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1.
The global trade of agricultural commodities has profound social-ecological impacts, from potentially increasing food availability and agricultural efficiency, to displacing local communities, and to incentivizing environmental destruction. Supply chain stickiness, understood as the stability in trading relationships between supply chain actors, moderates the impacts of agricultural commodity production and the possibilities for supply-chain interventions. However, what factors determine stickiness, that is, how and why farmers, traders, food processors, and consumer countries, develop and maintain trading relationships with specific producing regions, remains unclear. Here, we use data on the Brazilian soy supply chain, a mixed methods approach based on extensive actor-based fieldwork, and an explanatory regression model, to identify and explore the factors that influence stickiness between places of production and supply chain actors. We find four groups of factors to be important: economic incentives, institutional enablers and constraints, social and power dimensions, and biophysical and technological conditions. Among the factors we explore, surplus capacity in soy processing infrastructure, (i.e., crushing and storage facilities) is important in increasing stickiness, as is export-oriented production. Conversely, volatility in market demand expressed by farm-gate soy prices and lower land-tenure security are key factors reducing stickiness. Importantly, we uncover heterogeneity and context-specificity in the factors determining stickiness, suggesting tailored supply-chain interventions are beneficial. Understanding supply chain stickiness does not, in itself, provide silver-bullet solutions to stopping deforestation, but it is a crucial prerequisite to understanding the relationships between supply chain actors and producing regions, identifying entry points for supply chain sustainability interventions, assessing the effectiveness of such interventions, forecasting the restructuring of trade flows, and considering sourcing patterns of supply chain actors in territorial planning.  相似文献   

2.
This report is a summary of China's climate, as well as major weather and climate events, during 2021. In 2021, the mean temperature in China was 10.5°C, which was 1.0°C above normal (1981–2010 average) and broke the highest record since 1951. The annual rainfall in China was 672.1 mm, which was 6.7% above normal. Also, the annual rainfall in northern China was 40.2% above normal, which ranked second highest since 1961. The rainstorm intensity in the rainy season was strong and featured significant extremes, and disasters caused by rainstorms and flooding were more serious than the average in the past decade. In particular, the extremely strong rainstorm in Henan during July and autumn caused flooding in the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River with severe consequences. Heatwaves occurred more frequently than normal, and their durations in southern China were longer than normal in summer and autumn. Phased drought was obvious, and caused serious impacts in South China. The number of generated and landfalling typhoons was lower than normal; however, Typhoon In-fa broke the record for the longest overland duration, held since 1949, and affected a wide area. Severe convective weather and extreme windy weather occurred frequently, causing serious impacts. The number of cold waves was more than normal, which caused wide-ranging extremely low temperatures in many places. Sandstorms appeared earlier than normal in 2021, and the number of strong dust storm processes was more than normal.摘要2021年, 中国气候暖湿特征明显, 全国平均气温10.5℃, 较常年偏高1.0℃, 创下了1951年以来最高纪录; 全国平均降水量672.1毫米, 比常年偏多6.7%, 其中北方地区平均降水量较常年偏多40.2%, 为1961年以来第二多. 汛期暴雨过程强度大, 极端性显著, 河南特大暴雨灾害影响重, 黄河中下游流域秋汛明显; 高温过程多, 夏秋南方高温持续时间长; 区域性, 阶段性气象干旱明显, 华南干旱影响较重; 台风生成和登陆均偏少, “烟花”陆地滞留时间长, 影响范围广; 强对流天气强发, 极端大风频发, 局地致灾重; 寒潮过程多, 强度大, 极端低温频现; 沙尘天气出现早, 强沙尘暴过程多.  相似文献   

