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1.
对2008年汶川8.0级地震前周边远近台站的电阻率异常特征进行了分析.离震中400 km内的郫县、甘孜、冕宁、武都四个台站基本都存在1年以上的中期异常;距震中较远的兰州台和天水台则出现了短临异常变化.总结了我国9次7级以上大震前地电阻率台观测资料,认为电阻率异常形态以负异常为主,在极值附近或转折恢复过程中发生地震.震中附近台站多数有异常,大部分为一年以上中期的变化,年变形态消失;震前能观测到短临变化;一般在极值点附近发震.较远台站部分存在异常;短期和临震异常变化相对增多;在回升过程中或异常恢复后发震. 相似文献
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太原ML5.0级地震前后的重力场变化 总被引：4，自引：2，他引：2
讨论了2002年9月3日太原ML5.0级地震前后重力场的变化.震前2001年12月～2002年6月重力场表现为上升-下降-上升及平静-活动-平静的活动方式.部分测点点值、测段段差值的趋势性异常在持续相当长时间后,于2002年3月发生转折,6月表现为变化加速,点值和段差值的变化幅值在(30～60)×10-8m·s-2之间,地震发生在加速变化过程中.震后该区的重力异常逐渐恢复.重力变化可能是由该区地壳形变、地壳深部质量迁移和断层蠕动共同作用引起的. 相似文献
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2008年汶川MS8.0地震前，距震中450km范围内有7个视电阻率台站运行，震前记录到了不同形态和幅值的变化。本文采用断层虚位错模式，在模型中将汶川地震同震滑动位移按大小相等但方向相反的方式进行加载，计算震前产生这些同震位错所需积累的应力应变分布。计算结果表明：在100m深度，震前正应力和剪切应力主要积累区域位于龙门山断裂带两侧约100km范围内，最大应力变化量为0.5MPa；体应变积累区域与应力积累区域基本一致，最大应变值为10-5，显示这些区域在震前存在较高的挤压应力应变积累，而在这些区域外，应力应变积累程度较低。成都台和江油台位于震前主要的应力应变挤压积累集中区域，视电阻率观测数据均为震前下降-准同震阶跃-震后回升，与震前应力应变积累-震后释放的变化形式一致，这2个台站震前的异常变化与汶川地震关系密切；而甘孜台、武都台、冕宁台、小庙台和天水台位于应力应变积累较弱的区域，其视电阻率变化与汶川地震的关联性较弱。 相似文献
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井孔水温异常与2007年宁洱6．4级地震关系分析 总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1
井孔水温观测是地热观测网中主要的地震前兆观测方法.2007年宁洱6.4级地震前云南地区出现了群体性水温异常变化,包括中期趋势异常、短期异常和短临异常,短临异常出现在震前2个月以内,多数表现为温度升高,异常变化幅度在0.005～0.25℃之间;短期异常多数为震前温度下降,变化幅度在0.01～0.04℃之间;中期趋势异常中,既有上升型异常,也有上升转折型异常,变化幅度在0.03～0.4℃之间.这种配套性前兆异常有利于震前异常的识别和地震预测意见的提出. 相似文献
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武都分量钻孔应变在汶川MS8.0级地震前的异常变化分析 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
通过对武都应变台多年应变资料的处理分析后发现,在汶川8.0级地震发生前,武都台应变有显著的前兆异常变化,它与昆仑山口西8.1级地震前出现的异常有很高的相似度.昆仑山口西地震和汶川地震前都有“α-β-γ”形变阶段,在不同的前兆异常阶段,异常形态有明显的差异,而且各具特点.尤其在β1阶段,EW道、面应变、差应变的异常变化（中期异常）都出现在震前2-3年,持续时间约1年多,而且异常都非常显著.本文详细分析了武都台应变在各个阶段的前兆异常变化特征,并就其原因进行了初步分析. 相似文献
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海原小山四分量钻孔应变观测相对标定和异常判定 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
对宁夏海原小山yRy-4型钻孔应变仪进行实地相对标定后,数据比标定前有明显好转,资料的相关性显著增强,这验证了海原小山钻孔应变观测资料具有较高的可信度。相对标定后的潮汐因子灵敏度明显提高,稳定度明显改善,出现显著的同步变化趋势,相关性明显增强,各元件均有正常背景。对比钻孔应变各元件观测数据变化曲线,在固原ML3.8级与定西ML6.6级地震震前出现的扭曲、转折、恢复现象,是地震前地下应变积累和调整所致,表现出明显震前的短临异常变化。释放能量较小的地震,曲线扭曲、下降、转折的异常变化幅度较小,反之变化较剧烈,但短临异常变化的时间基本在震前10至15天之间。 相似文献
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本文应用归一化变化速率(NVRM)方法,研究了2017年九寨沟M_S7.0地震周边800km范围内25个地电阻率台站2012—2018年的连续观测数据,分析了震中区周围的地电阻率时、空演化过程.结果显示:(1)25个台站中共有14个台站在震前出现了地电阻率变化,结合本次地震震源机制等分析其时空变化,认为邻近地震破裂带的临夏、通渭、武都和宝鸡台地电阻率在震前出现了下降—折返回升型的变化,符合前人已总结的强地震前地电阻率的变化过程.(2)地震发生前震中区周围大区域内出现了地电阻率负异常变化,且以震中区为中心呈条带分布,异常区的长轴方向与地震断裂带走向或地震烈度分布的长轴方向几乎垂直,与地震主压应力轴方向吻合.本文认为九寨沟M_S7.0强震发生之前,震中区周围出现的区域性地电阻率异常空间丛集现象是很好的中期和短临前兆;地电阻率震前异常动态演化、各向异性等特征对认识本次强震发震断层活动以及震源区应力场分布有启示意义. 相似文献
