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1.
Results of seismological observations in the western Kaliningrad region and in the Baltic Sea water area 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
S. A. Kovachev 《Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth》2008,44(9):706-716
In 2006–2007, researchers of the IO RAS conducted seismological observations in the Baltic Sea and western Kaliningrad region with the use of ocean-bottom and land-based autonomous seismic stations. According to maps of general seismic zoning of the territory of Russia, the Kaliningrad region is aseismic. However, a series of seismic phenomena with magnitudes of about 5 and sources located near the Bay of Gdansk coast occurred here in September 2004. The total duration of the IO RAS seismological observations in five areas of the region under investigation was more than 200 days. The analysis of seismic records of the IO RAS network located sources of two local weak earthquakes with magnitudes M L = 3.4–3.5, which indicates that the seismic process in the western part of the Kaliningrad region continues and the region is far from being seismically stable. 相似文献
2.
A. A. Nikonov 《Seismic Instruments》2014,50(2):155-168
The Kaliningrad earthquakes of September 21, 2004, were unpredicted and unprecedented in intensity. These features determine the necessity of a thorough search for the historical records on past strong seismic events in the region. Based on the discovered historical data, the paper analyzes the seismic activation at the beginning of the 14th century. The historical event is parameterized and compared with the 2004 Kaliningrad earthquakes. An attempt is made to estimate the seismic potential of the region and to clarify the main features of its long-term seismic regime. 相似文献
3.
The paper discusses problems of seismic zoning of the Kaliningrad region, where a series of perceptible earthquakes occurred in 2004; the strongest event had a magnitude of M s = 4.3 and produced shakings of an intensity of 6 in the coastal zone of the Sambiiskii Peninsula, classified as a 5-intensity zone. The enhanced seismic effect is shown to be caused by bad ground conditions, long-term action of seismic effects, resonance phenomena, and other factors. To gain additional constraints on the seismic hazard degree in the Kaliningrad region, the paper discusses an improved version of the model of earthquake sources underlying the compilation of normative maps of seismic zoning (OSR-97). Modified fragments of OSR-97 probability maps of the Kaliningrad region are constructed at different levels of probability that the seismic effect indicated in the maps will be exceeded over 50 yr. It is shown that additional seismological investigations should be conducted in this region. 相似文献
4.
The territory of Lithuania and adjacent areas of the East European Craton have always been considered a region of low seismicity. Two recent earthquakes with magnitudes of more than 5 in the Kaliningrad District (Russian Federation) on 21 September 2004 motivated re-evaluation of the seismic hazard in Lithuania and adjacent territories. A new opportunity to study seismicity in the region is provided by the PASSEQ (Pasive Seismic Experiment) project that aimed to study the lithosphere–asthenosphere structure around the Trans-European Suture Zone. Twenty-six seismic stations of the PASSEQ temporary seismic array were installed in the territory of Lithuania. The stations recorded a number of local and regional seismic events originating from Lithuania and adjacent areas. This data can be used to answer the question of whether there exist seismically active tectonic zones in Lithuania that could be potentially hazardous for critical industrial facilities. Therefore, the aim of this paper is to find any natural tectonic seismic events in Lithuania and to obtain more general view of seismicity in the region. In order to do this, we make a manual review of the continuous data recorded by the PASSEQ seismic stations in Lithuania. From the good quality data, we select and relocate 45 local seismic events using the well-known LocSAT and VELEST location algortithms. In order to discriminate between possible natural events, underwater explosions and on-shore blasts, we analyse spatial distribution of epicenters and temporal distribution of origin times and perform both visual analysis of waveforms and spectral analysis of recordings. We show that the relocated seismic events can be grouped into five clusters (groups) according to their epicenter coordinates and origin and that several seismic events might be of tectonic origin. We also show that several events from the off-shore region in the Baltic Sea (at the coasts of the Kaliningrad District of the Russian Federation) are non-volcanic tremors, although the origin of these tremor-type events is not clear. 相似文献
5.
The paper analyzes data of leveling and meteorological observations conducted in the Kaliningrad region in the second half of September 2004, i.e., during a period including the few moderate seismic shocks of September 21, 2004. The analysis of long observation series and comparison of sea level variations recorded from September 15 through 30, 2004, with meteorological data have led to the conclusion that, most probably, the Sambiiskii Peninsula subsided tectonically by 25–30 cm over 12–24 h and a new sequence of seismic shocks occurred five to eight hours after the beginning of the subsidence. The geodynamic and prognostic aspects of the results obtained in this work are discussed. 相似文献
6.