3.
High-resolution numerical simulation data of a rainstorm triggering debris flow in Sichuan Province of China simulated by the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model were used to study the dominant cloud microphysical processes of the torrential rainfall. The results showed that: (1) In the strong precipitation period, particle sizes of all hydrometeors increased, and mean-mass diameters of graupel increased the most significantly, as compared with those in the weak precipitation period; (2) The terminal velocity of raindrops was the strongest among all hydrometeors, followed by graupel’s, which was much smaller than that of raindrops. Differences between various hydrometeors’ terminal velocities in the strong precipitation period were larger than those in the weak precipitation period, which favored relative motion, collection interaction and transformation between the particles. Absolute terminal velocity values of raindrops and graupel were significantly greater than those of air upward velocity, and the stronger the precipitation was, the greater the differences between them were; (3) The orders of magnitudes of the various hydrometeors’ sources and sinks in the strong precipitation period were larger than those in the weak precipitation period, causing a difference in the intensity of precipitation. Water vapor, cloud water, raindrops, graupel and their exchange processes played a major role in the production of the torrential rainfall, and there were two main processes via which raindrops were generated: abundant water vapor condensed into cloud water and, on the one hand, accretion of cloud water by rain water formed rain water, while on the other hand, accretion of cloud water by graupel formed graupel, and then the melting of graupel formed rain water.  相似文献   

4.
云台山旅游气候资源分析   总被引:8,自引:1,他引:8  
冯家沛 《气象科学》1996,16(4):396-400
本文分析了在连云港市云台风的气候资源:气温、降水、风雾、降雪和结冰,也分析了由气候资源造就的云台山动物、植物资源及云台山的垂直和水平气候带变化,进而得出云台山适合旅游的气候条件。  相似文献   

5.
This paper presents a systematic, global assessment of transboundary watersheds that identifies regions more likely to experience hydro-political tensions over the next decade and beyond based upon environmental, political, and economic indicators. The development of new water infrastructure in transboundary basins can strain relationships among fellow riparians as the impacts of new dams and diversions are felt across borders. Formal arrangements governing transboundary river basins, such as international water treaties and river basin organizations, provide a framework for dialogue and negotiation, thus contributing to assuaging potential disputes. Our study examines these two issues in tandem − the stresses inherent in development and the mitigating impact of institutions − and maps the risk of potential hydro-political tensions that exist where basins may be ill-equipped to deal with transboundary disputes triggered by the construction of new dams and diversions. We also consider several factors that could exacerbate those hydropolitical tensions in the near future, including changes in terrestrial water storage, projected changes in water variability, per capita gross national income, domestic and international armed conflicts, and recent history of disputes over transboundary waters. The study points to the vulnerability of several basins in Southeast Asia, South Asia, Central America, the northern part of the South American continent, the southern Balkans as well as in different parts of Africa, where new water infrastructure is being built or planned, but formal transboundary arrangements are absent. Moreover, in some of these regions there is a concomitance of several political, environmental and socioeconomic factors that could exacerbate hydropolitical tensions. This study contributes to the understanding of how the recent proliferation of development accompanied with unfavourable socio-economic and environmental indicators may influence global hydropolitical resilience.  相似文献   

6.
In the year 2000, the elemental composition of mosses collected from 528 French sites has been studied as part of the 2000 European Moss Survey. Five moss species were collected: Scleropodium purum (56%), Pleurozium schreberi (18%), Hypnum cupressiforme (18%), Thuidium tamariscinum (4.5%.) and Hylocomium splendens (3.5%). Mosses were kept whole for analysis, including green and brownish parts. Summary statistics on element concentrations (Al, Ba, Ca, Cd, Co, Cr, Cu, Fe, Hg, K, Li, Mg, Mn, Na, Ni, P, Pb, Rb, Sr, V and Zn), and comparisons made with data from the other 27 participating European countries are shown here. The sources of these elements are identified using calculations of enrichment factors (EF) and principal component analysis (PCA). Finally, the spatial distribution in France of 10 elements is also shown, using maps underscoring areas showing highest concentration levels for each metal.  相似文献   