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以2011年8月11日在伽师—阿图什交界处发生的5.8级地震为例,利用MODIS的LST产品数据,采用STL分解法有效地去除地表温度时空数据中的年变趋势及季节因素周期性的影响,对其余的残余项进行GESD异常检测,并分析2008年1月1日至2013年1月1日的LST异常及其他地震的关系数据,研究结果表明:(1)地表温度的变化具有明显的时空变化趋势;利用STL分解法可以看出震前存在明显的热红外异常,增温现象经历了"出现-扩大-分散增温-增温幅度达到极值-消失-发震"等几个阶段。(2)发震前四个月研究区周围存在明显的热红外异常,2月10日发震断层周围出现大面积异常,异常特征持续2个月后的4个月发震,峰值距发震时刻时间间隔较长。(3)余震分布与断裂带和热红外异常分布特征相关,震后大部分余震主要分布在主震发生的震前出现热红外异常的断裂带附近。(4)通过对比同地区相似震例发现,本次地震与2018年9月4日伽师县MS5.5地震的热异常特征有许多共同点,其中相同的峰值距发震时刻的时间间隔具有一致性,为震前热红外异常特征的归纳提供典型的参考信息。该次地震热红外异常显著,进一步验证了... 相似文献
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浙江省北部及邻区中强地震前地倾斜异常特征及其预测意义 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
钟羽云 《地震地磁观测与研究》1998,(3)
解释并讨论了湖州和宁波台１９９３年以来的地倾斜资料,总结了震前有异常显示的６次地震。发现：①异常在现场记录资料中均有显示,异常形态的识别对预报地震有重要的意义;②能观测到异常全过程的倾斜仪与震中的距离基本符合式ｌｇＤｊ＝０．３０３（ＭＳ＋１．６）给出的监测能力半径,大于这个半径的台有时也能观测到异常,但多为短临异常。如果震前记录到异常的全过程,则利用单台资料可能对地震三要素进行预测。 相似文献
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D. M. Pechersky A. A. Lyubushin Z. V. Sharonova 《Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth》2010,46(7):613-623
The data on geomagnetic reversals are compared with the changes in the organic world and with the lower-mantle plumes. The
times of the formation of plumes and the times of their appearance on the Earth’s surface relate to the intervals characterized
by the different frequencies of geomagnetic reversals, i.e., there is no interrelation between the formation of plumes and
the frequency of the changes in the geomagnetic field polarity. At the same time, a certain synchronism is observed between
the frequency of the geomagnetic reversals and the boundaries of the biostratigraphic ages, i.e., the changes in the organic
world in the long-period range. A hypothesis is proposed, which explains the change in the sign of the geomagnetic field by
the combined effect of the irregular rotation of the internal core relative to the mantle and the changes in the slope angle
of the axis of the Earth’s rotation, which, in turn, results in synchronous events on the Earth’s surface: the rates of changes
in the organic world. 相似文献
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Milan Burša 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》1970,14(4):363-375
Summary It was shown in [5] that the flattening of parallel sections of the geoid (ϕ=const.) differs in the northern and southern
hemispheres. This leads up to the idea of studying further the size and shape of the Earth and the structure of the gravity
field separately for the northern and for the southern hemispheres. In this paper attention is devoted especially to the mean
values of the radius-vectors, to the best fitting ellipsoid parameters and to the mean values of gravity for the whole hemispheres,
on the one hand, and for their ϕ=const. sections, on the other. The symbols used are the same as in [5,6].
