Long‐term variations and temporal scaling of hydroclimatic time series with focus on the German part of the Elbe River Basin          下载免费PDF全文

D. Markovic  M. Koch 《水文研究》2014,28(4):2202-2211

Long‐term variations and temporal scaling of mean monthly time series of river flow, precipitation, temperature, relative humidity, air pressure, duration of bright sunshine, degree of cloud cover, short wave radiation, wind speed and potential evaporation within or in vicinity of the German part of the Elbe River Basin are analyzed. Statistically significant correlations between the 2–15 year scale‐averaged wavelet spectra of the hydroclimatic variables and the North Atlantic Oscillation‐ and Arctic Oscillation index are found which suggests that such long‐term patterns in hydroclimatic time series are externally forced. The Hurst parameter estimates (H) based on the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) indicate persistence for discharge, precipitation, wind speed, air pressure and the degree of cloud cover, all having an annual cycle and a broad low‐frequency distribution. Also, DFA H parameter estimates are higher for discharge than for precipitation. The major long‐term quasi‐periodic variability modes of precipitation detected using Singular Spectrum Analysis coincide with those detected in the discharge time series. Upon subtraction of these low‐frequency quasi‐periodic modes, the DFA H parameter estimates suggest absence of the persistence for both precipitation and discharge. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Changes in tidal asymmetry in the German Wadden Sea     

Hagen  Robert  Winter  Christian  K&#;sters  Frank 《Ocean Dynamics》2022,72(5):325-340

Ocean Dynamics - The recent morphological development of the German Wadden Sea (North Sea, Europe) has been characterized by expanding intertidal flats and deepening, narrowing tidal channels at...  相似文献   

Influence of Weathering on Pore Size Distribution of Soft Rocks     

Knopp  Julia  Steger  Hagen  Moormann  Christian  Blum  Philipp 《Geotechnical and Geological Engineering》2022,40(11):5333-5346

Geotechnical and Geological Engineering - Soft rocks can weather and lose their structure within a short time due to drying out and rewetting. Thus they are very sensitive to weathering. Since...  相似文献   

Analysis of uncertainties in the hydrological response of a model‐based climate change impact assessment in a subcatchment of the Spree River,Germany          下载免费PDF全文

Anne Gädeke  Herwig Hölzel  Hagen Koch  Ina Pohle  Uwe Grünewald 《水文研究》2014,28(12):3978-3998

Climate change impact assessments form the basis for the development of suitable climate change adaptation strategies. For this purpose, ensembles consisting of stepwise coupled models are generally used [emission scenario → global circulation model → downscaling approach (DA) → bias correction → impact model (hydrological model)], in which every item is affected by considerable uncertainty. The aim of the current study is (1) to analyse the uncertainty related to the choice of the DA as well as the hydrological model and its parameterization and (2) to evaluate the vulnerability of the studied catchment, a subcatchment of the highly anthropogenically impacted Spree River catchment, to hydrological change. Four different DAs are used to drive four different model configurations of two conceptually different hydrological models (Water Balance Simulation Model developed at ETH Zürich and HBV‐light). In total, 452 simulations are carried out. The results show that all simulations compute an increase in air temperature and potential evapotranspiration. For precipitation, runoff and actual evapotranspiration, opposing trends are computed depending on the DA used to drive the hydrological models. Overall, the largest source of uncertainty can be attributed to the choice of the DA, especially regarding whether it is statistical or dynamical. The choice of the hydrological model and its parameterization is of less importance when long‐term mean annual changes are compared. The large bandwidth at the end of the modelling chain may exacerbate the formulation of suitable climate change adaption strategies on the regional scale. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Anthropogenic particle dispersions in topsoils of the Middle Nile Delta: a preliminary study on the contamination around industrial and commercial areas in Egypt     

Atef M. Abu Khatita  Helga de Wall  Roman Koch 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2016,75(3):264

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Approximating covariance matrices estimated in multivariate models by estimated auto- and cross-covariances   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

