共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 265 毫秒
1.
本文将临界慢化理论应用于甘东南地区水氡浓度观测资料的处理中,以2008年5月12日汶川MS8.0地震、2013年7月22日甘肃岷县—漳县MS6.6地震为例,计算表征临界慢化现象的自相关系数和方差。计算结果表明,甘东南地区多个台站的水氡浓度观测资料在两次地震前均存在较明显的临界慢化现象。并从空间分布、持续时间、变化形态方面分析了异常点水氡浓度变化的临界慢化特征,结合水氡异常的水动力学机制和异常点所在构造,认为2次地震前的临界慢化现象与地震的发生有一定关系。 相似文献
2.
Sedat İnan Kadriye Ertekin Cemil Seyis Şakir Şimşek Furkan Kulak Aynur Dikbaş Onur Tan Semih Ergintav Rahşan Çakmak Ahmet Yörük Muhiddin Çergel Hakan Yakan Hüseyin Karakuş Ruhi Saatçilar Zafer Akçiğ Yıldız İravul Bekir Tüzel 《Acta Geophysica》2010,58(5):767-813
Warm and hot spring water as well as soil gas radon release patterns have been monitored in the Aegean Extensional Province of Western Turkey, alongside regional seismic events, providing a multi-disciplinary approach. In the study period of 20 months, seven moderate earthquakes with M L between 4.0 and 4.7 occurred in this seismically very active region; two earthquakes with magnitude 5.0 also occurred near the study area. Seismic monitoring showed no foreshock activity. By contrast, hydro-geochemical anomalies were found prior to these seismic events, each lasting for weeks. The anomalies occurred foremost in conjunction with dip-slip events and seem to support the dilatancy and water diffusion hypothesis. Increased soil gas radon release was recorded before earthquakes associated with strike-slip faults, but no soil radon anomalies were seen before earthquakes associated with dip-slip faults. Geochemical anomalies were also noticeably absent at some springs throughout the postulated deformation zones of impending earthquakes. The reason for this discrepancy might be due to stress/strain anisotropies. 相似文献
3.
嘉峪关气氡浓度在多年上升的背景下,于2017年出现了转折异常变化,但祁连山地震带内一直没有发生与异常幅度和持续时间相匹配的地震,直到2021年5月22日,在距离嘉峪关气氡测点570 km的玛多发生MS7.4地震。为了判断嘉峪关气氡浓度异常与玛多地震的关系,结合震例,从异常信度、震前异常特征、震后异常变化及地质构造背景等方面对其进行深入分析。结果发现:嘉峪关气氡浓度的异常特征与地震所处的构造有关,发生在祁连山地震带内的地震,气氡浓度异常表现为1年或半年尺度的年畸变,发生在该地震带以外远距离的地震,气氡浓度异常表现为多年的趋势性变化;玛多地震发生后,嘉峪关气氡浓度下降速率减缓之后转折,呈恢复状态;嘉峪关气氡测点与玛多地震都位于青藏高原东北部,具有相同的动力背景且在构造上具有关联性。综合分析认为嘉峪关气氡多年趋势异常与玛多MS7.4地震有关,研究对建立可靠的异常指标体系、提高地震预测水平具有重要意义。 相似文献
4.
Several kinds of geochemical anomaly before strong earthquakes have been observed in China since 1966. They include changes in groundwater radon levels, ion content of water (Ca+2, Mg+2, Cl–, SO
4
–2
, F–), dissolved gases (H2, CO2), and gases escaping from the aeration zone through abandoned dry wells (Ar, N2, CO2). The radon anomalies may be grouped as long-term and short-term anomalies. Most of the geochemical anomalies observed are characterized by a pattern of increase. The largest amplitude recorded was 37 times the base level. Preliminary study indicates that the types of seismogeochemical anomaly observed prior to strong earthquakes depend on tectonic, geologic, lithologic, and hydrogeological conditions at the monitoring station. Results obtained from modelling experiments on the mechanisms of some anomalies are given. 相似文献
5.