E. A. Rogozhin A. N. Ovsyuchenko S. S. Novikov A. V. Marakhanov 《Seismic Instruments》2011,47(4):295-306
Resulting from the seismotectonic study of the Sambian Peninsula based on the interpretation of remote sensing data (satellite
images and digital elevation maps), lineaments have been identified. They may be interpreted as active faults and flexure-fracture
zones. These active faults, which are expressed in the form of gentle linear swells or steps in the relief, have been found
and studied during the carried out field works. There are many discovered paleoseismic dislocations in the studied areas of
active faults: fracture displacements, marks of liquefaction (sand dykes), near-fault folds. These seismic dislocations may
indicate seismic shocks of 7–8 intensity points occurring in the neighborhood of a modern Kaliningrad city in recent geological
history. The identified active structures (Yantarny Fault Zone and Bakalino flexure-fracture zone) could control sources of
the 2004 Kaliningrad earthquakes. 相似文献
7.
The Harvard CMT catalogue contains 481 shallow earthquakes that occurred between 1 January 1977 and 30 November 2005 within
a broad region defined by the geographical latitude from 3°S to 14°N and by the longitude from 91°E to 102°E. There are 230
events that occurred before the great earthquake of 26 December 2004. Their surface distribution is not uniform and the source
area of the 2004 great event appears as an area of seismic quiescence with a radius of about 100 km. There are 186 events
that occurred between the two great earthquakes of 26 December 2004 and 28 March 2005. Practically all of them are located
to the northwest from the great earthquake of 2005, that in turn was followed by 63 events, mostly located to the southeast.
The cumulative seismic moment from earthquakes before the occurrence of the great event of 2004 increased rather regularly
with time, with sudden increase about twenty years and two years before the occurrence of the great event. The seismic moment
of earthquakes between the two great events increased rapidly during the first ten-fifteen days, then flattened out and increased
slowly with time. After the great event of 2005 the seismic moment shows quiet increase during some 115 days, then sudden
jump, followed by very small activity till the end of our observations. From the spatial distribution of seismic moment of
earthquakes that occurred before the great event of 2004 it follows that its largest release appeared to the southeast from
the great event, around the rupture area of the great earthquake of 2005. The largest release of seismic moment from earthquakes
between the two great events is observed in the vicinity of the 2004 event and further up to the north. The seismic moment
from earthquakes that occurred after the great event of 2005 was mostly released in its vicinity and further down to the south. 相似文献
8.
Seismicity of the southern Siberian platform: Spatiotemporal characteristics and genesis 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Analysis of instrumental data on earthquakes of 1960–2005 in the Irkutsk amphitheater shows that the majority of the earthquakes form a wide (150–300 km) band of diffuse seismicity along the marginal suture of the Siberian platform. In accordance with established regular spatiotemporal patterns of the distribution of earthquakes, this band belongs to the Sayan-Baikal seismic belt, associated with the destruction process at the boundary of large lithospheric blocks. The band is located on the northern periphery of the belt and, the deformable substrate being highly monolithic, this sharply weakens the seismicity within the band. Because of the tectonic origin of earthquakes in such a vast platform territory, undoubted evidence for induced seismicity around the Angara cascade reservoirs, and the intense economic development of the region, the problem of seismic hazard in the southern Siberian platform should be regarded as one of the most significant objects of geodynamic research. 相似文献
9.
Earthquake of November 30, 2004, in Podhale region, southern Poland, was of unexpectedly big size in this area of weak seismicity.
As Poland is considered a country of low seismicity, the earthquake has caused concern about seismic hazard in Poland, especially
since it took place shortly after the even more unexpected Kaliningrad Region, Russia, earthquakes of September 21, 2004,
that inflicted minor damage in northern Poland. The paper presents the findings on the Podhale earthquake which reached macroseismic
intensity up to 7 and magnitude 4.7 (m
b
; ISC). The event was felt up to a distance of about 100 km and inflicted slight damage to buildings in its narrow epicentral
area, thus evidencing its relatively shallow depth. The quake has been located near the village of Skrzypne, about 15 km west-southwest
of the district capital Nowy Targ. The source mechanism has been found to be of dip slip normal fault type, although a problem
remains of association of this mechanism with known tectonic dislocations in the region. The earthquake has been followed
by a long series of aftershocks. Their distribution in time is also studied and the biggest aftershocks have been located. 相似文献
10.