7.
强热带风暴“碧利斯”于2006年7月14日在我国福建省登陆,登陆后一路西行,在福建、浙江、湖南、江西、广东、广西多个省份产生强降水,其陆上维持时间之长、影响范围之广、降水极端性之强,在历史上极为罕见。“碧利斯”引发的降水主要有三个极值中心,分别对应着降水的三个阶段,其中第二阶段降水极端性最为突出,在湖南、江西和广东交界处发生了暴雨增幅,造成严重的洪涝灾害。为了更加全面地认识此次过程,本文对“碧利斯”产生极端降水的机制做了回顾总结,分别从有利的大尺度形势、中尺度系统的影响、地形作用、云微物理过程以及动力因子的诊断分析五个角度进行,最后对“碧利斯”极端降水区别于其他极端降水个例的机理以及进一步可能的研究方向进行了讨论。  相似文献   

8.
自IPCC第四次评估报告以来,对城市和农村地区气候变化影响、脆弱性、适应和风险管理文献都在增加。第五次评估报告取得了进展。主要包括:气候变化风险、脆弱性与所受的影响在全球范围不同规模、不同经济水平和地理位置的城市中心均在增加。改善基本服务不足的状况以及建设有恢复力的基础设施系统,可以显著降低城市地区的脆弱性和暴露度,特别是对于风险和脆弱性最高的人群来说。气候变化对农村地区的主要影响将体现在对淡水供应、粮食安全和农业收入的影响等方面。发展中国家农村人口更容易遭受多种非气候压力,包括农业投入不足、土地与自然资源政策问题和环境退化。包括增加可再生能源的供给、鼓励生物燃料种植或发展中国家减少砍伐森林和森林退化而造成的碳排放(REDD+)项目等在内的气候政策,将对有些农村地区有重要的间接影响,既有正面的影响(增加就业机会),也有负面的影响(景观变化和稀有资源冲突增多)。  相似文献   

9.
文章从系统结构、功能、维护等方面,阐述了民航乌海机场气象网络系统的构建,以及应用和维护中的一些问题,实现气象数据传输、资料分析、产品制作和服务的自动化和智能化,达到了可靠性高、结构简单、利于维护的目的,为航空飞行的安全提供了技术保障。  相似文献   

10.
<正>With the support of specialized funds for national science institutions,the Guangzhou Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology,China Meteorological Administration set up in October 2008 an experiment base for marine meteorology and a number of observation systems for the coastal boundary layer,air-sea flux,marine environmental elements,and basic meteorological elements at Bohe town,Maoming city,Guangdong province,in the northern part of the South China Sea.  相似文献   

11.
鼎湖山森林地区臭氧及其前体物的变化特征和分析   总被引:18,自引:2,他引:16  
通过对鼎湖山森林地区近地面O3和NOx浓度、太阳辐射、气象参数等为期一年的观测和资料分析,给出了地面O3和NOx浓度、太阳辐射的变化规律及其相互之间的关系.地面O3、NOx、CO、SO2浓度以及紫外辐射、太阳总辐射等有明显的日变化和季节变化.不同因子对O3的敏感性试验结果表明,晴天和实际天气,O3浓度对NO、NO2浓度的变化最为敏感,其次是水汽、气溶胶,最后是紫外辐射.所有因子的变化均引起O3在湿季比干季更大的变化率,因此在研究臭氧化学和光化学时,应该考虑水汽以及OH自由基的重要作用.对于晴天和实际天气的逐时值和日平均值而言,O3浓度与NO2/NO之间存在很好的正相关关系,比值NO2/NO可以作为判断O3峰值出现的一个指标.O3极值的出现既受NO和NOx影响,也受气象因素(温湿度、云、风、雾、降雨)和辐射的影响.周末O3、NOx浓度及NO2/NO有规律的增大,表明实验地点的大气受到人为污染源的影响.  相似文献   

12.
回波强度测量的误差因素分析及解决方法   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
回波强度测量误差主要由雷达本身的参数(如发射功率、波束宽度、天线增益、系统损耗等)、气象因子(如折射指数、衰减系数、充塞系数等)、信号处理方法等误差引起.通过对相关雷达参数的相对误差和回波强度绝对误差曲线分析得出,雷达参数天线增益优于0.1 dB、发射峰值功率优于10%、发射频率优于0.1%、脉冲宽度优于1%、波束宽度优于0.01°时,反射率因子测量误差将<0.8 dBz,可满足新一代天气雷达反射率因子测量误差范围在±1 dB内的技术要求.  相似文献   

