黄河流域气候与农业种植面积变化对径流的影响     

李华贞  张强  顾西辉  史培军 《湖泊科学》2018,30(4):1138-1151

根据黄河流域1960—2005年5个水文站逐日流量、77个气象站1959—2013年逐日降水数据,结合流域内主要农作物种植面积及大型水库资料,全面探讨气候与农业面积变化及人类活动对黄河流域径流变化的影响.研究表明:黄河流域所有流量分位数总体呈下降趋势,并于1980s中后期到1990s中期发生突变.降水变化是黄河流域径流变化的主要影响因素.在考虑不同流量分位数情况下,农作物种植面积变化对不同分位数径流变化的影响也有差异性.花园口站农作物种植面积变化对径流量量级和可变性均有显著影响;其余4站各项气候变化与农作物种植指标参数较大,虽均未达到10%的显著性水平,但仍会对径流的量级变化产生影响.对唐乃亥站,农作物耕作面积的下降减少了灌溉用水,在0.5流量分位数时有高达60%增加径流量的间接作用.对于头道拐站,农作物耕作面积的增加使得流域总蒸发量增加,灌溉用水增加,在0.3流量分位数时有高达40%减少径流量的间接作用.该研究为气候变化与人类活动影响下黄河流域水资源优化配置提供重要理论依据.  相似文献   

基于卫星遥感海温数据的南海SST预报误差订正     

张培军  周水华  梁昌霞 《热带海洋学报》2020,39(6):57-65

尝试利用卫星遥感高分辨率海表温度资料GHRSST (Group for High Resolution Sea Surface Temperature) 与海表温度(sea surface temperature, SST)数值预报产品之间的误差, 建立一种南海SST模式预报订正方法。首先, 利用南海的Argo浮标上层海温数据对GHRSST 海温数据进行验证, 结果表明两者之间均方根误差约为0.3℃, 相关系数为0.98, GHRSST 海温数据可用于南海业务化数值预报SST的订正。预报订正后的SST与Argo浮标海温数据相比, 24h、48h和72h的均方根误差均由0.8℃左右下降到0.5℃以内。与GHRSST 海温数据相比, 南海北部海域(110°E—121°E, 13°N—23°N)订正后的24h、48h和72h的SST预报空间误差均显著减小, 在冷空气影响南海期间或中尺度涡存在的过程中, SST预报订正效果也较为显著。因此, 该方法可考虑在南海业务化SST数值预报系统中应用。  相似文献   

偏振激光雷达探测大气—水体光学参数廓线   总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0  

周雨迪  刘东  徐沛拓  毛志华  陈鹏  刘志鹏  刘群  唐培钧  张与鹏  王雪霁  任佳炜  金时伟 《遥感学报》2019,23(1):108-115

激光雷达在上层水体垂直廓线的遥感中展现出巨大优势。本文研制了一套高垂直分辨率的实时探测偏振激光雷达,提出了一种基于偏振激光雷达回波信号的反演算法,采用Fernald理论和多次散射原理反演非均匀大气—水体的衰减和退偏光学产品,以高效稳定地处理偏振激光雷达实验数据。展示了一个中国内陆水体激光雷达探测实例,观测到了两次气溶胶积聚现象和一次水体浑浊现象。对实验数据的分析表明,退偏比主要由前向多次散射和后向单次散射产生的退偏两部分组成。当多次散射强度较大时,退偏比的变化主要取决于多次前向散射退偏;反之,则主要依赖于单次后向散射退偏。  相似文献   

River discharge,land use change,and surface water quality in the Xiangjiang River,China          下载免费PDF全文

Zhao Zhang  Yi Chen  Pin Wang  Jiabing Shuai  Fulu Tao  Peijun Shi 《水文研究》2014,28(13):4130-4140

