共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 218 毫秒
1.
ＫｉｎｅｍａｔｉｃｆｅａｔｕｒｅｓｏｆｔｈｅｓｅｉｓｍｏｇｅｎｉｃｆａｕｌｔｏｆｔｈｅＴａｎｇｓｈａｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅａｎｄｔｈｅｒｅｃｕｒｒｅｎｃｅｐｅｒｉｏｄｏｆｌａｒｇｅｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓＪＩＥＬＩＵ１）（刘洁）ＨＵＩ－ＺＨＥＮＳＯＮ... 相似文献
2.
李兴才 《地震学报(英文版)》1994,7(3):409-414
Ｐｒｏｍｏｔｉｎｇｅｆｆｅｃｔｓｏｆ１９７５ＨａｉｃｈｅｎｇｆｏｒｅｓｈｏｃｋｓｏｎｔｈｅｏｃｃｕｒｒｅｎｃｅｏｆｔｈｅｍａｉｎｓｈｏｃｋＸｉｎｇ－ＣａｉＬＩ（李兴才）（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＧｅｏｐｈｙｓｉｃｓ，ＳｔａｔｅＳｅｔｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａ... 相似文献
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ＧｒｏｕｐｉｎｇｏｃｃｕｒｒｅｎｃｅｓｂｅｉｎｇｔｈｅｆｕｎｄａｍｅｎｔａｌｆｅａｔｕｒｅｏｆｔｈｅｓｔｒｏｎｇｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓｉｎＣｈｉｎｅｓｅｍａｉｎｌａｎｄＱｉｎ－ＺｕＬＩ（李钦祖）；Ｌｉ－ＭｉｎＹＵ（于利民）；Ｊｉ－ＹｉＷＡＮＧ（王吉易... 相似文献
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Ｎｕｍｅｒｉｃａｌａｎａｌｙｓｉｓｏｆｔｈｅｉｎｔｅｒａｃｔｉｏｎｏｆｓｏｉｌ┐ｓｔｒｕｃｔｕｒｅｕｎｄｅｒｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｌｏａｄｉｎｇＧＥＮ－ＤＥＺＨＡＮＧ１）（章根德）ＳＨＵ－ＣＨＥＮＧＮＩＮＧ２）（宁书成）１）ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＭｅ... 相似文献
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Ｔｈｅｎｕｍｅｒｉｃａｌｓｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆｔｈｅｓｏｕｒｃｅｄｅｖｅｌ┐ｏｐｍｅｎｔｏｆｔｈｅＴａｎｇｓｈａｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅＺＨＩ－ＲＥＮＮＩＵ（牛志仁）ＤＡＮＧ－ＭＩＮＣＨＥＮ（陈党民）ＢＩＮＧ－ＱＩＡＮＬＩ（李炳乾）Ｓｅｉｓｍｏｌｏ... 相似文献
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ＡｎｅｗａｐｐｒｏａｃｈｔｏｎｕｍｅｒｉｃａｌｓｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆｓｏｕｒｃｅｄｅｖｅｌｏｐｍｅｎｔｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅＣＨＵＮ－ＡＮＴＡＮＧ（唐春安）ＹＵ－ＦＡＮＧＦＵ（傅宇方）ＷＥＮＺＨＡＯ（赵文）ＣｅｎｔｅｒｆｏｒＲｏｃｋｂｕｒｓｔｓ... 相似文献
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Ｔｈｅｆｒａｃｔｕｒｅｃｈａｒａｃｔｅｒｉｓｔｉｃｏｆｔｈｅ１９８９Ｄａｔｏｎｇ－ＹａｎｇｇａｏｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓｅｑｕｅｎｃｅＳｉ－ＣｈａｎｇＺＨＡＮＧ（张四昌），Ｇｕｉ－ＬｉｎｇＤＩＡＯ（刁桂苓）ａｎｄＬｉ－ＭｉｎＹＵ（于利民）（Ｓｅｆｒｍｏ... 相似文献
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高孟潭 《地震学报(英文版)》1995,8(2):259-264
Ｍｅｔｈｏｄｏｆｅｘｐｅｃｔｅｄｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｌｏｓｓｅｓｅｓｔｉｍａｔｉｏｎｂａｓｅｄｏｎｔｈｅｆｒｅｑｕｅｎｃｙｏｆｓｅｉｓｍｉｃｓｉｔｅｉｎｔｅｎｓｉｔｙ高孟潭Ｍｅｎｇ－ＴａｎＧＡＯ（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＧｅｏｐｈｙｓｉｃｓ,Ｓｔａｔｅ... 相似文献
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黄福明 《地震学报(英文版)》1994,(Z1)
ＰｒｅｌｉｍｉｎａｒｙｓｔｕｄｙｏｎｔｈｅｄｕｒａｔｉｏｎｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅａｃｔｉｖｉｔｙＦｕ－ＭｉｎｇＨＵＡＮＧ（黄福明）（ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＣｒｕｓｔａｌＤｙｎａｍｉｃｓ，ＳｔａｔｅＳｅｉｓｍｏｌｏｇｉｃａｌＢｕｒｅａｕ，Ｂｅｉｊｉｎ... 相似文献
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ＴｈｅａｎｏｍａｌｏｕｓｒｅａｃｔｉｏｎｓｏｆｔｈｅｇｅｏｍａｇｎｅｔｉｃｈｏｒｉｚｏｎｔａｌｆｉｅｌｄｔｒａｎｓｆｅｒｆｕｎｃｔｉｏｎｓｂｅｆｏｒｅＴａｎｇｓｈａｎｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅＳＨＡＯＪＩＮＧＧＯＮＧ（龚绍京）ＨＵＡＲＡＮＣＨＥＮ（... 相似文献
11.
