Assessment of agricultural drought during crop-growing season in the Sudano–Sahelian region of Cameroon     

Njouenwet  Ibrahim  Vondou  Derbetini Appolinaire  Fita Dassou  Elisabeth  Ayugi  Brian Odhiambo  Nouayou  Robert 《Natural Hazards》2021,106(1):561-577

Natural Hazards - Drought is a recurrent phenomenon in the Sudano–Sahelian region of Cameroon. However, it has received very little attention, especially, on its impacts on the growing season...  相似文献   

The Wadden Sea in transition - consequences of sea level rise     

Johannes Becherer  Jacobus Hofstede  Ulf Gräwe  Kaveh Purkiani  Elisabeth Schulz  Hans Burchard 《Ocean Dynamics》2018,68(1):131-151

The impact of sea level rise (SLR) on the future morphological development of the Wadden Sea (North Sea) is investigated by means of extensive process-resolving numerical simulations. A new sediment and morphodynamic module was implemented in the well-established 3D circulation model GETM. A number of different validations are presented, ranging from an idealized 1D channel over a semi-idealized 2D Wadden Sea basin to a fully coupled realistic 40-year hindcast without morphological amplification of the Sylt-Rømøbight, a semi-enclosed subsystem of the Wadden Sea. Based on the results of the hindcast, four distinct future scenarios covering the period 2010–2100 are simulated. While these scenarios differ in the strength of SLR and wind forcing, they also account for an expected increase of tidal range over the coming century. The results of the future projections indicate a transition from a tidal-flat-dominated system toward a lagoon-like system, in which large fractions of the Sylt-Rømøbight will remain permanently covered by water. This has potentially dramatic implications for the unique ecosystem of the Wadden Sea. Although the simulations also predict an increased accumulation of sediment in the back-barrier basin, this accumulation is far too weak to compensate for the rise in mean sea level.  相似文献   

Assessing the reliability of probabilistic flood inundation model predictions          下载免费PDF全文

Elisabeth Stephens  Paul Bates 《水文研究》2015,29(19):4264-4283

An ability to quantify the reliability of probabilistic flood inundation predictions is a requirement not only for guiding model development but also for their successful application. Probabilistic flood inundation predictions are usually produced by choosing a method of weighting the model parameter space, but previous study suggests that this choice leads to clear differences in inundation probabilities. This study aims to address the evaluation of the reliability of these probabilistic predictions. However, a lack of an adequate number of observations of flood inundation for a catchment limits the application of conventional methods of evaluating predictive reliability. Consequently, attempts have been made to assess the reliability of probabilistic predictions using multiple observations from a single flood event. Here, a LISFLOOD‐FP hydraulic model of an extreme (>1 in 1000 years) flood event in Cockermouth, UK, is constructed and calibrated using multiple performance measures from both peak flood wrack mark data and aerial photography captured post‐peak. These measures are used in weighting the parameter space to produce multiple probabilistic predictions for the event. Two methods of assessing the reliability of these probabilistic predictions using limited observations are utilized; an existing method assessing the binary pattern of flooding, and a method developed in this paper to assess predictions of water surface elevation. This study finds that the water surface elevation method has both a better diagnostic and discriminatory ability, but this result is likely to be sensitive to the unknown uncertainties in the upstream boundary condition. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Sensitivity of a hydraulic model to channel erosion uncertainty during extreme flooding          下载免费PDF全文

Jefferson S. Wong  Jim E. Freer  Paul D. Bates  David A. Sear  Elisabeth M. Stephens 《水文研究》2015,29(2):261-279

Recent research into flood modelling has primarily concentrated on the simulation of inundation flow without considering the influences of channel morphology. River channels are often represented by a simplified geometry that is implicitly assumed to remain unchanged during flood simulations. However, field evidence demonstrates that significant morphological changes can occur during floods to mobilize the boundary sediments. Despite this, the effect of channel morphology on model results has been largely unexplored. To address this issue, the impact of channel cross‐section geometry and channel long‐profile variability on flood dynamics is examined using an ensemble of a 1D–2D hydraulic model (LISFLOOD‐FP) of the ~1 : 2000 year recurrence interval floods in Cockermouth, UK, within an uncertainty framework. A series of simulated scenarios of channel erosional changes were constructed on the basis of a simple velocity‐based model of critical entrainment. A Monte‐Carlo simulation framework was used to quantify the effects of this channel morphology together with variations in the channel and floodplain roughness coefficients, grain size characteristics and critical shear stress on measures of flood inundation. The results showed that the bed elevation modifications generated by the simplistic equations reflected an approximation of the observed patterns of spatial erosion that enveloped observed erosion depths. The effect of uncertainty on channel long‐profile variability only affected the local flood dynamics and did not significantly affect the friction sensitivity and flood inundation mapping. The results imply that hydraulic models generally do not need to account for within event morphodynamic changes of the type and magnitude of event modelled, as these have a negligible impact that is smaller than other uncertainties, e.g. boundary conditions. Instead, morphodynamic change needs to happen over a series of events to become large enough to change the hydrodynamics of floods in supply limited gravel‐bed rivers such as the one used in this research. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Erratum to: Forest–water dynamics within a mountainous catchment in Austria     

