影响春季热带太平洋地区海温变化的动力热力作用分析     

赵鹤  颉卫华  吴统文  刘向文 《大气科学》2020,44(3):519-532

厄尔尼诺—南方涛动（ENSO）春季预报障碍是ENSO预测的一个难点问题,弄清影响春季热带太平洋地区海表温度（SST）变化的动力和热力作用对于理解ENSO关键区SST的异常变化及ENSO春季预报障碍成因非常重要。本文利用BCC-CSM2-MR数值模式,模拟产生一套1986～2017年间相互协调的逐月海表风应力、感热、潜热、长波和短波净辐射能量、海洋流场等观测代用数据。利用这些数据对影响海温变化的动力和热力作用及其相对重要性进行了诊断分析,结果表明:（1）与其他季节相比,春季Ni?o3.4区海洋表层温度（后文中用T_S表示）呈现出独特的先增暖后趋冷的不对称季节性转换特征,这一变化主要是由于影响T_S的大气风应力、海流以及能量净通量在春季均表现出明显的季节性转换过程。进一步的分析表明,热力作用对局地海温的季节性变化影响最为重要,水平平流输送以反向作用为主,其中经向平流输送起到了反向作用,不利于该区域T_S的季节性转变,纬向平流输送仅在春季转为弱的正贡献,浅层垂直平流输送对春季T_S变化的影响很小。（2）动力热力作用与T_S异常的变化倾向相关关系也表明,春季Ni?o3.4区热力作用与T_S异常变化呈现显著的正相关,纬向海流异常的输送项也表现为正相关,而经向海流输送项展现出由负相关向正相关转化的特征。（3）对Ni?o3.4区T_S变化的方差贡献分析结果表明,春季热力作用对T_S的异常变化的贡献达50%以上,相关系数超0.7,其次是纬向、经向平流项贡献,各占10%～20%左右,但两者作用相反,其他项贡献较小。  相似文献   

1999—2018年锦州地区大雾气候特征及成因分析     

张翠艳  阎琦  白雪  张广梅  娄芳蕾  周福然  常姝婷 《气象与环境学报》2020,36(3):87-92

应用常规气象观测资料、能见度仪观测资料,分析1999—2018年锦州地区大雾气候特征及成因。结果表明：锦州地区雾日年总频次多年平均为33次,存在12 a、6 a和3 a的变化周期。锦州地区典型大雾过程主要分为弱低压槽型、雨后弱高压型。大雾存在日变化。雾前T-T_d为4—14℃,风速为4 m·s^-1以下,偏南风占50%,偏北风占38%,静风占12%;雾发展阶段T-T_d为0—4℃,平均风速为2.2 m·s^-1,偏南风占58%,偏北风占42%;浓雾阶段T-T_d为0—2℃,平均风速为1.9 m·s^-1,偏南风占58%,偏北风占42%;雾减弱到消散阶段T-T_d逐渐升高,平均风速为3.3 m·s^-1,偏北风占58%。大雾期间,均出现逆温和湿层。  相似文献   

On the influence of physical parameterisations and domains configuration in the simulation of an extreme precipitation event     

《Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans》2014

At daybreak and late morning of 18th of February 2008 Lisbon and Setúbal have been under the influence of a heavy rain event. This period was simulated by two operational WRF model set ups running for Portugal at the University of Aveiro in two different horizontal and vertical resolution and physical parameterisations. These two model configurations were tested for the described precipitation event in terms of microphysics and cumulus parameterisation and also in their domain configuration setup. Results suggest that the combination of cumulus and microphysics schemes is very important in the prediction of the amounts of precipitation. A small change in domain resolution has more impact in the spatial patterns of precipitation rather than in the amounts predicted.  相似文献   

Structural features of South-Adamawa (Cameroon) inferred from magnetic anomalies: Hydrogeological implications     

Constant Tatchum Noutchogwe  Fidèle Koumetio  Eliezer Manguelle-Dicoum 《Comptes Rendus Geoscience》2010,342(6):467-474

Structural directions of the southern part of the Adamawa plateau in Cameroon are highlighted by filters applied on the magnetic anomaly map. Determination of the magnitude maxima of (1) the horizontal gradient of the field reduced to the pole, and (2) the analytic signal, allowed a map to be produced showing various lineaments interpreted as the fault system of the studied area. In particular, the faults on the shaded relief map of the horizontal gradient magnitude suggest a slide to the left of the Foumban shear zone in the studied area. Interpretation of the observed anomaly along a profile directed SSE-NNW shows the presence of a magnetized body considered as an intrusion into the granitic basement of probably basaltic volcanic rocks, put in place during the reactivation of the Foumban shear zone. In addition, the observed correlation between the mapped structural directions, the sites of thermo-mineral springs and the hydrographical network shows that the results of this study will be helpful for further hydrogeological research in the studied area.  相似文献   

