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1.
经典弹性回跳模型是历史上最有影响的地震模型之一．热力学弹性回跳模型对经典弹性回跳模型进行了合理的补充。根据存在着震前超低频应力一密度波和临震微破裂波的设想．进一步补充了热力学弹性回跳模型．新模型或可称为“微破裂弹性回跳模型”。这个模型与很多实测结果符合得很好。因为大多数地震都要经历应变累积、微破裂和主破裂三个阶段．所以,一次地震一般都会先后出现三种不同类型的波,即：超低频应力一密度波（应变波）、微破裂波以及普通地震波。这一认识对深入理解地震现象以及对地震的监测和预警都是有意义的． 相似文献
2.
根据室内岩石变形实验中岩石的微破裂和应变能释放等情况，联想到地震发生的几种相似现象：（１）岩体在较低的状态下亦有可能发生地震；（２）小震的发生预示岩体内应变和应变能的释放，但应力却未必释放；（３）主震时就变能大量释放，但仍有相当多的应变能残留在岩体中，这应是老震区发生地震的原因之一。 相似文献
3.
利用伺服控制双轴加载系统,采用阵列式布局的应变、自电位测量方法,对岩石样品弹性变形阶段和破坏过程中的应变和自电位进行了实验研究. 结果表明,在突然加卸载、黏滑和岩样破裂几种特定情况下,自电位和应变场均出现了互相关联的脉冲状突然变化,且具有相当大的空间展布. 尽管有时应力σ值相当高,但当应力变化率γ= dσ/ dt为零（恒载）且保持正、负常数（匀速加、卸载）时,自电位始终没有异常出现. 反之,无论γ的增量Δγ为正值或负值,当γ突变,即对样品进行突然加卸载的时刻则出现了脉冲状自电位信号ΔV,Δγ的正或负对ΔV的影响是相反的. 分析表明,应力突变时ΔV与Δγ的异常幅度成正比. 应力突变和岩石破裂过程中自电位明显的时空变化意味着,孕震区附近如果自电位有突变,就有可能观测到相关的自电位前兆和同震变化, 并可能出现同步的应变变化,这给地震的自电位和应变前兆方法提供了实验证据. 相似文献
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1 研究背景
声发射是指岩石在受力过程中发生变形和破裂,其应变能释放所监测到的一种物理现象,而b值是表征地震震级—频度关系的参数,研究人员发现,b值具有非线性特征,且与岩石破裂过程密切相关.因此,利用岩石试件变形破坏过程中产生的声发射事件模拟地震,进而研究不同加载条件下岩石变形破坏过程中的声发射b值变化特征,可用于监测岩石受力破坏过程中内部预存微裂隙的活动状态,有助于揭示岩石损伤机理及岩石的破坏程度,也可作为岩石失稳预警参数,捕捉地震发生的前兆信息. 相似文献
6.
依据对具有较高微裂纹密度的筑波花岗岩和极低微裂纹密度的花岗斑岩 2种极端的岩石标本、在等应力速率的快速加载 (约 6MPa/min)和蠕变加载 (轴向应力保持在约 95 %破坏强度 ) 2个极端的加载条件下的实验结果 ,讨论了预存微裂纹密度与加载速度对多晶质结晶岩变形破坏过程的影响。实验中利用高速多通道声发射波形数字记录系统 (每秒可记录多达 5 0 0 0个声发射事件的 32通道波形 ) ,获得了岩石标本破坏前微破裂活动的详细时空分布数据。声发射的发生率、震级 -频度关系中的b值及震源的空间分布揭示出岩石变形破坏过程中微破裂活动具有 3个典型阶段 :初期阶段、第 2阶段和成核阶段。尤其是在成核阶段 ,还观测到发生率和b值有大幅度前兆性起伏。一般而言 ,在相同加载条件下预存微破裂密度越高 ,或对同一岩石加载速度越慢 ,对应的断层成核过程就越长 ,因此最终破坏的可预报性也越高。为了进一步探讨微破裂活动的阶段性特征及其物理本质 ,还利用亚临界破裂扩展模型对声发射数据进行了理论分析 相似文献
7.
对花岗岩样品进行逐次加载的蠕变实验,得到了加载过程中的蠕变曲线和蠕变破裂的全过程曲线.对加载过程中的杨氏模量、蠕变量、蠕变速率等参数用加卸载响应比方法进行了分析,认为有二种不同形态的响应曲线.在中低应力的弹性阶段其响应比都近似为1,而在高应力的膨胀阶段其响应比都随应力而增加.对应力不变时的蠕变破裂全过程曲线进行了分解,在蠕变破裂过程中,瞬态、稳态和加速3个阶段的持续时间分别为全部时间的18%,75%和7%;在加速蠕变阶段蠕变速率及其响应比明显增加.这一结果是预测蠕变破裂的明显指标. 相似文献
8.
