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1.
潮白河上游土地利用的时空变化特征与驱动力分析   总被引:11,自引:2,他引:9  
本文以1990年和2000年两期土地利用数据和社会经济数据为基础,采用变化率、土地利用转移矩阵、动态度等指数分析方法,对潮白河上游1990~2000年间土地利用的变化及驱动因子进行了分析。结果表明,在1990年到2000年10年间,由于生态保护和植树造林,潮白河上游土地利用发生了很大变化,突出表现为草地与耕地往林地的转移。从变化的空间差异看,赤城县以及几个县的交界地区土地利用变化最剧烈。从土地利用变化的原因看,生态建设和农业结构调整对土地利用影响深刻,是区域土地利用变化最重要的驱动因子。  相似文献   

2.
新疆和田河流域土地利用/覆被变化及其驱动力分析   总被引:11,自引:4,他引:7  
土地利用/覆盖变化及其驱动力分析是土地利用/覆盖研究的一个主要核心内容。利用1990年、1999年和2005年和田河流域3期土地利用数据,对和田河流域1990—2005年土地利用/覆被变化进行了定量的分析研究,同时利用相关分析和主成分分析探讨了土地利用/覆被变化的驱动力。研究结果表明:在15 a尺度上研究区土地利用/覆被变化总特征是耕地、林地、水域和建设用地面积增加,草地和未利用地面积减少;土地利用程度变化量为0.56%,流域土地利用处于发展时期;优势度没有发生明显的变化,未利用地一直最高。研究区土地利用/覆被变化的主要驱动力为人口因素、经济因素、富裕程度、政策因素、技术因素和水文因素等,各驱动因素以合力形式作用于土地利用/覆被使其变化,其中,人口因素在土地利用/覆被变化中起主导作用。  相似文献   

3.
谢花林  李波 《地理研究》2008,27(2):294-304
本文以农牧交错带的典型区域——内蒙古翁牛特旗为例,考虑土地利用变化过程的空间变量,建立了不同土地利用变化过程的logistic回归模型。结果表明:模型中转为耕地的主要解释变量是到农村居民点的距离和农业气候区;转为草地的主要解释变量是到农村居民点的距离、土壤表层有机质含量和到乡镇中心的距离;转为林地的主要解释变量是到农村居民点的距离和海拔;空间异质性和土地利用变化过程的时间变量共同影响着使用logistic回归模型来解释土地利用变化驱动力的能力;通过对草地logistic回归模型的检验,得出空间统计模型能较好地揭示不同土地利用变化过程的主要驱动力及其作用机理。  相似文献   

4.
This paper focuses on the large‐scale land use and land cover changes that have taken place in Sarawak state, East Malaysia over the three decades of 1972‐2002. Results are presented from a detailed land use and cover change (LUCC) study in the Niah River catchment using satellite imagery, questionnaire surveys and interviews. Successive waves of land cover changes have taken place. Large forest areas have been logged and gradually replaced by oil palm plantations, which now occupy more than 40 per cent of the total land area in the catchment. Concurrently, small‐scale farming systems have also changed. Formerly dominant Iban shifting cultivation practices are increasingly being replaced by cash crop production on permanent fields and impacted by off‐farm activities involving many ethnic groups. It is argued that land cover changes are continuous and complex processes involving a large number of variables which can be analysed for different time periods at various scales.  相似文献   