Influence of 2008 Wenchuan earthquake on earthquake occurrence trend of active faults in Sichuan-Yunnan region 
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下载免费PDF全文 The Wenchuan earthquake coseismic deformation field is inferred from the coseismic dislocation data based on a 3-D geometric model of the active faults in Sichuan-Yunnan region. Then the potential dislocation displacement is inverted from the deformation field in the 3-D geometric model. While the faults' slip velocities are inverted from GPS and leveling data, which can be used as the long-term slip vector. After the potential dislocation displacements are projected to long-term slip direction, we have got the influence of Wenchuan earthquake on active faults in Sichuan-Yunnan region. The results show that the northwestern segment of Longmenshan fault, the southern segments of Xianshuihe fault, Anninghe fault, Zemuhe fault, northern and southern segments of Daliangshan fault, Mabian fault got earthquake risks advanced of 305, 19, 12, 9.1 and 18, 51 years respectively in the eastern part of Sichuan and Yunnan. The Lijiang-Xiaojinhe fault, Nujiang fault, Longling-Lancang fault, Nantinghe fault and Zhongdian fault also got earthquake risks advanced in the western part of Sichuan-Yunnan region. Whereas the northwestern segment of Xianshuihe fault and Xiaojiang fault got earthquake risks reduced after the Wenchuan earthquake. 相似文献
12.
地震前几周、几天、几小时甚至几分钟，电磁场的强度、相位或者谱密度等将发生异常变化，电离层的电子、离子浓度和温度等会发生异常扰动，这些现象的出现向人们发出地震即将来临的信号.这些现象不仅在地面可观测到，在卫星上也能观测到，它们在确定异常现象发生的地点和时间等方面具有各自的优势，把两种观测相结合，对异常信号进行立体监测，是实现地震预测预报的发展趋势.至今，对地面观测已经进行了大量的研究和实践，利用卫星进行观测近几年刚刚开始，但已经显示了它监测地震异常的独特能力，引起各方面的高度重视，成为各国建立立体预警系统不可缺少的组成部分.本文重点介绍利用卫星等观测空间电磁异常现象的研究结果. 相似文献
13.
汶川地震对芦山地震及周边 断层发震概率的影响 总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6
大震后区域静态库仑应力变化常常被用于解释区域地震活动性速率的变化、 主震断层外余震的发生以及即将失稳断层的地震发生概率的变化. 2013年4月20日芦山MS7.0地震的发生重新引起了对2008年5月12日汶川MS8.0大地震的热议. 利用含(滑移)速率和状态的摩擦定律, 结合汶川大地震前后的地震活动性水平, 定量化计算了汶川地震后雅安地区发震概率的变化, 并着重解释了芦山地震发震的可能根源. 此外, 还对库仑应力明显增加的鲜水河断层和熊坡断层进行了发震概率的定量化计算, 计算结果与中国地震台网中心的地震目录基本符合. 鲜水河断层从汶川地震后至今近5年来未发生M>6.0地震, 而M>6.0的发震概率已约为60%; 熊坡断层自汶川地震以来尚未发生M>4.0地震, 芦山地震后M>4.0的发震概率已接近90%. 所以, 我们认为鲜水河断层附近将成为M>6.0地震的重点防范地区, 熊坡地区将来仍旧存在发生中强地震的危险性. 相似文献
14.
Zdenka Schenková 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1973,109(1):1700-1711
Summary The time distribution of earthquake occurrence in the European area is investigated by statistical laws. The original data of shallow-focus earthquakes are taken from the European catalogue 1901–1967. Evidence is given that the process with the negative binomial entries as a model describing the occurrence of shallow-focus earthquakes is better than the Poisson process. Further, the influence of magnitude classes and magnitude threshold value on the time distribution of earthquake occurrence is examined.Communication presented at the XIII General Assembly of the European Seismological Commission in Brasov in 1972. 相似文献
15.
