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1.
气象经济学研究对象及气象服务特征分析   总被引:4,自引:2,他引:2  
在回顾气象经济学现有研究文献基础上,探讨了气象经济学研究对象确立的问题,强调气象经学研究对象是以气象信息为核心基础的气象服务及其衍生品.比较系统地分析了气象服务的若干特征:作为公共物品,具有消费的非排他性、非竞争性;作为私人商品,具有价值和使用价值特征;作为服务,具有无形性、生产消费同步性、消费的重复性;作为信息,具有客观性、无限性、动态性、依附性、不完全性和复制低成本性.最后,总结出若干政策建议.  相似文献   

2.
气象经济学研究对象及气象服务特征分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
在回顾气象经济学现有研究文献基础上,探讨了气象经济学研究对象确立的问题,强调气象经学研究对象是以气象信息为核心基础的气象服务及其衍生品。比较系统地分析了气象服务的若干特征:作为公共物品,具有消费的非排他性、非竞争性;作为私人商品,具有价值和使用价值特征;作为服务,具有无形性、生产消费同步性、消费的重复性;作为信息,具有客观性、无限性、动态性、依附性、不完全性和复制低成本性。最后,总结出若干政策建议。  相似文献   

3.
内蒙古地区风能、太阳能资源互补性分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
选择全区1991-2006年辐射资料和1977-2006年风资料进行分析,将全区各地的风能资源可以分为春夏强秋冬弱型、春季强夏秋冬弱型、春季强夏季弱型、春季强冬季弱型、和冬季强夏季弱型;全区太阳能资源与风能资源具有相似的时间变化规律;但风能资源在时空分布上具有很大的不同,但两者都具有明显的季节性。因此太阳能和风能的互补性呈现出很大的差异。  相似文献   

4.
1 引言 气象卫星遥感具有高频次、大范围、多光谱、适用于遥感统计解释等优点,特别是高频次对环境监测对灾害和植物状况的动态监测具有更多优势,是农业、林业气象情报信息的重要来源.  相似文献   

5.
部门的办公室在日常管理活动中具有沟通上下、协调左右的枢纽作用;在领导决策过程中具有调查研究、分析和提供信息的参谋和助手作用;在保证上级及局务会各项指示和决定得以及时、正确贯彻落实上具有检查、督促和具体承办的作用;在全局各项工作中具有安排、协调和服务的联络调度作用.随着体制改革的深入和目标管理责任制的实施,办公室的地位和作用越来越重要.我们商洛地区气象局办公室在为领导决策服务中,按照"当好参谋,作好助手"的  相似文献   

6.
利用1971—2000年三穗县和都匀市年平均气温和年降水量的气象观测资料,分析了2地30 a气温和降水的基本气候特征、年际变化和变化趋势。结果表明,三穗县气温变化包含了13 a、2 a的振荡周期,其降水具有23 a、5 a的周期变化特征;而都匀市的温度序列只具有10 a的高频振荡周期,降水变化则包含了26 a、23 a、5 a的周期振荡。气温偏高的时期,降水量偏少。经气候突变的分析检验,三穗县、都匀市的气温及降水在同一时间尺度下具有不同的突变点。  相似文献   

7.
华南地区几种降水产品的对比分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
对华南地区3种比较常用的降水产品(CMAP、GPCP、TRMM)进行了比较和分析。结果表明,在华南地区,这3种降水产品测出的降雨量在空间上具有一致的大尺度分布特征,在时间演变上具有一致的演变趋势,都能很好地反映雨带的季节性迁移特征和华南汛期的降雨特征;但是在不同的具体区域,三者的细节特征差异还是比较显著的,相比较而言,GPCP和TRMM具有更为一致的空间分布特征;在地形复杂的区域,TRMM具有更良好的表现能力。  相似文献   

8.
近50年来湛江、韶关气候变化的小波分析   总被引:12,自引:27,他引:12  
利用MHAT小波函数分析了湛江和韶关两地近50年平均气温和年降水量多时间尺度的演变特征,并对其气候突变进行了初步分析。结果表明,湛江气温变化包含了16年、4年和2年的振荡周期,其降水具有11年、4年的周期变化特征;而韶关的温度序列只具有5年、3年的高频振荡周期,降水变化则包含了11年、7年、4.5年的周期振荡。经气候突变的分析检验,湛江、韶关的气温及降水在不同时间尺度下具有不同的突变点。  相似文献   

9.
本文较详细地介绍了“智能型气象预报专家系统业务系统”的结构和功能,体现了该系统具有高度的实践性和能使预报实现客观化、自动化的特点,并且对减轻繁杂的手工劳动和减少主观因素的影响具有重要作用。  相似文献   

10.
文章基于HOBO水位计的监测数据和传统方法的水位观测数据,利用SPSS软件及相关分析的方法,对太仆寺旗和克什克腾旗地下水位的月动态和日内动态进行了分析。结果表明,HOBO水位计对地下水位的微动态监测具有敏感性、适用性、客观性,对传统观测方法具有很强的补充性。  相似文献   

