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20世纪80年代后期开始,广东省的气温呈较明显变暖的趋势.气候变暖,引发了我省干旱、暴雨、高温、台风等极端气候灾害频繁发生,分析气候灾害对广东省生态环境和经济社会造成的严重影响,提出了加强灾害性天气气候预测研究,广泛应用和推广研究成果,提高气候灾变的预报能力,以及其他应对经济社会的影响及改善生态环境所要采取的对策和措施... 相似文献
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近59年来广州市暴雨的变化特征 总被引：5，自引：5，他引：0
利用1951～2009年广州市逐日降水资料,采用统计分析方法,对近59年来广州市暴雨的逐月分布及年际与年代际变化特征进行统计,并分析了暴雨的初终日变化及持续天数,结果表明:广州每年除12月外每个月都有暴雨出现,但主要集中在4～9月,暴雨日数具有单峰特征,峰值出现在5月;大暴雨日数具有双峰型特征,峰值分别出现在5、6与8... 相似文献
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利用西江流域9个代表站的降水资料和NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,运用小波分析和带通滤波等方法,对1968、1994、1998、2002和2005年西江流域汛期致洪暴雨过程低频特征进行了分析。这5年西江流域前汛期致洪暴雨期间存在较明显的准双周振荡,西江流域前汛期致洪暴雨是南北冷暖低频系统交汇后发展的结果,来自低纬海洋的低频暖湿气流和来自高纬的低频干冷气流在西江流域附近相遇是造成西江流域前汛期致洪暴雨的主要原因之一,西江流域前汛期致洪暴雨发生期间都有低频正涡旋系统控制或传入,有利于低层水汽的辐合,这对致洪暴雨过程的发生起着重要作用。 相似文献
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The variation characteristics of precipitation during the winter (between October and the
following March, to be referred to as just “the winter” hereafter) in Guangdong province during the past 50
years (from 1957 to 2006) and the relationship with Pacific SST are studied using the methods of
Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) analysis, wavelet analysis, and correlation analysis. The results
show that The Guangdong precipitation during the winter exhibits quasi-periodic significant oscillations of
40 years and 2 years; rainfall is less from the end of the 1950s to the start of the 1970s and from the end of
the 1990s to the present than from the mid 1970s to the mid 1990s. The frequency of sustained drought is
more than sustained flooding during the winter. The Guangdong precipitation during this time period is in
significantly positive correlation to the equatorial central and eastern Pacific SST, but in a significantly
negative correlation with the western and northern Pacific SST east of the Philippine Sea. 61.5% of the
sustained drought occurred in the phase of negative anomalies of the Ni?o3.4 index and 38.5% in the
phase of positive ones. A composite analysis of atmospheric circulation is performed for the positive and
negative phases of the Ni?o3.4 region associated with the sustained drought. The results showed that a
weak polar vortex, a strong trough in Europe and a ridge near Balkhash Lake, active cold air and consistent
northerly wind anomalies controlling Guangdong at low levels, an inactive westerly low disturbance in the
low-mid latitude of the Asian continent, and a weak southern branch westerly trough, are all mutual causes
for the sustained drought. 相似文献
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Based on the daily precipitation data of nine stations representing the Xijiang River valley and the National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (USA) reanalysis data, this study uses the wavelet analysis and band-pass filter methods to investigate the atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation characteristics of flood-causing rainstorms in the valley during the annually first raining seasons in 1968, 1994, 1998, 2002 and 2005. Results show that the daily precipitation in the valley exhibits significant quasi-biweekly (10 to 20 days) oscillations. The flood-causing rainstorms in the valley were mainly associated with the confluence of low-frequency warm and humid airflow in the lower latitudes and cold and dry airflow in the higher latitudes. The low-frequency vortexes were propagating or in control when this type of rainstorms took place over the valley, being favorable for the convergence of moisture at lower levels and thus vital to the formation of the rainstorms. 相似文献
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