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41.
ABSTRACTFrom ancient times dice have been used to denote randomness. A dice throw experiment is set up in order to examine the predictability of the die orientation through time using visualization techniques. We apply and compare a deterministic-chaotic model and a stochastic model and we show that both suggest predictability in die motion that deteriorates with time, just as in hydro-meteorological processes. Namely, a die’s trajectory can be predictable for short horizons and unpredictable for long ones. Furthermore, we show that the same models can be applied, with satisfactory results, to high temporal resolution time series of rainfall intensity and wind speed magnitude, occurring during mild and strong weather conditions. The difference among the experimental and two natural processes is in the time length of the high-predictability window, which is of the order of 0.1 s, 10 min and 1 h for dice, rainfall and wind processes, respectively. 相似文献
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Mark K. Reagan Julian A. Pearce Katerina Petronotis Renat R. Almeev Aaron J. Avery Claire Carvallo 《International Geology Review》2017,59(11):1439-1450
International Ocean Discovery Program (IODP) Expedition 352 recovered a high-fidelity record of volcanism related to subduction initiation in the Bonin fore-arc. Two sites (U1440 and U1441) located in deep water nearer to the trench recovered basalts and related rocks; two sites (U1439 and U1442) located in shallower water further from the trench recovered boninites and related rocks. Drilling in both areas ended in dolerites inferred to be sheeted intrusive rocks. The basalts apparently erupted immediately after subduction initiation and have compositions similar to those of the most depleted basalts generated by rapid sea-floor spreading at mid-ocean ridges, with little or no slab input. Subsequent melting to generate boninites involved more depleted mantle and hotter and deeper subducted components as subduction progressed and volcanism migrated away from the trench. This volcanic sequence is akin to that recorded by many ophiolites, supporting a direct link between subduction initiation, fore-arc spreading, and ophiolite genesis. 相似文献
43.
Trepekli Katerina Balstrøm Thomas Friborg Thomas Fog Bjarne Allotey Albert N. Kofie Richard Y. Møller-Jensen Lasse 《Natural Hazards》2022,113(1):423-451
Natural Hazards - In this study, we present the first findings of the potential utility of miniaturized light and detection ranging (LiDAR) scanners mounted on unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) for... 相似文献
44.
Bernd Wagner Paul Tauber Alexander Francke Niklas Leicher Steven A. Binnie Aleksandra Cvetkoska Elena Jovanovska Janna Just Jack H. Lacey Zlatko Levkov Katja Lindhorst Katerina Kouli Sebastian Krastel Konstantinos Panagiotopoulos Arne Ulfers Dušica Zaova Timme H. Donders Andon Grazhdani Andreas Koutsodendris Melanie J. Leng Laura Sadori Mirko Scheinert Hendrik Vogel Thomas Wonik Giovanni Zanchetta Thomas Wilke 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2023,52(1):1-26
Studies of the upper 447 m of the DEEP site sediment succession from central Lake Ohrid, Balkan Peninsula, North Macedonia and Albania provided important insights into the regional climate history and evolutionary dynamics since permanent lacustrine conditions established at 1.36 million years ago (Ma). This paper focuses on the entire 584-m-long DEEP sediment succession and a comparison to a 197-m-long sediment succession from the Pestani site ~5 km to the east in the lake, where drilling ended close to the bedrock, to unravel the earliest history of Lake Ohrid and its basin development. 26Al/10Be dating of clasts from the base of the DEEP sediment succession implies that the sedimentation in the modern basin started at c. 2 Ma. Geophysical, sedimentological and micropalaeontological data allow for chronological information to be transposed from the DEEP to the Pestani succession. Fluvial conditions, slack water conditions, peat formation and/or complete desiccation prevailed at the DEEP and Pestani sites until 1.36 and 1.21 Ma, respectively, before a larger lake extended over both sites. Activation of karst aquifers to the east probably by tectonic activity and a potential existence of neighbouring Lake Prespa supported filling of Lake Ohrid. The lake deepened gradually, with a relatively constant vertical displacement rate of ~0.2 mm a−1 between the central and the eastern lateral basin and with greater water depth presumably during interglacial periods. Although the dynamic environment characterized by local processes and the fragmentary chronology of the basal sediment successions from both sites hamper palaeoclimatic significance prior to the existence of a larger lake, the new data provide an unprecedented and detailed picture of the geodynamic evolution of the basin and lake that is Europe’s presumed oldest extant freshwater lake. 相似文献
45.
