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1.
本文对扰动量方程引进了相应的简单的非绝热作用,分析了二维界面流的稳定性。结果发现:非绝热加热作用是影响稳定性的重要因子,尤为下行波急流的左侧,加热作用与切变均能导致不稳定。  相似文献   

2.
【目的】分析湾流区和黑潮区两个超强爆发性气旋在快速发展过程中热力强迫的作用差异。【方法】使用两种再分析数据,结合Zwack-Okossi诊断方程,对比分析热力强迫因子在两超强爆发性气旋发展中的空间结构特征和演变特征。【结果与结论】在两超强爆发性气旋快速发展的过程中,湾流区超强(SU-GS)爆发性气旋的水汽辐合和显热均弱于黑潮区超强(SU-KS)爆发性气旋。Zwack-Okossi方程诊断分析表明,非绝热加热是SU-GS爆发性气旋和SU-KS爆发性气旋爆发性发展的主要强迫因子,且主要分布于中低层,但非绝热加热的演变及贡献存在差异;在初始爆发时刻,SU-KS爆发性气旋的非绝热加热显著强于SU-GS爆发性气旋,且对其快速发展的贡献较大;至最大加深率时刻,SU-GS爆发性气旋的非绝热加热显著增强,是其快速发展的主导强迫因子,而SU-KS爆发性气旋的非绝热加热呈现减弱趋势,对其相对重要性减弱。  相似文献   

3.
本文采用时间平均的矩方程随机动力气候模式,对大尺度大气系统的演化情况进行了计算,其中考虑了初始条件的误差和外部非绝热加热的误差对系统稳定性的影响,并比较了它们的相对重要性。同时,此结果又与以随机试验得到的结果进行了比较,积分两个月的结论是:矩方法在本模式中可以近似代替随机试验,初始条件的误差对系统稳定性的影响较外部加热的误差的影响要大。  相似文献   

4.
本文在前向像移模型研究现状的基础上,以大量的生产实践为依托,通过相关参数的对比分析,详细研究了飞行地速对前向像点位移的影响,分析了先进的像移补偿技术对数字航空摄影的重要作用,通常无需考虑飞行地速和曝光时间等因素对前向像点位移的影响,保证影像质量的同时,提高了工作效率。  相似文献   

5.
地形对台风影响的数值模拟研究——以台风“泰利”为例   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
为研究台湾岛地形对台风移动路径及结构的影响,利用高分辨率中尺度MM5V3模式,设计3组敏感性试验,对“0513”号台风“泰利”在2005年8月31日00:06到9月1日18:00(世界时)影响台湾岛的过程进行数值模拟研究。主要就台湾岛地形对台风移动路径、气压场、散度场、涡度场和降水场进行分析。试验结果表明:台湾岛地形对台风“泰利”的移动路径和中心气压的影响不显著;地形的强迫作用对台风涡度场的中心强度和非对称结构有明显的影响;台湾岛地形是形成迎风坡诱生低压和背风坡诱生高压的主要因子;地形是台风外围降水加强的主要原因。  相似文献   

6.
复杂地形对西南低涡生成和移动影响的数值试验分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
为探讨四川盆地周边复杂地形对西南低涡发生发展以及移动的影响,利用NCEP 1°×1°再分析资料和中尺度非静力平衡模式WRF V3.4.1,对2010年7月16日至18日发生在四川盆地的一次西南低涡暴雨过程进行了再现模拟(控制试验)以及降低盆地周边不同地形高度的3组敏感性试验。结果表明,控制试验模拟出的西南低涡位置和强度与实况基本吻合。秦岭、大巴山山脉对西南低涡的形成不具有决定性影响,但对西南低涡的维持和发展具有非常重要的作用;横断山脉、云贵高原对西南低涡的生成位置、强度以及移动路径均很重要;青藏高原大地形对偏东气流的阻挡而产生的绕流有利于西南低涡的生成,对西南低涡的移动也有重要影响。除西南低涡以外,四川盆地周边地形所产生的一些局地小低涡的现象也值得关注。  相似文献   