The procedure through which the occurrence time of an impending major earthquake can be determined is reviewed in the light of the recent advances. This can be achieved by analyzing in natural time the seismicity in the candidate area. To apply this general procedure, we need two important elements: first, to know when we should start the analysis, i.e., set the natural time equal to zero. This is the time at which the system enters the critical stage. Second a reliable estimation of the candidate epicentral area. If geoelectrical measurements are taken and the VAN method (after the initials of the three researchers Varotsos, Alexopoulos and Nomicos) is applied, both these elements become available upon the recording of a precursory Seismic Electric Signals (SES) activity, because its initiation marks the time when the system enters the critical stage, and in addition the SES data enable the determination of the epicentral area of the impending mainshock. On the other hand, if geoelectrical data are lacking, we make use of the following two recent findings by means of natural time analysis: First, the fluctuations of the order parameter of seismicity in a large area exhibit a minimum a few months before a major earthquake almost simultaneously with the initiation of an SES activity. Second, a spatiotemporal study of this minimum unveils an estimate of the epicentral area of the impending major earthquake. Two examples are given that refer to the strongest earthquakes that occurred in Greece and Japan during the last 3 decades, i.e., the M W6.9 earthquake in southwestern Greece on 14 February 2008 and the M W9.0 Tohoku earthquake in Japan on 11 March 2011. 相似文献
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IntroductionTheearthquakepredictionresearchisanexplorationprocesswhichcarriesonthepredictionofthethreeelementsofearthquake(i.e.time,locationandmagnitude)basedonthescientificobservationandbyrecognizingthelawandessentialityofearthquakeoccurrence(HUANG,1990),ofwhich,thecorrectforecastofthelocationofearthquakeoccurrenceisdirectlyrelatedtothesocialeffectoftheanti-shockanddisasterrelief.Theaccuratejudgmentoftheregionofmacroseismoccurrenceisnotonlyfavorabletocarryoutthepursuingofseismicregimetenden… 相似文献
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在以前的工作中,考虑直立走滑型断层地震,假设断层面微元破裂强度遵循Weibull概率分布,由细观力学方法推导出断层面的宏观本构关系是一个非线性函数,表现为弹性-软化塑性特征,在此基础上用稳定性理论研究了地震稳定性问题.而实际断层大多是倾斜的,为此,本文首先建立了由围岩和倾斜断层构成的平面地震力学模型,采用宏观的断层载荷-变形的全过程曲线,详细讨论了倾斜断层地震的不稳定性问题.结果表明,远场一旦施加位移,断层也同时错动,这可能与实际情况不符合.为了更好的模拟断层的初始能量累计过程,进一步对断层本构模型进行改进.考虑断层面破裂强度,采用Coulomb破裂准则,则断层表现为刚塑性本构关系,只有当断层面剪应力达到一个临界值时,断层才开始错动.研究表明,对于倾斜断层地震,与直立走滑型断层地震一样,系统刚度比β（围岩切线刚度与断层刚度最大值之比）是决定地震失稳的重要参数,只有当β<1时才会出现地震失稳,且伴随应力突跳和围岩应变能释放.当β≥1时,仅仅是断层无震滑动,不会发生地震.在远场应施以位移形式边界条件,以致地震失稳发生在平衡路径的位移转向点并伴有应力突跳. 相似文献
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非齐次复合 Poisson地震发生概率模型研究 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
依据现有地震发生概率模型合理性与局限性以及地震估计的基本思想提出五类非齐次复合 Poisson 地震发生概率模型,阐述各模型的基本特点及可能实用的前提。 以华北地区的地震序列为例大致模拟了不同阶段的地震发生概率水平,分析表明非齐次复合 Poisson 地震发生概率模型更能反映地震发生的时间不均匀性。 相似文献
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2008年5月12日四川省汶川县发生了MS8.0强烈地震.发震断层是龙门山断裂带的映秀—北川断裂.分析震前的GPS速度场发现,从巴颜喀拉块体西部到龙门山断裂带沿大约N103°E方向的缩短速率为13.0 mm/a,龙门山断裂带的右旋走滑速率1.1 mm/a,断裂带处于闭锁状态.四川盆地沿大约N103°E方向有少量的压缩变形,而沿SW方向有少量的拉张变形.同震位移场显示,这次地震可能是巴颜喀拉块体SE向逆冲与四川盆地NW向俯冲同时发生的.应变场分析发现,震前震中区的主压与主张应变率分别为-30.840×10-9/a与13.956×10-9/a,主压应变轴N105.4°E与震源机制解得到的主压应力轴的方向N103°E一致.由本文提出的应力-应变机制得到的断层滑动方向和走向与地表破裂调查和震源机制解得到的结果一致.印度、太平洋和菲律宾海板块与欧洲板块的相互作用是龙门山断裂带积累弹性应变能和孕育汶川地震的长期作用力.苏门达腊大地震使青藏高原和华南块体的相互作用加强,促进了汶川地震的发生. 相似文献