排序方式： 共有25条查询结果，搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
ＡｎＥｃｏｎｏｍｉｃａｌＣｏｎｓｉｓｔｅｎｔＤｉｓｉｐａｔｉｏｎＯｐｅｒａｔｏｒａｎｄＩｔｓＡｐｐｌｉｃａｔｉｏｎｓｔｏｔｈｅＩｍｐｒｏｖｅｍｅｎｔｏｆＡＧＣＭ①ＷａｎｇＢｉｎ（王斌）ａｎｄＪｉＺｈｏｎｇｚｈｅｎ（季仲贞）ＬＡＳＧ，Ｉｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅ... 相似文献
2.
The Regional Eta-coordinate Model(REM) has performed well in forecasting heavy rainfalls in China in recent years.A four-dimensional variational assimilation system(4DVar) is developed to improve the forecast skill of the REM.The tangent linear model and adjoint model codes are written according to thecode to coderule,and the establishment of the REM adjoint modeling system is introduced in detail in this paper.The tangent linear and adjoint models of the REM are validated against the observational data,... 相似文献
3.
THE IMPACT OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY ON THE RADIATIVE PROPERTY AND RADIATIVE FORCING OF SULFATE AEROSOL 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
With the data of complex refractive index of sulfate aerosol,the radiative properties of theaerosol under 8 relative humidity conditions are calculated in this paper.By using the concentrationdistribution from two CTM models and LASG GOALS/AGCM,the radiative forcing due tohygroscopic sulfate aerosol is simulated.The results show that:(1)With the increase of relativehumidity,the mass extinction coefficiency factor decreases in the shortwave spectrum;singlescattering albedo keeps unchanged except for a little increase in longwave spectrum,andasymmetry factor increases in whole spectrum.(2)Larger differences occur in radiative forcingsimulated by using two CTM data,and the global mean forcing is—0.268 and—0.816 W/m~2,respectively.(3)When the impact of relative humidity on radiative property is taken into account,the distribution pattern of radiative forcing due to the wet particles is very similar to that of drysulfate,but the forcing value decreases by 60%. 相似文献
4.
Sensitivity of the DRP-4DVar Performance to Perturbation Samples Obtained by Two Different Methods 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1 
下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 The dimension-reduced projection four-dimensional variational data assimilation (DRP-4DVar) approach utilizes the ensemble of historical forecasts to estimate the background error covariance (BEC) and directly obtains the analysis in the ensemble space.As a result,the quality of ensemble members significantly affects the DRP-4DVar performance.The historical-forecast-based initial perturbation samples are flow-dependent and can describe the error-growth pattern of the atmospheric model and the balanced relat... 相似文献
5.
6.
利用中国科学院大气物理研究所9层大气环流模式（IAP9L AGCM）对夏季气候进行了30年（ 1970～1999年）集合回报试验,并采用统计学分析方法对跨季度夏季短期气候的可预测性问 题进行了初步探讨. 结果表明,该模式对对流层中、高层大气环流的预测能力强于低层,位 势高度场和表面气温的可预测性最大,而降水的可预测性则相对较小. 对流层中、高层位势 高度场的可预测性基本呈带状分布,越靠近赤道可预测性越高;而降水的可预测性基本局限 于赤道东太平洋及热带个别区域. 由此可见,降水的预测极为困难和复杂,订正系 统的研究和寻找新的预报物理因子非常重要. 相似文献
7.
