长江三峡及邻区地震活动的灰色预测   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

胡道功  谭成轩 《地震地质》1996,18(4):436-442

根据历史地震记载和现今地震观测数据，运用灰色系统理论，建立了长江三峡及邻区下一个地震活跃期及活跃期内可能发生的最大地震的震级的灰色预测模型。预测结果表明，下一个地震活跃期将持续７９ａ，活跃期内的最大地震震级不会超过５．２级。这对三峡地区地震问题的评价与防患提供了重要的依据  相似文献   

Seismic risk of circum-pacific earthquakes I. Strain energy release   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Kostas C. Makropoulos  Paul W. Burton 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1983,121(2):247-267

Commonly used earthquake “whole process” frequency - magnitude and strain energy - magnitude laws are merged to obtain an analytic expression for an upper bound magnitude to regional earthquake occurrenceM ₃, which is expressed primarily in terms of the annual maximum magnitudeM ₁ and the magnitude equivalent of the annual average total strain energy releaseM ₂. Values ofM ₃ are also estimated graphically from cumulative strain energy release diagrams. Both methods are illustrated by application to the high seismicity of the circum-Pacific belt, using Duda’s (1965) data and regionalisation. Values ofM ₃ obtained analytically, with their uncertainties, are in agreement with those obtained graphically. Empirical relations are then obtained betweenM ₁,M ₂, andM ₃, which could be of general assistance in regional seismic risk considerations if they are found to be of a universal nature. For instance.M ₃ andM ₂ differ by one magnitude unit in subregions of the circum-Pacific.  相似文献   

Similarity of two Liyang earthquakes     

Xu Shaoxie  Liu Yufen 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1984,122(6):894-900

Two moderate earthquakes of magnitudesM _s=5.5 and 6.0 occurred in 1974 and 1979, respectively, in the Liyang region, Jiangsu Province, China. The distance between the two epicenters is less than 20 km and their source mechanisms are very similar. In comparing these two earthquakes, we notice that the similarity of coseismic effects is consistent with a scaling law. The isoseismals of the two earthquakes resemble each other in overall shape but the difference of intensity between pairs of coincident isoseismals is one degree. The precursory seismicity patterns of the two events, such as seismic gaps and preshock swarms, are similar, but do not scale to magnitudes of mainshock. The latter phenomenon may reflect the regional tectonic structure, assuming the entire region to be subjected to the same stress.  相似文献   

Dynamic faulting under rate-dependent friction   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Alain Cochard  Raúl Madariaga 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1994,142(3-4):419-445

We discuss the effects of rate-dependent friction on the propagation of seismic rupture on active faults. Several physicists using Burridge and Knopoff's box and spring model of faulting have proposed that fault complexity may arise from the spontaneous development of a self-similar stress distribution on the fault plane. If this model proves to be correct, it has important consequences for the origin of the complexity of seismic sources. In order to test these ideas on a more realistic earthquake model, we developed a new boundary integral equation method for studying rupture propagation along an antiplane fault in the presence of nonlinear rate-dependent friction. We study rupture dynamics of models with single and twin asperities. In our models, asperities are places on the fault with a higher value of prestress. Othewise all fault parameters are homogeneous. We show that for models with such asperities, a slip velocity weakening friction leads to the propagation of supersonic healing phases and to the spontaneous arrest of fracture if the prestress outside the asperities is low enough. For models with asperities, we can also observe narrow slip velocity pulses, qualitatively similar to the so-called Heaton pulses observed in some earthquake accelerograms. We also observe a complex distribution of stress after the rupture that depends on details of the initial distribution of asperities and on the details of the friction law.  相似文献   

小震空间分在奇异性谱f（α）研究     

Zheng Zhaobi  Zhang Jun 《中国地震》1994,(4)

本文用数盒子法计算了１９７９年３月２日固镇５．０级、１９７４年４月２２日溧阳５．５级和１９７９年７月９日溧阳６．０级地震前后小震空间分布分形集合的奇异性谱ｆ（α），详细讨论了ｆ（α）谱所揭示的主震前后各阶段小震空间分布从稀疏到密集的各种密度分布不均匀性的定量特征。经分析可以看出，奇异性谱ｆ（α）较多重分形谱Ｄｑ的概念更直观、清晰，它包含了空间分布的全部信息，且计算量明显减少。  相似文献   

关于准噶尔西界山带地震活动性研讨     

李凡德 《内陆地震》1994,8(3):241-246

根据地形、地貌、地震地质特征以及地震活动情况研究了准噶尔西界山带的地震活动性。认为１９９０年６月１４日原苏联斋桑７．３级地震和同年８月３日６．８级地震应属准噶尔西界山带地震。显然，准噶尔西界山带范围内的地震烈度区划（１９９０）应该调整。  相似文献   

孔隙压变化对岩石错动面滑动行为影响的实验研究          下载免费PDF全文

李建国  宋瑞卿 《地震地质》1994,16(1):53-59

应用摩擦实验装置，在法向压力σ＿ｎ＝１０～１２０ＭＰａ下研究了孔隙压变化速率对岩石错动面滑动行为的影响。当孔隙压增压速率较大时，具粘滑振荡特性的岩石错动面仍将发生粘滑振荡，当孔隙压增压速率较小时，错动面发生稳定滑动，当增压速率介于上述两者之间时，错动面则呈粘滑－稳滑转化。以上结果对地震前兆和地震控制研究有重要意义  相似文献   

龙门山逆断裂带中段的构造地貌学研究   总被引：39，自引：15，他引：39       下载免费PDF全文

赵小麟  陈社发 《地震地质》1994,16(4):422-428

龙门山逆断裂带中段由３条主要的逆断裂带组成，根据构造地貌学特征和地震活动性推测，其第四纪活动性自南西向北东方向递减，表现出明显的分段性。其中灌县－江油断裂控制了山地与平原或山地与丘陵区的分界以及第四系的厚度，根据这一特征可知该断裂的活动性自南向北，在大邑、灌县和彭县一带最强，绵竹次之，安县至江油最弱。断裂活动的分段性可能受龙门山北部南北向岷山隆起的控制。由于新构造活动分布在３条断裂上，所以区内以６级以下的中小地震活动为主  相似文献   

西藏中部的发震构造   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

吴章明  曹忠权 《中国地震》1994,10(1):19-27

西藏中部的发震构造是晚第四纪以来强烈活动的北东、北西和近南北向的活动断层及受其控制的地堑半地堑型盆地和拉分盆地，东西向缝合线和断层晚第四纪以来的运动性不明显，对地震活动没有明显的控制作用，活动断层的规模和晚第四纪以来的运动性质对地震的震级和数量有明显的的控制作用。８级地震的发生与拉分盆地内部张剪切断层与盆地一侧新活动幅度大的次级走滑断层的相互作用密切相关。  相似文献   

祁连-海原地震带中强地震序列类型分布及其应用          下载免费PDF全文

杨立明  王振亚  程建武  殷志钢 《地震工程学报》2001,23(2):137-141

研究了1970年以来发生于祁连—海原地震带的18次中强地震序列特征，在此基础上确定了地震序列类型，研究了各种类型地震序列的分布规律．结果表明，该带的18次中强地震序列中有44%为主震型，56%为孤立型．西海固地区的中强地震序列一般为孤立型；101°～103.5°E范围内的祁连山中东段的中强地震序列一般为主震型；99°～101°E范围内的祁连山中段为孤立型和主震型序列并存；99°E以西的祁连山西段的中强地震序列为孤立型．将上述结果应用于2000年6月6日景泰MS5.9地震的震后趋势快速判定，判定结果与实际地震活动情况符合．  相似文献