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1.
2014年2月12日新疆于田MW7.0地震源区位于巴颜喀拉块体与西昆仑块体的连接部位,东西向拉张构造发育,距离2008年3月21日于田MW7.1地震震中位置约100 km.根据有限断层地震破裂过程模型,计算了2008年新疆于田地震产生的静态库仑应力变化.此次地震的断层面呈北偏东方向,在断层两端出现3个应力加载区,2014年于田主震位于破裂前端的库仑应力加载区.这一结果表明,2008年于田地震可能对2014年地震事件起到了触发作用.2008和2014年新疆于田地震产生的静态库仑应力变化与余震事件的空间分布具有明显的相关性,大多数余震位于应力加载区,发生在卸载区的余震较少.静态库仑应力变化与余震序列吻合较好.2014年3月21日新疆于田地震之后40天,在北西方向发生MW5.2强余震,其震中位置的应力增量达到0.63×105Pa.通过比较,发现静态库仑应力变化和地震活动率之间具有较好的相关性.地震活动率较高的区域与静态库仑应力加载区相对应,如康西瓦断裂东段、贡嘎错断裂中段和东北段等区域. 相似文献
2.
2010年4月14日玉树MS7.1地震对余震的触发研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
研究了2010年4月14日青海玉树7.1级地震产生的静态库仑破裂应力变化对余震及区域地震活动空间分布的影响.在考虑震源区附近区域构造应力场的基础上,由震源区构造应力和主震破裂产生的应力叠加,计算得到最容易破裂的余震断层面,进而计算玉树主震在上述余震断层面上产生的库仑破裂静态应力变化.结果表明,库仑应力变化图像与余震分布较为吻合,说明玉树主震对大部分余震有触发作用.利用相同方法计算了玉树主震对周边更大范围内地震的应力触发影响,发现大部分区域地震活动空间分布与库仑应力变化图像基本一致,中小地震大多发生在正向触发区域,但量值较小.对余震断层面与主震完全一致的情形进行了同样的计算,与前述方法计算结果的对比显示,考虑区域应力场的计算方式所得库仑破裂应力变化图像,能够更好地与余震及区域中小地震空间分布图像相吻合. 相似文献
3.
在计算同震静态库仑应力变化的基础上,基于速率-状态摩擦定律及与同震静态库仑应力变化相关的余震频次估计方法 ,研究了汶川地震余震区及附近不同区域内与汶川地震同震静态库仑应力触发相关的“直接”余震频次。结果显示,主震破裂带尤其是主震破裂带南段的“直接”余震频次明显低于实际情况,其原因在于同震库仑应力变化导致的主震破裂面上应力水平的降低。研究结果还显示,汶川地震同震库仑应力变化对余震活动持续时间的影响与震级下限有关。对ML4以上余震,持续时间约为震后15~16个月;对ML3.5以上余震,接近60个月。在上述时段内,与同震库仑应力变化相关的“直接”余震占全部余震的比例为44.7%～48.6%。这表明,即使在同震库仑应力变化的“有效”作用时段内,主震破裂面上也大约有50%的余震活动不是缘于同震库仑应力变化的影响,这可能与震后余滑及粘弹松弛等时间相关因素的影响有关。 相似文献
4.
基于同震库仑应力变化的汶川地震余震频次研究 总被引：3，自引：2，他引：1
在计算同震静态库仑应力变化的基础上,基于速率-状态摩擦定律及与同震静态库仑应力变化相关的余震频次估计方法,研究了汶川地震余震区及附近不同区域内与汶川地震同震静态库仑应力触发相关的"直接"余震频次。结果显示,主震破裂带尤其是主震破裂带南段的"直接"余震频次明显低于实际情况,其原因在于同震库仑应力变化导致的主震破裂面上应力水平的降低。研究结果还显示,汶川地震同震库仑应力变化对余震活动持续时间的影响与震级下限有关。对ML4.0以上余震,持续时间约为震后15~16个月;对ML3.5以上余震,接近60个月。在上述时段内,与同震库仑应力变化相关的"直接"余震占全部余震的比例为44.7%~48.6%。这表明,即使在同震库仑应力变化的"有效"作用时段内,主震破裂面上也大约有50%的余震活动不是缘于同震库仑应力变化的影响,这可能与震后余滑及粘弹松弛等时间相关因素的影响有关。 相似文献
5.