本文应用中国地震台网给出的全球大震目录, 结合前人的研究, 分析了1900年以来全球MS≥8.0巨大地震活动的时间变化与MS≥7.8大地震的空间迁移特征, 同时还探讨了包含中国大陆西部及其周边的“大三角”地区MS≥7.8地震的发展态势。 20世纪全球百年的大震活动表现为20世纪前半叶活动强而后半叶活动弱的前高后低的活动特点, 而进入21世纪以来有增强活动显示, 呈现百年左右起伏的长期变化。 在这百年尺度的起伏之中还含有20年左右的韵律变化, 主要显示为地中海—喜马拉雅地震带巨大地震的平静—活跃交替活动特征。 根据大震活动的起伏特征和地中海—喜马拉雅地震带幕式活动特性, 进入21世纪以来, 地中海—喜马拉雅带巨震频繁发生, 显示其地震活动显著增强的高活动态势。 通过计算中国大陆西部及周边地区的不同震级地震的变异系数Cv发现, 7.0级以上强震与7.8级以上大地震活动类型不同; 采用对数正态分布对MS≥7.8地震活动进程进行拟合分析发现, 到2015年的累积发震概率达0.80, 到2020年的累积发震概率达0.89, 表明与中国大陆关系紧密的“大三角区”已进入大地震活跃时段。 相似文献
11.
通过对广西及邻区(以下简称研究区)地震活动的背景,包括研究区地震活动特征、断裂带的分布、主压应力轴方向与强震发生的主体地区、地震活动时空扫描异常特点、强震发生的时间特点进行了分析,说明该地区存在发生中强震的可能。并对2004年广东阳江4.9级2、005年云南文山5.3级、2005年广西平果4.4级地震前的异常进行了分析,说明研究区地震活动特征显著。同时获得了区域中强以上地震前的主要异常指标,对今后地震预测有一定指导意义。 相似文献
12.
V. I. Vettegren V. S. Kuksenko M. A. Kryuchkov 《Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth》2006,42(9):755-760
Temporal dependences of the Earth’s earthquake distribution over seismic moments are analyzed in the period from 1962 through 2004. They are shown to group in the vicinities of three hierarchical levels. The average seismic moments at neighboring levels differ by three times. The variations in the number of earthquakes at neighboring hierarchical levels are opposite in phase. The distribution of earthquakes over seismic moments at each level is described by the gamma function. 相似文献
13.
分析了乌什-阿图什地震危险区所处的柯坪块体地震时空活动特点:6级以上地震均沿块体边缘分布;6级地震时序分布不均匀,空间分布表现出轮回特征;6级地震前4级地震平静较为普遍,相关构造带以增强-平静为主要特征;响应地震的地点指示意义较为明确。文中还对危险区异常判定及2009年块体3次5级地震异常跟踪进行了总结。 相似文献
14.
采用数理统计方法探讨了780 BC至今、100°—110°E、22°—35°N（中国南北地震带）区域的中国大陆5.0级及以上天然地震的分布规律。通过GMT软件绘制了南北地震带上地震震中和断裂分布图像,分析了南北地震带地震时空分布与地震活动性的规律。研究表明,该地区的大震与强震几乎全部发生在断裂带上,地震频次高、震中密集,呈现集群性等特征,地震活动性较高。该地震带中、南段相似,与北段存在显著差异。在南北地震带上,地震的活跃幕与平静幕持续时间,与活跃幕强度有关。研究结果对于了解地震的时空分布特征,认识中国南北地震带的发震规律,地震的孕震发震和地震活动周期有参考意义。 相似文献
15.