5.
黄河流域沙漠化空间格局与成因   总被引:2,自引:2,他引:0  
黄河流域地势西高东低,自西向东有青藏高原、内蒙古高原、黄土高原和黄淮海平原4个地貌单元,总面积为79.6万km2。黄河流域是中国重要的生态屏障和重要经济带,黄河流域生态保护和高质量发展已上升为国家战略。沙漠化是中国北方干旱、半干旱以及部分半湿润地区主要的土地退化形式,沙漠化对黄河流域,尤其是流域中、上游地区的影响较大。为了全面掌握黄河流域的沙漠化土地空间分布特征,本研究以Landsat遥感影像为数据源,通过地理信息系统(GIS)技术,获得了黄河流域2010年的沙漠化土地分布数据。结果表明:黄河流域内沙漠化土地面积为128 667 km2,占流域总面积的16.2%;黄河上游的沙漠化土地面积最大,然后依次是黄河中游、黄河源区、黄河下游,沙漠化土地面积分别为89 341、21 426、17 894、7 km2,分别占全流域沙漠化土地总面积的69.4%、16.7%、13.9%、0.01%。黄河流域的沙漠化土地绝大部分分布于内蒙古,其沙漠化土地面积为91 398 km2,占全流域沙漠化土地面积的71.0%;其次是青海,沙漠化土地面积为17 432 km2,占全流域沙漠化土地面积的13.5%;陕西和宁夏的沙漠化土地面积分别占全流域沙漠化土地面积的8.3%和6.5%。黄河流域的沙漠化空间格局主要是降水量与沙源空间耦合的结果,流域92.6%(119 114 km2)的沙漠化土地分布于干旱、半干旱地区。从20世纪70年代以来,黄河流域的沙漠化总体上经历了快速发展—发展放缓—明显逆转的过程,沙漠化大幅度的变化主要受人类活动影响所致,在过去几十年间风速持续减小对沙漠化逆转的积极作用也应引起重视。  相似文献   

6.
Simulating land use/cover change (LUCC) and determining its transition rules have been a focus of research for several decades. Previous studies used ordinary logistic regression (OLR) to determine transition rules in cellular automata (CA) modeling of LUCC, which often neglected the spatially non-stationary relationships between driving factors and land use/cover categories. We use an integrated geographically weighted logistic regression (GWLR) CA-Markov method to simulate LUCC from 2001–2011 over 29 towns in the Connecticut River Basin. Results are compared with those obtained from the OLR-CA-Markov method, and the sensitivity of LUCC simulated by the GWLR-CA-Markov method to the spatial non-stationarity-based suitability map is investigated. Analysis of residuals indicates better goodness of fit in model calibration for geographically weighted regression (GWR) than OLR. Coefficients of driving factors indicate that GWLR outperforms OLR in depicting the local suitability of land use/cover categories. Kappa statistics of the simulated maps indicate high agreement with observed land use/cover for both OLR-CA-Markov and GWLR-CA-Markov methods. Similarity in simulation accuracy between the methods suggests that the sensitivity of simulated LUCC to suitability inputs is low with respect to spatial non-stationarity. Therefore, this study provides critical insight on the role of spatial non-stationarity throughout the process of LUCC simulation.  相似文献   

7.
基于Landsat TM/ETM数据的锡林河流域土地覆盖变化   总被引:29,自引:2,他引:27  
根据1987年、1991年、1997年和2000年4期Landsat TM/ETM影像的土地利用/土地覆盖分类结果,运用地理信息系统空间分析方法,分析了内蒙古锡林河流域1987~2000年间各土地利用类型及草甸草原、典型草原、荒漠草原的数量变化和空间变化特征。分析结果显示,锡林河流域土地利用/土地覆盖变化的主要特征为草甸草原、典型草原面积的大幅减少和荒漠草原、农田和沙漠化土地面积的大幅增加及城镇的扩张。其中面积增加最大的是荒漠草原,增加了2328 km2;相当于1987年荒漠草原面积的56 %。农田和城镇面积逐年增大,分别从1987年的114.3 km2和25.2 km2增加到2000年的332.1 km2和43.6 km2。面积减少最多的是羊草+丛生禾草、羊草+杂类草等优良高产温带典型草原类型,共减少2040 km2。草甸草原面积亦呈逐年减少的趋势,从1987年的1103 km2减少到2000年375 km2,面积减少了65.9 %。农田、沙化地及城镇等非草原土地利用类型面积增加了62.5 %。  相似文献   