本文采用离散波数法,计算了2014年于田MS7.3地震的断层破裂在近场和远场产生的库仑破裂应力变化,并结合地震活动特征,讨论了MS7.3地震对后续余震活动和远场区域小震活动的动态应力触发作用.结果表明, ① MS7.3地震产生的库仑破裂应力变化对其西南侧主体余震区的地震活动起到了抑制作用,这可能是本次MS7.3地震序列余震活动水平不高的主要原因;距主震约30 km的北东方向余震区后续地震活动受到了主震产生的动态和静态应力变化的共同触发作用,动态应力变化峰值为2.78 MPa,静态应力变化为0.80 MPa,这与该区余震较为活跃相一致;距主震约45 km的北部余震区受到动态应力触发作用,应力变化峰值为0.72 MPa. ② MS7.3地震产生的动态库仑应力变化空间分布呈非对称性,其中北东方向、北部余震分布与动态应力变化正值区存在相关性,从应力变化的角度解释了MS7.3地震的后续余震空间活动特征. ③ MS7.3地震在沙雅、伽师地区的远场接收点产生的动态应力变化峰值分别为0.09 MPa、0.1 MPa,对两个区域的小震活动具有动态触发作用. 相似文献
6.
大地震应力触发概念自提出至今被广泛应用。 库仑应力与后续地震活动对应效果受到多种因素影响。 其中, 不同深度断层滑动量不同导致不同深度静态库仑应力图像差异, 选取哪一个深度的应力图像来讨论后续地震趋势是一个重要问题。 本文提出一个计算方法, 首先计算不同深度静态库仑应力, 然后在同一个位置取不同深度库仑应力最高值, 绘制静态应力分布图像, 并以2010年玉树地震为例, 结合地震活动及静态库仑应力分布对这种计算方法的效果进行对比。 结果显示, 按照本文提出的计算方法, 利用不同学者给出的玉树地震破裂模型计算均显示, 玉树地震后2年内3级以上余震几乎全部发生在库仑应力增加区。 相似文献
7.
在离散波数法（DWN）基础上,计算了武定M6.5地震断层破裂在周围介质中产生的位移时程（位移理论地震图）和动态位移场;进行弹性动力学转换后,求得应变时程和动态应变场;最后得到了武定M6.5地震所产生的动态库仑破裂应力变化量和动态库仑破裂应力变化场,进而研究其与后续余震的关系. 结果表明,动态应力最大峰值和静态应力的正区均呈非对称性分布,两者的分布特征与余震的分布特征基本一致. 在动态应力峰值为正的确定区应力值超过了0.1 MPa触发阈值, 在静态应力值为正的确定区应力值超过了0.01 MPa触发阈值. 这说明动态应力和静态应力均有助于余震的发生. 相似文献
8.
云南澜沧-耿马Ms7.6地震的完全库仑破裂应力变化与后续地震的动态、静态应力触发 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
计算和研究了1988年云南澜沧-耿马Ms7.6地震产生的完全库仑破裂应力变化的时空演化图像, 对继澜沧地震13 min后发生的耿马M7.2地震的应力触发问题进行了分析, 同时也对澜沧-耿马地震后24 d内发生的Ms5.0~6.9后续强余震的应力触发问题进行了探讨. 结果显示, 澜沧地震断层破裂产生的完全库仑破裂应力变化空间分布图像具有很强的非对称性, 正值的动态和静态库仑破裂应力变化区域均具有与强余震分布位置吻合较好的现象. 耿马Ms7.2地震受到了澜沧Ms7.6地震产生动态和静态库仑破裂应力的触发作用; 绝大多数后续强余震受到了动、静态库仑破裂应力的综合触发作用. 相似文献
9.
选取IRIS远震台站波形数据，反演了云南漾濞MS6.4地震震源破裂过程，计算了断层破裂在近场产生的动态库仑破裂应力变化，并讨论了主震对近场余震活动的动态应力触发作用。结果显示:动态库仑应力演化过程与震源破裂特征反演结果一致，其大小分布与地震序列分布的疏密程度也具有较好的相关性。主震产生的静态和动态库仑破裂应力均促进余震的发生，但相比静态应力，余震位于库仑破裂应力正值区域的比例提高了21%，余震与动态库仑应力变化的正负区域有更好的一致性，动态应力能更好地解释震后余震分布的空间特征。垂直于地震序列主干10 km处出现小震丛集，该现象可能是由主震产生的动态库仑破裂应力占主导作用所致。定量分析主震对余震的动态应力触发结果显示，主震后一周内MS4.0以上的8次余震接收点均受到了动态库仑破裂应力的触发作用。 相似文献
10.