南天山东段地震活动特征 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
分析研究了南天山地震带构造环境、中强地震活动震源机制解、中强地震时空分布以及拜城周围小震群活动与中强地震的关系。结果表明：南天山东段中强震震源断错以倾滑逆断为主,主压应力P轴由西到东呈扇形分布;相距较近的库车与拜城地区地震活动存在较大差异,但均存在明显的成丛性分布特点;拜城地区中强地震分布呈北西向可能预示着该区存在隐伏断裂,小震群活动则可能反映了局部中强震对周围次级小构造的影响。 相似文献
16.
A seismic gap on the Anninghe fault in western Sichuan,China 总被引：10，自引：0，他引：10
Through integrated analyses of time-varying patterns of regional seismicity, occurrence background of strong and large historical earthquakes along active faults, and temporal-spatial distribution of accu- rately relocated hypocenters of modern small earthquakes, this paper analyzes and discusses the im- plication of a 30-year-lasting seismic quiescence in the region along and surrounding the Anninghe and Zemuhe faults in western Sichuan, China. It suggests that the seismic quiescence for ML≥4.0 events has been lasting in the studied region since January, 1977, along with the formation and evaluation of a seismic gap of the second kind, the Anninghe seismic gap. The Anninghe seismic gap has the background of a seismic gap of the first kind along the Anninghe fault, and has resulted from evident fault-locking and strain-accumulating along the fault during the last 30 years. Now, two fault sections either without or with less small earthquakes exist along the Anninghe fault within the An- ninghe seismic gap. They indicate two linked and locked fault-sections, the northern Mianning section and the Mianning-Xichang section with lengths of 65 km and 75 km and elapsed time from the latest large earthquakes of 527 and 471 years, respectively. Along the Anninghe fault, characteristics of both the background of the first kind seismic gap and the seismicity patterns of the second seismic gap, as well as the hypocenter depth distribution of modern small earthquakes are comparable, respectively, to those appearing before the M=8.1 Hoh Xil earthquake of 2001 and to those emerging in the 20 years before the M=7.1 Loma Prieta, California, earthquake of 1989, suggesting that the Anninghe seismic gap is tending to become mature, and hence its mid- to long-term potential of large earthquakes should be noticeable. The probable maximum magnitudes of the potential earthquakes are estimated to be as large as 7.4 for both the two locked sections of the Anninghe fault. 相似文献
17.
On the basis of our predecessors' research,we study the distribution and the space-time evolution characteristics of the seismic apparent strain field in Yunnan since the 1970's using the seismic data of Yunnan and its surrounding areas.The result shows that there is a rather strong corresponding relationship between the anomaly region of seismic apparent strain and strong earthquakes.In the nine earthquakes studied,anomaly areas of seismic apparent strain had appeared before eight earthquakes,including five occurring in the anomaly region and three on the edge.Finally,the investigative result is demonstrated primarily. 相似文献
18.
2004年12月26日印尼8.7级地震及其对我国大陆地震趋势的影响 总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7
本文简要介绍了2004年12月26日印尼苏门答腊西北近海8．7级地震发生背景，基于1900年以来全球8．5级以上地震活动之后我国大陆地震活动情况以及这印尼8.7级地震产生的附加应力场，分析了这次地震对我国大陆地区地震趋势的可能响，讨论了印尼爪哇海沟地区发生的7级以上地震与我国大陆7级以上地震的对应关系。 相似文献
19.
20.
使用Frankel提出的基于空间光滑地震活动性模型的地震危险性分析方法,选择华南、华北、川滇3个地区的地震记录,比较分析了高斯、幂律和地震分形分布光滑函数3种光滑函数在不同地区的适用性．结果表明,使用交叉验证法可以为高斯光滑函数选取合适的相关距离c值,光滑得到的地震活动性模型能够真实反映研究区域的地震活动特征,根据活动性模型计算得出的峰值加速度(PGA)分布也符合人们对研究区域地震危险性的认识．幂律光滑函数适用于地震活动性较强的地区,且具有容易求取光滑参数的优点．光滑程度较低的幂律光滑函数不适用于地震活动性弱的地区,在该类地区应选择光滑程度较高的高斯光滑函数．地震分形分布光滑函数不适用于地震活动较强且地震活动强度差异较大的地区,其容易过分高估高震级地震对地震危险性的影响,而忽略了低震级地震对地震危险性的贡献．但对于地震活动较弱且地震活动强度差异较小的地区,可使用地震分形分布光滑函数,且同样具有容易求取光滑参数的优点． 相似文献