11.
The spatial and temporal variations of daily maximum temperature(Tmax), daily minimum temperature(Tmin), daily maximum precipitation(Pmax) and daily maximum wind speed(WSmax) were examined in China using Mann-Kendall test and linear regression method. The results indicated that for China as a whole, Tmax, Tmin and Pmax had significant increasing trends at rates of 0.15℃ per decade, 0.45℃ per decade and 0.58 mm per decade,respectively, while WSmax had decreased significantly at 1.18 m·s~(-1) per decade during 1959—2014. In all regions of China, Tmin increased and WSmax decreased significantly. Spatially, Tmax increased significantly at most of the stations in South China(SC), northwestern North China(NC), northeastern Northeast China(NEC), eastern Northwest China(NWC) and eastern Southwest China(SWC), and the increasing trends were significant in NC, SC, NWC and SWC on the regional average. Tmin increased significantly at most of the stations in China, with notable increase in NEC, northern and southeastern NC and northwestern and eastern NWC. Pmax showed no significant trend at most of the stations in China, and on the regional average it decreased significantly in NC but increased in SC, NWC and the mid-lower Yangtze River valley(YR). WSmax decreased significantly at the vast majority of stations in China, with remarkable decrease in northern NC, northern and central YR, central and southern SC and in parts of central NEC and western NWC. With global climate change and rapidly economic development, China has become more vulnerable to climatic extremes and meteorological disasters, so more strategies of mitigation and/or adaptation of climatic extremes,such as environmentally-friendly and low-cost energy production systems and the enhancement of engineering defense measures are necessary for government and social publics.  相似文献   

12.
正While China’s Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan on particulate matter since 2013 has reduced sulfate significantly, aerosol ammonium nitrate remains high in East China. As the high nitrate abundances are strongly linked with ammonia, reducing ammonia emissions is becoming increasingly important to improve the air quality of China. Although satellite data provide evidence of substantial increases in atmospheric ammonia concentrations over major agricultural regions, long-term surface observation of ammonia concentrations are sparse. In addition, there is still no consensus on  相似文献   

13.
正AIMS AND SCOPE Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters (AOSL) publishes short research letters on all disciplines of the atmosphere sciences and physical oceanography.  相似文献   

14.
The variation of the East Asian jet stream(EAJS) associated with the Eurasian(EU) teleconnection pattern is investigated using 60-yr NCEP–NCAR daily reanalysis data over the period 1951–2010. The EAJS consists of three components: the polar front jet(PFJ); the plateau subtropical jet(PSJ); and the ocean subtropical jet(OSJ). Of these three jets over East Asia,the EU pattern exhibits a significant influence on the PFJ and OSJ. There is a simultaneous negative correlation between the EU pattern and the PFJ. A significant positive correlation is found between the EU pattern and the OSJ when the EU pattern leads the OSJ by about 5 days. There is no obvious correlation between the EU pattern and the PSJ. The positive EU phase is accompanied by a weakened and poleward-shifted PFJ, which coincides with an intensified OSJ. A possible mechanism for the variation of the EAJS during different EU phases is explored via analyzing the effects of 10-day high-and low-frequency eddy forcing. The zonal wind tendency due to high-frequency eddy forcing contributes to the simultaneous negative correlation between the EU pattern and the PFJ, as well as the northward/southward shift of the PFJ. High- and low-frequency eddy forcing are both responsible for the positive correlation between the EU pattern and the OSJ, but only high-frequency eddy forcing contributes to the lagged variation of the OSJ relative to the EU pattern. The negative correlation between the EU pattern and winter temperature and precipitation anomalies in China is maintained only when the PFJ and OSJ are out of phase with each other. Thus, the EAJS plays an important role in transmitting the EU signal to winter temperature and precipitation anomalies in China.  相似文献   

15.
<p>Using the multielements similarity measurement method and 1950–C2017 NCEP/NCAR gridded daily reanalysis datasets, we analyzed season duration in China during 1950–C2016, and we defined the element with maximum absolute sensitivity as the key impact element at each point using the sensitivity analysis method. The decadal change of season duration and its key impact element before and after 1980 were studied. The results indicated obvious meridional and zonal differences in the distribution of season duration for the 67-year average, and that the key impact element has the same distribution characteristics as season duration. In addition, complementary relationships were found between the durations of spring and summer, autumn and winter, and the cold and warm seasons. Of those, the complementary relationship between the durations of spring and summer was strongest and the regions of complementarity were numerous. The complementary regions of autumn and winter durations were found mainly in western China. In the cold and warm seasons, the complementary regions were widespread and the complementary relationship was generally weak. Comparison of the periods before and after 1980 revealed an east–Cwest difference in the interdecadal variation of season duration. Interdecadal variation in spring and summer was found concentrated in northern and western regions, while that in autumn and winter was concentrated in the western region. Areas of significant interdecadal variation of the key elements were found concentrated in northern and western regions, corresponding well with the areas of significant interdecadal variation of season duration.</p>  相似文献   

