  胡隐樵 《高原气象》2002,21(4):354-358

利用一个简化的浅对流模式，从非线性热力学观点出发，分析了热对流涡的自组织过程，揭示了系统熵收支与对流涡的形成及发展过程的关系。结果表明，系统失稳构成了对流涡形成的触发过程；在对流涡的发展过程中，涡的非线性自组织是对流涡组合兼并的动力学原因，而与这一过程相对应的负熵流是引起涡自组织并最终维持对流涡有序结构的非线性热力学原因。  相似文献