排序方式： 共有104条查询结果，搜索用时 109 毫秒
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利用2017年6—8月的FNL再分析资料分析了新疆地区夏季平流层低层风场的时空演变特征，开展了平流层低层风场的高分辨率数值模拟和检验。结果表明：新疆地区夏季平流层纬向风随时间的变化存在经向差异，同时准零风层开始和结束的时间也存在经向差异，准零风层开始时间南部地区早于北部地区，而准零风层结束时间则相反。整个夏季新疆地区上空的准零风层处于70～40 hPa之间，其高度随时间呈先降低而后升高的变化趋势。准零风层数值模拟结果表明，模拟的准零风层参数与探空资料分析结果相比二者存在一致的变化趋势，准零风层起始高度的平均绝对误差为467 m，该高度对应的风速均方根误差为1.75 m/s。 相似文献
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Spatio-temporal Distribution of Three Kinds of Flash Droughts over Agricultural Land in China from 1983 to 2015 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
At present, flash drought occurs globally and regionally and causes a lot of socio-economic loss in a very short time. Therefore, flash drought has been regarded as one of the hottest issues in drought research. However, flash drought monitoring, prediction and decision-making have encountered a lot of challenges due to its multiple driven factors and complex spatio-temporal process. Aiming at this problem, this paper focused on the agricultural land in China, and analyzed the spatio-temporal distribution of three kinds of flash droughts (i.e., precipitation-deficit, high-temperature, and composite flash droughts) from 1983 to 2015. We studied the occurrences, duration, spatial distribution, temporal distribution, and trend of all three kinds of flash droughts. Our results demonstrated that, the occurrences of flash drought agricultural land in China increased year by year, among which high-temperature flash drought increased dramatically; duration of flash droughts had different trends, but the variations were relatively smooth; Northeast China was identified as a vulnerable area of flash drought, indicating more flash drought events and longer duration; flash droughts in China were found to concentrate in spring (high-temperature drought) and summer seasons (precipitation-deficit drought). This study is helpful for building new flash drought monitoring method and system, and it is also valuable for flash drought preparedness on regional scale. 相似文献
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Huang Bolin Chen Lide Peng Xuanming Liu Guanning Chen Xiaoting Dong Haogang Lei Tianci 《Landslides》2010,7(1):1-11
In 2007 and 2008, six big damaging rockfalls occurred at four sites in Wu Gorge, the second gorge of the Three Gorges, China.
Detailed surveys and aerial-photographic interpretation identified 104 potentially dangerous rock masses. This paper reviews
previous rock-mass risk ratings, examines dangerous rock-mass structure and presents a new assessment system for rockfall
risk (ASRFR) in the Wu Gorge area. The ASRFR considers 15 factors: seven factors for hazard and eight factors for consequence.
Relative importance weights for these factors are ascertained using an analytic hierarchy process. Using an equation to calculate
the risk, the 104 dangerous rock masses were divided into three risk groups: high risk (33 sites), medium risk (33 sites)
and low risk (38 sites). The ASRFR analysis can be used to divide the shipping route through the Wu Gorge into seven courses
each of one of three classes: safe-route regions, yellow-alarm regions and red-alarm regions. The system provides geological
information and a rockfall-risk management tool for local government and the shipment-route department. 相似文献
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基于潜标测量的海洋环境噪声谱特性分析 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
利用海洋环境噪声测量潜标系统对南海典型海域开展了为期3个月的海洋环境噪声测量,16通道海洋环境噪声测量系统每小时测量两分钟噪声信号。数据处理结果表明,800~5 000Hz范围内,噪声谱与风速相关性最好,且风速越大相关性越好,噪声谱与风速的相关性好于与浪高的相关性。风关噪声谱级在海水中部基本不随接收深度发生变化,但由于测量水听器阵长度未能覆盖整个水深,因此未给出海面和海底处谱级变化规律。在400Hz以上的高频段整个风速范围内噪声谱级都随风速发生变化,且噪声谱级与对数风速具有很好的线性关系。 相似文献
