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1.
卫星重力估计陆地水和冰川对全球海平面变化的贡献   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
重力场恢复与气候试验(GRACE)卫星为高分辨率地监测全球海洋质量变化提供了一种新的手段。利用2003年1月至2014年12月Level-2 RL05的GRACE产品,进行去相关误差滤波、高斯滤波和海洋-陆地信号泄漏改正后,得到了全球陆地和海水质量变化,并分析了陆地水和冰川的质量变化对海平面长期变化的贡献。研究表明,全球陆地水和冰川的质量变化对海平面的贡献约为(2.09±0.54)mm/a,与卫星测高扣除海洋温盐数据比热容变化得到的海水质量长期变化(2.07±0.62)mm/a有着很好的一致性,其中全球陆地水储量对全球质量项海平面变化的贡献为(0.15±0.25)mm/a,南极冰盖对全球质量项海平面变化的贡献为(0.59±0.10)mm/a,格陵兰岛冰盖对全球质量项海平面变化的贡献为(0.72±0.12)mm/a,山地冰川对全球质量项海平面变化的贡献为(0.63±0.09)mm/a。并进一步讨论了不同分析中心GRACE重力场系数,一阶项系数和二阶项对质量项海平面变化的影响。结果表明,一阶项对质量项海平面的影响为(0.10±0.08)mm/a,二阶项对质量项海平面的影响为(0.16±0.04)mm/a,美国德克萨斯大学空间研究中心和德国地学研究中心分析结果较为一致,而美国国家航空航天局喷气推进实验室的结果则稍稍偏小。  相似文献   

2.
基于GRACE得到的时变地球重力场数据反演了格陵兰冰盖2002~2011年期间的质量变化。结果表明:格陵兰冰盖2002~2011年的年消融总量为188±10km3/a,2002年以来冰盖整体的消融速率呈现出增加趋势;冰盖的消融区域主要集中在冰盖的东南部和西北部;自2008年以来,冰盖东南部的消融速率虽然有所放缓,但消融速率仍然维持在55±7km3/a;冰盖西北部的消融速率仍在增加,2008年以后达到了48±6km3/a。  相似文献   

3.
格陵兰岛附近海域海平面变化的初步研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
利用17年5个月的卫星高度计资料,探讨格陵兰岛附近海域海平面的季节变化和年际变化特征,结果表明,该区域海平面变化存在显著的季节信号和年际信号。近20a来,格陵兰岛附近海域海平面的平均上升速率为1.7mm/a,小于全球海平面的平均上升速率。该海域的海平面变化存在很强的区域性,通常多年平均海面高度异常(SSHA)大的海区,海平面上升速率也大;多年平均SSHA低的海区,海平面上升速率则较小。EOF分析表明第一模态为季节模态,整个海域第一空间模态的位相相同,说明该海域海平面的季节变化趋势是相同的。该区域的SSHA与海冰面积指数呈负相关,海平面的季节变化受海冰面积大小的影响显著。SSHA与经向风应力距平的低频分量具有很好的正相关性,与纬向风应力距平的低频分量具有不显著的负相关,说明该海域海平面的年际变化受风应力的影响显著。  相似文献   

4.
人们认为 ,海平面的升高是全球变暖的结果。近年来大多数政府间气候变化研究小组( IPCC)对海平面升高的评价表明 ,2 0世纪海平面升高的模拟平均估计值比观测到的数值要低 ,实际观测估算值的范围较大 ( 1~ 2 mm/ a)。促使海平面变化的因素很多。2 0世纪和 2 1世纪促使海平面升高的最重要的因素可能是大洋水体变暖引起的热膨胀。其它的因素是冰川融化、南极洲和格陵兰岛冰盖的质量变化及陆地储水量的变化 (不确定 )。海平面变化的观测值是基于海平面高度的短期 ( <1 0 a)卫星记录以及较长期的 ( >1 0 a)但地理分布不均、潮汐观测网稀疏的记…  相似文献   

