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1.
中国目前实行的区域地震台网独立运行机制,使得在相邻不同台网的交界地区可能存在多个版本的地震目录和震相观测报告,影响了地震活动性分析与研究.为此,本文提出了一种基于联合概率的方法,可标明两个或多个相邻台网目录中相同的事件,合并它们的震相数据开展重新定位,并重构不同台网交界地区的统一地震目录.该方法的思路与分析步骤是:首先,计算获得不同台网之间具有最小发震时刻差异的两两地震的时空强差异分布,查找并剔除独立地震,计算事件合并的联合概率;其次,基于联合概率分析合并不同台网的地震目录和震相观测报告,对合并事件进行重新定位和定位误差分析,并基于G-R关系检验重构目录的完整性.本文以2014年鲁甸地震序列为例的初步应用结果显示,震相合并之后的地震定位精度相比之前单个台网的结果,特别是相比四川台网的目录,定位精度提高非常显著,合并后的目录与之前相对完整的云南目录接近,但相比由两个台网目录简单拼凑而成的目录更加准确.此外,研究还发现在目录合并过程中,对于4级以上的中强震,应选择MS而不是以ML震级标度;震相合并后被复用台站记录的到时信息可用于检测不同台网间的震相拾取是否存在系统偏差.本文提出的方法使得在相邻不同台网的过渡区形成一个统一且尽可能准确可靠的地震目录成为可能.  相似文献   

2.
China’s seas and adjacent regions are affected by interactions among the Eurasian plate, the western Pacific plate, and the Philippine Sea plate. Both intraplate and plate-edge earthquakes have occurred in these regions and the seismic activities are frequent. The coastal areas of China are economically developed and densely populated. With the development and utilization of marine energy and resources along with the development of national economy, the types and quantity of construction projects in the marine and coastal areas have increased, once an earthquake happens, it will cause huge damage and loss to these areas, therefore, the earthquake-related research for these sea areas cannot be ignored and the need for study on these areas is increasingly urgent. One type of essential basic data for marine seismic research is a complete, unified earthquake catalog, which is an important database for seismotectonics, seismic zoning, earthquake prediction, earthquake prevention, and disaster reduction. Completeness and reliability analysis of an earthquake catalog is one of the fundamental research topics in seismology.
At present, four editions of earthquake catalogs have been officially published in China, as well as the earthquake catalogue compiled in the national fifth-generation earthquake parameter zoning map, these catalogs are based on historical data, seismic survey investigations, and various instrumental observations. However, these catalogs have earlier data deadlines and contain the earthquake records for only the offshore regions of China, which are extensions of coastal land. Distant sea regions, subduction zones, and adjacent sea regions have not been included in these catalogs. Secondly, there were no cross-border areas involved in the compilation of earthquake catalogs in the past. It was not required to use magnitudes measured by other countries’ seismic networks and observation agencies to develop an earthquake catalog with a uniform magnitude scale, moreover, there was no formula suitable for the conversion of magnitude scale in China’s seas areas and adjacent regions. Little research has been conducted to compile and analyze the completeness of a unified earthquake catalog for China’s seas and adjacent regions. Therefore, in this study, we compiled earthquake data from the seismic networks of China and other countries for China’s seas and adjacent regions. The earthquake-monitoring capabilities of different sea areas at different time periods were evaluated, and the temporal and spatial distribution characteristics of epicentral location accuracy for China’s seas and adjacent regions were analyzed. We used the orthogonal regression method to obtain conversion relationships between the surface wave magnitude, body wave magnitude, and moment magnitude for China’s seas and adjacent regions, and established magnitude conversion formulae between the China Seismic Network and the ML magnitude of the Taiwan Seismic Network and the MS magnitude of the Philippine Seismic Network. Finally, we developed an earthquake catalog with uniform magnitude scales for China’s seas and adjacent regions.
On the basis of the frequency-magnitude distribution obtained from the magnitude-cumulative frequency relationship (N-T) and the Gutenberg-Richter(GR)law, we conducted a completeness analysis of the unified earthquake catalog for China’s seas and adjacent regions, Then, we identified the beginning years of each magnitude interval at different focal depth ranges and different seismic zones in the earthquake catalog.
This study marks the first time that a unified earthquake catalog has been compiled for China’s seas and adjacent regions, based on the characteristics of seismicity in the surrounding sea regions, which fills the gap in the compilation of the earthquake catalogue of China’s seas and adjacent areas. The resulting earthquake catalog provides a basis for seismotectonics, seismicity study, and seismic hazard analysis for China’s seas and adjacent regions. The catalog also provides technical support for the preparation of seismic zoning maps as well as for earthquake prevention and disaster reduction in project planning and engineering construction in the sea regions. In addition, by evaluating the earthquake-monitoring capability of the seismic networks in China’s seas and adjacent regions and analyzing the completeness of the compiled unified earthquake catalog, this study provides a scientific reference to improve the earthquake-monitoring capability and optimizing the distribution of the seismic networks in these regions.  相似文献   