Y. Chung 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1984,122(2-4):294-308
Two continuous radon monitors (CRMs) have been deployed at Arrowhead Hot Springs along the San Andreas fault near San Bernardino and at Murrieta Hot Springs along the Elsinore fault. The recorded hourly and daily radon variations during 1983 are within ±5% of the mean values. The radon levels increased, however, by about 10–20% above their normal baseline levels in midyear. Several small-magnitude earthquakes (M=3.0–3.5) occurred within 20 km of the Arrowhead site near the end of the period of the radon increase.Discrete radon and helium monitoring at Arrowhead Springs since 1974 has recorded one definite precursory anomaly: a shapr increase of radon and helium (and also other dissolved gases) in 1979 by as much as 60% above their baseline levels. This anomaly was followed by the nearby Big Bear earthquake swarm (main shock,M=4.8) 45 days later. A similar increase was recorded during the first half of 1983, and it was followed by several small earthquakes (M=3.0–3.5) within 20 km of the Arrowhead site. In both cases radon and helium increased proportionally, indicating mixing between the deep-source water and the surface water at variable proportions.Comparison of radon values in gas and in liquid phases indicates that radon is not in equilibrium between the two phases but is distributed preferentially in the gas phase by a factor of 20 to 25. (Only about 5% or less of groundwater radon is in the dissolved phase.) At both sites the dissolved radon is much lower than that expected from solubility. 相似文献
6.
Radon Changes Associated with the Earthquake Sequence in June 2000 in the South Iceland Seismic Zone 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Páll Einarsson Páll Theodórsson Ásta Rut Hjartardóttir Guðón I Guðjónsson 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2008,165(1):63-74
An earthquake sequence at the transform plate boundary in South Iceland, that included two magnitude 6.5 earthquakes in June
2000, was anticipated on the basis of a centuries-long seismicity pattern in the area. A program of radon monitoring in geothermal
water from drill holes, initiated in 1999, rendered distinct and consistent variations in radon in association with these
events. All seven sampling stations in a 50 × 30 km zone covering the epicentral area showed a consistent pattern. Four types
of change could be identified: 1) Preseismic decrease of radon. Anomalously low values were measured 101–167 days before the
earthquakes. 2) Preseismic increase. Spikes appear in the time series at six stations 40–144 days prior to the earthquakes.
These anomalies were large and unusual if compared to a 17-years history of radon monitoring in this area. 3) Coseismic step,
most likely related to the coseismic change in groundwater pressure observed over the entire area. 4) Postseismic return of
the radon values to the preseismic level about three months later, also concurrent with groundwater pressure changes. 相似文献
7.
T. Kuo 《Ground water》2014,52(2):217-224
Both studies at the Antung hot spring in eastern Taiwan and at the Paihe spring in southern Taiwan confirm that groundwater radon can be a consistent tracer for strain changes in the crust preceding an earthquake when observed in a low‐porosity fractured aquifer surrounded by a ductile formation. Recurrent anomalous declines in groundwater radon were observed at the Antung D1 monitoring well in eastern Taiwan prior to the five earthquakes of magnitude (Mw): 6.8, 6.1, 5.9, 5.4, and 5.0 that occurred on December 10, 2003; April 1, 2006; April 15, 2006; February 17, 2008; and July 12, 2011, respectively. For earthquakes occurring on the longitudinal valley fault in eastern Taiwan, the observed radon minima decrease as the earthquake magnitude increases. The above correlation has been proven to be useful for early warning local large earthquakes. In southern Taiwan, radon anomalous declines prior to the 2010 Mw 6.3 Jiasian, 2012 Mw 5.9 Wutai, and 2012 ML 5.4 Kaohsiung earthquakes were also recorded at the Paihe spring. For earthquakes occurring on different faults in southern Taiwan, the correlation between the observed radon minima and the earthquake magnitude is not yet possible. 相似文献
8.
通过测量介质品质因子来开展大同窗附近测震台站记录P波衰减频散特征的研究,并分析大同窗近场区和外围区震例前后的变化。对山自皂台记录的2001年以来大同窗地震序列的研究结果表明,近场区3次和外围区6次地震前,介质品质因子显示超出1倍均方差的高值变化特征,震后逐渐恢复到背景起伏状态;与大同窗传统的频次指标相比,介质品质因子的映震效果更好;阳原台的结果表明,仅近场区1次和外围区2次地震前,介质品质因子显示超出1倍均方差的高值变化特征,且有虚报、漏报。所处地质构造位置不同、传播路径介质差异可能是引起上述两个台站附近介质品质因子的地震对应效果明显不同的原因。 相似文献
9.