To compare the impacts of river discharge on the surface water quality of the Xiangjiang River in China, 12 surface water quality parameters recorded at 31 sampling sites from January 1998 to December 2008 along the river and its main tributaries were analyzed. Significantly higher concentrations of total nitrogen, ammoniacal nitrogen, and total phosphorus, and biochemical oxygen demand were observed during low‐flow periods than during high‐flow periods, implying a higher risk to local residents drinking untreated water during low‐flow periods. Pollution indexes, including the inorganic pollution index and integrated pollution index (IPI), were negatively related to impervious surface area (ISA) and cropland area (CLA) when ISA (CLA) was less than 160 (3000) km². However, the relationship was positive when ISA (CLA) was larger than 160 (3000) km², which provided a reasonable explanation for the observed spatial patterns of water quality. Distinct increasing temporal trends for two kinds of pollution indexes were also found. The annual ISA was significantly related to the rapid degradation of water quality from 1998 to 2008, with correlation coefficient (r) values of 0.816 (p = 0.002) and 0.711 (p = 0.014) for the organic pollution index (OPI) and IPI, respectively. However, annual rainfall was negatively correlated with the two indexes with r values of 0.785 (p = 0.002) and 0.448 (p = 0.093) for OPI and IPI, respectively. Our study highlights that decision makers should be more aware of recent increases in the pollution of the Xiangjiang River, especially at downriver sites and during low‐flow periods. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

鄂西黄陵隆起东缘鄂宜页2井五峰组—龙马溪组页岩气储层特征与含气性          下载免费PDF全文

张保民  蔡全升  陈孝红  王传尚  张国涛  陈林  李培军  李炎桂 《中国地质》2021,48(5):1485-1498

鄂西地区五峰组-龙马溪组已成为中国南方页岩气勘探的热点领域。为深化该区页岩储层及含气性特征认识,本文以鄂宜页2井钻井及测试分析资料为基础,以笔石带为标尺,对五峰组-龙马溪组下部黑色富有机质页岩的岩石学特征、有机地化特征、储集空间类型及结构特征进行深入研究,分析总结了页岩储层含气性特征及影响因素,并对页岩储层开展了综合评价。结果表明：鄂宜页2井五峰组-龙马溪组下部黑色岩系缺失LM5-LM6笔石带,富有机质页岩上延至LM7笔石带,总厚度约16 m;岩性以硅质页岩夹少量硅质岩、混合质页岩和黏土质页岩为主,有机质类型为Ⅰ-Ⅱ1型,Ro为1.88%~2.03%,显示黑色页岩已过大量生气阶段;页岩储集空间主要为小于100 nm的有机质纳米孔、直径大于5 μm的微米孔和构造微裂缝,其中纳米孔占比超过50%,孔隙容积、比表面积与有机碳含量存在显著正相关性;现场解析总含气量为0.068~3.33 m³/t,平均1.13 m³/t,高含气量段集中于凯迪阶WF2-WF3与鲁丹阶LM2-LM4,含气量与TOC、脆性矿物含量之间具有明显的正相关性;根据TOC、含气性、脆性矿物含量以及页岩沉积环境等参数进行综合评价,Ⅰ类储层主要对应于凯迪阶WF2-WF3笔石带以及鲁丹阶LM2-LM4笔石带以深水环境下形成的硅质页岩和硅质岩层段,总厚度约9 m,是该区五峰-龙马溪组水平钻井的最佳甜点段。  相似文献   

末次盛冰期以来苏拉威西海区上层海水对快速气候变化的响应     

褚智慧  翦知湣  乔培军  成鑫荣  边叶萍 《第四纪研究》2011,31(2):256-264

通过对苏拉威西海MD98-2178站位浮游有孔虫定量分析、表层浮游有孔虫Globigerinoides ruber壳体镁钙(Mg/ca)比值反演海表温度(SST),并结合表层和次表层浮游有孔虫氧、碳同位素,探讨末次盛冰期以来,苏拉威西海区温度、盐度、生产力、温跃层深度变化及其对快速气候变化的响应.研究发现:末次盛冰期苏...  相似文献   

Impact of nonlinear processes on formation of the Kuroshio large meander path in a barotropic inflow-outflow model     