余震触发机制的Dieterich解析模型被广泛应用于区域地震活动性的定量分析以及依赖时间的概率地震预测模型的建立等方面.基于滑移速率和状态相依赖的摩擦定律和弹簧-滑块模型,从Dieterich断层滑移速率方程出发,给出了静态应力扰动下触发地震的时钟提前或推后的近似解,从而明确地阐明了触发地震的产生机制与断层的演化过程密切相关,并与传统位错模型下库仑应力扰动时间提前或推后量作了比较.采用对数线性拟合方法求得了汶川Mw7.9主震后余震序列持续时间,符合Dieterich理论结果.以汶川余震序列为例,给出了两种不同的应力扰动模式在该余震序列中的应用.结果表明,经典Dieterich扰动解无法给出主震发生后即时余震数量的异常增加,而考虑主震前后剪应力速率变化的Dieterich分段解则可反映出余震发生率及个数随时间的演化特征. 相似文献
11.
利用2009-2011年三期GNSS观测资料,获得新源—和静6.6级地震前后震中附近区域水平运动速率、主应变率、面膨胀率及最大剪应变率,分析得出:(1)研究区整体呈挤压缩短趋势,南部区域运动速率总体高于北部,而中部区域运动速率高于东西两侧,这与区域构造特点有关。新源—和静MS6.6地震之后,研究区西北部区域的应力场能量得到较大的吸收和释放。(2)从研究区应变分析中可以看出,沿断层出现的主应变率正负交替区域与地震的发生有一定关系。从面膨胀等值线图可以看出,两个面收缩区之间区域是地震发生的重要区域。剪应变区域变化可以反映出地震的破裂方向。 相似文献
12.
Measurement of effusion rate is a primary objective for studies that model lava flow and magma system dynamics, as well as
for monitoring efforts during on-going eruptions. However, its exact definition remains a source of confusion, and problems
occur when comparing volume flux values that are averaged over different time periods or spatial scales, or measured using
different approaches. Thus our aims are to: (1) define effusion rate terminology; and (2) assess the various measurement methods
and their results. We first distinguish between instantaneous effusion rate, and time-averaged discharge rate. Eruption rate
is next defined as the total volume of lava emplaced since the beginning of the eruption divided by the time since the eruption
began. The ultimate extension of this is mean output rate, this being the final volume of erupted lava divided by total eruption
duration. Whether these values are total values, i.e. the flux feeding all flow units across the entire flow field, or local,
i.e. the flux feeding a single active unit within a flow field across which many units are active, also needs to be specified.
No approach is without its problems, and all can have large error (up to ∼50%). However, good agreement between diverse approaches
shows that reliable estimates can be made if each approach is applied carefully and takes into account the caveats we detail
here. There are three important factors to consider and state when measuring, giving or using an effusion rate. First, the
time-period over which the value was averaged; second, whether the measurement applies to the entire active flow field, or
a single lava flow within that field; and third, the measurement technique and its accompanying assumptions. 相似文献
13.
The northwestern section of the Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone starts in the west of Zhangjiakou, extending southeast through Huailai, Shunyi and Tianjin and entering into the Bohai Sea, with a width up to several tens of kilometers, narrow in the west and wide in the east. The Neogene-Quaternary has extended in the northwest and southeast direction, forming a large regional active structure. There are many earthquakes of magnitude 7 or above in the history on the Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone and it is also a strong earthquake activity zone in eastern China. Therefore, the modern tectonic activities of this fault zone have an important impact on regional seismic hazard, and are of great significance for earthquake prediction and disaster reduction.
In this paper, using the mobile GPS station observation data of 1999, 2007, 2009, 2011, 2013 and 2015, and with the rigid-linear elastic block motion model equation proposed by LI Yan-xing, the horizontal deformation rate and strain rate of the Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone of the five adjacent periods of 1999-2007, 2007-2009, 2009-2011, 2011-2013 and 2013-2015 were calculated, the tectonic activity characteristics and evolution of the fault zone were studied. The results show that in the five periods, the average deformation rate of the Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone is 1. 74mm/a, the left-lateral strike-slip rate is 1.59mm/a, and the compression rate is -0.59mm/a. The Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone is characterized by left-lateral strike-slip and compression on the whole, and the left-lateral strike-slip rate is greater than the compression rate at each period. The strike-slip rate is significantly greater than the compression rate, indicating that the activity of Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone is dominated by left-lateral strike-slip faulting with compression. The minimum principal strain rate of the Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone in the five periods varies from -12.06×10-9/a to -4.62×10-9/a, and the average minimum principal strain axis direction is N63.9°E, with little change in direction. The maximum principal strain rate varies from 1.55×10-9/a to 5.99×10-9/a, and the average maximum principal strain axis direction is N333.9°W, the direction does not change much. The strike of the Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone is NWW(the overall strike is calculated by N300°W), and the normal strain rate of the fault zone is -5.87×10-9/a(being compressional), and the shear strain rate is 12.70×10-9/a. The shear strain rate on the fault zone is about twice the value of the normal strain rate, and the shear strain rate of the fault zone is greater than the normal strain rate, which indicates the shear stress of the 5 periods of 1999-2007, 2007-2009, 2009-2011, 2011-2013 and 2013-2015 is relatively significant, suggesting that the fault plain is dominated by left-lateral shear stress. This suggests that the Japan 3·11 earthquake has little effect on the deformation strain of the Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone, and it does not change the nature of activity of the fault zone. The tectonic activity is still inheriting. Since the tectonic activity of the Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone has gradually decreased after the Japan 3·11 earthquake, the deformation strain evolution trend has gradually returned to a unified consistent state. Therefore, the deformation strain state of the Zhangjiakou-Bohai fault zone does not have the condition for strong earthquakes. 相似文献
14.
