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1.
分析了广西ML4.5级以上地震前表征地震活动增强的5种地震活动性参数的时间扫描异常特征,结果表明,对这5种参数进行分析可以提取中等地震前的异常信息,而且异常明显,说明这些地震活动性参数对广西未来中强地震的趋势分析有一定的预报意义,广西中等地震前地震活动性明显增强. 相似文献
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以西安地震台记录的2001-2018年13次6级以上极远震为研究对象,依据AK135走时表进行震相分析,总结归纳典型极远震震相记录特征,以期提高震相分析水平和测震分析工作质量,为其他地震台站极远震分析工作提供借鉴。 相似文献
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本文基于“区域-时间-长度算法”(Region-Time-Length algorithm)回顾性检验了1976年以来发生在川滇地区的6个MS7.0以上和23个MS6.0~6.9地震前地震活动性变化。MS7.0以上强震前,5例检测到地震活动平静异常,仅1例检测到地震活动增强;MS6.0~6.9地震前,12例检测到平静,11例检测到地震活动增强。以上异常大部分出现于震前0.5~2.5a,持续0.5~2a。另外,发生在云南普洱地区的4个MS6.0以上地震震前都检测到平静异常;发生在北纬22.7°~31.0°N,99.6°~102.5°E范围内的17个地震,13例于震前检测到平静异常。以上研究对更好地认识川滇地区地震孕育过程和发震前兆提供了一些参考。 相似文献
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选用首都圈数字遥测地震台网地震波形资料,利用近震源Brune模式计算首都圈地区2002年至今ML≥2.0地震的视应力值,探讨了震源参数的标度关系,最终选取2.0≤ML≤2.9地震对首都圈地区2002年以来中强地震前视应力的时空异常变化特征进行详细分析。研究结果表明:首都圈中强地震前,多次地震出现显著的视应力高值异常,且地震多发生在视应力高值异常区域附近。同时与波速比计算结果进行了对比分析,印证了异常存在具有一定的客观性。由此可见,分析识别首都圈地区的应力状态可以为该地区中强震的危险性提供判定依据。 相似文献
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通过沈阳台记录到20个壳内近震和26个营海岫地区近震,利用s Pn与Pn震相的到时差重新计算这46个近震的震源深度,并和国家台网中心结果及辽宁台网中心结果进行比对,表明沈阳台记录到的s Pn震相可用于计算震源深度,计算得出的深度与国家台网中心及辽宁台网中心所测定深度基本相近,误差较小。 相似文献
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Seismic observations were carried out at Stromboli from October 16th to 24th, 1972. One three-component seismic station was set up at Semaforo Nuovo, about 2 km on the E of the crater plain. Seismic observations showed the occurrence of microtremors, with variable amplitude but constant frequency content, and different types of explosion earthquakes. Spectral and vibration orbit analyses of microtremors and quakes were made in order to infer their nature and the depth of origin. Changes in microtremor amplitudes corresponding to different phases of volcanic activity indicate that their study may be useful in forecasting strongly explosive volcanic phases at Stromboli. 相似文献
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南北地震带及邻近区域强震时空分布特征 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
搜集整理南北地震带区域自史料记载（公元前193年）到2012年9月的强震（Ms≥6.0）资料,初步分析南北地震带及附近区域的地震发震构造活动性和时空分布规律.结果表明,地震一般发生在断层带上,具有空间分布的集群性特征和时间群集性质.研究发现,地震带南段发生6.0≤Ms≤7.9地震次数明显高于北段和中段,而发生Ms≥8.0地震的可能性较低,中段与南段较接近,与北段有明显差异;南北地震带存在明显的纬向、经向强震活动迁移现象,纬向尤其明显;1900年以来,南北地震带已经有4次明显的能量释放阶段,并给出Ms≥6.0地震的震级-频度统计关系式. 相似文献
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本文资料取自华北地震区1446—1969年的地震记录.选出活动期主峰与拐点地震36次, 每两次之间做埃尔米特插值, 这样就构造出一条等间隔采样的曲线, 它反映了五百年来华北地震活动强弱的变化.设此曲线由两部分组成, 确定性部分和随机部分.给出轮回模式与平稳随机过程的自回归模式, 分别进行外推预测.文中还做了后验综合分析, 将近期资料删截15次分别进行计算、外推、预测.把每个时间段被预测危险的次数相加得到预报曲线.根据这些后验的结果, 于1974年4月估计, 1975至1977年华北将出现地震活动高潮.在此间发生了1975年2月5日的海城地震与1976年7月28日的唐山地震.该曲线对今后华北地震仍具有预报意义.以海城地震开始的华北地震高潮还要延续一段时间, 至1980年后才转入低潮, 且到2001年前后将开始重新活动. 相似文献
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V. I. Ulomov 《Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth》2010,46(1):1-18
According to the normative maps of the General Seismic Zoning in the Russian Federation, OSR-97, the Moscow metropolitan area
is situated within the 5 point seismic zone. Of highest hazard priority for tall buildings in Moscow are the low-frequency
vibrations proceeding from the deep sources of strong earthquakes that occur in the East Carpathians (the Vrancea zone, Romania)