5.
利用南海周边1989-2014年的潮汐资料和GPS长期观测资料,分析了南海周边相对海平面变化特征,以及2004年苏门答腊地震对该区域相对海平面变化的影响。研究结果表明,南海周边的相对海平面变化以上升为主,平均上升速率(4.53±0.20) mm/a,高于全球平均速率,且2004年后上升趋势加剧;南海周边相对海平面呈现6类较典型的变化特征,并存在与板块构造相对应的分区聚集现象,形成了中国东南和越南沿海、马来半岛、加里曼丹岛北部、菲律宾群岛等4个变化特征区。受2004年苏门答腊大地震的影响,马来半岛、南沙和西沙海域的地壳形变由上升趋势转为下沉,加剧了相对海平面的上升;中国东南沿海和菲律宾群岛受地震影响较小;越南沿海和加里曼丹岛北部区域的地震影响还有待进一步研究。  相似文献   

6.
《海洋世界》2009,(4):7-7
2007年,联合国政府间气候变化小组(IPCC)曾预测:到2100年,全球海平面将上升18—59厘米。但是,最近在全球气候变化大会上,有专家称海平面的实际上升速率已经超过了IPCC的预测。澳大利亚天气与气候研究中心的专家表示,格陵兰岛与南极的海冰融化速度相当快。有数据显示,从1993年起,这两处的海平面每年上升3毫米。与南极相比,格陵兰冰盖相对较小,因此更易受到气候变化的干扰。如果格陵兰冰盖全部融化,全球海平面将平均升高6米。专家表示,按照目前的融化速度,到2100年,全球海平面很可能将上升1米,  相似文献   

7.
秦皇岛沿岸海平面变化与地壳升降   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
于道永 《海洋学报》1998,20(3):76-81
本文研究发现,近43年来秦皇岛沿岸相对海平面变化呈总体下降趋势,其变化速率为-2.1~-2.4mm/a,经地壳升降观测资料修正后,确定海平面变化速率为-1.3~-1.6mm/a,并分岸段讨论了相对侮平面变化的年速率.由此证明,秦皇岛沿海海岸侵蚀并非由海平面变化引起.预计未来10余年内,海平面变化将不会对海岸带经济发展构成威胁.  相似文献   

8.
1993—2001年全球海面高度变化特征   总被引:9,自引:0,他引:9       下载免费PDF全文
应用TOPEX/POSEIDON(T/P)卫星高度计测高资料,对全球海洋的海面变化特征进行了分析,结果表明,1993年1月-2001年6月期间,全球海平面呈现上升的态势;全球平均海平面高度的平均上升速率约为1.2mm/a;海温的变化是引起海平面变化的重要原因,便其对海平面抬升的贡献不到50%。海平面的变化具有很强的地域特征。海平面变化的空间分布特征受风应力异常特别是纬向风应力异常的空间分布影响较大。  相似文献   

9.
黄、渤海二甲基硫化物的浓度分布与迁移转化速率研究   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
于2015年8-9月对黄、渤海海域进行现场调查,研究了海水中二甲基硫(DMS)、β-二甲巯基丙酸内盐(DMSP)、二甲亚砜(DMSO)的浓度分布、相互关系及影响因素,测定了DMS的生物生产与消耗、光化学氧化和海-气扩散速率,对DMS的迁移转化速率进行综合评价。结果表明:表层海水中DMS、溶解态DMSP(DMSPd)、颗粒态DMSP(DMSPp)、溶解态DMSO(DMSOd)和颗粒态DMSO(DMSOp)浓度的平均值分别为(6.12±3.01)nmol/L、(6.03±3.45)nmol/L、(19.47±9.15)nmol/L、(16.85±8.34)nmol/L和(14.37±7.47)nmol/L,整体呈现近岸高远海低,表层高底层低的趋势。DMS、DMSPd和DMSOp浓度与叶绿素(Chl a)浓度存在显著的相关性。表层海水中DMS光氧化速率顺序为:kUVA > kUVB > k可见,其中UVA波段占光氧化的70.8%。夏季黄、渤海微生物消耗、光氧化及海-气扩散对DMS去除的贡献率分别为32.4%、34.5%和33.1%,表明3种去除途径作用相当。黄、渤海DMS海-气通量变化范围为0.79~48.45 μmol/(m2·d),平均值为(11.87±11.35)μmol/(m2·d)。  相似文献   