7.
本文就大气模式设计中的两个问题:分辨率的确定和非绝热加热、耗散之间的虚假的不平衡的处理进行了讨论。还推导了决定水平和垂直分辨率的公式以及调整非绝热和耗散使其达到准平衡的办法。  相似文献   

8.
通过对比分析2013年7月四川盆地西部的两次大暴雨过程,重点分析地形对低层流场的调整作用,结果表明:两次过程都是在副高西侧的低值系统影响下发生的,过程发生前期盆地西部处于高能高湿和及其不稳定的情况下,系统影响时有冷空气配合,"7.3"日的冷空气势力强于"7.9"过程,但低层南风弱于"7.9"过程;地形对两次暴雨过程的850 h Pa流场起到调整作用,冷空气影响前东南气流与地形以接近90°的夹角相交,地形的强迫抬升触发对流不稳定能量释放,冷空气入侵后,偏东北气流配合复杂的地形作用,造成龙门山沿线的暴雨;上升速度的大值区域主要位于103.5°E~105.5°E的地形陡峭区域,东南(东北)气流越强上升速度就越大,上升速度的大值区主要位于700 h Pa。  相似文献   

9.
汶川地震地形形变监测与分析   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
地形形变监测与分析对于研究汶川地震对震区及青藏板块地形变化的影响有重要意义。通过收集相关监测点的汶川地震前后地形形变数据,采用统一模式进行数据处理,将震前与震后的形变监测成果归算到ITRF2005参考框架和2008.363(2008年5月12日)历元,计算得到震中区域的大地基准造成严重破坏,监测点形变位错,水平位移量达243 cm,沉降量达68 cm,隆起量达36 cm。并对汶川地震地形形变监测进行分析,认为位于"映秀镇—北川—青川"断裂带西侧块体呈现向东南方向移动并呈现隆起趋势;东侧块体向西北方向移动并呈现下沉趋势;北侧块体向东北方向移动,南侧块体向西南北方向移动,块体两侧形成了明显挤压形态。上述研究为进一步揭示汶川地震产生的机理和龙门山断裂带的活动提供了良好基础。  相似文献   

10.
类乌齐-玉树-玛多剖面重力异常研究   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
青海玉树Ms7.1地震发生在巴彦喀拉块体的甘孜-玉树断裂带上。对跨断裂带的重力剖面测线进行了相对重力联测,对观测结果作了大气改正、极移改正、漂移改正,经平差计算后,获取了该剖面的自由空气异常;结合该区1″×1″的ASTER GDEM(2009)地形数字模型,对自由空气异常作了曲率改正、平板改正及高精度的地形改正,得到该探测剖面的完全布格重力异常。分析结果表明:从布格异常的陡变区可初步推断出与地质研究结果一致的断裂构造的位置;在玉树附近沿剖面往东北向出现地壳基底抬升现象,并在清水河附近幅度达到最大,初步推断为印度地壳的俯冲下插对青藏高原东缘的抬升作用的结果。  相似文献   

11.
以MM4模式为框架,研制并建立了东海近海热带气旋及天气数值预报系统,将对热带气旋的预报和一般天气的预报统一在一个模式中,并实现了业务自动化控制,自1994年台风季节起投入了业务试验和准业务的运行。结果表明:该系统对东海近海热带气旋路径、风场、降水及江淮梅雨降水具有较好的预报能力  相似文献   

12.
热带气旋作为一种海上灾害性天气,对“海上丝绸之路”海上航运影响重大。本文基于西北太平洋和北印度洋1990—2017年的热带气旋路径数据,结合热带气旋风场参数模型,利用缓冲区分析、叠加分析等GIS空间分析技术,系统研究了“海上丝绸之路”主要海域、主要海区、关键通道受热带气旋影响频次以及热带气旋危险性的时空分布特征。主要结论:① “海上丝绸之路”主要海域受热带气旋影响严重,表现在热带气旋影响范围广、影响频次高,其中西北太平洋较北印度洋受热带气旋影响更为严重,危险性更大;② 西北太平洋的15°N—30°N,120°E-—145°E海域热带气旋危险性最高;③ 热带气旋危险性季节变化较为明显,秋夏两季危险性较高,冬春两季危险性较低,在夏秋两季各月份中,7、8、9、10月危险最高;④ 在各海区中,中国东部海区热带气旋危险最高,其次是南海、日本海、孟加拉湾、阿拉伯海,而红海和波斯湾不受热带气旋影响;在各关键通道中,吕宋海峡热带气旋危险性最高,其次是台湾海峡、对马海峡、宗谷海峡、鞑靼海峡、保克海峡、霍尔木兹海峡,而马六甲海峡和曼德海峡无热带气旋危险。  相似文献   