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A previous multiple-AGCM study suggested that Indian Ocean Warming （IOW） tends to warm and weaken the southern polar vortex.Such an impact is robust because of a qualitative consistency among the five AGCMs used.However,a significant difference exists in the modeled strengths,particularly in the stratosphere,with those in three of the AGCMs （CCM3,CAM3,and GFS） being four to five times as strong as those in the two other models （GFDL AM2,ECHAM5）.As to which case reflects reality is an important issue not only for quantifying the role of tropical ocean warming in the recent modest recovery of the ozone hole over the Antarctic,but also for projecting its future trend.This issue is addressed in the present study through comparing the models＇ climatological mean states and intrinsic variability,particularly those influencing tropospheric signals to propagate upward and reach the stratosphere.The results suggest that differences in intrinsic variability of model atmospheres provide implications for the difference.Based on a comparison with observations,it is speculated that the impact in the real world may be closer to the modest one simulated by GFDL AM2 and ECHAM5,rather than the strong one simulated by the three other models （CCM3,CAM3 and GFS）.In particular,IOW during the past 50 years may have dynamically induced a 1.0℃ warming in the polar lower stratosphere （～100 hPa）,which canceled a fraction of radiative cooling due to ozone depletion. 相似文献
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Based on thermal simulation experiment, interactions between volcanic fluids and source rocks were studied. Gas generations in the dry system and fluid system under different temperatures were analyzed. The results showed that the various types of source rocks are similar in composition, containing gaseous C1-C5 hydrocarbons, H2 and CO2 whose gas yields increase with increasing temperature. The gas yield of source rocks of type I is the high- est, followed by type II, and that of source rocks of type III is the lowest, indicating that the yield of hydrocarbon gases is related to their hydrocarbon generating potential. Although the generating potential of type III is the lowest, it can still be regarded as a useful gas source when it is buried deeply enough. The basic volcanic fluid restrains the generation of gaseous hydrocarbons in different types of source rocks, but promotes the generation of inorganic gases. 相似文献
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新的高原季风指数与四川盆地夏季降水的关系 总被引：5，自引：1，他引：4
用NCEP/NCAR逐月再分析资料和中国560站月降水资料,定义了一个高原季风指数IPM2。结果表明:与原有高原季风指数相比,该指数与四川盆地夏季降水的相关性更好,能够较好地反映四川盆地夏季降水的异常变化。当高原夏季风偏弱时,巴尔喀什湖至贝加尔湖低压槽、亚洲东岸高压脊、印度低压均加强,同时西太平洋副热带高压偏北,来自孟加拉湾的西南风水汽输送和源于西太平洋的偏南风水汽输送均加强,这种环流形式有利于四川盆地西(东)部夏季降水偏多(少);当高原夏季风偏强时,情况相反。IPM2弱(强)大(小)年与四川盆地西(东)部涝年环流背景相似,表明IPM2能够很好反映四川盆地夏季降水异常的环流场特征。 相似文献
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基于百度地图的精细化格点预报显示 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
精细化格点要素预报是目前中国气象局的主推业务和未来天气预报的发展方向,如何有效地将预报产品提供给用户使用,是精细化格点预报的最终环节。本文介绍了基于百度地图API的陕西精细化格点预报显示系统,系统主要实现了:(1)降水预报,以CMORPH(NOAA Climate Prediction Center Morphing Method)卫星与全国3万个自动观测站的逐时降水量融合资料为基础,通过动态偏差订正的方法来提高格点降水的预报能力;温度预报,采用滑动线性回归的方法来改善温度预报效果。(2)任意位置的地理信息获取及对应格点240h预报时效的气象要素实时展示。(3)格点气象要素向站点转换,通过格点值提取全省98个观测站逐3h站点预报值,实时分析过去24h降水、温度预报与观测值的误差,供用户预判未来预报值的可能误差趋势;并提供未来168h逐日要素预报。(4)与以往的数据库后台支撑不同,本系统直接将3.5GB格点预报数据一次性读入内存,进行侦听,解决了数据库检索、调用效率低下的问题。 相似文献
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