10.
中国沿海近31年冬季海平面变化特征   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
王慧  范文静  张建立  牟林 《海洋通报》2011,30(6):637-643
利用29个海洋观测站的31年(1980-2010年)水文气象观测资料,分析了中国沿海近31年冬季海平面的时空分布特征与长期变化趋势。结果表明:①中国沿海冬季海平面近31年呈现明显的上升趋势,平均上升速率为3.1 mm/a,高于全年的上升速率,渤海、黄海、东海和南海沿海冬季海平面变化呈现明显的区域特征;②中国沿海冬季海平面存在显著的年际和年代际变化,其主要显著变化周期有准2 a,4~7 a,9 a左右及18.6 a。由于受西太平洋暖池和黑潮与我国近海之间的水体交换影响,东中国海4~7 a的周期明显,其振幅最高,并且其周期性震荡的高位时期与赤道西太平洋暖池区的厄尔尼诺发生期间相吻合;③以浙江坎门(121°17′E , 28°05′N)为界,中国沿海冬季海平面还呈现出南北变化反相的跷跷板特征,该现象反映了中国沿海冬季海平面的气候性特征。受季风、海流、气压以及降水等因素的影响,冬季海平面的变化区域特征明显;④近31年, 中国沿海冬季气温、海温与海平面均呈显著上升趋势,上升幅度分别为1.8 ℃、1.4 ℃和135 mm,高于全年上升幅度。  相似文献   

11.
A global mass balance (Greenland and Antarctica ice sheet mass loss, terrestrial water storage) and differ- ent sea-level components (observed sea-level from satellite altimetry, steric sea-level from Ishii data, and ocean mass from gravity recovery and climate experiment, GRACE) are estimated, in terms of seasonal and interannual variabilities from 2003 to 2010. The results show that a detailed analysis of the GRACE time series over the time period 2003-2010 unambiguously reveals an increase in mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet and Antarctica ice sheet. The mass loss of both ice sheets accelerated at a rate of (392.8±70.0) Gt/a during 2003-2010, which contributed (1.09±0.19) mm/a to the global mean sea-level during this time. The net terrestrial water storage (TWS) trend was negative over the 8 a time span, which gave a small positive contribution of (0.25±0.12) mm/a. The interannual variability of the global mean sea-level was at least part- ly caused by year-to-year variability of land water storage. Estimating GRACE-based ice sheet mass balance and terrestrial water storage by using published estimates for melting glaciers, the results further show that the ocean mass increase since 2003 has resulted half from an enhanced contribution of the polar ice sheets, and half from the combined ice sheet and terrestrial water storage loss. Taking also into account the melt- ing of mountain glaciers (0.41 mm/a) and the small GRACE-based contribution from continental waters (0.25 mm/a), a total ocean mass contribution of (1.75±0.57) mm/a from 2003 to 2010 is found. Such a value represented 75% of the altimetry-based rate of sea-level rise over that period. The contributions to steric sea-level (i.e., ocean thermal expansion plus salinity effects) are estimated from: (1) the difference between altimetry-based sea-level and ocean mass change and (2) the latest Ishii data. The inferred steric sea-level rate from (1) (1.41 mm/a from 2003 to 2010) did not agree well with the Ishii-based value also estimated here (0.44 mm/a from 2003 to 2010), but phase. The cause for such a discrepancy is not yet known but may be related to inadequate sampling of in situ ocean temperature and salinity measurements.  相似文献   