资料表明某些强地震前中小地震的地震非均匀度（GL值）参数在强地震孕育进入中期或短期阶段出现明显异常变化, 显示出区域中小地震活动状态发生变化. 本文通过对含有障碍体的平直断层、 挤压型雁列式断层及Ⅲ型剪切裂纹等3种类型的岩石样本变形破坏过程声发射事件时间序列的分析, 讨论了GL值变化的物理意义. 计算结果表明, 这3种标本变形破坏过程中, 在应力应变处于非弹性阶段前夕或在岩石整体破裂失稳前破裂成核期间, GL值出现持续大于１的异常变化. 表明GL值能较好地刻画受压岩石破坏前的应变的非弹性变化, 具有一定的标本破裂指示意义. 相似文献
9.
从岩石的应变,破裂与电性的变化关系探索对地震的预报 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
根据岩石受力过程的应变,破裂时产生的局部地磁场异常变化和电磁辐射现象,动用地磁短周期转换函数法和地磁场垂直分量加卸载响应比法结合电磁辐射现象的分析,可达到对地震的中短临异常跟踪预报的目的。由上海及邻近地区２０世纪９０年代发生的二次中强地城震例可得到较好的验证。 相似文献
10.
岩石微破裂震源过程的声发射研究进展 总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8
从岩石微破裂的破裂模式和震源机制、声发现事件波形的振幅频谱特征、介质特征等方面,对地震研究领域岩石微破裂声发射近期的一些研究结果进行了简单综述。 相似文献
11.
Slip nucleation during earthquakes is apparently analogous to rupture nucleation within an intact rock sample subjected to triaxial loading. The observations indicate that both these nucleation processes initiate within a relatively small volume and in both the slip propagates unstably along a quasi-planar surface. In both processes a single, pre-existing, shear fracture cannot nucleate the large-scale slip, and in both a ‘process zone' that includes several interacting fractures in a small volume are required to initiate the unstable slip. Both processes require rupture of intact rocks, generate complex fracture geometry, and are associated with intense energy-release rate during slip. Recent observations and analyses are used to correlate rupture nucleation in laboratory tests with nucleation events of large earthquakes. It is proposed that earthquake nucleation occurs by the interaction among multiple fractures within a small volume that develops into unstable yielding of the healed fault zone. 相似文献
12.
汶川8.0级地震后中国大陆强震活动状态研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
本文从不同空间、 时间尺度对2008年四川汶川8.0级地震的影响意义进行了初步讨论, 并以此分析了其后我国大陆的强震活动状态。研究结果表明, 1800年以来中国大陆西部及邻区的大三角地区8级地震活动呈现为100年左右丛集性时间过程, 具有地震平静、 地震丛集、 地震丛集发生前的过渡和丛集发生后的调整等时间特征; 2001年11月14日昆仑山口西8.1级地震和2008年5月12日四川汶川8.0级地震的发生表明, 目前该地区可能处于8级地震丛集发生前的过渡时段。20世纪以来, 中国大陆7级强震的时间活动过程明显受大三角地区8级地震时间进程的影响, 在8级地震活动的1900—1955年时段内, 7级地震幕式活动划分不显著, 而在8级地震平静的1956—2000年时段内, 7级地震幕式活动划分清晰; 以2008年汶川8.0级地震为标志, 受大三角地区8级左右巨大地震活跃控制, 中国大陆可能将进入一组新的幕式活动不清晰的、 类似于1900—1955年的强震活跃时段。 相似文献
13.
Rupture model of the 2013 M_W 6.6 Lushan (China) earthquake constrained by a new GPS data set and its effects on potential seismic hazard 
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下载免费PDF全文 Vertical records are critically important when determining the rupture model of an earthquake, especially a thrust earthquake. Due to the relatively low fitness level of near-field vertical displacements, the precision of previous rupture models is relatively low, and the seismic hazard evaluated thereafter should be further updated. In this study, we applied three-component displacement records from GPS stations in and around the source region of the 2013 MW6.6 Lushan earthquake to re-investigate the rupture model.To improve the resolution of the rupture model, records from both continuous and campaign GPS stations were gathered, and secular deformations of the GPS movements were removed from the records of the campaign stations to ensure their reliability. The rupture model was derived by the steepest descent method(SDM), which is based on a layered velocity structure. The peak slip value was about 0.75 m, with a seismic moment release of 9.89 × 10~(18) N·m, which was equivalent to an M_W6.6 event. The inferred fault geometry coincided well with the aftershock distribution of the Lushan earthquake. Unlike previous rupture models, a secondary slip asperity existed at a shallow depth and even touched the ground surface. Based on the distribution of the co-seismic ruptures of the Lushan and Wenchuan earthquakes, post-seismic relaxation of the Wenchuan earthquake, and tectonic loading process, we proposed that the seismic hazard is quite high and still needs special attention in the seismic gap between the two earthquakes. 相似文献
14.