区分"源兆"与"场兆",系地震预测探索中的重要课题。根据云南4组6级以上地震的地下流体前兆异常资料,系统分析了强震源兆的流体前兆异常特征。结果表明,在6级多强震的源兆区,即震中距100 km范围内,异常项目计有水位、水温、水氡、水汞及气汞;以中期、短期异常为主,临震异常很少;源兆异常台站和台项的比例均高于场兆。这些流体源兆特征的认识,可为利用流体异常判断地震危险区提供一定依据。 相似文献
10.
The changes of radon concentration in underground water (water radon) recorded at about 200 stations in 32 earthquakes occurred in the mainland of China are studied in this paper. The result shows that the spatial distribution of short-term and imminent anomalies of water radon before earthquake seems to be mainly related to the active master fault nearby the hypocenter of an earthquake and the earthquake-generating mechanism. Finally, some understandings on the mechanism of the anomalies and the imminent earthquake prediction are set forth. 相似文献
11.
Rakesh Chand Ramola 《Acta Geophysica》2010,58(5):814-827
The variations of spring water radon concentration and meteorological parameters were analysed in relation to the seismic
activities in Garhwal Himalaya, India. The radon anomalies were classified on the basis of statistical treatment of the daily
observations. The precise measurements of water discharge rate from the spring have been made along with radon measurements
for earthquake precursory study. The earthquakes with epicentral distances less than 150 km were considered by an empirical
relationship. Pre-, co-, and post-seismic changes in the radon concentration were taken carefully into account in the empirical
relationship to establish this behaviour as a potential earthquake precursor. The empirical relationship has been validated
by the radon data recorded from the spring waters. The magnitudes of the earthquakes were estimated by using the empirical
relationship by introducing computed correlation coefficient of radon and meteorological parameters. The calculated magnitude
of some local earthquakes matches exactly with the magnitude recorded by the laboratory seismograph. The possible mechanisms
that may cause a radon anomaly are also discussed. 相似文献
12.
IntroductionShort-to-imminentprecursorsstillarethemainbasisforearthquakepredictioninthepresenttime.Strongquakes,especiallythosewithnoforeshocks,canbeforecastedtosomeextentbasedonabundantshoat-to-imminentprecursorsandcombiningwiththemid-to-longtermvar... 相似文献
13.
选取河北省5个形变台站的观测资料,利用Venedikov调和分析法计算河北省境内M_S4.0以上的潮汐因子、相位等参数,发现应变潮汐因子对地震都有多则半年,少则几周的异常期。宽城台对河北省境内发生M_S4.0以上的地震中,震中距较其他台站最近(震中距最远为350km、最近为100km),资料较好,故在综合分析河北应变台站的基础上,重点选取宽城台的应变潮汐因子对河北2005—2015年地震案例进行简要分析,发现该台对地震的对应率达到60%,虚报率40%,漏报率极低只有14%,前兆异常可信度较高,可作为前兆异常的参考。 相似文献
14.
利用甘肃前兆台网观测资料进行时空扫描,发现地下流体参量、地倾斜等在甘肃酒泉金塔5.4级地震前10天内出现了一系列异常变化,鼎新—德令哈基线在两年半的时间内缩短5 mm;短临异常主要出现在距震中200km范围的台站,时间是3月中旬和4月下旬;临震异常集中出现的时间是4月28日至5月1日。距离震中较近的高台倾斜完整记录下酒泉金塔MS5.4地震发生过程中岩土石受力变化的全部过程,提供了地震孕育和发生的完整演化资料,对完善地震理论模型和地震预测有积极的研究价值。 相似文献
15.
Continuous gas monitoring in the West Bohemian earthquake area,Czech Republic: First results 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
Eckhard Faber Josef Horálek Alena Boušková Manfred Teschner Ulrich Koch Jürgen Poggenburg 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》2009,53(3):315-328
Two stations monitoring concentrations of carbon dioxide and radon in soil gas (Oldřišská and Novy Kostel) and one station
monitoring flow of carbon dioxide at a mofette (Soos) have been operated in the area of the West Bohemian earthquake swarms.
