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台风风暴潮异模式集合数值预报技术研究及应用 总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0
台风风暴潮数值预报的准确性在很大程度上取决于台风路径预报和强度预报的精度以及风暴潮预报模型的计算精度。目前,国际上24/48 h台风路径预报平均误差分别约为120/210 km左右[1],对于走向异常的台风误差更大;更有,根据单一的台风路径和单族的风暴潮数值预报模式并不能保证获得可靠的风暴潮预报结果。考虑多重网格法原理具有在疏密不同的网格层上进行迭代以达到平滑不同频率的误差分量,使得计算快速收敛,精度提高的特性。在前期研究基础上基于业务化高分辨率(结构网格/有限差分算法)和精细化(非结构网格/有限元算法)台风风暴潮集合数值预报模型构建多模型台风风暴潮集合数值预报系统。采用"非同族"模型进行集合预报很大程度上降低了误差相似遗传的可能性。应用该方法对典型台风风暴潮过程进行了试应用,试报结果表明:该方法对风暴潮增、减水预报效果高于单一集合预报,具有一定的应用前景。 相似文献
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一个东海嵌套网格台风暴潮数值预报模式的研制与应用 总被引：10，自引：3，他引：10
建立了一个覆盖东海的两重嵌套网格高分辨率台风暴潮数值预报模式.粗、细网格模式分辨率分别为6'和2'.两套网格的嵌套采用单向松弛套网格技术,即在细网格的内边界附近建立了一个“过渡区”,对预报的物理量进行松弛,使粗、细网格模式变量逐步过渡,避免了边界附近寄生波的产生,从而增加了模式的稳定性.利用该模式,对显着影响东中国海地区的6次风暴潮过程进行了后报和预报试验.与观测资料比较,数值结果令人满意. 相似文献
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渤海局部海域风暴潮漫滩计算模式──ADI干湿网格模式在渤海局部海域风暴潮漫滩计算中的应用 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
采用ＡＤＩ干湿网格模式和一种大小区嵌套式的数值计算格式，考虑了天文潮与风暴潮的非线性耦合效应，对渤海局部海域的风暴潮漫滩进行了数值模拟。模拟结果与实测结果符合良好，证实ＡＤＩ干湿网格模式对海湾风暴潮漫滩计算的可行性。指出ＡＤＩ干湿网格模式对预报淹水受灾范围具有应用价值。 相似文献
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采用有限元法建立了一个适用于福建沿岸的天文潮-风暴潮耦合预报模式(FETSCM),模式采用三角网格,在福建沿岸平均网格分辨率为1 km,最高500 m.利用福建沿岸6个潮位站的实测资料对模型进行了验证,天文潮模拟结果与实测吻合良好,5个站位平均绝对误差为22 cm;31场历史台风期间6个站位风暴潮后报模拟误差为24 cm;天文潮-风暴潮耦合总水位的平均极值误差为20 cm,表明该耦合预报模式对福建沿岸的台风灾害预警有较好实用价值. 相似文献
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降低水平压力梯度误差的方法比较 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
由于坐标变换的关系,σ坐标海洋模式在处理陡峭地形时会产生较大的水平压力梯度误差.为减少水平压力梯度误差,前人提出了一系列改进的方法,这些方法可分为减去平均密度法、平滑地形法、网格变换法和水平压力梯度计算方程变换法4类.水平压力梯度计算方程变换法又可分为密度雅克比法、高阶精度法、有限体积法和转换到z坐标下计算水平压力梯度法.利用POM模式模拟理想海山来比较标准密度雅克比法、线性插值到z坐标法、四阶精度插值法、三次方多项式拟合法和权重密度雅克比法在计算水平压力梯度中出现的误差.模式初始时垂向分成,水平均匀,外模时间步长为12 s,内模时间步长为360 s,计算时间为360 d.从最大流速误差的结果可以看出,标准密度雅克比法得到的最大流速误差为0.45 m/s左右;线性插值到z坐标法得到的最大流速误差达到0.7 m/s;四阶精度方法计算得到的最大流速误差为0.3 m/s;权重密度雅克比方法和三次方多项式拟合法计算得到的最大流速误差相差不大,都只有0.2 m/s左右.标准密度雅克比法计算得到的单位质量平均动能最大,为9×10-4 m2/s2;四阶精度方法和线性插值到z坐标方法计算得到的单位质量平均动能差不多,为3×10-4 m2/s2;三次方多项式拟合法计算得到的单位质量平均动能为1.9×10-4 m2/s2;权重密度雅克比方法计算得到的单位质量平均动能最小,仅为1×10-4 m2/s2.标准密度雅克比法的计算耗时最短,为294 min;与其相比,三次方多项式拟合法的计算耗时增加了5.9%;权重密度雅克比法的计算耗时增加了8.8%;四阶精度插值法的计算耗时增加了23.6%.线性插值到z坐标法的计算耗时最长,需要384.5 min,相对于标准密度雅克比法的计算耗时增加了30.6%.因此,综合最大流速误差、平均动能和计算耗时的结果可知,线性插值到z坐标法的计算结果相对较差,采用权重密度雅克比法能较好地降低水平压力梯度误差. 相似文献
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任意曲线边界条件下缓变水深水域波浪传播的数值模拟 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
缓坡方程被广泛地应用于描述波浪的传播变形计算,目前一般采用矩形网格求解.将计算域剖分为任意四边形网格,以格林公式为基础,在变量沿单元边界线性变化的假定下,对双曲型的波能守恒方程、波数矢无旋性方程进行离散,同时通过等参单元变换推求节点偏导数值以离散椭圆型光程函数方程,从而建立了任意曲线边界条件下缓变水深水域波浪传播的数值模拟模型.将模型应用于平行直线型等深线地形,并将计算域剖分为不规则四边形网格,对不同入射角、底坡、波高等多种组合情况比较了数值解与解析解,结果表明两者一致.应用于复杂边界的实例,数值模拟结果与物模实验值基本吻合. 相似文献
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Parabolic Approximation of the Weakly Nonlinear Mild Slope Equation with Bottom Friction 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
This paper presents a refined parabolic approximation model of the mild slope equation to simu-late the combination of water wave refraction and diffraction in the large coastal region.The bottom frictionand weakly nonlinear term are included in the model.The difference equation is established with the Crank-Nicolson scheme.The numerical test shows that some numerical prediction results will be inaccurate in com-plicated topography without considering weak nonlinearity;the bottom friction will make wave height damp-ing and it can not be neglected for calculation of wave field in large areas. 相似文献