Geodetic deformation vs. seismic strain deduced by historical earthquakes across the Alborz Mountains 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Mohammad Reza Zolfaghari 《Journal of Seismology》2009,13(4):647-663
Historical seismicity is used in order to map spatial distribution of seismic moment released by past earthquakes and to compare
strain rate deduced from seismicity to those measured by geodetic GPS survey. Spatial analyses are performed on the seismicity
of northern boundary of Central Iranian Block which coincides with the Alborz Mountains. This belt has been responsible for
several catastrophic earthquakes in the past. In this study, the records of historical and instrumental earthquakes in the
Alborz Mountains are used to calculate and plot geographical distribution of seismic moment released in time. A two-dimensional
distribution function is proposed and used here to spread seismic moment along causative tectonic features. Using accumulated
seismic moment, average slip rates across active faults are estimated for 32 sub-zones along the Alborz Mountains and western
Kopet Dag. Seismic moment released by historical and recent earthquakes on this belt accounts for slip rate of 3–5 mm/year
which is in good agreement with the geodetic vectors recently deduced from GPS survey in this region. The study also reveals
geographical variations of slip rates along some 900 km length of this zone based on seismic history. The results are compared
against finding from similar study in this region. Portions of Central and Eastern Alborz show lower seismic strain rate which
could imply aseismic motion or overdue earthquakes. Completeness of historical earthquake catalogue and its reliability with
regard to earthquake magnitudes, locations, and rupturing systems are among many plausible factors controlling the credibility
of such results. Therefore, any conclusions derived from these results remain as reliable as the data and assumptions used
for the analyses. 相似文献
15.
Forced imbibition was performed in reservoir sandstone by injecting water into a dry sample. The injection was monitored with X‐ray computed tomography and acoustic acquisition to simultaneously visualize the displacement of the fluid and quantify its presence by calculating saturation and P‐wave velocities. We observed a strong influence when changing the injection rates on the acoustic response. Upon decreasing the injection rate from 5 mL/h to 0.1 mL/h, P‐wave velocities decreased sharply: 100 m/s in 1 h. This behaviour is related to the partially saturated conditions of the sample (76% of saturation) before decreasing the injection rate. The air that is still trapped is free to move due to a decrease of pore pressure that is no longer forced by the higher injection rate. After 1 hour, P‐wave velocities started increasing with small changes in saturation. Stopping injection for 16 hrs decreased saturation by 8% and P‐wave velocities by 100 m/s. Restarting injection at 5 mL/h increased saturation to 76% while P‐wave velocities fluctuated considerably for 2 hrs until they stabilized at 2253 m/s. Through the computed tomography scans we observed a water front advancing through the sample and how its shape changed from a plane to a curve after decreasing the injection rate. 相似文献
16.
地震前兆台网的运行直接影响产出的观测数据质量。观测数据平均连续率和平均数据完整率可以反映地震前兆台网的运行质量。对中国地震背景场探测项目试行期间(2014年)及正式启动后2015年度的观测数据质量,从以上2个指标进行分析,并对比原有仪器运行质量,可知背景场项目试运行期间,各学科台网投入仪器运行稳定,观测数据符合相关要求,总体质量良好,观测仪器可以投入正式运行。 相似文献
17.