基于GPS、水准和强震动观测资料联合反演2013年芦山7.0级地震同震滑动分布          下载免费PDF全文

刘琦  闻学泽  邵志刚 《地球物理学报》2016,59(6):2113-2125

为了更好理解2013年四川芦山M_S7.0级地震的发生过程及其与发震构造和地表多种观测资料的动力学关联,本文综合重新定位的余震分布与地质、地球物理信息构建3D发震构造模型,采用水平层状介质模型,并以震区GPS、水准、强震动等同震位移/形变观测资料为约束,联合反演了芦山主震的同震滑动分布.其中,断层解译结果表明震源区包含5条相关断层F1-F5,通过对所有可能的断层组合模型进行反演分析,显示采用F1+F3+F4+F5的组合模型反演效果相对最好,是最可能的发震断层模型.反演得到的芦山主震矩震级为M_W6.5,其中同震滑动主要分布在NW倾的主断层F1的断坡周围,最大值为0.86 m,滑动角92.88°,纯逆冲型;F1上方反倾的次级断层F3上最大滑动量为0.37 m,滑动角119.92°,表现出以逆冲为主兼右滑的斜向反冲作用;而沿另一条反倾的次级断层F4的最大滑动量为0.40 m,滑动角97.98°,几乎为纯逆冲作用.此外,震区还存在一个NW缓倾深度为5~8 km的浅部滑脱面F5,它分隔了浅部沉积盖层与深部变质基底,限制了其下方F1、F3及F4等断层的同震破裂继续向更浅部扩展.主震时深部F1和F3断层夹持的冲起构造发生了上冲运动,除了使浅层和地表产生响应运动及变形外,还引起冲起构造顶面即F5底面的NE段和SW段分别产生了NE和SWW向调节滑动,最大值0.25 m.总之,基于文中构建的F1+F3+F4+F5的发震断层模型,反演结果能很好拟合地表多种观测资料,还能解释地表GPS观测的同震"左旋"运动与地震学观测的震源断层逆冲运动的"不协调性".  相似文献   

集合预报误差在GRAPES全球四维变分同化中的应用研究Ⅰ：局地化方案设计与动力平衡特征分析     

龚建东  王瑞春 《气象学报》2021,79(1):31-47

通过引入流依赖的集合预报误差,使得同化分析与天气形势紧密相关,是改善初值分析质量的重要途径。文中在GRAPES（Global Regional Assimilation and PrEdiction System）全球四维变分资料同化（4DVar）中研究了如何有效应用集合预报误差,包括增加扩展控制变量时如何降低其计算消耗以及如何在局地化过程中保持不同变量之间的动力平衡。利用高斯分布的谱滤波实现水平局地化,利用垂直正交经验函数分解实现垂直局地化,并采用前8个主导特征模态来限制控制变量空间维数增加。引入20至180个集合样本,在水平二维局地化情形下,控制变量总数的增长可以限制在1.1—1.8倍,而在三维局地化情形下,控制变量总数的增长限制在1.7—7.1倍。对60个集合样本和1°水平分辨率内循环,4DVar引入扩展控制变量后墙钟时间增加了约30%。进一步,通过采用在非平衡分析变量上进行水平局地化,然后再将风压地转平衡关系重新叠加到非平衡分析变量上,使得分析更好地保持了风压平衡关系,初始场地面气压倾向变化减小。此外,虽然垂直局地化对分析平衡影响较大,但依靠目标函数中的数字滤波弱约束,分析变量之间仍能较好满足动力平衡关系。结果表明,GRAPES全球4DVar中发展的增加扩展控制变量、谱滤波实现水平局地化、非平衡分析变量进行水平局地化等有效应用集合预报误差的方法,适合集合样本数超过100个的情况,在分析质量改善的同时,4DVar系统的计算和存储消耗没有显著增加。   相似文献   

Characterization of the horizontal structure of the tropical forest canopy using object-based LiDAR and multispectral image analysis     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2013

