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Pasquier  Ulysse  He  Yi  Hooton  Simon  Goulden  Marisa  Hiscock  Kevin M. 《Natural Hazards》2019,98(3):915-937

Coastal regions are dynamic areas that often lie at the junction of different natural hazards. Extreme events such as storm surges and high precipitation are significant sources of concern for flood management. As climatic changes and sea-level rise put further pressure on these vulnerable systems, there is a need for a better understanding of the implications of compounding hazards. Recent computational advances in hydraulic modelling offer new opportunities to support decision-making and adaptation. Our research makes use of recently released features in the HEC-RAS version 5.0 software to develop an integrated 1D–2D hydrodynamic model. Using extreme value analysis with the Peaks-Over-Threshold method to define extreme scenarios, the model was applied to the eastern coast of the UK. The sensitivity of the protected wetland known as the Broads to a combination of fluvial, tidal and coastal sources of flooding was assessed, accounting for different rates of twenty-first century sea-level rise up to the year 2100. The 1D–2D approach led to a more detailed representation of inundation in coastal urban areas, while allowing for interactions with more fluvially dominated inland areas to be captured. While flooding was primarily driven by increased sea levels, combined events exacerbated flooded area by 5–40% and average depth by 10–32%, affecting different locations depending on the scenario. The results emphasise the importance of catchment-scale strategies that account for potentially interacting sources of flooding.

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The nature of cometary volatile materials is subject to debate. Theoretical models of cometary nuclei and laboratory studies suggest that these objects could be made of amorphous water ice in addition to other volatile molecules and refractory grains. This water ice structure has the ability to encapsulate the gases of surrounding environment, reflecting the physical and chemical conditions during their deposition. Therefore, the knowledge of the chemical composition of volatile molecules trapped in amorphous water ice provides a tool for probing the formation environment of cometary ice grains. Experimental studies of gas trapping efficiency in amorphous water ice have been previously conducted mostly under kinetic conditions, where dynamic pumping and temperature gradients prevented rigorous calibrations. In this work, we investigated the trapping efficiencies of Ar, CO, CH4, Kr and N2 by depositing water vapor as ice in the presence of trace gases in a volume submerged in liquid nitrogen at 77 K. The gas trapping efficiencies were determined simply by monitoring the pressure difference of the trace gases before and after the deposition of a known amount of water molecules as amorphous ice.Our results show that the trapped gas to water molecule ratio in amorphous ice is controlled primarily by the partial pressure of the gas during water ice deposition, and is independent of the ice deposition rate as well as the gas to water ratio in the vapor phase. The trapping efficiencies of gases decrease in the order of Kr > CH4 > CO > Ar > N2 in accordance with previous studies. Assuming that the water ice structure of comets is at least partially amorphous water ice at the time of their formation, these results suggest that the total pressure and composition of the surrounding environment of amorphous ice formation are significant controlling factors of trace gas concentrations in cometary ice. This further indicates that the evolution of the solar nebula and timing of cometary ice condensation can also be important parameters in linking the volatile contents of comets and their formation process.  相似文献   
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