Elisabeth Pötzelsberger  Hubert Hasenauer 《Natural Hazards》2015,77(3):2145-2145

  相似文献   

Spatial variability of hydrological processes and model structure diagnostics in a 50 km2 catchment          下载免费PDF全文

Hilary McMillan  Myriam Gueguen  Elisabeth Grimon  Ross Woods  Martyn Clark  David E. Rupp 《水文研究》2014,28(18):4896-4913

  相似文献   

Early‐middle Holocene land snail shell stable isotope record from Grotta di Latronico 3 (southern Italy)     

André C. Colonese  Giovanni Zanchetta  Elisabeth Dotsika  Russell N. Drysdale  Anthony E. Fallick  Renata Grifoni Cremonesi  Giuseppe Manganelli 《第四纪科学杂志》2010,25(8):1347-1359

This paper compares stable isotope (δ¹⁸O and δ¹³C) records of early–middle Holocene land snail shells from the archaeological deposits of Grotta di Latronico 3 (LTR3; southern Italy) with modern shell isotopic data. No substantial interspecific variability was observed in shell δ¹⁸O (δ¹⁸Os) of modern specimens (Pomatias elegans, Cornu aspersum, Eobania vermiculata, Helix ligata and Marmorana fuscolabiata). In contrast, interspecific shell δ¹³C (δ¹³Cs) variability was significant, probably due to different feeding behaviour among species. The δ¹⁸Os values of living land snails suggest that species hibernate for a long period during colder months, so that the signal of ¹⁸O‐depleted winter rainfall in their δ¹⁸Os is lost. This suggests that δ¹⁸Os and δ¹³Cs values of Pomatias elegans from this archaeological succession provide valuable clues for seasonal (spring–autumn) climatic conditions during the early–middle Holocene. The δ¹⁸Os values of fossil specimens are significantly lower than in modern shells and in agreement with other palaeoclimatic records, suggesting a substantial increase of precipitation and/or persistent changes in air mass source trajectories over this region between ca. 8.8 cal ka BP and 6.2–6.7 ka ago. The δ¹³Cs trend suggests a transition from a slightly ¹³C‐enriched to a ¹³C‐depleted diet between early and middle Holocene compared to present conditions. We postulate that this δ¹³Cs trend might reflect changes in the C3 vegetation community, potentially combined with other environmental factors such as regional moisture increase and the progressive decrease of atmospheric CO₂ concentration. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Vertical profiles of aerosol scattering and absorption measured in situ during the North Atlantic Aerosol Characterization Experiment (ACE‐2)     

Elisabeth Öström  Kevin J. Noone 《Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology》2000,52(2):526-545

  相似文献   

Über die Änderung des Tagesganges der Luftfeuchtigkeit mit der Höhe im Gebirge     

Elisabeth Rathschüler 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》1948,1(1):17-31

Zusammenfassung Auf Grund von Registrierungen an eng benachbarten Stationen, die im obersten Salzachtal im Land Salzburg in verschiedenen Höhenlagen zwischen Tal (900 m) und Kammhöhe (2000 m) des begleitenden Gebirgszuges gelegen waren, werden Tagesgänge der relativen Feuchtigkeit, des Dampfdrucks und der spezifischen Feuchtigkeit für Schönwettertage abgeleitet (Tab. 2). Im Vergleich dieser Stationen zeigt sich der Übergang der Form der Tagesgänge der relativen Feuchtigkeit (Abb. 2 und 3) und des Dampfdrucks (Abb. 4) von dem Typ der Niederung zu dem der Bergstationen. Der Einfluß der Konvektion und der über die feuchten Hänge streichenden Hangaufwinde auf diese Umgestaltung der Tagesgänge wird für die einzelnen Jahreszeiten quantitativ nachgewiesen und diskutiert.