13.
The Bohai Sea is a low-lying semi-enclosed sea area that is linked to the Yellow Sea via the Bohai straits(mixed zone). Its of fshore seabed is shallow, which makes it vulnerable to serious marine meteorological disasters associated with the northward passage of Pacific tropical cyclones. Analyses on data of remote sensing and buoy of the mixed zone of the Yellow and Bohai seas indicate that all the wind speed, significant wave height, and salinity(SAL) increased, sea surface temperature decreased, and wind energy density changed considerably during the passage of tropical cyclone Matmo on July 25, 2014. It was found that the SAL inversion layer in the mixed zone of the Yellow and Bohai Seas was caused by the tropical cyclone. Furthermore, it was found that the tropical cyclone transported the northern Yellow Sea cold water mass(NYSCWM) into the mixed zone of the Yellow and Bohai Seas. The NYSCWM has direct influence on both the aquaculture and the ecological environment of the region. Therefore, further research is needed to establish the mechanism behind the formation of the SAL inversion layer in the mixed zone, and to determine the influence of tropical cyclones on the NYSCWM.  相似文献   

14.
基于3维GIS的热带气旋路径动态演化模拟方法研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
我国是世界上受热带气旋影响最为严重的国家之一,因此研究其机理演变规律将更有利于指导做好防灾减灾工作。本文利用GIS的显示功能,重建和再现热带气旋的登陆路径全过程,在空间格局上,进行时间维的动态演化模拟,为更好地研究热带气旋的演化机理提供一种实用的分析手段。结果表明,该方法对在时空上了解和认识气旋登陆演化全过程的研究具有一定意义。  相似文献   

15.
Nearshore sea levels in the East China Sea(ECS) and the South China Sea(SCS) during tropical cyclones-Typhoon 8007(Joe, 1980) and Typhoon 7209(Betty 1972) were simulated. The tide-surge interactions in the two regions are remarkable and locally produced. The corresponding nonlinear effects were derived from the different nonlinear terms. The contribution of the quadratic friction term is the most important, the shallow term comes second the convective term is the least; the phases of the interactions generated by the various nonlinear terms are asynchronous. Both the quadratic friction and the convective term can stimulate and aggravate the surge structure with more peaks. The bottom friction features have crucial influences on tides and surges, and the interaction is sensitive to the changes of tide and surge.  相似文献   

16.
To investigate whether the Asian monsoon influences tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the South China Sea (SCS), TCs (including tropical storms and typhoons) over the SCS are analyzed using the Joint Typhoon Warning Center dataset from 1945 to 2009. Results show an increasing trend in the frequencies of TC-all (all TCs over the SCS) and TY-all (all typhoons over the SCS), due mainly to an increase in the number of TCs moving into the SCS after development elsewhere. Little change is seen in the number of TCs that form in the SCS. The results of wavelet analysis indicate that the frequency of typhoons (TY) shows a similar oscillation as that of TCs, i.e., a dominant periodicity of 8-16 years around the 1970s for all TC activity, except for TC-mov (TCs that moved into the SCS from the western North Pacific). To examine the relationship between typhoon activity and the summer monsoon, a correlation analysis was performed that considered typhoons, TCs, and five monsoon indexes. The analysis reveals statistically significant negative correlation between the strength of the Southwest Asian summer monsoon and typhoon activity over the SCS, which likely reflects the effect of the monsoon on TC formation in the western North Pacific (WNP) and subsequent movement into the SCS. There is a statistically significant negative correlation between TY-loc (typhoons that developed from TCs formed over the SCS) and the South China Sea summer monsoon and Southeast Asian summer monsoon.  相似文献   