Sharp-interface (or interface) flow models with Dupuit-Forchheimer approximation are widely used to assess, to first order, an aquifer’s vulnerability to seawater intrusion (SWI) and to evaluate sustainable management options for coastal groundwater resources at the screening level. Recognising that interface flow models overestimate SWI, corrections have been proposed to account for the neglected mixing and also for the outflow through a finite gap. These corrections, however, were introduced in the context of specific studies and may not be generally applicable as proposed. The interface model is revisited, placing its corrections in the context of variable-density flow (VDF) theory, by expressing them in terms of the dimensionless parameters governing VDF in schematised (aspect ratio?=?thickness/length) homogeneous confined coastal aquifers: the coupling parameter (α), a Péclet number (Pe), and the dispersivities ratio (rα). Interfaces are compared to the 50%-salinity lines of VDF numerical solutions and regression equations are developed for estimating the outflow gap and for correcting the length of the interface (terminating with a blunted edge); the dispersion correction, which modifies the interface curvature, is restated with a variable exponent. The corrections for dispersion and for the interface length appear to be the most effective; an outflow gap is important only at small α values (strong advection relative to vertical flow due to density differences). These concepts are applied successfully to calculate the interface position in the lowermost confined sub-unit of the Coastal Plain aquifer of Israel, as an estimate of SWI. 相似文献
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This paper presents techniques for studying the influence of the atmospheric variables for the explanation of ozone concentrations. A methodology is described for separating the different time scale components in time series of ozone, namely, the global-term component which describes the long and seasonal variations, and the synoptic-scale component. We prove that the decomposition of the time series of ozone and other atmospheric variables is essential for the analysis. The results indicate that solar radiation is the only main factor between all the atmospheric variables for the global and the synoptic-scale component of the ozone time series. Most of the total variance of ozone can be explained by the atmospheric variables, which makes possible the precise estimation of human effect on ozone. In case the solar radiation data are not available, lagged temperature can be used as a supplement of solar radiation. 相似文献
48.
Igor Brovchenko Julia Kanarska Vladimir Maderich Katerina Terletska 《Acta Geophysica》2007,55(1):47-55
New three-dimensional numerical non-hydrostatic model with a free surface that was designed for modelling the bottom and bank
stability subjected by ship propeller jets is presented. Unlike all known models, it describes three-dimensional fields of
velocities generated by ship propellers, turbulence intensity and length scale in the given domain of arbitrary bottom and
coastal topography. Results of simulations are compared with the laboratory experiments. 相似文献
49.
Vladimir Truhlik Ludmila Triskova Dieter Bilitza Katerina Podolska 《Journal of Atmospheric and Solar》2009,71(17-18):2055-2063
A database of the electron temperature (Te) comprising of most of the available LEO satellite measurements is used for studying the solar activity variations of Te. The Te data are grouped for two levels of solar activity (low LSA and high HSA), five altitude ranges between 350 and 2000 km, and day and night. By fitting a theoretical expression to the Te values we obtain variation of Te along magnetic field lines and heat flux for LSA and HSA. We have found that Te increases with increase in solar activity at low and mid-latitudes during nighttime at all altitudes studied. During daytime the Te response to solar activity depends on latitude, altitude, and season. This analysis shows existence of anti-correlation between Te and solar activity at mid-latitudes below 700 km during the equinox and winter day hours. Heat fluxes show small latitudinal dependence for daytime but substantial for nighttime. 相似文献
50.
A method is presented for simulating arrays of spatially varying ground motions, incorporating the effects of incoherence, wave passage, and differential site response. Non‐stationarity is accounted for by considering the motions as consisting of stationary segments. Two approaches are developed. In the first, simulated motions are consistent with the power spectral densities of a segmented recorded motion and are characterized by uniform variability at all locations. Uniform variability in the array of ground motions is essential when synthetic motions are used for statistical analysis of the response of multiply‐supported structures. In the second approach, simulated motions are conditioned on the segmented record itself and exhibit increasing variance with distance from the site of the observation. For both approaches, example simulated motions are presented for an existing bridge model employing two alternatives for modeling the local soil response: i) idealizing each soil‐column as a single‐degree‐of‐freedom oscillator, and ii) employing the theory of vertical wave propagation in a single soil layer over bedrock. The selection of parameters in the simulation procedure and their effects on the characteristics of the generated motions are discussed. The method is validated by comparing statistical characteristics of the synthetic motions with target theoretical models. Response spectra of the simulated motions at each support are also examined. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献