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对于粉沙淤泥质河口和海岸,海底泥沙受潮流作用主要以悬沙形式输运。在这样的海区建港与疏浚航道,需要首先进行泥沙淤积问题的研究。本文采用潮流作用下不平衡方程式、挟沙能力公式和起动流速公式,建立了潮流作用下河口悬沙运动二维数学模型,在对二维悬沙不平衡输沙方程和海底变形方程进行离散时直接采用显式迎风格式,得到了较好的结果。在此基础上,将该模型应用于实际水域,结果表明,该数学模型能够模拟河口的悬沙运动规律和冲淤变化,对于水流较大的海域该模型有一定的应用价值 相似文献
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The shelfbreak wintertime thermal front in the Northeastern Gulf of Mexico often exhibits meandering, eddy formation and warm-water
intrusion. A high level of frontal variability plays an essential role in exchange processes across the shelf. This study
examines the impacts of local frontal instability and bottom topography on turbulent heat exchange across the front using
the results of two numerical models. Analysis of a series of numerical experiments reveals that the flow is baroclinically
unstable. Predicted frontal instability contributes significantly to cross-frontal exchange and accounts for about 35% of
the total eddy heat flux. Onshore eddy heat flux has the highest intensity at the frontal position. In addition, eddy activity
and heat flux are sensitive to variation of bottom topography. For topographic features and frontal characteristics that are
typical of the area, bottom steepness enhances the flux and is nearly proportional to the cross-frontal heat exchange. The
study attempts to explain physical mechanisms that drive frontal circulation in the area and to quantify heat transport across
the shelf. Estimated heat fluxes can provide important information for climate and ecosystem modeling of the Mississippi Bight. 相似文献
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《中国海洋工程》2021,(4)
The main objective of this paper is to examine the influences of both the principal wave direction and the directional spreading parameter of the wave energy on the wave height evolution of multidirectional irregular waves over an impermeable sloping bottom and to propose an improved wave height distribution model based on an existing classical formula. The numerical model FUNWAVE 2.0, based on a fully nonlinear Boussinesq equation, is employed to simulate the propagation of multidirectional irregular waves over the sloping bottom. Comparisons of wave heights derived from wave trains with various principal wave directions and different directional spreading parameters are conducted. Results show that both the principal wave direction and the wave directional spread have significant influences on the wave height evolution on a varying coastal topography. The shoaling effect for the wave height is obviously weakened with the increase of the principal wave direction and with the decrease of the directional spreading parameter. With the simulated data, the classical Klopman wave height distribution model is improved by considering the influences of both factors. It is found that the improved model performs better in describing the wave height distribution for the multidirectional irregular waves in shallow water. 相似文献