8.
太行山淇河流域土地利用变化对生境的影响   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
山地作为陆地表面的特殊地域单元,地形起伏较大,生态系统较为脆弱,对全球变化信号有放大作用。因此,研究山地土地利用变化对生境质量的影响,对于权衡区域生态保护与发展及土地资源的可持续利用具有重要意义。本文基于InVEST模型,结合土地利用数据,并从地形起伏度视角,对太行山淇河流域2000-2015年生境质量进行研究。结果表明:①2000-2015年期间,淇河流域土地利用变化表现为耕地、林地面积逐渐减少,草地、建设用地面积逐渐增加。②流域整体生境质量较好,平均生境质量指数均超过0.7,且2015年有明显提升。③淇河流域的生境质量变化受地类变化影响较大。耕地、草地、建设用地由于受到过人为干扰的影响,其生境出现不同程度的退化;采伐、毁林开荒等行为导致林地的生境也开始缓慢退化,但由于林地的植被覆盖度较高,抗干扰能力较强,加上逐渐开始对其进行恢复,生境质量水平依然较高。④该流域生境质量在地形起伏度上的分布特征表现为平坦区和微起伏区以一般等级生境质量为主,小起伏区和中起伏区则以高度重要和极重要等级生境质量为主。  相似文献   

9.
珠江口海岸带地貌特征对土地利用动态变化影响   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
珠江口作为我国经济发展最活跃的区域,受快速城市化与工业化影响,土地资源不断减少,出现耕地流失、恶性围填海等诸多问题。文中以珠江口海岸带为研究区,借助GIS和RS技术,应用Landsat ETM数据,结合实地考察资料,对1980―2010年珠江口的土地利用变化特征进行研究,并定量分析地形地貌因素对研究区土地利用变化的影响。研究结果表明:在过去近30a期间,研究区土地利用格局发生剧烈变化,耕地减少至原有量的42.1%,城镇用地增长了近8.5倍;土地利用变化受地形地貌因素影响显著,各土地利用类型转化主要发生在海拔130m以下地区,而在这一区间内,存在0~6m和20~80m两个活跃地段,分别是大规模围填海和城镇建设的分布区;对坡度而言,土地利用变化主要分布在0°~2°区间,在1980―2000年和2000―2010年两个时期土地利用类型转化量分别占总量的63.8%和76.2%。  相似文献   

10.
The Yellow River Basin is one of China's most dynamic regions, where past and recent anthropogenic land use activities and polices have had a remarkably impact on the basin's surface. Over the past decades, the rapid socio-economic development has increased the pressure on the prevailing water and land resources with various repercussions on the environment and society. Counteracting ecological degradation in the basin, large-scale conservation and restoration plans have been initiated to expand vegetation coverage on deteriorated land, simultaneously fostering rural sustainable agriculture production. In this context, we derived precise spatial thematic products from long-term satellite time-series about high-frequency temporal dynamics. This information, available in a consistent and repeatable fashion is rare and relevant for many regional and local stakeholders and must be monitored annually to capture the rapid rate of change. Such information serves as a valuable base for decision-making processes. In this study, we used all the archived Landsat images between 2000 and 2015 (4520 scenes) to computed annually the spatially continuous spectral-temporal and textual metrics based on dense Landsat time-series to derive annual maps showing the most prominent land-cover change types related to mining, agriculture, forestry, and urbanization in four sub-regions spread over the Yellow River Basin. These novel land cover/use products provide new insights into recent regional and local dynamics. For final classification, we employed random forest classifiers for each thematic focus-region, trained and tested based on a stable-pixels data set. The resulting maps achieved high accuracies and show afforestation on the Loess Plateau and urbanization as the most prominent drivers of land use/cover dynamics. Agricultural land remained stable, showing local small-scale dynamics. Our study highlights the great potential of using consistent spectral-temporal metrics derived from dense Landsat time-series data together with a stable pixels reference set, allowing for local and regional land surface dynamics mapping at high spatial resolution and the prediction of implications of future change for effective and sustainable basin management.  相似文献   

