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31.
The centennial?Cmillennial variation of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) precipitation over the past 1000?years was investigated through the analysis of a millennium simulation of the coupled ECHO-G model. The model results indicate that the centennial?Cmillennial variation of the EASM is essentially a forced response to the external radiative forcing (insolation, volcanic aerosol, and green house gases). The strength of the response depends on latitude; and the spatial structure of the centennial?Cmillennial variation differs from the interannual variability that arises primarily from the internal feedback processes within the climate system. On millennial time scale, the extratropical and subtropical precipitation was generally strong during Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and weak during Little Ice Age (LIA). The tropical rainfall is insensitive to the effective solar radiation forcing (insolation plus radiative effect of volcanic aerosols) but significantly responds to the modern anthropogenic radiative forcing. On centennial time scale, the variation of the extratropical and subtropical rainfall also tends to follow the effective solar radiation forcing closely. The forced response features in-phase rainfall variability between the extratropics and subtropics, which is in contrast to the anti-correlation on the interannual time scale. Further, the behavior of the interannual?Cdecadal variation in the extratropics is effectively modulated by change of the mean states on the millennial time scale, suggesting that the structure of the internal mode may vary with significant changes in the external forcing. These findings imply that on the millennial time scale, (a) the proxy data in the extratropical EA may more sensitively reflect the EASM rainfall variations, and (b) the Meiyu and the northern China rainfall provide a consistent measure for the EASM strength.  相似文献   
32.
Rare Earth Element Geochemistry of Late Palaeozoic Coals in North China   总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7  
Instrumental Neutron Activation Analysis (INAA) was done to determine the abundances of rare earth elements (REE) of 58 samples of Late Palaeozoic Carboniferous-Permian coals and related rocks in North China. Detailed study of REE geochemistry shows that the ∑REE of most coals studied in this paper is in a normal range between 30×10-6 and 80×10-6 with a mean of 56×10-6. The REE in the Taiyuan Formation in the northern part of North China are much richer than those in the southern part. This is due to the shorter distance to the source area in the north. Moreover, the IREE is in positive correlation to coal ash, especially closely related to the content of clay minerals <2μm in size. This reveals that most REE were carried by terrigenous clastic materials, especially fine clay minerals. In the coals the light REE (LREE) are much richer than the heavy REE (HREE), and the LREE/HREE ratio in coals generally varies from 2 to 8. The LREE/HREE ratio of high-ash, low-sulphur coals is higher than that of lo  相似文献   
33.
针对双权重标准差法对探空温度质量控制中阈值参数不确定的问题,提出了以正态波形指标偏度和峰度为判定依据的阈值Z参数优化算法。利用2017年福建3部探空温度资料和ERA5模式再分析温度数据,对探空温度增量数据进行不同数据集质控前后对比分析总结出:峰偏值CKS随阈值Z的分布曲线表明阈值Z偏大则会造成质控不完全,阈值Z偏小则会造成过度质控;以峰偏值CKS所确定的最优阈值Z双权重标准差法比固定阈值的更符合模式同化系统正态分布要求,为探空温度数据在模式同化的应用提供了更好的质控方法。在质控前后温度增量分布特征上,温度观测增量总是以某一固定增量值在整个气压高度上剔除离群值,其中57.15%的离群点主要分布在0~100 hPa范围内,42.85%的离群点均匀分布在100~1000 hPa范围内,其中0~100 hPa范围内温度增量绝对值大于10℃的异常点是由于温度传感器受太阳辐射等因素影响超出了正常探测误差范围,这些异常点可以在质控前提前剔除,进一步提升探空温度数据质量。  相似文献   
34.
为了研究新型预制预应力混凝土框架结构的抗震性能,本文采用ABAQUS软件对试验节点进行有限元分析,验证了建模方法的正确性,并以试验节点为原型,建立相应的两层两跨的新型预制预应力混凝土平面框架模型。采用低周往复加载方式分析了新型预制预应力混凝土框架结构和现浇框架结构的滞回性能,并模拟了新型预制预应力混凝土框架结构在不同的初始荷载、预应力筋数量及控制应力和U形筋配筋率下的滞回性能。结果表明,新型预制预应力混凝土框架和现浇框架的滞回性能非常接近;框架轴压比、预应力筋数量和U形筋配筋率对新型预制预应力混凝土框架的滞回性能有影响,而梁上荷载和预应力筋控制应力的影响较小。  相似文献   
35.
It is well-known that the responses of a structure are different when subjected to a static load or a sudden step load. The dynamic amplification factor (DAF), which is defined as the ratio of the amplitude of the vibratory response to the static response, is normally used to depict the dynamic effect. For a single-degree-of-freedom system (SDOF) subjected to a sudden dynamic load, the maximum value of DAF is 2. Many design guidelines therefore use 2 as an upper bound to consider the dynamic effect. For a civil engineering structure, which is normally a multiple-degrees-of-freedom (MDOF) system, the DAF may exceed 2 in certain circumstances. The adoption of 2 as the upper bond as suggested by the design guidelines therefore may lead to unsafe structural design. Very limited studies systematically investigate the DAF of a MDOF system. This study theoretically investigates the DAF of a MDOF system when it is subjected to a step load based on the fundamental theory of structural dynamics. The condition on which the DAF may exceed 2 is defined. Two numerical examples and one experimental study of a cable-stayed bridge subjected to sudden cable loss are presented to illustrate the problem.  相似文献   
36.