We present preliminary results obtained on the base of four-year observations. We found that data are not influenced considerably
by barometric pressure. Although the CO2 concentration varies greatly, the long-term trends at stations Oldřišská and Novy Kostel are similar, which indicates that
the CO2 flow is controlled by common geogenic processes. Also temporal trends of CO2 and Rn concentrations in soil gas at individual stations are analogous. We found diurnal variations of both CO2 concentration in soil gas and the CO2 flow at mofettes due to the earth tides. A response to tides of semi-diurnal period is insignificant in CO2 concentration and only weak in the CO2 flow. We also examined possible pre-seismic, co-seismic and post-seismic effects of the intensive 2008 earthquake swarm on
the CO2 concentration at Oldřišská and Novy Kostel, and on the CO2 flow at Soos. However, all potential indications were insignificant and there has not been proven any influence of the swarm
on the CO2 concentration as well as on the CO2 flow. Nevertheless, a gradual decrease of amplitudes of diurnal variations before the swarm and the lowest amplitudes during
the swarm is a noteworthy phenomenon, which might indicate the strain changes of the rock associated with earthquake swarm. 相似文献
16.
Mechanisms for interpreting anomalous decreases in radon in ground water prior to earthquakes are examined with the help of a case study to show that radon potentially is a sensitive tracer of strain changes in the crust preceding an earthquake. The 2003 Chengkung earthquake of magnitude (M) 6.8 on December 10, 2003, was the strongest earthquake near the Chengkung area in eastern Taiwan since 1951. The Antung radon-monitoring station was located 20 km from the epicenter. Approximately 65 d prior to the 2003 Chengkung earthquake, precursory changes in radon concentration in ground water were observed. Specifically, radon decreased from a background level of 780 pCi/L to a minimum of 330 pCi/L. The Antung hot spring is situated in a fractured block of tuffaceous sandstone surrounded by ductile mudstone. Given these geological conditions, we hypothesized that the dilation of brittle rock mass occurred at a rate faster than the recharge of pore water and gas saturation developed in newly created cracks preceding the earthquake. Radon partitioning into the gas phase may explain the anomalous decrease of radon precursory to the 2003 Chengkung earthquake. To support the hypothesis, vapor-liquid, two-phase radon-partitioning experiments were conducted at formation temperature (60 degrees C) using formation brine from the Antung hot spring. Experimental data indicated that the decrease in radon required a gas saturation of 10% developed in rock cracks. The observed decline in radon can be correlated with the increase in gas saturation and then with the volumetric strain change for a given fracture porosity. 相似文献
17.
18.
19.
使用40个地下流体观测点的资料,对1990年4月26日青海省共和MS7.0地震的前兆动态特征进行了系统研究.结果表明:(1)地震带内观测点的水氡趋势异常及水化、水位群体异常及频次异常与断层平均形变速率呈同步变化.地下流体群体异常频次的累加值曲线在地震前表现为指数加速变化图形.(2)震源外围240km范围内的水氡中短期趋势上升异常,表现为由震源逐渐向外围扩散的特点.在短临阶段各测点水氡的异常变化基本同步.(3)流体短临前兆出现明显的起伏加剧和层次现象,突出的表现是流量、断层气日变化在临震阶段出现3次加剧,且异常幅度一次高于一次. 相似文献
20.
通过分析台站之间地磁垂直分量日变化相关性,研究中国大陆南北带地区90°E～110°E,2009～2018年地磁日变化感应电流线状集中分布现象与M_S≥6.0地震关系。统计发现,我国每月平均出现约2次感应电流集中分布现象,且10天左右内有原地重复出现现象——感应电流集中分布重叠异常,原地重现的集中分布感应电流日期间隔一般在10天左右以内,原地重现日期一般不连续,重现次数一般仅有2次。研究发现,我国南北带2009～2018年共出现重叠异常23次,20次重叠异常出现后18个月内重叠段发生M_S≥6.0地震,对应率高达87%,地震基本发生在重叠段端部250km以内,重叠段发生2次M_S≥6.0地震的比例较低,约35%;重叠段2个端部均发生M_S≥6.0地震的比例极小,仅约9%。部分重叠段走向与已经发现的上地幔和地壳高导带埋深走向基本一致,推测重叠异常发生在上地幔和地壳高导带附近,是来自上地幔和地壳内高导带附近的地震异常信息。目前已知,中国大陆强地震主要发生在上地幔高导层的隆起区一带及其壳内高导层发育地区,深部电性测深结果表明,大震易于发生在电导率急剧变化的梯度带,但这些地区何时发生地震还未得知,本文发现的重叠异常解释了这些地区1～2年内是否发生地震这一问题。 相似文献