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针对海洋环境中的半潜式平台多方面不确定性,基于半潜式平台结构整体强度分析方法,考虑多种波浪荷载作用的结构响应,采用非线性逐步垮塌分析方法,研究平台在不同控制工况下的极限承载力模型,建立相应的功能函数.根据结构体系可靠度理论和失效模式之间的关系,采用串联体系的可靠度计算方法.最后,对一座具体半潜式平台在100年重现期波浪荷载作用下进行了体系可靠性计算.计算结果表明平台整体可靠度水平由波浪引起的主要结构响应形式决定.通过计算,验证可靠度计算方法具有高效性和可行性,可以为大型深水浮式平台结构的设计、维护和评估提供理论依据. 相似文献
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疲劳和可靠度分析的设计方法已逐步被用于海洋工程领域,为了适应预报海上立管疲劳寿命的需要,一种有效的、以质量集点原理为基础的数字计算方法已获成功,该计算程序可以用来计算二维、大位移海上立管的时域动力特性.本文是文献[1]的继续,主要调强立管在随机运动条件下,立管弯矩应力沿轴线的分布及其统计分布.该文指出随机运动状态的立管弯矩应力不会出现如规则的较高频、较大位移运动条件下的较高的应力现象,说明立管裂纹的出现其主要原因是疲劳而致.分析所得的弯矩应力历时的极大值的统计分布比较接近于维泊尔(Weibull)的理论分布. 相似文献
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深水半潜式钻井平台简化疲劳分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
研究适用于中国南海的深水半潜式钻井平台结构简化疲劳分析方法。依据中国南海环境条件,计算平台结构应力响应,得到平台结构应力范围长期Weibull分布形状参数。通过结构波浪应力的长期预报,计算得到平台寿命期一遇波浪载荷,依据寿命期一遇波浪载荷计算平台结构寿命期一遇最大热点应力范围。采用简化疲劳分析方法计算平台结构疲劳寿命,用谱疲劳分析方法验证简化疲劳分析结果的准确性,证实了简化疲劳分析方法相对保守,可应用于平台的设计。 相似文献
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研究短期海况中海洋结构物在宽带波浪载荷作用下交变应力过程中的应力范围的概率分布及结构疲劳损伤问题.首先从应力的功率谱密度出发,利用小波变换作为工具,对应力过程进行模拟.然后用雨流计数法识别出应力过程中对结构造成疲劳损伤的应力范围,并用Weibull分布对应力范围的分布进行了拟合;最后给出了应力范围服从Weibull分布时结构疲劳损伤的计算方法. 相似文献
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基于模拟退火算法的潜艇结构系统可靠性计算 总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9
针对结构系统可靠度计算中重要样本函数选择的困难，提出了应用模拟退火算法的自适应的重要样本法，并根据结构系统可靠性计算的特点，给出了适宜的模拟退火过程的冷却进度表。潜艇耐压结构系统可靠性分析的算例表明，本方法可有效地解决非线性失效方程的工程结构系统可靠度的计算问题。 相似文献
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浮式生产储油船船体疲劳计算 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
船体结构的疲劳问题一直是船舶设计者十分关注的问题，特别是高强度钢在船体结构中的广泛使用，使船体结构的疲劳破坏问题更加突出。本文以一大型浮式生产储油船（Floating Production and Storage and Offilading)为例，系统地介绍了一种基于S－N曲线和Miner线性疲劳累积损伤原理，计算船体在局部结构应力热点处的疲劳寿命。该方法考察了船舶运营期内的实际工况和海况条件，船体局部应力热点的焊接情况，几何形状，受载形式以及尺寸效应等因素。计算中借助了DNV船级社的SESAM程序系统的部分模块。 相似文献
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During the last decade, partial safety factor systems have been adopted in the design standards of coastal structures, which are based on probabilistic theories but have a format similar to the traditional safety factor system. Tetrapod is one of the widely used breakwater armor units in the world. The previous partial safety factor system was developed based on limited wave and structure data in several locations. In this paper, a partial safety factor system for Tetrapod armor units is developed by performing reliability analysis and optimal code calibration for 116 breakwater cross-sections and wave conditions in 31 harbors in Korea. The partial safety factors associated with different ranges of the shape parameter of the Weibull extreme wave height distribution for different target probabilities of failure are proposed. For other types of extreme distributions, the skewness of the distribution should be calculated and the partial safety factors of the Weibull distribution of the same skewness could be used (the skewness of the Weibull distribution changes with the shape parameter). The developed system is applied to existing breakwaters to examine its applicability. 相似文献
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A surface panel method treating a boundary-value problem of the Dirichlet type with the free surface is presented to design a three-dimensional body corresponding to a prescribed pressure distribution. The free surface boundary condition is linearized with respect to the oncoming flow, and computed by four-point finite difference scheme. Sample designs for submerged spheroids and Wigley hull are carried out to demonstrate the stable convergence, the effectiveness and the robustness of the method. The design of a 5500TEU container carrier is performed with respect to reduction of the wave resistance. To reduce the wave resistance, calculated pressure on the hull surface is modified to have the lower fluctuation, and is applied as a Dirichlet type dynamic boundary condition on the hull surface. The designed hull form is verified to have the lower wave resistance than the initial one not only by computation but also by experiment. 相似文献
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The extreme behavior of surface waves as they encounter and pass compliant deepwater platforms is an important class of problems for offshore engineers attempting to specify the platform deck elevation. In this study analytical expressions for the probability density and cumulative distribution functions that utilize empirical coefficients in an attempt to accurately model surface wave runup and airgap problems are presented. The analysis focuses upon interpreting the tails of the measured data histograms using two parameter Weibull distribution models. The appropriate empirical constants, assumed to be solely dependent upon the significant wave height, were evaluated and compared for all the test data. Based upon a small select set of data, for a mini-TLP and two Spar platforms, the airgap problem was found to be adequately modeled using a Rayleigh distribution. Further, for the seven seastates analyzed, the Weibull shape parameter was nearly constant and the data confirmed that the exclusive fit of the scale parameter assuming dependence only on the significant wave height was a reasonable approach for modeling the wave runup. Finally, by combining these models with a Poisson return model for each storm the associated reliability estimates for various deck heights were estimated. 相似文献