13.
Spectral relative dispersion of different hydrometeors is vital to accurately describe sedimentation. Here, the Weather Research and Forecasting model with spectral bin microphysics is used to simulate convective clouds in Shouxian of Anhui province in China to study the spectral relative dispersion of different hydrometeors. Firstly, regardless of clean or polluted conditions, the relative dispersion of ice crystal spectra and its volume-mean diameter are negatively correlated, while the relative dispersion of other hydrometeor spectra is positively related to their respective volume-mean diameter. The correlations for cloud droplets and raindrops are affected by the process of collision–coalescence; the correlations for ice crystals, graupel particles, and snow particles could be affected by the deposition, riming, and aggregation processes, respectively. Secondly, relative dispersion parameterizations are developed based on a comprehensive consideration of the relationships between the relative dispersion and volume-mean diameter under both polluted and clean conditions. Finally, the relative dispersion parameterizations are applied to terminal velocity parameterizations. The results show that for cloud droplets, ice crystals, graupel particles, and snow particles, assuming the shape parameter in the Gamma distribution is equal to 0 underestimates the shape parameter and overestimates the relative dispersion; and for raindrops, assuming the shape parameter is equal to 0 is close to the relative dispersion parameterizations. The most appropriate constant shape parameters are recommended for different hydrometeors. The relative dispersion parameterizations developed here shed new light for further optimizing the terminal velocity parameterizations in models.摘要离散度的诊断对模式中沉降过程的准确描述至关重要. 本文利用WRF模式结合谱分档方案模拟安徽寿县地区的对流云, 研究不同水成物的离散度. 首先, 无论在清洁还是污染条件下, 除冰晶谱的离散度与体积平均直径间呈现负相关关系外, 云滴, 雨滴, 霰粒子与雪粒子谱离散度与体积平均直径呈现正相关关系; 云滴和雨滴受碰并过程影响, 冰晶, 霰粒子和雪粒子分别受凝华过程, 淞附过程和聚并增长影响. 其次, 综合考虑污染与清洁条件下离散度和体积平均直径之间的相关关系, 建立了离散度的参数化方案. 最后, 把该离散度方案应用到下落末速度的参数化方案中, 结果表明, 对于云滴, 冰晶, 霰粒子和雪粒子, 在Gamma分布中假设谱形参数等于0会低估谱形参数而高估离散度. 对于雨滴而言, 假设谱形参数等于0与参数化方案结果接近. 针对不同的水成物, 给出了最合适的谱形参数定值. 本文发展的离散度方案为进一步优化模式中下落末速度参数化方案提供参考.  相似文献   

14.
Forest-driven water and energy cycles are poorly integrated into regional, national, continental and global decision-making on climate change adaptation, mitigation, land use and water management. This constrains humanity’s ability to protect our planet’s climate and life-sustaining functions. The substantial body of research we review reveals that forest, water and energy interactions provide the foundations for carbon storage, for cooling terrestrial surfaces and for distributing water resources. Forests and trees must be recognized as prime regulators within the water, energy and carbon cycles. If these functions are ignored, planners will be unable to assess, adapt to or mitigate the impacts of changing land cover and climate. Our call to action targets a reversal of paradigms, from a carbon-centric model to one that treats the hydrologic and climate-cooling effects of trees and forests as the first order of priority. For reasons of sustainability, carbon storage must remain a secondary, though valuable, by-product. The effects of tree cover on climate at local, regional and continental scales offer benefits that demand wider recognition. The forest- and tree-centered research insights we review and analyze provide a knowledge-base for improving plans, policies and actions. Our understanding of how trees and forests influence water, energy and carbon cycles has important implications, both for the structure of planning, management and governance institutions, as well as for how trees and forests might be used to improve sustainability, adaptation and mitigation efforts.  相似文献   