3.
为实现测震台网日志产出的统一化和标准化,提高工作效率,减轻人员负担,基于Android系统,设计开发测震台网日志管理平台,用户可通过手机APP完成地震速报、编目及系统运维日志的增、删、改、查和统计操作。该平台的应用解决了日志管理散乱、查询不便等难题,可为测震台网统一化管理提供支持。  相似文献   

4.
The analysis of seismic hazards relies on the statistical analysis of historical seismic data and the instrumental seismic catalog to obtain the regional earthquake recurrence interval and earthquake probability. The accuracy of analysis thus depends strongly on the completeness of the seismic data used. However, available seismic catalogs are too short or incomplete for the reliable analysis of the statistical characteristics of earthquakes. If a long-term synthetic seismic catalog can be generated using a physics-based numerical simulation, and the simulation results match the crustal deformation, seismicity, and other observations,then such a synthetic catalog helps us to further understand the characteristics of seismic activity and analyze the regional seismic hazard. In this paper, taking the northeastern Tibetan Plateau as a case study, we establish a three-dimensional visco-elastoplastic finite-element model to simulate earthquake cycles and the spatiotemporal evolution of earthquakes on the model fault system and obtain a seismic catalog on a time scale of tens of thousands of years. On the basis that the model satisfies the regional geodynamics of the northeastern Tibetan Plateau, we analyze seismicity on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau using the simulated synthetic earthquake catalog. The characteristics of earthquake recurrence at different locations and different magnitudes, and the long-term average probability of earthquake occurrence within the fault system on the northeastern Tibetan plateau are studied. The results are a reference for regional seismic hazard assessment and provide a basis for the physics-based numerical prediction of earthquakes.  相似文献   

5.
天津市地震局滨海地震台测震、地球物理等观测手段众多,数据处理量大,处理软件繁多。为此,利用PHP开发网页化的综合管理系统,将工作内容进行分类整理,将台站工作展示、地震观测工作辅助、工作提示等功能整合在系统中,从而减少数据处理错误,提高数据观测质量及工作效率。该平台具有扩展性,可随时添加新的功能模块,适应未来工作变化。  相似文献   

6.
华北地区地震目录完全性分析   总被引:6,自引:1,他引:6  
刘杰  陈棋福 《地震》1996,16(1):59-67
文中发展了由Tinti et al.(1985)提出的一种判断地震目录不完全性的方法。它由三步组成:余震和震群的剔除,相对完全性的识别以及绝对完全性的计算。假定经过剔除余震和震群后理想化(即没有任何地震从目录中遗漏)的地震目录是一个稳态随机泊松过程,而对于实际的目录,通过拟合检验,将目录分成一组时间区段,每个区段是相对完全的,并具有不同的地震发生率。如果目录中至少有一区段被认为是绝对完全的,那么真  相似文献   

7.
人工地震目录模拟是改进现有地震目录不完备性、弥补大地震记录稀缺,以及完善地震学相关研究的有效途径之一。本文基于地震活动的泊松分布模型、古登堡-里克特震级-频度关系,利用能较逼真描述具有随机性质事物特点及物理实验过程的蒙特卡洛方法,模拟汾渭地震带未来30、50、100年等不同时长的地震目录,并对其进行统计检验。分析表明,模拟地震目录符合设定的地震活动性参数和泊松分布假设特征。依据模拟地震目录,对未来该区域地震趋势进行了分析,以期为地震危险性分析提供参考。  相似文献   

8.
The application of a newly developed physics-based earthquake simulator to the active faults inferred by aeromagnetism in southern Calabria has produced a synthetic catalog lasting 100 ky including more than 18,000 earthquakes of magnitude ≥?4.0. This catalog exhibits temporal, spatial and magnitude features, which resemble those of the observed seismicity. As an example of the potential use of synthetic catalogs, a map of the peak ground acceleration (PGA) for a given exceedance probability on the territory under investigation has been produced by means of a simple attenuation law applied to all the events reported in the synthetic catalog. This map was compared with the existing hazard map that is presently used in the national seismic building regulations. The comparison supports a strong similarity of our results with the values given in the present Italian seismic building code, despite the latter being based on a different methodology. The same similarity cannot be recognized for the comparison of our present study with the results obtained from a previous study based on our same methodology but with a different geological model.  相似文献   

9.
本文以蒙古国及其周边地区M≥3.5级以上地震目录为基础数据,对该目录做了余震删除、时间完整性分析以及时间统计分布特征分析.结果表明,蒙古国M≥3.5级地震完整记录起始时间为1977年;M≥5.0级地震完整记录起始时间为1945年;M≥6.0级地震完整记录起始时间为1900年.删除余震后,蒙古国地震活动随时间变化基本平稳,时间统计分布特征符合泊松分布.并且在删除余震后,蒙古国地震活动仍有6年左右的丛集周期.  相似文献   