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Spatio-temporal semantics based on "object views" or "event views" has few abilities to represent and model the continuity and gradual oceanic phenomena or objects, which seriously limits the specific marine applications and knowledge discovery and data mining, so this paper proposes a hi- erarchical abstraction semantics with "marine spatio-temporal process→life span phases→evolution sequences→state units" and process objects included by level with "marine process objects→phase objects→sequence object→state objects" with the oceanic process characteristics into the marine process semantics. In addition, this paper designs the storage and representation of marine process objects using the backus normal forms (BNF) and abstract data type (ADT). Base on El Niño Southern Oscilation (ENSO) index and Chinese rain gauging station data, this paper also gives a case of study. The spatio-temporal analysis between ENSO process and Chinese rainfall anomalies shows that the marine spatio-temporal semantics not only can illustrate the spatial distribution of Chinese rainfall anomalies in different time scales at ENSO process, life span phases and state units, but also analyze the dynamic chan 相似文献
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The relative distributions of mid‐ and late‐stage phyllosomas, and pueruli, of Jasus edwardsii from five research cruises off the east coast of the North Island of New Zealand were analysed. A statistical approach was taken, using a bootstrapping with replacement method to test whether the observed mid‐ and late‐stage phyllosomas could have come from the same distribution. Differences in distribution between mid‐ and late‐stage phyllosomas were very close to significant at 95% confidence for two cruises, significant at 85% confidence for one cruise, and two cruises showed a non‐significant result. When all cruise data were combined into one analysis, the differences between mid‐ and late‐stage phyllosomas were significant with 85% confidence. On average, late‐stage phyllosomas were found 49 km further inshore than mid‐stage phyllosomas. One station during one cruise and one transect during another showed such high abundances that they affected the analyses. When these outlier data were excluded, the differences in mid‐and late‐stage distributions become significant with 99% confidence. One explanation for observed distribution differences is that the late‐stage phyllosomas swim shoreward—as the pueruli are believed to do. This implies an ability to navigate in both these early life forms. If the late‐stage larvae are indeed swimming horizontally, it is likely that this is most effectively accomplished by final‐stage phyllosomas, which have well developed pleopods, similar to those in the puerulus stage. 相似文献
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It is well established that the ship-ice interaction process is quite complex and associated ice loads on the icebreaker hull is a stochastic process. Obviously, novel accurate statistical methods and models should be developed and applied to estimate extreme bow stresses.This paper studies icebreaker bow stresses based on measured distribution of ice thickness in the Arctic Ocean on the way to and from the North Pole. Since the vessel route was carefully selected searching for easier ice conditions, the Arctic Ocean crossing was not a straight linear but a meandering path. Thus, the specific ship route data was biased with respect to general ice statistics in the region, but true with respect to the route specific ice data encountered by a ship navigating in that region. Therefore the route specific ice thickness data is directly needed for ship design and navigation analysis. It is assumed that captains are competent and knowledgeable, and therefore will select a route that provides the most favourable ice conditions.This paper contributes to study of the newest Chinese self-designed polar icebreaker, serving the purpose of enhancing icebreaker operational reliability. Finite Element Method software package ANSYS/LS-DYNA has been employed to simulate bow stress pattern for a particular icebreaker operating in the Arctic Ocean. Extreme bow stresses were estimated using Naess-Gaidai method. The latter is a first application of Naess-Gaidai method to a distribution with lower bound. Thus this paper aims at introducing an efficient method of estimating route-specific icebreaker extreme bow stresses. 相似文献