Address: Politickych vězňů 12, Praha 1-Nové Město. 相似文献
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Changes in low and high flows in the Vistula and the Odra basins: Model projections in the European‐scale context 
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下载免费PDF全文 Mikołaj Piniewski Mateusz Szcześniak Zbigniew W. Kundzewicz Abdelkader Mezghani Øystein Hov 《水文研究》2017,31(12):2210-2225
A number of extensive droughts and destructive floods have occurred in Poland in the last 25 years; hence, projections of low and high river flows are of considerable interest and importance. In the first part of this paper, projections of low and high flows in the rivers of the Vistula and the Odra basins (VOB region), for two future time horizons, are presented. Projections are based on the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model simulations driven by results of the EURO‐CORDEX experiment under Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5. The VOB region covers most of Poland and parts of five neighboring countries, giving this study an international relevance. In the second part of the paper, a review of projections of low and high flows in rivers in Central and Eastern Europe is presented. Despite a substantial spread of flow projections, the main message of the modelling part is that increases of both low and high flows are dominating. The magnitude of increase of low flow is considerably higher than that of high flow. In other words, future streamflow droughts are projected to be less severe, whereas, in contrast, river floods are projected to increase, which is a challenge for flood risk reduction, water management, and climate change adaptation. There is an overall agreement of our findings for the VOB region with projections of hydrological extremes from large‐scale models forced by EURO‐CORDEX results in the European‐scale studies. 相似文献
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太湖鱼类产量、组成的变动规律及与环境的关系 总被引：30，自引：3，他引：27
湖泊生态系统健康包含两个方面的内涵:满足人类社会合理要求的能力和湖泊生态系统自我维持与更新的能力.获知湖泊生态系统健康状况及其区域分异特征,对于湖泊管理具有重要意义.本文基于对太湖的野外调查,计算了表征湖泊生态系统健康的系统能、系统能结构、生态缓冲容量和湖泊营养状态指数.聚类分析结果表明,太湖不同湖区生态系统健康状况存在一定差异,东部湖区较好,西部湖区较差,呈现由东南部湖区向西北部湖区递减的趋势.该结果对进一步研究湖泊生态系统健康评价指标阈值具有重要的参考意义. 相似文献
17.
Lena flow showed considerable, mostly climate-induced, changes in the recent 30–40 years. The character of these changes at the river watershed–sea border somewhat differs from that in the basin outlet station because of flow transformations in the near-mouth reach and, especially, in the delta. The new stationary and occasional expedition observations were used to improve the estimates of the major characteristics of the discharges of water, suspended sediment, and heat in the Lena outlet section and to identify the features and causes of their long-term and seasonal variations. Another important result is the estimation of flow characteristic in the reach downstream of the basin outlet station, at delta head, and on its coastline. New data are given on the present-day distribution of water and suspended sediment discharges between the major delta branches, their long-term variations, and the character of inundation of the near-head delta area during spring floods. 相似文献
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The continuous increase in concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is expected to cool higher levels of the atmosphere. There is some direct and indirect experimental evidence of long-term trends in temperature and other parameters in the mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT). Here we look for long-term trends in the annual and semiannual variations of the radio wave absorption in the lower ionosphere, which corresponds to the MLT region heights. Data from central and southeastern Europe are used. A consistent tendency to a positive trend in the amplitude of the semiannual wave appears to be observed. The reality of a similar tendency in the amplitude of the annual wave is questionable in the sense that the trend in the amplitude of the annual wave is probably induced by the trend in the yearly average values of absorption. The phases of both the annual and semiannual waves display a forward tendency, i.e. shift to an earlier time in the year. A tentative interpretation of these results in terms of changes of the seasonal variation of temperature and wind at MLT heights does not contradict the trends observed in those parameters. 相似文献
20.
Chun-Chan Kung Ryoichi Hayatsu Martin H. Studier Robert N. Clayton 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1979,46(1):141-146
Nitrogen isotope fractionations have been measured in Fischer-Tropsch and Miller-Urey reactions in order to determine whether these processes can account for the large15N/14N ratios found in organic matter in carbonaceous chondrites. Polymeric material formed in the Fischer-Tropsch reaction was enriched in15N by only 3‰ relative to the starting material (NH3). The15N enrichment in polymers from the Miller-Urey reaction was 10–12‰. Both of these fractionations are small compared to the 80–90‰ differences observed between enstatite chondrites and carbonaceous chondrites. These large differences are apparently due to temporal or spatial variations in the isotopic composition of nitrogen in the solar nebula, rather than to fractionation during the production of organic compounds. 相似文献