15.
讨论了MPLS VPN的实现方式、组件及其功能、工作原理、数据转发过程,给出了MPLS VPN配置实例,同时对MPLS VPN安全性进行了剖析.  相似文献   

16.
利用热带测雨卫星(TRMM)的测雨雷达(PR)、微波辐射计(TMI)和闪电成像仪(LIS)资料分析2012年8月25日甘肃省一次较强冰雹过程。结果表明,本次过程受3个分散的β中尺度对流系统影响,对流云像素点约为层云的1/2,对流云平均降水率是层云的8.2倍。冰雹云回波顶高度近13 km,回波强度大于55 dBZ的最大高度为7.5 km左右,降水率大于45 mm·h^-1的云层厚度约7 km。降水廓线反映出降水率垂直分布不均匀,对流降水中50、10 mm·h^-1的降水率随着高度的升高先增加后减小,在9 km左右减小明显。此次冰雹过程的闪电发生临近处6 km雷达反射率高于40 dBZ,85 GHz极化修正亮温低于210 K。  相似文献   

17.
山西省1997年至2001年的气候概况为:干旱少雨,气温偏高。山西省从1997年以来,连续出现了少雨干旱年,尤其是1997年,1998年9月至1999年8月.2001年1月至7月10日,全省降水量显著减少,气温明显偏高,风沙天气较常年同期偏多,对山西省农业生产尤为不利。  相似文献   

18.
天津港气象水文综合预报系统是针对天津港安全生产特点和需求,集气象、水文要素监测实况和预报于一体、信息量大、获取及时、使用方便的一个具有行业特色的实用专业平台。该系统采用WRF大气模式和ECOM、ADI两种海洋模式以及计算浪高的半经验半理论的公式对海上大风、能见度、风暴潮、风浪进行了模拟计算,并依据自动站的观测数据进行了验证,从而实现了港口大雾、大风、风浪和风暴潮这四个方面的预报模拟,并提供了相关的可视化产品。  相似文献   

19.
对5组区域气候模式集合模拟的中国径流深进行评估,并且预估了温室气体高排放情景RCP8.5下的未来变化。结果表明:多区域气候模式集合结果能够基本模拟出径流深的观测特征,对年径流深的空间分布特征模拟较好,但量值存在一定的系统偏差,特别是黄河中游、海河和松辽河存在明显的正偏差,且对全国9个流域片中东南、西南和西北诸河的年内分配总体模拟效果相对较差。未来到21世纪末,全国平均年径流深在各个时段都以增加为主,增加幅度多在5%以内。未来变化存在明显的空间差异,大致表现为“北增南减”的分布特征,但不会改变中国水资源南多北少的空间格局;其中,黄河、西南和西北诸河流域片呈显著的增加趋势,淮河、长江和东南诸河流域片呈现显著的减少趋势,海河、松辽和珠江流域的变化趋势不显著。21世纪末期各地的变化多在±30%以内,且多模式预估的正负变化一致性较高。到21世纪末期,各流域片平均的径流深季节分配总体特征没有明显变化,径流深的最大月份基本维持不变,分配比例的数值有±2%以内的变化,且各季节的增减变化存在明显流域间差异。  相似文献   

20.
针对农业气象监测中,温湿度、露点等测量仪器布线困难、移动性差的难题,研制了一种基于WSN的温湿度计节点。采用高精度温湿度传感器SHT75、CC2530无线处理器、SD2003A时钟芯片以及GPS模块TU-30等电路构成了高精度温湿度测量节点,完成了各功能模块外围电路的设计。采用Zigbee协议进行组网,节点执行温湿度检测程序后,将数据无线发送到网络中。本节点可作为网络节点部署在农田、温室大棚、粮仓或者养殖场的不同位置,与其他气象网络节点共同构成为农服务监测系统,实现温度、湿度等要素的测量。  相似文献   

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