Evolution of cumulative Coulomb failure stress in northeastern Qinghai-Xizang （Tibetan） Plateau and its effect on large earthquake occurrence 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
We simulate accumulative Coulomb failure stress change in a layered Maxwell viscoelastic media in the north-eastern Qinghai-Xizang(Tibetan)Plateau since 1920.Lithospheric stress/strain evolution is assumed to be drivenby dislocations of large earthquakes(M≥7.0)and secular tectonic loading.The earthquake rupture parameters suchas the fault rupture length,width,and slip are either adopted from field investigations or estimated from their sta-tistic relationships with the earthquake magnitudes and seismic moments.Our study shows that among 20 largeearthquakes(M≥7.0)investigated,17 occurred in areas where the Coulomb failure stress change is positive,with atriggering rate of 85%.This study provides essential data for the intermediate to long-term likelihood estimation oflarge earthquakes in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau. 相似文献
15.
广西龙滩库区于2009年度至2010年2个年度库水加卸载及渗透过程中,在交比屯、坪上、中良坪和向阳4个地点进行了5期次大地电磁定点测量,观测频段为320 Hz~1000 s.结合区域深部电性结构探测研究成果分析.结果显示,4个测点位于不同的岩性和深部电性结构区域,4个测点上观测的5期次视电阻率值发生变化的频段不同,位于库区中游的坪上、中良坪和向阳3个测点上5期次测量的视电阻率数值在频率1 Hz以下频段在高水位时段测量值小、在低水位时段测量值大,位于库首区域的交比屯测点在最高水位时段视电阻率数值最小,说明库水在加卸载及渗透过程中对地下介质有明显影响,库区上游库水渗透影响深度可达7 km左右,在坝首区域可达10 km.龙滩水库区4个地震丛集区中的3个地震丛集区的震源区位于具有低阻特性的二迭系下统和石炭系地层的下部,以岩溶水体诱发地震为主;位于坝首地震丛集区的震源区位于上宽下窄似"铆钉状"的高阻体下部,推测是因水库蓄水后水体压力增大和库水渗透作用下,在聚集高变形能的脆性高电阻体内部发生的地震.电磁探测结果说明库水渗透对龙滩水库区地震孕育和发生起着重要、直接的作用. 相似文献
16.
利用FLAC,模拟了双轴压缩岩样的破坏过程及剪应力异常.在峰值强度之前及之后,岩石的本构模型分别取为线弹性及莫尔库仑剪破坏与拉破坏复合的应变软化模型.本文仅分析了3个具有较大应力降的周期的剪应力异常及塑性区分布.在第1及第2周期,剪破坏分别发生在试样的两侧及背景空区内部,前兆明显,地震属于断错型.在第3周期,背景空区之外的新剪切破裂带引起断错型地震;空区内部的老破裂带引起走滑型地震,未观测到前兆.在塑性区边缘,剪应力梯度较高.破裂带位置剪应力值反而较低.尽管在应力-应变曲线的软化阶段之前,不同单元的剪应力表现出千姿百态的复杂形态,但尚有规律可循.若几个单元都位于某条破裂带上,则剪应力的变化可能是同步的,或演变规律类似.鉴于原地复发地震类型可能不同,前兆将有差别. 相似文献
17.
In seismological literature, there exist two competing theories (the so-calledW model andL model) treating earthquake scaling relations between mean slip and rupture dimension and between seismic moment and rupture dimension. The core of arguments differentiating the two theories is whether the mean slip should scale with the rupture width or with the rupture length for large earthquakes. In this paper, we apply the elastic theory of dislocation to clarify the controversy. Several static dislocation models are used to simulate strike-slip earthquakes. Our results show that the mean slip scales linearly with the rupture width for small earthquakes with a rupture length smaller than the thickness of the seismogenic layer. However, for large earthquakes with a rupture length larger than the thickness of the seismogenic layer, our models show a more complicated scaling relation between mean slip and rupture dimension. When the rupture length is smaller than a cross-over length, the mean slip scales nearly linearly with the rupture length. When the rupture length is larger than a cross-over length, the mean slip approaches asymptotically a constant value and scales approximately with the rupture width. The cross-over length is a function of the rupture width and is about 75 km for earthquakes with a saturated rupture width of 15 km. We compare our theoretical predictions with observed source parameters of some large strike-slip earthquakes, and they match up well. Our results also suggest that when large earthquakes have a fixed aspect ratio of rupture length to rupture width (which seems to be the case for most subduction earthquakes) the mean slip scales with the rupture dimension in the same way as small earthquakes. 相似文献
18.