11.
Understanding the forces that influence the distribution of land use and land-use change (LUC) is an essential step in developing effective strategies for managing these issues. We examined the influence of landscape position on spatial patterns in land-use distribution within the Little Tennessee River Basin (LTRB) of the southern Appalachian Mountains. We show that landscape position, defined with respect to both natural and anthropogenic spatial variables, provides for the identification of statistically significant differences in the distribution of common forms of land use in the study region. Using the same variables, significant differences in the landscape positions subject to land-use change in the LTRB are also examined. These results suggest landscape position exerts a strong influence on the distribution of different forms of land use and the likeliness of given area undergoing LUC. The approach presented here, of considering land use as a function of landscape position that responds to both natural and anthropogenic forces, may prove useful in aiding the development of future strategies to address the consequences of land use in many regions.  相似文献   

12.
珠江三角洲城镇建筑覆盖近期变化研究   总被引:17,自引:5,他引:12  
基于遥感与地理信息系统技术,从1988年与1998年两个时期研究区域的TM卫星影像提取各城镇的实际建筑覆盖区面积等专题信息,并利用Arc/Info802建立珠江三角洲乡镇级空间数据库。在此基础上重点对珠江三角洲城镇建筑覆盖近期变化的空间扩展特性,并就企业、交通设施、人口、区域经济与行政体制等驱动因子进行了初步综合分析。研究表明20世纪末珠江三角洲城镇建筑覆盖总体圈层格局相对稳定,核心增长与交通指向扩展非常显著,城镇建筑覆盖区增长总量与增长速率空间分布不一致,城镇扩展强度指数空间分布也显示出核心增长与交通轴向增长显著的特征  相似文献   

13.
基于遥感和地理信息系统技术,利用1998—2008年SPOT-VEGETATION归一化植被指数(NDVI)数据对塔里木河干流区1998—2007年植被覆盖的时空变化进行了监测,并从气候变化和土地利用变化双重角度分析了植被覆盖变化的原因。研究表明,塔里木河干流区植被覆盖变化经历了两个阶段:1998—2001年植被覆盖严重退化时期;2002—2007年植被覆盖度由急剧上升到缓慢下降再到持续升高时期,NDVI明显高于20世纪末期水平。塔里木河干流区植被覆盖变化存在显著的空间差异,绿洲农业灌溉区和退耕还林还草生态恢复区的植被覆盖度显著提高,天然草地植被区的植被退化严重。塔里木河干流区植被覆盖变化是气候和土地利用变化共同作用的结果。温度对植被覆盖变化的影响表现为对植被生长年内韵律的控制和秋季植被生长期的延长,年降水量的波动式上升是导致塔里木河干流区植被覆盖变化两个阶段呈现差异的主导因素。  相似文献   