16.
By using the gauged rainfall in 160 stations within mainland China and the NCEP/NCAR reanalysis data, the impacts of anomalous SST in Kuroshio and its extension on precipitation in Northeast China were investigated. The results show that a difference in the meridional circulation such as the East Asia/Pacific teleconnection pattern(EAP)may be responsible for the difference in rainfall between 1998 and 2010. In comparison with 1998, the anomalous meridional circulation pattern in 2010 shifted northeastward, and then the western subtropical high, the mid-latitudinal trough and the northeastern Asia blocking high also shifted northeastward, causing intensified convergence of the cold and warm air masses at the southern region and thus more rainfall in the southwestern region and less in the northwestern region. In 1998, the anomalous cyclone, one component of the meridional pattern, located at the Songhuajiang-Nengjiang River basin, resulted in more rainfall in the majority of the area. The results of observation and the model show that the difference in SSTA in Kuroshio and its extension under the background of different El Ni觡o events is the key point:(1) The anomalous warmth moved westward from the mid-Pacific to the east of the Philippine Sea during the central event, which led the heat resources shifting to the northeast in 2010; subsequently, a shift occurred to the north of the anomalous ascent and decent, followed by a warm SSTA in the region of Kuroshio's extension in 2010 and Kuroshio in 1998.(2) The warm SSTA in the Kuroshio extension causing the Rossby wave activity flux strengthened in 2010, and then the westerly jet shifted northward and extended eastward. A warm SSTA in Kuroshio and cold SSTA in its extension in 1998 caused the westerly jet to shift southward and weaken. As a result,the anomalous anticyclone and cyclone shifted northward in 2010, and the blocking high also shifted northward.  相似文献   

17.
Understanding potential future influence of environmental, economic, and social drivers on land-use and sustainability is critical for guiding strategic decisions that can help nations adapt to change, anticipate opportunities, and cope with surprises. Using the Land-Use Trade-Offs (LUTO) model, we undertook a comprehensive, detailed, integrated, and quantitative scenario analysis of land-use and sustainability for Australia’s agricultural land from 2013–2050, under interacting global change and domestic policies, and considering key uncertainties. We assessed land use competition between multiple land-uses and assessed the sustainability of economic returns and ecosystem services at high spatial (1.1 km grid cells) and temporal (annual) resolution. We found substantial potential for land-use transition from agriculture to carbon plantings, environmental plantings, and biofuels cropping under certain scenarios, with impacts on the sustainability of economic returns and ecosystem services including food/fibre production, emissions abatement, water resource use, biodiversity services, and energy production. However, the type, magnitude, timing, and location of land-use responses and their impacts were highly dependent on scenario parameter assumptions including global outlook and emissions abatement effort, domestic land-use policy settings, land-use change adoption behaviour, productivity growth, and capacity constraints. With strong global abatement incentives complemented by biodiversity-focussed domestic land-use policy, land-use responses can substantially increase and diversify economic returns to land and produce a much wider range of ecosystem services such as emissions abatement, biodiversity, and energy, without major impacts on agricultural production. However, better governance is needed for managing potentially significant water resource impacts. The results have wide-ranging implications for land-use and sustainability policy and governance at global and domestic scales and can inform strategic thinking and decision-making about land-use and sustainability in Australia. A comprehensive and freely available 26 GB data pack (http://doi.org/10.4225/08/5604A2E8A00CC) provides a unique resource for further research. As similarly nuanced transformational change is also possible elsewhere, our template for comprehensive, integrated, quantitative, and high resolution scenario analysis can support other nations in strategic thinking and decision-making to prepare for an uncertain future.  相似文献   

18.
正The Taal Volcano in Luzon is one of the most active and dangerous volcanoes of the Philippines. A recent eruption occurred on 12 January 2020(Fig. 1a), and this volcano is still active with the occurrence of volcanic earthquakes. The eruption has become a deep concern worldwide, not only for its damage on local society, but also for potential hazardous consequences on the Earth's climate and environment.  相似文献   

19.
20.
Tianjin is the third largest megacity and the fastest growth area in China, and consequently faces the problems of surface ozone and haze episodes. This study measures and characterizes volatile organic compounds(VOCs), which are ozone precursors, to identify their possible sources and evaluate their contribution to ozone formation in urban and suburban Tianjin,China during the Ha Chi(Haze in China) summer campaign in 2009. A total of 107 species of ambient VOCs were detected,and the average concentrations of VOCs at urban and suburban sites were 92 and 174 ppbv, respectively. Of those, 51 species of VOCs were extracted to analyze the possible VOC sources using positive matrix factorization. The identified sources of VOCs were significantly related to vehicular activities, which specifically contributed 60% to urban and 42% to suburban VOCs loadings in Tianjin. Industrial emission was the second most prominent source of ambient VOCs in both urban and suburban areas, although the contribution of industry in the suburban area(36%) was much higher than that at the urban area(16%). We conclude that controlling vehicle emissions should be a top priority for VOC reduction, and that fast industrialization and urbanization causes air pollution to be more complex due to the combined emission of VOCs from industry and daily life, especially in suburban areas.  相似文献   

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