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The load and corrosion caused by the harsh marine environment lead to the severe degradation of offshore equipment and to their compromised security and reliability. In the quantitative risk analysis, the failure models are difficult to establish through traditional statistical methods. Hence, the calculation of the occurrence probability of small sample events is often met with great uncertainty. In this study, the Bayesian statistical method is implemented to analyze the oil and gas leakages of FPSO internal turret, which is a typical small sample risk but could lead to severe losses.According to the corresponding failure mechanism, two Bayesian statistical models using the Weibull distribution and logarithmic normal distribution as the population distribution are established, and the posterior distribution of the corresponding parameters is calculated. The optimal Bayesian statistical model is determined according to the Bayesian information criterion and Akaike criterion. On the basis of the determined optimal model, the corresponding reliability index is solved to provide basic data for the subsequent risk assessments of FPSO systems. 相似文献
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In the ship design optimization process, the neglect of the unavoidable uncertainty of parameters in the actual navigation and experimental observations, may lead to a bad result with some hidden dangers in practical applications. Considering the influence of the uncertainty, a new and effective hull form reliability-based robust design optimization (RBRDO) framework, including the hull form modification module and RBRDO module, has been developed and tested in the present work. Radial basis function method is utilized as the parametric hull surface modification technique to generate a series of smooth hull forms while combining polynomial chaos expansions (PCE) method with maximum entropy method (MEM) to conduct the uncertainty analysis for the prediction of the mean and the standard deviation of the objective and the failure probability of constraints. To verify the validity of the method, hull form design optimization of the bow of KCS model is implemented under the influence of the uncertainty. Numerical results indicate that the proposed RBRDO framework is effective compared with traditional Monte Carlo method. Meanwhile, compared with traditional DO case, RBRDO case has higher adaptability to the environmental uncertainty with the lower failure probability, which ensure the robustness and reliability of the optimal hull form. 相似文献
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A new concept of a hull form to improve wave response characteristics for marine construction barges
F.Y. Michael 《Ocean Engineering》1983,10(3):157-170
The object of the new hull form is to provide a single hull which possesses long natural periods of roll and heave and has substantially reduced motion response amplitudes in very high sea states. Model tests and preliminary estimates indicated that the new hull form can be designed for roll and heave motions nearly equivalent to those of much larger semisubmersible units.All existing conventional marine construction barges have rectangular cross section hull. The new hull form consists of a system of upper side tanks and lower side tanks added onto a rectangular cross section hull. The upper tanks and lower tanks form longitudinal troughs on the port and starboard sides. Structural grillage of any open type is to connect the upper and lower tanks at the side of the vessel. Figure 1 indicates a profile and a typical transverse section of the new hull form. The new hull comprises the concept of reduced water plane area which is turn results in low transverse metacentric height and low tons per in. immersion. The novel features of combining low GMT and low TPI with extremely heavy damping and added mass of the entrained water characteristics result in very long natural periods of roll and heave and considerably small rolling and heaving amplitudes in high sea states. The open side shell plating on the side of the vessel functions to dissipate wave energy at the side of the vessel which would have otherwise been transmitted to the vessel and caused the vessel to respond. This paper presents the conceptual foundation and outline of the new hull form. Model test results are presented and implemented. Also presented is the design philosophy. 相似文献
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广东阳西近岸海域波浪的分布特征 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
通过对广东阳西近岸测站1a实测波浪资料及岸边同期风资料的整理与分析,探讨了该海域的波浪特性,得出研究海域不分方向H1/10年平均值为1.00 m,常浪向为SE向,出现的频率为38.35%,强浪向为SE向,观测期间的最大波高出现在0814号"黑格比"台风期间,Hmax值为8.31 m.用已有的理论分布函数对实测统计数据进行拟合,筛选出研究海域的波高分布、周期分布及波高与周期联合分布的特征,结果表明双参数威布尔理论波高分布、杨正己威布尔周期分布、朗格-赫金斯83模式或者孙孚模式较为适用于本海区的波高分布、周期分布、波高周期联合分布;结合相应的风速风向资料,运用回归分析方法,建立了该地区的波高与风速之间、波高与波周期之间的关系. 相似文献