at a distance of approximately 1350 km from Moscow. Accelerations of the ground vibrations in Moscow are found from the analysis
of seismic signals produced by Mw = 5.0 to Mw = 7.4 Vrancea earthquakes and recorded at the Moskva seismic station. Extrapolation of the parameters of the weak and moderate
earthquakes towards stronger seismic events provides an estimate for the maximum expected horizontal accelerations of Ahor = 2.3 cm/s2 in case of the Mw = 8.0 Vrancea earthquake. The synthetic accelerogram of the maximum possible effect on the benchmark soils of Moscow is calculated.
The displacements of the ground are multidimensional and not necessarily oriented strictly towards the seismic source. These
inferences suggest that the MSK-64 macroseismic scale be corrected and the Construction Norms and Regulations, SNIP II-7-81*,
be updated with regard to the hazard assessment of low-frequency seismic effects of 5 point and weaker seismic events including
those caused by distant earthquakes. 相似文献
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Migration of strong earthquakes （M≥ 7.0） along the North-South Seismic Belt of China since 1500 AD shows three patterns： Approximately equal time and distance interval migration from N to S, varied patterns of migration from S to N and grouped strong earthquake activity in a certain period over the entire seismic belt. Analysis of strong earthquakes in the past hundred years shows that the seismicity on the North-South Seismic Belt is also associated with strong earthquake activities on the South Asia Seismic Belt which extends from Myanmar to Sumatra, Indonesia. Strong earthquakes on the former belt often lag several months or years behind the quakes occurring on the later belt. So, after the occurrence of the December 26, 2004 Ms8.7 great earthquake off the western coast of Sumatra, Indonesia, the possibility of occurrence of strong earthquakes on the North-South Seismic Belt of China cannot be ignored. The abovementioned migration characteristics of strong earthquakes are related to the northeastward collision and subduction of the India Plate as well as the interaction between the Qinghai-Xizang （Tibet） Plateau and the stable and hard Ordos and Alashan Massifs at its northeastern margin. 相似文献
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Introduction Whether static stress change generated by earthquakes can trigger subsequent earthquakes heretofore is still in debate. Some researchers believe that seismic Coulomb failure stress change generated by earthquake can affect the seismicity nearby (King, et al, 1994; Toda, et al, 1998; Stein, 1999; Seeber, Armbruster, 2000). However, some researchers believe that this model is wrong. For example, Beroza and Zoback (1993) found that stress change generated by the 1989 Loma Prieta … 相似文献
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IntroductionInChina,thecombinationofseismicdesigncodewithzoningmapofseismicintensityorgroundmotionparametersisusuallyadoptedtodeterminetheseismicfortificationcriterionforthegeneralindustryandcivilbuildings.Thepresentproceduresareasfollows.Accordingtothepro-jectlocation,thedesignbasicaccelerationofgroundmotionandthedesigncharacteristicperiodofresponsespectrumareobtainedfromthezoningmapofseismicgroundmotionparameters(GeneralAdministrationofQualitySupervision,InspectionandQuarantineofthePeople… 相似文献