The ages and accumulation rates of ice are important boundary conditions for paleoclimatic ice models. Radardetected isochronic layers can be used to date the ice column beneath the ice surface and infer past accumulation rates. A Deep Ice-Core Drilling Project has been carried out at Kunlun station in the Dome A region, East Antarctica. Radio echo sounding data are collected during the 2004/2005 Chinese National Research Expedition and the 2007/2008 Dome Connection East Antarctica project of the Alfred Wegener Institute(Germany). Radar isochronic layers from the dataset were linked to compare a new deep ice core site from Kunlun station and the Vostok ice core site. Ten visible layers, accounting for ~50% ice thickness at the Kunlun station ice core site, were dated based on the Vostok ice core chronology. At 1,640 m depth below surface, an age of ~160,400 yr was determined, corresponding to a bright layer at Kunlun station. These layers provided geometric information on the past surface of the ice sheet around the ice core site through the Wisconsin glacial stage, Eemian interglacial and Marine Isotope Stage6. Based on a simple ice flow model and the age-depth relationship, we concluded that the region around the Kunlun ice core site had lower past accumulation rates, consistent with the present pattern. The age-depth relationship would thus be expected to correlate and constrain the chronology of the deep ice core at Kunlun station in the future.  相似文献   
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Liu  Xueyuan  Köhl  Armin  Stammer  Detlef  Masuda  Shuhei  Ishikawa  Yoichi  Mochizuki  Takashi 《Climate Dynamics》2017,49(3):1061-1075

We investigated the influence of dynamical in-consistency of initial conditions on the predictive skill of decadal climate predictions. The investigation builds on the fully coupled global model “Coupled GCM for Earth Simulator” (CFES). In two separate experiments, the ocean component of the coupled model is full-field initialized with two different initial fields from either the same coupled model CFES or the GECCO2 Ocean Synthesis while the atmosphere is initialized from CFES in both cases. Differences between both experiments show that higher SST forecast skill is obtained when initializing with coupled data assimilation initial conditions (CIH) instead of those from GECCO2 (GIH), with the most significant difference in skill obtained over the tropical Pacific at lead year one. High predictive skill of SST over the tropical Pacific seen in CIH reflects the good reproduction of El Niño events at lead year one. In contrast, GIH produces additional erroneous El Niño events. The tropical Pacific skill differences between both runs can be rationalized in terms of the zonal momentum balance between the wind stress and pressure gradient force, which characterizes the upper equatorial Pacific. In GIH, the differences between the oceanic and atmospheric state at initial time leads to imbalance between the zonal wind stress and pressure gradient force over the equatorial Pacific, which leads to the additional pseudo El Niño events and explains reduced predictive skill. The balance can be reestablished if anomaly initialization strategy is applied with GECCO2 initial conditions and improved predictive skill in the tropical Pacific is observed at lead year one. However, initializing the coupled model with self-consistent initial conditions leads to the highest skill of climate prediction in the tropical Pacific by preserving the momentum balance between zonal wind stress and pressure gradient force along the equatorial Pacific.

  相似文献   
40.
基于高分辨率数值模拟的杭州市通风廊道气象效应研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
城市通风廊道能增加城市空气流通能力,缓解城市热岛,为了定量评估城市通风廊道的气象效应,本文采用区域边界层化学模式(RBLM-Chem),利用杭州市高分辨率地表类型、城市建筑等资料,开展了杭州市通风廊道影响的模拟研究,模式水平分辨率为250 m。本文针对冬季和夏季两个典型个例进行数值模拟和敏感性试验,夏季个例时间为2013年8月12日,盛行南风,风向顺着通风廊道;冬季个例时间为2014年1月28日,盛行东风,风向垂直于通风廊道。主要结论如下:城市绿色通风廊道有增加风速、降低气温、提高湿度的作用,与没有通风廊道的情况相比,夏季风顺着廊道方向时,廊道区域风速平均增加可达1.4 m/s,廊道区域内60 m高度风速平均增加可达1 m/s。而冬季风垂直于廊道时,廊道区域风速增加较小,仅有0.5 m/s左右。通风廊道夏季降温幅度平均可达2.7°C,冬季降温幅度较小,仅有0.6°C左右。通风廊道对气象场的影响随风向向下游延伸,夏季在通风廊道下游250 m处,风速增加、气温下降、相对湿度增加最大值分别为1.5 m/s、2.9°C、3.1%,即使在通风廊道下游1500 m处,最大降温仍有1.2°C。  相似文献   
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