10.
The comprehensive understanding of earthquake source-physics under real conditions requires the study not of single faults as separate entities but rather of a seismically active region as a whole, accounting for the interaction among different structures. We define “seismic sample area” the most convenient region to be used as a natural laboratory for the study of seismic source physics. This coincides with the region where the average large magnitude seismicity is the highest. To this end, time and space future distributions of large earthquakes are to be estimated. Using catalog seismicity as an input, the rate of occurrence is not constant but appears generally biased by incompleteness in some parts of the catalog and possible nonstationarities in seismic activity. We present a statistical procedure which is capable, under a few mild assumptions, of both detecting nonstationarities in seismicity and finding the incomplete parts of a seismic catalog. The procedure is based on Kolmogorov-Smirnov nonparametric statistics, and can be applied without a priori assuming the parent distribution of the events. The efficiency of this procedure allows the analysis of small data sets. An application to the Italian territory is presented, using the most recent version of the ENEL seismic catalog. Seismic activity takes place in six well defined areas but only five of them have a number of events sufficient for analysis. Barring a few exceptions, seismicity is found stationary throughout the whole catalog span 1000–1980. The eastern Alps region stands out as the best “sample area”, with the highest average probability of event occurrence per time and area unit. Final objective of this characterization is to stimulate a program of intensified research.  相似文献   

11.
本文收集了1614年平遥6?级地震的各版本地震目录的参数、记录此次地震的历史史料、关于该地震的研究文献,对比了山西断陷盆地的12次5.2级至6?级历史地震和现代地震的破坏情况及有感范围,得出了此次地震的震级偏大,定为5?级更为合适的结论。同时,在前人对该地震震中参数研究的基础上,运用地震参数校订的新方法,重点定量分析了平遥一带仪器记录的小震空间分布、震群分布和地震密集值分布特征,并结合平遥一带断裂分布特征,综合分析讨论了平遥地震的震中参数。  相似文献   

12.
The coordinates of more than 90000 earthquakes at the Garm geophysical test site during the period of 1955–1991 calculated using three different algorithms are compared. On the basis of the results obtained, the location uncertainties of the earthquake sources are estimated and analyzed. The estimates are compared with the results of the previous investigations. A considerable spatial nonuniformity of systematic discrepancies of depths in the catalog versions calculated using different algorithms is revealed.  相似文献   

13.
Modern earthquake loss models make use of earthquake catalogs relevant to the seismic hazard assessment upon seismicity and seismotectonic analysis. The main objective of this paper is to investigate a recently compiled catalog (National Institute of Meteorology or INM catalog: 412-2011) and to generate seismic hazard maps through classical probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) and smoothed-gridded seismicity models for Tunisia. It is now established with the local earthquake bulletin that the recent seismicity of Tunisia is sparse and moderate. Therefore, efforts must be undertaken to elaborate a robust hazard analysis for risk assessment and seismic design purposes. These recommendations follow the recently published reports by the World Bank that describe the seismic risk in Tunis City as being beyond a tolerable level with an MSK intensity level of VII. Some attempts were made during the past two decades to assess the seismic hazard for Tunisia and they have mostly failed to properly investigate the historical and instrumental seismicity catalog. This limitation also exists for the key aspect of epistemic and random uncertainties impact on the final seismic hazard assessment. This study also investigates new ground motion prediction equations suitable for use in Tunisia. The methodology applied herein uses, for the first time in PSHA of Tunisia, seismicity parameters integrated in logic tree framework to capture epistemic uncertainties through three different seismic source models. It also makes use of the recently released version of OpenQuake engine; an open-source tool for seismic hazard and risk assessment developed in the framework of the Global Earthquake Model.  相似文献   

14.
地震快报目录是国家数字地震台网分中心数据服务的重要组成部分之一,为了能够更好地提供服务,我们使用Perl语言,开发了地震快报目录自动网上发布软件QCAT。本文分析了QCAT软件开发的应用需求,阐明了软件的设计思路,描述了软件的功能和结构,并对QCAT软件的各个模块进行了详细介绍,最终对应用QCAT之后,用户访问快报目录的方法做了说明。  相似文献   

15.
地震目录在地震预报和震害分析等工作中具有重要的科学研究价值。从网站上手动下载各个地震目录资料时效率比较低下,此外由于下载的地震目录格式固定,对开展更广泛的数据服务具有一定的局限性。为了提高地震目录资料的下载效率,采用节点流程的方法对地震目录文本进行自动下载,并将其解析后存储到数据库,实现了高效率的地震目录资料自动下载和数据存储功能,方法简单灵活,可为科研预报及相关地震数据应用服务提供相应的数据支持。  相似文献   