K. R. Koch  H. Kuhlmann  W.-D. Schuh 《Journal of Geodesy》2010,84(6):383-397

Quantities like tropospheric zenith delays or station coordinates are repeatedly measured at permanent VLBI or GPS stations so that time series for the quantities at each station are obtained. The covariances of these quantities can be estimated in a multivariate linear model. The covariances are needed for computing uncertainties of results derived from these quantities. The covariance matrix for many permanent stations becomes large, the need for simplifying it may therefore arise under the condition that the uncertainties of derived results still agree. This is accomplished by assuming that the different time series of a quantity like the station height for each permanent station can be combined to obtain one time series. The covariance matrix then follows from the estimates of the auto- and cross-covariance functions of the combined time series. A further approximation is found, if compactly supported covariance functions are fitted to an estimated autocovariance function in order to obtain a covariance matrix which is representative of different kinds of measurements. The simplification of a covariance matrix estimated in a multivariate model is investigated here for the coordinates of points of a grid measured repeatedly by a laserscanner. The approximations are checked by determining the uncertainty of the sum of distances to the points of the grid. To obtain a realistic value for this uncertainty, the covariances of the measured coordinates have to be considered. Three different setups of measurements are analyzed and a covariance matrix is found which is representative for all three setups. Covariance matrices for the measurements of laserscanners can therefore be determined in advance without estimating them for each application.  相似文献   

Loose Space: Possibility and Diversity in Urban Life – Edited by Karen A. Franck and Quentin Stevens     

Regan Koch 《New Zealand geographer》2010,66(2):174-176

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Geoacoustic Inversions of Horizontal and Vertical Line Array Acoustic Data From a Surface Ship Source of Opportunity     

Stotts  S. A Koch  R. A. Joshi  S. M. Nguyen  V. T. Ferreri  V. W. Knobles  D. P. 《Oceanic Engineering, IEEE Journal of》2010,35(1):79-102

The application of an inversion methodology produces the first demonstration of a simultaneous solution for geoacoustic and source track parameters from acoustic data collected in a shallow-water, sandy sediment environment. Inversion solutions from data collected in the 2006 Shallow Water Experiment (SW06) are extracted from noise measurements of a surface ship source on an L-array. The methodology includes a screening algorithm to determine a set of frequencies for the inversion data. In addition, the methodology assesses the accuracy of the inversion solution and incorporates an estimation of parameter value uncertainties. The solution from the inversion of the horizontal component of the L-array data from the surface ship source before its closest point of approach (CPA) is used to construct modeled propagation loss for comparison with observed received level (RL) structure as the source departs from CPA. Inversion of the data from a single element in the vertical component of the L-array produces a solution that agrees with the solution obtained from the inversion of horizontal subaperture data. Also, modeled transmission loss (TL) structure obtained from the single-element inversion solution reproduces the depth dependence of the RL structure observed at other elements of the vertical component of the L-array.   相似文献   

The climate tourism potential of Alpine destinations using the example of Sonnblick, Rauris and Salzburg     

Andreas Matzarakis  Martin H?mmerle  Elisabeth Koch  Ernest Rudel 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2012,110(4):645-658

The climate tourism potential of a region can be described by methods used in human biometeorology and applied climatology. Frequency analyses based on complex thermal bioclimatic indices (e.g. physiologically equivalent temperature) and diagrams of precipitation patterns based on thresholds offer new approaches of visualisation. An integral approach for tourism climatologic analyses is provided by the climate?Ctourism/transfer?Cinformation?Cscheme that also bases on frequency distributions of relevant factors and parameters which are important for a destination. The knowledge about the vertical variability of tourism climatologic factors is of high importance because of the several kinds of tourism activities affected by weather. The same holds for a quantification of extreme events like heat waves because of their possible effects on health and recreation over a year's course. The results show that the vertical gradient of bioclimatic and tourism-related parameters can be of value when developing strategies of adaption to climate change.  相似文献   

Meteorology and oceanography of the Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean—a review of German achievements from the last decade     

Hartmut H. Hellmer  Monika Rhein  Günther Heinemann  Janna Abalichin  Wafa Abouchami  Oliver Baars  Ulrich Cubasch  Klaus Dethloff  Lars Ebner  Eberhard Fahrbach  Martin Frank  Gereon Gollan  Richard J. Greatbatch  Jens Grieger  Vladimir M. Gryanik  Micha Gryschka  Judith Hauck  Mario Hoppema  Oliver Huhn  Torsten Kanzow  Boris P. Koch  Gert König-Langlo  Ulrike Langematz  Gregor C. Leckebusch  Christof Lüpkes  Stephan Paul  Annette Rinke  Bjoern Rost  Michiel Rutgers van der Loeff  Michael Schröder  Gunther Seckmeyer  Torben Stichel  Volker Strass  Ralph Timmermann  Scarlett Trimborn  Uwe Ulbrich  Celia Venchiarutti  Ulrike Wacker  Sascha Willmes  Dieter Wolf-Gladrow 《Ocean Dynamics》2016,66(11):1379-1413

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