14.
20世纪80年代末以来中国土地利用变化的基本特征与空间格局   总被引:105,自引:19,他引:86  
土地利用/土地覆被变化(LUCC)是人类活动与自然环境相互作用最直接的表现形式,本文采用相同空间分辨率的卫星遥感信息源和相同的技术方法,对中国1980 年代末到2010 年土地利用变化数据进行定期更新。在此基础上,提出并发展土地利用动态区划的方法,研究土地利用变化的空间格局与时空特征。我们发现:1990-2010 年的20 年间,中国土地利用变化表现出明显的时空差异。“南减北增,总量基本持衡,新增耕地的重心逐步由东北向西北移动”是耕地变化的基本特征;“扩展提速,东部为重心,向中西部蔓延”是城乡建设用地变化的基本特征;“林地前减后增,荒漠前增后减,草地持续减少”是非人工土地利用类型变化的主要特征。20 世纪末与21 世纪初两个10 年相比,中国土地利用变化空间格局出现了一些新特征,原有的13 个土地利用变化区划单元演变为15 个单元,且部分区划单元边界发生变化。主要变化格局特征为黄淮海地区、东南部沿海地区、长江中游地区和四川盆地城镇工矿用地呈现明显的加速扩张态势;北方地区耕地开垦重心由东北地区和内蒙古东部转向西北绿洲农业区;东北地区旱作耕地持续转变为水田;内蒙古农牧交错带南部、黄土高原和西南山地退耕还林还草效果初显。近20 年间,尽管气候变化对北方地区的耕地变化有一定的影响,但政策调控和经济驱动仍然是导致我国土地利用变化及其时空差异的主要原因。2000 年后的第一个10 年,土地利用格局变化的人为驱动因素已由单向国土开发为主,转变为开发与保护并重。在空间格局变化的分析方法方面,应用“动态区划法”开展世纪之交两个10 年中国LUCC空间格局变化的分析,有效揭示了20 年来中国LUCC“格局的变化过程”,即动态区划边界的推移、区划单元内部特征的变化与单元的消长等;以及“变化过程的格局”,即土地利用变化过程与特征的分阶段区域差异,清晰刻画了LUCC动态区划中区划单元的消长,单元边界的变动,以及前后10 年的变化强度特征,揭示了土地利用“格局”与“过程”之间的交替转化规律,以及不同类型和区域的变化原因,证明了该分析方法的有效性。  相似文献   

15.
Interest in the Holocene development of small to medium-sized river catchments in Western and Central Europe in relation to changes in land use and climate has increased over the past years. In this study we reconstruct the Holocene landscape development and fluvial dynamics of the Geul River (The Netherlands) and the main forcing mechanisms of environmental change. Field studies were carried out and we used OSL and 14C dating methods to reconstruct the Holocene valley development. Our study shows that 2 periods of deforestation (during the Roman Period and the High Middle Ages) led to severe soil erosion and increased floodplain sedimentation in the catchment of the Geul River, possibly combined with periods of increased wetness during the High Middle Ages. Alluvial fans have been active since the Roman deforestation phase. Our results show that the Geul catchment is highly sensitive to changes in land use.  相似文献   

16.
Gauging data are available from numerous streams throughout Australia, and these data provide a basis for historical analysis of geomorphic change in stream channels in response to both natural phenomena and human activities. We present a simple method for analysis of these data, and a brief case study of an application to channel change in the Tully River, in the humid tropics of north Queensland. The analysis suggests that this channel has narrowed and deepened, rather than aggraded: channel aggradation was expected, given the intensification of land use in the catchment, upstream of the gauging station. Limitations of the method relate to the time periods over which stream gauging occurred; the spatial patterns of stream gauging sites; the quality and consistency of data collection; and the availability of concurrent land-use histories on which to base the interpretation of the channel changes.  相似文献   

17.
岷江上游近50a土地覆被的变化趋势   总被引:16,自引:0,他引:16  
樊宏 《山地学报》2002,20(1):64-69
本文的目的是通过典型区的研究,揭示我国西南山地系统土地利用/覆被变化的规律。本文通过对岷江上游大量历史材料和数据的分析确定:耕地大幅度增加和林地内部结构的剧变是50a来岷江上游土地利用/覆被变化的最主要特点。本文在对二者变化过程进行分析的基础上,总结了岷江上游山地系统土地利用/覆被变化的规律,有以下结论:(1)研究区土地覆被变化受山地自然条件控制,将继续以林地与草地为主体;(2)通达性的改善往往是山区土地利用/覆被大规模变化的开端;(3)土地覆被变化存在一个演替序列;(4)土地利用效益增长潜力较大的土地覆被类型快的速度增长。此结合可指导研究萄生态重建工作。  相似文献   