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A two-equation k– turbulence model is used in this paper to simulate the propagation of cnoidal waves over a submerged bar, where the free surface is handled by the volume-of-fluid (VOF) method. Using a VOF partial-cell variable and a donor–acceptor method, the model is capable of treating irregular boundaries, including arbitrary bottom topography and internal obstacles, where the no-slip condition is satisfied. The model also allows the viscous sublayer to be modeled by a wall function approximation implemented in the grid nodes that are immediately adjacent to a wall boundary. The numerical model applied to the propagation of cnoidal waves over a submerged bar can produce results that are in general agreement with some laboratory measurements. Some remarks arising from the comparison between the computational and experimental results are presented. 相似文献
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莫桑比克海峡及其邻近海区是全球海洋潮流和潮能耗散最强的海区之一。文章利用高分辨率通用环流模式对该海区的正压潮流进行模拟, 并对该海区潮能通量和潮能耗散特征进行分析。结果表明, 莫桑比克海峡及其邻近海区的潮波主要是半日分潮占主导地位, 全日分潮可忽略不计, M2分潮形成1个左旋潮波系统和1个右旋潮波系统, S2分潮形成1个左旋潮波系统。莫桑比克海峡和马达加斯加岛南部等绝大数区域的M2和S2半日潮流是逆时针旋转, 在马达加斯加岛顶部等局部区域是顺时针旋转, 而且在海峡通道等复杂地形处潮流流速量级较大。潮能通量矢量主要来自东边界, 大部分潮能通量沿马达加斯岛北部传入莫桑比克海峡区域, 其中经过马达加斯加岛北部和进入莫桑比克海峡的M2 (S2)分潮的潮能通量分别为156.86GW (40.53GW)和148.07GW (36.05GW), S2分潮潮能通量的量级大约为M2分潮的1/5~1/4。底摩擦耗散主要发生莫桑比克海峡和马达加斯加岛南北部, 其中莫桑比克海峡M2 (S2)分潮的底摩擦耗散为1.762GW (0.460GW), 占其底部总耗散的43.74% (39.72%)。 相似文献
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This paper presents a wave-resolving sediment transport model, which is capable of simulating sediment suspension in the field-scale surf zone. The surf zone hydrodynamics is modeled by the non-hydrostatic model NHWAVE (Ma et al., 2012). The turbulent flow and suspended sediment are simulated in a coupled manner. Three effects of suspended sediment on turbulent flow field are considered: (1) baroclinic forcing effect; (2) turbulence damping effect and (3) bottom boundary layer effect. Through the validation with the laboratory measurements of suspended sediment under nonbreaking skewed waves and surfzone breaking waves, we demonstrate that the model can reasonably predict wave-averaged sediment profiles. The model is then utilized to simulate a rip current field experiment (RCEX) and nearshore suspended sediment transport. The offshore sediment transport by rip currents is captured by the model. The effects of suspended sediment on self-suspension are also investigated. The turbulence damping and bottom boundary layer effects are significant on sediment suspension. The suspended sediment creates a stably stratified water column, damping fluid turbulence and reducing turbulent diffusivity. The suspension of sediment also produces a stably stratified bottom boundary layer. Thus, the drag coefficient and bottom shear stress are reduced, causing less sediment pickup from the bottom. The cross-shore suspended sediment flux is analyzed as well. The mean Eulerian suspended sediment flux is shoreward outside the surf zone, while it is seaward in the surf zone. 相似文献
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An unstructured-grid procedure for SWAN is presented. It is a vertex-based, fully implicit, finite difference method which can accommodate unstructured meshes with a high variability in geographic resolution suitable for representing complicated bottom topography in shallow areas and irregular shoreline. The numerical solution is found by means of a point-to-point multi-directional Gauss–Seidel iteration method requiring a number of sweeps through the grid. The approach is stable for any time step while permitting local mesh refinements in areas of interest. A number of applications are shown to verify the correctness and numerical accuracy of the unstructured version of SWAN. 相似文献