This article's goal is to explore the benefits of using Digital Surface Model (DSM) and Digital Terrain Model (DTM) derived from LiDAR acquisitions for characterizing the horizontal structure of different facies in forested areas (primary forests vs. secondary forests) within the framework of an object-oriented classification. The area under study is the island of Mayotte in the western Indian Ocean. The LiDAR data were the data originally acquired by an airborne small-footprint discrete-return LiDAR for the “Litto3D” coastline mapping project. They were used to create a Digital Elevation Model (DEM) at a spatial resolution of 1 m and a Digital Canopy Model (DCM) using median filtering. The use of two successive segmentations at different scales allowed us to adjust the segmentation parameters to the local structure of the landscape and of the cover. Working in object-oriented mode with LiDAR allowed us to discriminate six vegetation classes based on canopy height and horizontal heterogeneity. This heterogeneity was assessed using a texture index calculated from the height-transition co-occurrence matrix. Overall accuracy exceeds 90%. The resulting product is the first vegetation map of Mayotte which emphasizes the structure over the composition.  相似文献   

航空重力测量的系统误差补偿   总被引：8，自引：4，他引：4       下载免费PDF全文

孙中苗  翟振和  肖云  李迎春 《地球物理学报》2013,56(1):47-52

基于航空重力测量的基本数学模型,详细分析了航空重力测量的系统误差来源.大致可将系统误差分为三类,即停机坪重力基准值、比力初值的观测误差,格值、交叉耦合系数、摆杆尺度因子的标定误差和水平加速度改正的模型化误差等.然后,对每类系统误差的量级及其补偿方法进行了研究,指出水平加速度改正是引起系统误差的主要因素之一.大同、哈尔滨和渤海湾航空重力测量的实测数据分析均表明,在各项系统误差尤其是水平加速度改正得到有效补偿后,航空重力与地面(或船测)参考值的系统误差将小于1×10^-5m·s^-2.  相似文献   

On the use of horizontal acoustic Doppler profilers for continuous bed shear stress monitoring     

B.VERMEULEN  AJF HOITINK  MG SASSI 《国际泥沙研究》2013,28(2):260-268

Continuous monitoring of bed shear stress in large river systems may serve to better estimate alluvial sediment transport to the coastal ocean.Here we explore the possibility of using a horizontally deployed acoustic Doppler current profiler(ADCP) to monitor bed shear stress,applying a prescribed boundary layer model,previously used for discharge estimation.The model parameters include the local roughness length and a dip correction factor to account for sidewall effects.Both these parameters depend on river stage and on the position in the cross-section, and were estimated from shipborne ADCP data.We applied the calibrated boundary layer model to obtain bed shear stress estimates over the measuring range of the HADCP.To validate the results,co-located coupled ADCPs were used to infer bed shear stress,both from Reynolds stress profiles and from mean velocity profiles. From HADCP data collected over a period of 1.5 years,a time series of width profiles of bed shear stress was obtained for a tidal reach of the Mahakam River,East Kalimantan,Indonesia.A smaller dataset covering 25 hours was used for comparison with results from the coupled ADCPs.The bed shear stress estimates derived from Reynolds stress profiles appeared to be strongly affected by local effects causing upflow and downflow,which are not included in the boundary layer model used to derive bed shear stress with the horizontal ADCP.Bed shear stresses from the coupled ADCP are representative of a much more localized flow,while those derived with the horizontal ADCP resemble the net effect of the flow over larger scales.Bed shear stresses obtained from mean velocity profiles from the coupled ADCPs show a good agreement between the two methods,and highlight the robustness of the method to uncertainty in the estimates of the roughness length.  相似文献   

利用TRMM卫星资料对青藏高原地区强对流天气特征分析   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

李典  白爱娟  黄盛军 《高原气象》2012,31(2):304-311

利用热带测雨卫星TRMM(Tropical Rainfall Measure Mission)多种探测结果,结合NCEP再分析资料,研究了发生在青藏高原地区的一次强对流天气特征,综合分析了高原地区对流云特殊的水平、垂直结构特征。结果表明:(1)该强对流降水系统由几个孤立、零散的块状降水云团组成,以深厚弱对流降水为主,微波亮温的低值区也呈孤立、零散的块状分布,并且整个对流系统的云顶高度一致偏高,深厚强对流降水的雨谱主要集中在1～20mm.h-1的范围内,90%以上的深厚弱对流降水样本数和降水量都集中在0～5mm.h-1范围内,在垂直方向上呈被"挤压"状态。除云冰粒子集中在6～18km高度外,可降冰、可降水和云水粒子都集中在低层8km以下,冰雹天气表现为可降冰粒子在低层含量偏高。(2)高原地区强对流天气的特征与其他地方的不同,表现为雨强较小,比平原地区明显偏弱,且对流云降雨样本在不同降雨率范围内分布不均匀,降水云团雨顶高度也远低于平原地区的对流云,地表降水率大值区与微波辐射亮温低值区呈不完全对称分布,潜热释放呈单峰型。(3)高原地区强对流系统发生时,垂直上升运动在400hPa达到最大,水汽主要集中在400hPa高度以下的范围内。  相似文献