Degradation of glacial deposits quantified with cosmogenic nuclides,Quartermain Mountains,Antarctica
Many glacial deposits in the Quartermain Mountains, Antarctica present two apparent contradictions regarding the degradation of unconsolidated deposits. The glacial deposits are up to millions of years old, yet they have maintained their meter‐scale morphology despite the fact that bedrock and regolith erosion rates in the Quartermain Mountains have been measured at 0·1–4·0 m Ma?1. Additionally, ground ice persists in some Miocene‐aged soils in the Quartermain Mountains even though modeled and measured sublimation rates of ice in Antarctic soils suggest that without any recharge mechanisms ground ice should sublimate in the upper few meters of soil on the order of 103 to 105 years. This paper presents results from using the concentration of cosmogenic nuclides beryllium‐10 (10Be) and aluminum‐26 (26Al) in bulk sediment samples from depth profiles of three glacial deposits in the Quartermain Mountains. The measured nuclide concentrations are lower than expected for the known ages of the deposits, erosion alone does not always explain these concentrations, and deflation of the tills by the sublimation of ice coupled with erosion of the overlying till can explain some of the nuclide concentration profiles. The degradation rates that best match the data range 0·7–12 m Ma?1 for sublimation of ice with initial debris concentrations ranging 12–45% and erosion of the overlying till at rates of 0·4–1·2 m Ma?1. Overturning of the tills by cryoturbation, vertical mixing, or soil creep is not indicated by the cosmogenic nuclide profiles, and degradation appears to be limited to within a few centimeters of the surface. Erosion of these tills without vertical mixing may partially explain how some glacial deposits in the Quartermain Mountains maintain their morphology and contain ground ice close to the surface for millions of years. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
18.
地壳形变方法对强震中期趋势的判定 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
用全国范围５０的代至９０年代初期大地测量资料对我国大陆未来的强震危险区进行预测和划定；依据近３０年来华北地区的垂直形变动态，探讨判断本区未来１－３年尺度强震危险性的指标；利用首都圈的断层形变监测结果，提出用定点形变和大面积形变综合分析地震中期趋势的方法和结论。 相似文献
19.
Fault dimensions,displacements and growth 总被引：15，自引：0，他引：15
Juan Watterson 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1986,124(1-2):365-373
Maximum total displacement (D) is plotted against fault or thrust width(W) for 65 faults, thrusts, and groups of faults from a variety of geological environments. Displacements range from 0.4 m to 40 km and widths from 150 m to 630 km, and there is a near linear relationship betweenD andW
2. The required compatibility strains (e
s) in rocks adjacent to these faults increases linearly withW and with
and ranges frome
s=2×10–4 toe
s=3×10–1. These are permanent ductile strains, which compare with values ofe
s=2×10–5 for the elastic strains imposed during single slip earthquake events, which are characterised by a linear relationship between slip (u) andW.The data are consisten with a simple growth model for faults and thrusts, in which the slip in successive events increases by increments of constant size, and which predicts a relationship between displacement and width of the formD=cW
2. Incorporation of constant ductile strain rate into the model shows that the repreat time for slip events remains constant throughout the life of a fault, while the displacement rate increases with time. An internally consistent model withe
s=2×10–5, giving repeat times of 160 years and instantaneous displacement rates of 0.02 cm/yr, 0.2 cm/yr, and 2.0 cm/yr when total displacement is 1 m, 100 m, and 10 km, and slip increasing by 0.5 mm with each event, gives a good approximation of the data. The model is also applicable to stable sliding, the slip rate varying with ductile strain rate and withW
2. 相似文献
20.
Photosynthesis-transpiration coupling model at canopy scale in terrestrial ecosystem 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
At the hypothesis of big leaf, an ecosystem photosynthesis-transpiration coupling cycle model was established by the scaled SMPT-SB model from single leaf to canopy, and model parameterization methods were discussed. Through simulating the canopy light distribution, canopy internal conductance to CO2 can be scaled from single leaf to canopy by integrating to canopy using the relationship between single internal conductance and photosynthetic photon flux density. Using the data observed by eddy covariance method from the Changbai Mountains site of ChinaFLUX, the application of the model at the canopy scale was examined. Under no water stress, the simulated net ecosystem photosynthesis rate fitted with the observed data very well, the slope and R2 of the line regression equation of the observed and simulated values were 0.7977 and 0.8892, respectively (n = 752), and average absolute error was 3.78 μmol CO2 m-2s-1; the slope, R2 and average absolute error of transpiration rate were 0.7314, 0.4355 and 1.60mmol H2O m-2 s-1, respectively (n = 752). The relationship between canopy photosynthesis,transpiration and external environmental conditions was discussed by treating the canopy as a whole and neglecting the comprehensive feedback mechanism within canopy, and it was noted that the precipitation course affected the transpiration rate simulation badly. Compared to the models based on eco-physiological processes, the SMPT-SB model was simple and easy to be used. And it can be used as a basic carbon and water coupling model of soil-plant-atmosphere continuum. 相似文献