16.
Universality of the Seismic Moment-frequency Relation   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
—We analyze the seismic moment-frequency relation in various depth ranges and for different seismic regions, using Flinn-Engdahl's regionalization of global seismicity. Three earthquake lists of centroid-moment tensor data have been used the Harvard catalog, the USGS catalog, and the Huang et al. (1997) catalog of deep earthquakes. The results confirm the universality of the β-values and the maximum moment for shallow earthquakes in continental regions, as well as at and near continental boundaries. Moreover, we show that although fluctuations in earthquake size distribution increase with depth, the β-values for earthquakes in the depth range of 0–500 km exhibit no statistically significant regional variations. The regional variations are significant only for deep events near the 660 km boundary. For declustered shallow earthquake catalogs and deeper events, we show that the worldwide β-values have the same value of 0.60 ± 0.02. This finding suggests that the β-value is a universal constant. We investigate the statistical correlations between the numbers of seismic events in different depth ranges and the correlation of the tectonic deformation rate and seismic activity (the number of earthquakes above a certain threshold level per year). The high level of these correlations suggests that seismic activity indicates tectonic deformation rate in subduction zones. Combined with the universality of the β-value, this finding implies little if any variation in maximum earthquake seismic moment among various subduction zones. If we assume that earthquakes of maximum size are similar in different depth ranges and the seismic efficiency coefficient, χ, is close to 100% for shallow seismicity, then we can estimate χ for deeper earthquakes for intermediate earthquakes χ≈ 5%, and χ≈ 1% for deep events. These results may lead to new theoretical understanding of the earthquake process and better estimates of seismic hazard.  相似文献   

17.
解孟雨  孟令媛 《中国地震》2021,37(2):494-507
利用全国统一目录和流动台站目录,研究了四川盆地东南部长宁地区的地震活动特征和b值的空间分布特征。研究结果显示,长宁地区的地震活动在时间上呈现明显的分段特征,地震活动在2015年后明显增强;在空间上,长宁地区的地震活动主要集中在以28.3°N为界限的南、北2个地区,对于这2个区域的b值演化,计算结果显示出不同的分段特征。此外,研究了不同震中距下,长宁地区2018年兴文5.7级、2019年珙县5.3级和2019年长宁6.0级3次主要地震事件震前与震后的b值演化,结果表明统计范围会显著影响b值的变化特征,当计算范围为20km时,3次主震震前短期内均出现了低于背景b值90%的低b值异常,这表明在地震目录相对完备的情况下,利用低b值异常分析区域地震危险性,应采用较小范围的地震数据。  相似文献   

18.
The coordinates of more than 90000 earthquakes at the Garm geophysical test site during the period of 1955–1991 calculated using three different algorithms are compared. On the basis of the results obtained, the location uncertainties of the earthquake sources are estimated and analyzed. The estimates are compared with the results of the previous investigations. A considerable spatial nonuniformity of systematic discrepancies of depths in the catalog versions calculated using different algorithms is revealed.  相似文献   

19.
本文基于波形相似性提出了一种适用于地震序列中单台事件目录校正的方法。以福建仙游地震序列为研究对象,应用双差地震定位(HypoDD)算法对多台事件进行重定位,依据记录波形相似性将仙游地震序列事件划分为161个事件丛集,以多台事件重定位目录为参考,对单台事件目录进行校正。结果表明,本方法能够有效地实现单台事件目录的合理校正,有助于提升地震序列目录的完整性和地震目录的实用性。以HypoDD重定位目录为参考的校正目录可用于地震参数计算。分析校正后的仙游地震序列目录认为,序列中的单台事件主要由金钟水库库区局部应力调整诱发。   相似文献   

20.
根据截断的G-R模型计算东北地震区震级上限   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
震级上限是指一个地区可能发生地震的最大震级,其概率意义为发生超过该震级地震的概率几乎为0.在有些地区,由于对其内部的地震构造研究和认识存有局限性,很难根据构造或者地质学的原则来确定震级上限.因此,根据数学模型,采用统计手段,使用地震活动性资料来计算震级上限的估计值是一种可行的方法.本文根据截断的G-R关系模型,采用最大似然计算方法,使用东北地震区的地震目录,计算了东北地震区震级上限,结果表明东北地震区的震级上限应为Mu=7.5左右.计算中我们考虑了不同震级的转换、震级误差的修正以及计算方法的影响.最终结果表明,不论采用何种方案进行计算,东北地震区的震级上限值均始终保持在7.5左右,这说明我们采用本文中方法计算得到的东北地震区的震级上限值是合理可信的,同时也说明在以往的研究中对东北地震区震级上限的估计大都是偏小的.  相似文献   

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