---

Summary Using records taken at closely neighbouring stations situated in the uppermost valley of the Salzach in the province of Salzburg at different levels between the valley-bottom (900 m) and the height of the adjacent mountain-ridge (2000 m) the diurnal variation of relative humidity, vapor pressure and specific humidity are derived for fair weather days (Tab. 2). The comparison of these stations shows the transition of the diurnal variation of relative humidity (Fig. 2 and 3) and vapor pressure (Fig. 4) from the ground type to that of the mountain stations. The influence of the convection and of the ascending currents passing over the moist slopes upon this modification of the diurnal variation is quantitatively proved and discussed for the different seasons.

---

Résumé Sur la base d'enregistrements à des stations étroitement voisines situées dans la vallée la plus haute de la Salzach en province de Salzbourg à des niveaux differents entre la vallée (900 m) et l'altitude de la crête de la chaine adjacente de montagnes (2000 m) les variations diurnes de l'humidité relative, de la pression de vapeur et de l'humidité spécifique sont derivées pour les jours de beau temps (Tab. 2). En comparaison de cettes stations la transition de la forme des variations diurnes de l'humidité relative (Fig. 2 et 3) et de la pression de vapeur (Fig. 4) se présente du type de vallée à celui des stations de montagne. L'influence de la convection et des courants ascendants passant sur les pentes humides sur la transformation des variations diurnes est démontrée quantitativement et discutée.

---

---

Mit 4 Textabbildungen.  相似文献   

Symbiotic Relations of Sediment-Agglutinating Nematodes and Bacteria in Detrital Habitats: The Enzyme-Sharing Concept   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Franz Riemann  & Elisabeth Helmke 《Marine Ecology》2002,23(2):93-113

Abstract. A new concept (‘enzyme sharing’) concerning the interaction of marine nematodes and microbes in the degradation of sedimentary detritus is presented. Elements of this concept are (1) the notorious tendency of many aquatic nematodes to agglutinate detrital particles by mucus secretions, (2) new observations on the stimulation of microbial growth by nematodes in agar plates, and (3) literature data on limited endogenous proteolytic capacities of aquatic nematodes.
Observations on nematode‐microbe associations in agar plates prompted the conceptual synthesis. In agar medium without the addition of any nutrients a spectacular growth of bacteria was visible on the sinusoidal crawling trails of nematodes only 2 – 3 days after introduction of the worms (species of Adoncholaimus, Anoplostoma and Sabatieria). Juveniles of Anoplostoma that hatched in the agar cultures left their minute trails in the medium and these were rapidly occupied by bacteria. The nematodes repeatedly visited their bacterial trails, which persisted as a peculiar biotic structure for more than one year and survived the nematodes.
In sterile agar preparations containing the fluorogenic methylumbelliferyl‐β‐glucoside in the presence of the nematode Adoncholaimus, an enhanced fluorescence of the medium was visible, indicating β‐glucosidase activity. We therefore assume that oncholaimid nematodes discharge enzymes that alone, or in concert with microbial activities, contribute to the hydrolytic cleavage of refractory polysaccharides containing β‐glucosidic bonds such as agar components and cellulose. The sugars thus produced may then be taken up by the nematodes and concomitantly support the conspicuous growth of microbes. Since we did not observe any feeding of the nematodes on the associated microbes in agar plates, we question the nutritive potential of intact microbial cells for a number of nematodes abounding in detrital habitats, and call attention to the significance of ambient dissolved or adsorbed organic monomeric nutrients.
Consequently, we perceive the puzzling perpetual accretion of detrital organic particles to sediment agglutinations by nematodes as an adaptation for operating an ‘enzymatic reactor’ for the production of dissolved nutrients. We hypothesise a relationship of mutual commensalism of nematodes and heterotrophic microbes in detrital habitats and propose the term ‘enzyme sharing’ for this relationship. Both parties invest in a common enzyme pool that decomposes organic detritus for their nutrition. We present here evidence that nematodes contribute β‐glucosidase, which is involved in the cellulase system. Data from the literature suggest that microbial enzymatic processing of detrital proteins yields amino acids available to nematodes, which apparently have no efficient proteolytic enzyme system in their intestines.  相似文献