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In the process of updating existing PSHA maps in Central Asia, a first step is the evaluation of the seismic hazard in terms of macroseismic intensity by applying a data driven method. Following the Site Approach to Seismic Hazard Assessment (SASHA) [11], the evaluation of the probability of exceedance of any given intensity value over a fixed exposure time, is mainly based on the seismic histories available at different locations without requiring any a-priori assumption about seismic zonation. The effects of earthquakes not included in the seismic history can be accounted by propagating the epicentral information through a Intensity Prediction Equation developed for the analyzed area. In order to comply with existing building codes in the region that use macroseismic intensity instead of PGA, we evaluated the seismic hazard at 2911 localities using a macroseismic catalog composed by 5322 intensity data points relevant to 75 earthquakes in the magnitude range 4.6–8.3. The results show that for most of the investigated area the intensity having a probability of at least 10% to be exceeded in 50 years is VIII. The intensity rises to IX for some area struck by strong earthquakes in the past, like the Chou-Kemin-Chilik fault zone in northern Tien-Shan, between Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan, or in Gissar range between Tajikistan and Uzbekistan. These values are about one intensity unit less than those evaluated in the Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program (GSHAP; Ulomov, The GSHAP Region 7 working group [29]). Moreover, hazard curves have been extracted for the main towns of Central Asia and the results compared with the estimates previously obtained. A good agreement has been found for Bishkek (Kyrgyzstan) and Dushanbe (Tajikistan), while a lower probability of occurrence of I=VIII has been obtained for Tashkent (Uzbekistan) and a larger one for I=IX in Almaty (Kazakhstan). 相似文献
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利用和田地震台阵数据对2008年于田7.3级地震序列重新定位 总被引：4，自引：1，他引：3
利用新疆和田地震台阵数据,应用宽频F-K分析方法,结合新疆数字地震台网部分台站数据,通过震相到时、方位角和慢度的线形化反演地震定位方法对2008年3月21日新疆于田7.3级地震及2008年3月21日~2008年8月31日ML≥4.0的余震序列中119次地震进行重新定位,重新定位结果与新疆区域地震台网定位结果有明显差异。重新定位结果表明,于田7.3级地震序列呈近NS向条带分布,与野外考察发现地表破裂带基本一致。研究结果表明,利用地震台阵结合部分区域地震台网数据,可以对台网相对稀疏地区的地震进行较为精确的定位,可为基础研究和震情趋势判定提供基础资料。 相似文献
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基于河南测震台网记录的平顶山平煤矿区及周边发生的天然地震和人工爆破资料,按照直观、可快速识别的要求,选用发震时刻、P波初动方向、振幅比、振幅与尾波持续时间比等方法,对该地区天然地震和人工爆破进行对比分析。结果表明,P波与S波最大振幅之比（Pm/Sm）是识别该地区地震类型的最有效判据;P波初动振幅与S波最大振幅之比（Pc/Sm）和S波最大振幅与尾波持续时间之比（Sm/T）2种方法可以作为辅助判据,以提高识别地震类型的准确性。 相似文献
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选取大同地震台记录的2010—2019年531个MS≥5.0地震事件,根据发震区域的不同对其波形走时残差进行分析,得到不同发震区域地震波形的平均走时残差。结果表明,日本、喜马拉雅地区地震波形的走时残差总体为负值,平均残差分别为-1.51 s、-0.70 s;斐济、中国台湾地区、南美洲西海岸地区大多为正值,平均残差为0.79 s、1.83 s、1.86 s。同时发现,在有干扰的情况下参考不同区域平均走时残差计算结果,通过判断实际初至震相与理论初至震相的位置关系,可以更好地开展初至波震相识别工作。 相似文献
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南北地震带是中国大陆的一条主要活动地震带, 20世纪以来有很多大地震集中发生在这条地震带上。为了进一步探讨南北地震带地震活动强度变化的规律并对其进行中期预测,在研究了南北地震带逐年最大地震强度演化特征及其机理的基础上,建立了南北地震带地震强度序列变化的一种模式,建模中采用了人工神经网络技术,并提出了一种简易实用的能够获得较隹预测效果的确定神经网络输入窗口大小的方法。结果表明: 南北地震带的地震活动具有强弱分期轮回的特征; 用人工神经网络建模的预测结果与实际资料的对比检验中误差较小,因而该模型可作为南北地震带地震活动强度变化的预测模型。 相似文献