18.
Land-use/land-cover changes (LUCCs) have links to both human and nature interactions. China's Land-Use/cover Datasets (CLUDs) were updated regularly at 5-year intervals from the late 1980s to 2010,with standard procedures based on Landsat TM\ETM+ images. A land-use dynamic regionalization method was proposed to analyze major land-use conversions. The spatiotemporal characteristics,differences,and causes of land-use changes at a national scale were then examined. The main findings are summarized as follows. Land-use changes (LUCs) across China indicated a significant variation in spatial and temporal characteristics in the last 20 years (1990-2010). The area of cropland change decreased in the south and increased in the north,but the total area remained almost unchanged. The reclaimed cropland was shifted from the northeast to the northwest. The built-up lands expanded rapidly,were mainly distributed in the east,and gradually spread out to central and western China. Woodland decreased first,and then increased,but desert area was the opposite. Grassland continued decreasing. Different spatial patterns of LUC in China were found between the late 20th century and the early 21st century. The original 13 LUC zones were replaced by 15 units with changes of boundaries in some zones. The main spatial characteristics of these changes included (1) an accelerated expansion of built-up land in the Huang-Huai-Hai region,the southeastern coastal areas,the midstream area of the Yangtze River,and the Sichuan Basin;(2) shifted land reclamation in the north from northeast China and eastern Inner Mongolia to the oasis agricultural areas in northwest China;(3) continuous transformation from rain-fed farmlands in northeast China to paddy fields;and (4) effectiveness of the "Grain for Green" project in the southern agricultural-pastoral ecotones of Inner Mongolia,the Loess Plateau,and southwestern mountainous areas. In the last two decades,although climate change in the north affected the change in cropland,policy regulation and economic driving forces were still the primary causes of LUC across China. During the first decade of the 21st century,the anthropogenic factors that drove variations in land-use patterns have shifted the emphasis from one-way land development to both development and conservation.The "dynamic regionalization method" was used to analyze changes in the spatial patterns of zoning boundaries,the internal characteristics of zones,and the growth and decrease of units. The results revealed "the pattern of the change process," namely the process of LUC and regional differences in characteristics at different stages. The growth and decrease of zones during this dynamic LUC zoning,variations in unit boundaries,and the characteristics of change intensities between the former and latter decades were examined. The patterns of alternative transformation between the "pattern" and "process" of land use and the causes for changes in different types and different regions of land use were explored.  相似文献   

19.
塔里木河中上游土地利用变化的径流响应   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
韩强  薛联青  刘远洪  任磊 《干旱区地理》2017,40(6):1165-1170
为了定量分析塔里木河中上游土地利用变化对径流的影响程度,基于塔里木河流域1980-2015年土地利用数据及相关水文系列资料,利用MIKE SHE分布式水文模型客观模拟评价了流域中上游土地利用变化下的水文响应过程。结果表明:MIKE SHE模型可以较好的模拟塔里木河流域中上游的日流量过程,在研究区具有良好的适用性;1980-2015年间流域土地利用变化导致流域地表日径流量减少了4.2 m3·s-1。通过仿真模拟分析草地、林地、耕地三种土地利用情景,得到日均流量分别为147.56 m3·s-1、141.80 m3·s-1,144.72 m3·s-1由此可见,该流域径流对不同土地利用类型的响应差异较大,产流量的总体趋势为草地>耕地>林地。研究成果对于流域土地利用格局的合理规划及极端水文事件的控制具有重要意义。  相似文献   

20.
黄河三角洲土地利用与土地覆被的质量变化   总被引:20,自引:0,他引:20  
土地利用/土地覆被变化(LUCC)在全球环境变化与可持续发展研究中占有重要地位。其质量变化尤能反映人类开发活动的环境效应。运用遥感信息土地分类和植被指数提取、土壤定点采样实测和统计分析相结合的方法,研究了黄河三角洲地区数年至20余年的土地利用/土地覆被的质量变化。其在区域总体上向好的方向发展,但在内部地段间存在着差异和不平衡。盐渍土改造的任务仍然十分艰巨。地力下降的隐患不可忽视。进而分析了变化的驱动力并提出土地持续利用对策。  相似文献   

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