张培军  王强  马利斌 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2015,33(1):252-261

Based on a barotropic inflow-outflow model,we examine the formation of the Kuroshio large meander(LM) using conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation(CNOP) method.Both linear and nonlinear evolutions of such perturbations obtained by this method are investigated.The results show that the nonlinear evolution can result in the Kuroshio transition from a straight to LM path,whereas the linear evolution cannot.This implies that nonlinearity plays an important role in the formation of the Kuroshio LM path.The nonlinearity exists as advection in the evolution equations of the perturbation derived from the barotropic inflow-outflow model,namely the nonlinear advection of the perturbation by the perturbation(NAPP).By examining the role of this nonlinearity,we find that the NAPP tends to move the cyclonic eddy induced by the CNOP-type perturbation westward.Together with the beta effect,this offsets part of the eastward advection caused by the interaction between the perturbation and the background flow.Hence,the eastward movement of the cyclonic eddy is significantly weakened,effectively causing the eddy to develop.The sufficient evolution of this cyclonic eddy leads to the formation of the Kuroshio LM.  相似文献   

Quantifying the impact of impervious surface location on flood peak discharge in urban areas   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Shiqiang Du  Peijun Shi  Anton Van Rompaey  Jiahong Wen 《Natural Hazards》2015,76(3):1457-1471

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Rapid detection of virulent protease secreted by Vibrio anguillarum by dot enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay     

ZHANG Zhendong  ZHANG Peijun  MO Zhaolan  WANG Chunling  YU Yang 《海洋学报(英文版)》2005,24(4):155-161

Dot enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay （dot-ELISA）, indirect ELISA and Westem blot were performed to detect the virulent protease secreted by Vibrio anguillarum which was isolated from the diseased left-eyed flounder, Paralichthys olivaceous. Sensitivity results showed that dot-ELISA is a more sensitive, rapid and simple technique for the protease detection. The minimal detectable amount of protease is about 7 pg in the dot-ELISA test, while 7.8 ng in the indirect ELISA and 6.25 ng in the Westem blot respectively. Protease could be detected 2 h after incubation of V. anguillarum in the 2216E liquid medium but enzyme activity was very low at that period. From 6 to 12 h, the amount and enzyme activity of protease increased markedly and reached maximum at stationary phase. Analysis of serum samples periodically collected from the infected flounders showed that after 2 h of infection by V. anguillarum, the pathogenic bacteria could be detected in the blood of the infected flounders but no protease was found. It was 5-6 h after infection that the protease was detected in blood and then the amount increased as infection advanced. Quantitative detection of protease either incubation in the medium or from the blood of infected flounders could be accomplished in virtue of positive controls of quantificational protease standards （＂marker＂） so that the alterations ofprotease secretion both in vitro and in vivo could be understood generally. In addition, the indirect ELISA and dot-ELISA were also performed to detect V. anguillarum cells. Results indicated that the sensitivity of indirect ELISA to bacteria cells is higher than that of the dot-ELISA, and that the minimal detectable amount is approximately 10^4 cell/mL in the indirect ELISA, while 10^5 cell/mL in the dot-ELISA.  相似文献   

养殖牙鲆细菌性病原分离与鉴定     

莫照兰  陈师勇  谭训刚  徐永立  张培军 《海洋科学集刊》2003,(45):163-168

牙鲆(Paralichthys olivaceus)是我国北方沿海地区的重要经济养殖品种，目前已形成工厂化生产规模。随着养殖密度的增加以及海水污染程度的日益严重，养殖牙鲆出现了各种疾病(曲凌云等，2000； Mo Zhaolan et al.，2001).造成了巨大的经济损失。 1999~2000年，山东省荣成、威海、青岛胶南及黄岛地区养殖牙鲆大面积发病，疾病发生时间多在每年的6~11月.病鱼多为3~10月龄。本文作者对以上牙鲆发病地区进行了临床病症的调查，并进行了病原的分离和初步鉴定。  相似文献