12.
We detect the mass balance of the Antarctica ice sheet from GRACE for the recent period July 2002 through March 2011. Land hydrology contamination was corrected through global hydrological models and glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) of the solid Earth since last deglaciation using the IJ05 model, and then a forward model was employed to adjust to bias due to smoothing filters and GRACE's limited resolution. The results show that there are two significant turning points for ice mass losses or gains near the early 2006 and the end of 2008. The ice mass losses in West Antarctica have accelerated dramatically during 2009–2011, while in East Antarctica the rate is positive, mainly caused by snow accumulation. Over the whole studying period, ice loss rates in West Antarctica (?108 ± 36 Gt/yr) are still significantly larger than the increase in East Antarctica (+72 ± 24) Gt/yr. Thus, the total Antarctica contribution to sea level rise is slightly negative ?0.18 ± 0.02 mm/yr. The rapid change of the regional ice mass in Antarctic, in the course of only several years, suggests that the Antarctica ice sheet mass balance is more sensitive to regional climate conditions than considered before.  相似文献   

13.
北极海冰正处于快速减退时期,北极海冰体积变化是全球气候变化的重要指示因子。本文利用两种卫星高度计数据(ICESat和CryoSat-2)反演得到的海冰厚度数据,结合星载辐射计提取的海冰密集度数据以及海冰年龄数据,估算了近期的北极海冰体积以及一年冰和多年冰体积变化。CryoSat-2观测时段(2011-2013年)与ICESat观测时段(2003-2008年)相比,北极海冰体积在秋季(10-11月)和冬季(2-3月)分别减少了1 426 km3和412 km3。其中,秋季和冬季的一年冰的体积增加了702 km3和2 975 km3。相反,多年冰分别减少了2 108 km3和3 206 km3。多年冰的大量流失是造成北极海冰净储量下降的主要原因。  相似文献   

14.
本文利用大洋环流模式POP研究RCP4.5情景下21世纪格陵兰冰川不同的融化速率对全球及区域海平面变化的影响。结果显示:当格陵兰冰川的融化速率以每年1%增加时,全球大部分海域的动力和比容海平面变化基本不变,主要是由于格陵兰冰川在低速融化时并不会导致大西洋经向翻转流减弱。当格陵兰冰川的融化速率以每年3%和每年7%增加时,动力海平面在北大西洋副极地、大西洋热带、南大西洋副热带和北冰洋海域呈现出显著的上升趋势,这是因为格陵兰冰川快速融化导致大量的淡水输入附近海域,造成该上层海洋层化加强和深对流减弱,导致大西洋经向翻转流显著减弱;与此同时,热比容海平面在北冰洋、格陵兰岛南部海域和大西洋副热带海域显著下降,而在热带大西洋和湾流海域明显上升;此时盐比容海平面的变化与热比容海平面是反相的,这是由于大量的低温低盐水的输入,造成北大西洋副极地海域变冷变淡、大西洋经向翻转流和热盐环流显著减弱,引起了太平洋向北冰洋的热通量和淡水通量减少,导致了北冰洋海水变冷变淡,同时热带大西洋滞留了更多的高温高盐水,随着湾流被带到北大西洋,北大西洋副极地海域低温低盐的海水,被风生环流输运到副热带海域。  相似文献   

15.
基于卫星高度计的北极海冰厚度变化研究   总被引:5,自引:3,他引:2  
A modified algorithm taking into account the first year(FY) and multiyear(MY) ice densities is used to derive a sea ice thickness from freeboard measurements acquired by satellite altimetry ICESat(2003–2008). Estimates agree with various independent in situ measurements within 0.21 m. Both the fall and winter campaigns see a dramatic extent retreat of thicker MY ice that survives at least one summer melting season. There were strong seasonal and interannual variabilities with regard to the mean thickness. Seasonal increases of 0.53 m for FY the ice and 0.29 m for the MY ice between the autumn and the winter ICESat campaigns, roughly 4–5 month separation, were found. Interannually, the significant MY ice thickness declines over the consecutive four ICESat winter campaigns(2005–2008) leads to a pronounced thickness drop of 0.8 m in MY sea ice zones. No clear trend was identified from the averaged thickness of thinner, FY ice that emerges in autumn and winter and melts in summer. Uncertainty estimates for our calculated thickness, caused by the standard deviations of multiple input parameters including freeboard, ice density, snow density, snow depth, show large errors more than 0.5 m in thicker MY ice zones and relatively small standard deviations under 0.5 m elsewhere. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis is implemented to determine the separate impact on the thickness estimate in the dependence of an individual input variable as mentioned above. The results show systematic bias of the estimated ice thickness appears to be mainly caused by the variations of freeboard as well as the ice density whereas the snow density and depth brings about relatively insignificant errors.  相似文献   