大气季节内振荡最显著的特征之一就是其复杂多变的传播特征。为了进一步分析大气季节内振荡的传播特征及其不同传播方向分量的不同作用,基于波的传播理论,对时-空谱分析进行了发展,提出了时-空二维波传播分解方法,并用理想函数验证了其正确性和可行性。结果表明:对任一时-空二维序列,采用此方法均可正确地分解得到空间上具有不同传播方向的3部分分量:前进波、后退波和驻波分量。之后,对向外长波辐射(OLR)、200和850hPa纬向风的东传、西传分量以及驻波分量分别进行联合经验正交函数(CEOF)分析。结果表明,在东传分量上,热带大气季节内振荡主要表现为纬向1波的向东传播,与对流层高、低层纬向风呈现反位相的斜压结构,和未分解的情况相比,前两个主要模态重要性的排序出现了颠倒,说明通过时-空二维波传播分解,避开了各分量之间的相互影响,进一步揭示了前两个模态的物理意义及其在季节内振荡中的重要性;在西传分量上,热带大气季节内振荡主要表现为纬向2—3波的向西传播;驻波分量主要表现出印度洋和太平洋的反位相结构。对热带地区大气季节内振荡的东、西分量的分析,深化了对热带大气季节内振荡东传、西传特征的了解,这对于热带大气季节内振荡更加准确预报及其... 相似文献
8.
A three-dimensional ocean carbon cycle model which is a general circulation model coupledwith simple biogeochemical processes is used to simulate CO_2 uptake by the ocean.The OGCMused is a modified version of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory modular ocean model(MOM2).The ocean chemistry and a simple ocean biota model are included.Principal variablesare total CO_2,alkalinity and phosphate.The vertical profile of POC flux observed by sedimenttraps is adopted,the rain ratio,a ratio of production rate of calcite against that of POC,and thebio-production efficiency should be 0.06 and 2 per year,separately.The uptake of anthropogenicCO_2 by the ocean is studied.Calculated oceanic uptake of anthropogenic CO_2 during the 1980s is2.05×10~(15)g(Pg)per year.The regional distributions of global oceanic CO_2 are discussed. 相似文献
9.
对热带太平洋海表经向风应力异常与 Ｅ１ Ｎｉ ｏ事件之间的关系进行了诊断分析。结果表明，超前的经向风应力距平场与ＮＩＮＯ３区（１５°－９０°Ｗ，５°Ｓ－５°Ｎ）的海面温度异常（ＳＳＴＡ）有显著的超前相关，这种相关性在超前６个月甚至更早一些就有显示。利用奇异值分解方法分析超前的经向风应力距平场与太平洋海表温度异常场之间的耦合模，结果表明对应于赤道中东太平洋的海面温度异常升高，大气风应力场在超前６个月甚至更早的时候，在赤道中东太平洋表现为辐合的经向异常风应力场，即赤道以北为北风异常应力，赤道以南为南风异常应力。这种耦合模的时间系数与 ＮＩＮＯ３ ＳＳＴＡ指数所表示的 ＥＩｉｏ事件有很好的对应关系，表明这种耦合模反映的正是超前的经向风应力异常与 Ｅｌ ＮｉＢ ｏ事件所对应的海表温度异常之间的相关核态。通过与热带西太平洋纬向风应力异常的比较，赤道中东太平洋辐合的经向风应力异常与ＥｌＮｉｆｉｏ事件发生的同样具有重要的联系。 相似文献
10.
Near 100-year observed data sets are analyzed, and the results show that the variation of seasurface temperature(SST)in the equatorial Indian Ocean has a feature as a dipole oscillation.Thesituation of the dipole oscillation mainly shows the positive phase pattern(higher SST in the westand lower SST in the east than normal)and the negative phase pattern(higher SST in the east andlower SST in the west).The amplitude of the positive phase is larger than that of the negativephase.The dipole is stronger in September—November and weaker in January—April than inother months.It principally shows obviously inter-annual(4—5 year period)and inter-decadalvariation(25—30 year period).Although the Indian Ocean dipole in the individual year seems tobe independent of ENSO in the equatorial Pacific Ocean,in general,the Indian Ocean dipole hasobviously negative correlation with the Pacific Ocean “dipole”(similar to the inverse phase ofENSO).The atmospheric zonal(Walker) circulation is fundamental for relating the two dipoles toeach other. 相似文献