Kelin Wang 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1995,145(3-4):537-559
Because of the viscoelastic behaviour of the earth, accumulation of elastic strain energy by tectonic loading and release of such energy by earthquake fault slips at subduction zones may take place on different spatial scales. If the lithospheric plate is acted upon by distant tectonic forces, strain accumulation must occur in a broad region. However, an earthquake releases strain only in a region comparable to the size of the rupture area. A two-dimensional finite-element model of a subduction zone with viscoelastic rheology has been used to investigate the coupling of tectonic loading and earthquake fault slips. A fault lock-and-unlock technique is employed so that the amount of fault slip in an earthquake is not prescribed, but determined by the accumulated stress. The amount of earthquake fault slip as a fraction of the total relative plate motion depends on the relative sizes of the earthquake rupture area and the region of tectonic strain accumulation, as well as the rheology of the rock material. The larger the region of strain accumulation is compared to the earthquake rupture, the smaller is the earthquake fault slip. The reason for the limited earthquake fault slip is that the elastic shear stress in the asthenosphere induced by the earthquake resists the elastic rebound of the overlying plate. Since rapid permanent plate shortening is not observed at subduction zones, there must be either strain release over a large region or strain accumulation over a small region over earthquake cycles. The former can be achieved only by significant aseismic fault slip between large subduction earthquakes. The most likely mechanism for the latter is the accumulation of elastic strain around isolated locked asperities of the fault, which requires significant aseismic fault slip between asperities. 相似文献
19.
1973年美国肖尔兹(Scholz C H)等在Science杂志上发表了“地震预测的物理基础”一文, 近几十年来世界上地震预测研究的实践并未证实该论文的科学性。 2010年肖尔兹又在Science杂志上发表了“预测之谜”的论文, 指出“现在还不能预报”地震, 他本人已否定了以前提出的地震预测物理基础的研究结果。 本文分析了肖尔兹等人以前提出的“物理基础”在科学上不能成立的原因。 地震预测研究的重点是大地震的预测, 本文指出, 大地震与小地震的不同之处在于: 大地震的初始破裂发生后会有一个长时间的断层动态破裂过程, 该过程使大地震的尺度很大。 大地震预测的最难之处就在于动态破裂过程开始后, 我们无法预测破裂会扩展到多大才会停止, 无法预测地震的大小。 在由破裂动态扩展形成的大尺度的断层面上, 在初始破裂发生前, 那里的应力并没有达到当地的静态破裂强度(或静摩擦限), 因而那里不会出现由小岩样实验结果所预言的“前兆”。 鉴于以前关于地震预测物理基础的研究结果不再适用了, 我们需要研究新的大地震预测的物理基础是什么。 关于这个问题本文提出一点初步思考, 主要依据大地形变测量、 地震活动及地质断层研究相结合的方法, 勘查近期活动断蹭的闭锁段, 这是个值得重点研究的方向。 相似文献
20.
SIMULATION OF SEISMIC RISK IN THE DALIANGSHAN SUB-BLOCK AND ADJACENT AREAS USING THE NONLINEAR FRICTION FEM METHOD 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 Most earthquakes result from fault activity under heterogeneous loading and complex physical properties, also affected by fault structure and interaction between faults. Such a complicated mechanism makes often failures of the "seismic gap" theory in the effort of medium-and long-term earthquake prediction. This study attempts to address this issue using the finite element method(FEM).The friction behavior of faults can be used to simulate the non-uniformity of rupture processes of the seismogenic structure. So we use the FEM containing non-linear friction to simulate fault ruptures in the Daliangshan sub-block and adjacent areas, and compare the results with time-space evolution of historical MS ≥ 7 earthquakes since 1840 in this region. In the simulation, the sequence of large-batch fault contact nodes change from "stick state" to "slip state" in short time, which mimics the sudden fault slip and the occurrence of major earthquakes. The results show that the fault breaking lengths from simulation are largely consistent with the magnitudes of historical earthquakes in the study area, such as the 1850 Puge-Xichang MS7.5, and 1887 Shiping MS7.0 earthquakes. The simulation also shows the development of seismic gaps and "gap breaks" by major earthquakes on the Xianshuihe fault, such as 1955 Kangding MS7.5 earthquake. Especially, the results illustrated the very long time of the seismogenic process of the 2008 Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake, and the corresponding sudden big rupture along the Longmenshan Fault, which is very similar to the observed surface rupture and very long incubation time and sudden co-seismic process. Then, this simulation is further applied to long-term earthquake prediction for the study area by calculation on a much longer time. The simulation results suggest that the Xiaojiang fault and the Zemuhe fault have relatively higher seismic risk, while moderate-sized earthquakes might occur on the Daliangshan fault and the Aninghe fault, and major earthquakes might rupture the northern segment of the Xianshuihe fault in a much longer time. 相似文献