16.
Ice sheets investigation is important with regard to climate change and contribution to the sea level rise or fall. Radar altimetry in complement with laser altimetry can serve as a suitable candidate for precise monitoring of ice sheet evaluations. SARAL due to higher observation into the polar region (up to 82.5°N) can cover nearly 100% of the Greenland ice sheet. Continuous ice tracking mode retracker can provide useful information about ice surfaces, that is, determining the snow coverage, ice sheet transaction margin, and the evolution of snow depth during winter more accurately. This study present the results obtained with SARAL satellite Altika radar altimeter over the Greenland ice sheet region. The altimeter high rate waveforms products are used for utilizing the full capability of the instrument. High resolution DEM (1 km) generated using ICESAT/GLAS altimeter has been used for selecting the good quality data over the study region. Four different retrackers—Ocean, ICE-1, ICE-2, and Sea-Ice—were tested on the SARAL altimeter data set and compared with the DEM extracted ice sheet elevations. Three different data analysis—region of interest (ROI), track analysis, and cross-over analysis—were performed for in-depth analysis of the ice height changes and back scattering coefficient variability. ROI's (1° × 0.5°) were selected based on accumulation dry snow zone, percolation zone, wet snow zone, and ablation zone. Finally to observe the effect of Ka band, SARAL results has been compared with the Envisat altimeter in terms of back scatter and error in the height retrieval due to penetration problem within the ice sheet layer. The new SARAL data set confirms the potential of ice altimetry and provides a new opportunity to monitor the ice sheet surface topography evolution.  相似文献   

17.
Ground Penetrating Radar(GPR) measurements of sea ice thickness including undeformed ice and ridged ice were carried out in the central north Canadian Archipelago in spring 2010. Results have shown a significant spatial heterogeneity of sea ice thickness across the shelf. The undeformed multi-year fast ice of(2.05±0.09) m thick was investigated southern inshore zone of Borden island located at middle of the observational section,which was the observed maximum thickness in the field work. The less thick sea ice was sampled across a flaw lead with the thicknesses of(1.05±0.11) m for the pack ice and(1.24±0.13) m for the fast ice. At the northernmost spot of the section, the undeformed multi-year pack ice was(1.54±0.22) m thick with a ridged ice of 2.5 to 3 m,comparing to the multi-year fast ice with the thickness of(1.67±0.16) m at the southernmost station in the Prince Gustaf Adolf Sea.  相似文献   

18.
To better monitor the vertical crustal movements and sea level changes around Greenland, multiple data sources were used in this paper, including global positioning system(GPS), tide gauge, satellite gravimetry, satellite altimetry, glacial isostatic adjustment(GIA). First, the observations of more than 50 GPS stations from the international GNSS service(IGS) and Greenland network(GNET) in 2007–2018 were processed and the common mode error(CME) was eliminated with using the principal component analysis(PCA). The results show that all GPS stations show an uplift trend and the stations in southern Greenland have a higher vertical speed. Second, by deducting the influence of GIA, the impact of current Gr IS mass changes on GPS stations was analysed, and the GIA-corrected vertical velocity of the GPS is in good agreement with the vertical velocity obtained by gravity recovery and climate experiment(GRACE). Third, the absolute sea level change around Greenland at 4 gauge stations was obtained by combining relative sea level derived from tide gauge observations and crustal uplift rates derived from GPS observations, and was validated by sea level products of satellite altimetry. The results show that although the mass loss of Gr IS can cause considerable global sea level rise, eustatic movements along the coasts of Greenland are quite complex under different mechanisms of sea level changes.  相似文献   

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