17.
The response of the East China Sea (ECS) to a tropical cyclone (TC) is studied with a two-layernonlinear primitive equation ocean model. Numerica experiments indicate that there is rightward bias inocean response to a moving TC. The initial middle layer (ML) depth and stratification intensity havesubstantial impact on the Changes of SST and ML depth. The initial ML depth has large effect onthe value of the current, whereas the initial stratification intensity has slight influence on it. Thedistribution of ECS ML depth, especially the special ocean thermal structure on the continental shelf facil-itates the drop of SST. The simulation results of ocean response to Typhoon 7002 are fairly consistentwith the observation data.  相似文献   

18.
This paper focuses on the effects of two types of El Niño events on tropical cyclone activity. We classified El Niño events from 1961 to 2015 according to their sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies into an eastern type and a central type. Then we selected strong tropical cyclones to statistically analyze the tropical cyclone characteristics during different events and their effects, as well as to study the possible mechanisms related to thermodynamic and dynamic factors. The tropical cyclone generation areas were found to be very similar during the two kinds of events. The average number of tropical cyclone in the eastern event is more than that in central event, and the hurricane in northeastern Pacific (HNP) has more energy than the typhoon in northwestern Pacific (TNP) in all cases. The seasonal distribution of the TNP high-incidence centers during central El Niño events is opposite to that of the HNP. The TNP accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) intensity is similar in the fall and summer, and the HNP ACE intensity in the summer is greater than that in the fall. The SSTs are consistent with the TNP and HNP movement trends. The Walker circulation intensity was strongly affected by the eastern events, but it quickly returned to its normal state, while the intensity was slightly reduced in the central events, and it slowly returned to its normal state. The vertical velocity distributions in the Pacific are different at different stages of both events, and the distributions of vertical velocity anomalies for typhoons and hurricanes are consistent.  相似文献   

19.
Tian  Ying  Wang  Qi 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2010,28(6):1281-1289
We analyze statistically different definitions of the South China Sea summer monsoon (SCSSM) onset are to establish a SCSSM onset time series that is more recognizable by a majority of indicators. With the acknowledged index, we determine a key area (105°E–112.5°E, 7.5°N–12.5°N) and define the zonal wind component in this key area as a new SCSSM onset index, using daily mean reanalysis data of the National Center for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research. The atmospheric circulations before and after the onset of the SCSSM determined using the index defined in this paper are preliminarily studied. Results show that the Somalia cross-equatorial flow is enhanced, the strongest westerly wind in the tropical Indian Ocean shifts northward, the cyclone couple in the Bay of Bengal and the Southern Hemisphere weaken and move eastward, convection over the South China Sea increases, and the subtropical high retreats from the South China Sea after the outbreak of the SCSSM. By analyzing the atmospheric circulation, it is found that in 1984 and 1999, the SCSSM broke out in pentads 29 and 23, respectively, which is consistent with the onset times determined using our index.  相似文献   

20.
This study examines the seasonal variations of tropical cyclogenesis over the South China Sea (SCS) using a genesis potential (GP) index developed by Emanuel and Nolan. How different environmental factors (including low-level vorticity, mid-level relative humidity, vertical wind shear, and potential intensity) contribute to these variations is investigated. Composite anomalies of the GP index are produced for the summer and winter monsoons separately. These composites replicate the observed seasonal variations of the observed frequency and location of tropical cyclogenesis over the SCS. The degree of contribution by each factor in different regions is determined quantitatively by producing composites of modified indices in which only one of the contributing factors varies, with the others set to climatology. Over the northern SCS, potential intensity makes the largest contributions to the seasonal variations in tropical cyclogenesis. Over the southern SCS, the low-level relative vorticity plays the primary role in the seasonal modulation of tropical cyclone (TC) genesis frequency, and the vertical wind shear plays the secondary role. Thermodynamic factors play more important roles for the seasonal variations in tropical cyclogenesis over the northern SCS, while dynamic factors are more important in the seasonal modulation of TC genesis frequency over the southern SCS.  相似文献   

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