The 2013 European Seismic Hazard Model: key components and results   总被引：11，自引：5，他引：6  

Jochen Woessner  Danciu Laurentiu  Domenico Giardini  Helen Crowley  Fabrice Cotton  Gottfried Grünthal  Gianluca Valensise  Ronald Arvidsson  Roberto Basili  Mine Betül Demircioglu  Stefan Hiemer  Carlo Meletti  Roger W. Musson  Andrea N. Rovida  Karin Sesetyan  Massimiliano Stucchi  The SHARE Consortium 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2015,13(12):3553-3596

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Galaxies and Star Clusters – From the Computer to the Real World     

Rainer Spurzem  Holger Baumgardt  Peter Berczik  Christian Boily  Stefan Deiters  Pavel Kroupa  Panos Patsis 《Astronomische Nachrichten》2005,326(7):589-605

G01 New evidence for a connection between massive black holes and ULX G02 Long‐Term Evolution of Massive Black Hole Binaries G03 NBODY Meets Stellar Population Synthesis G04 N‐body modelling of real globular star clusters G05 Fokker‐Planck rotating models of globular clusters with black hole G06 Observational Manifestation of chaos in spiral galaxies: quantitative analysis and qualitative explanation G07 GRAPE Clusters: Beyond the Million‐Body Problem G08 Orbital decay of star clusters and Massive Black Holes in cuspy galactic nuclei G09 An Edge‐on Disk Galaxy Catalog G10 Complexes of open clusters in the Solar neighborhood G11 Search for and investigation of new stellar clusters using the data from huge stellar catalogues G12 Computing 2D images of 3D galactic disk models G13 Outer Pseudoring in the Galaxy G14 Where are tidal‐dwarf galaxies? G15 Ultra compact dwarf galaxies in nearby clusters G16 Impact of an Accretion Disk on the Structure of a stellar cluster in active galactic nuclei G17 Order and Chaos in the edge‐on profiles of disk galaxies G18 On the stability of OB‐star configurations in the Orion Nebula cluster G19 Older stars captured in young star clusters by cloud collapse G20 General features of the population of open clusters within 1 kpc from the Sun G21 Unstable modes in thin stellar disks G22 From Newton to Einstein – Dynamics of N‐body systems G23 On the relation between the maximum stellar mass and the star cluster mass  相似文献   

The Representation of Tropospheric Water Vapor Over Low-Latitude Oceans in (Re-)analysis: Errors,Impacts, and the Ability to Exploit Current and Prospective Observations     

Robert Pincus  Anton Beljaars  Stefan A. Buehler  Gottfried Kirchengast  Florian Ladstaedter  Jeffrey S. Whitaker 《Surveys in Geophysics》2017,38(6):1399-1423

This paper addresses the representation of lower tropospheric water vapor in the meteorological analyses—fully detailed estimates of atmospheric state—providing the wide temporal and spatial coverage used in many process studies. Analyses are produced in a cycle combining short forecasts from initial conditions with data assimilation that optimally estimates the state of the atmosphere from the previous forecasts and new observations, providing initial conditions for the next set of forecasts. Estimates of water vapor are among the less certain aspects of the state because the quantity poses special challenges for data assimilation while being particularly sensitive to the details of model parameterizations. Over remote tropical oceans observations of water vapor come from two sources: passive observations at microwave or infrared wavelengths that provide relatively strong constraints over large areas on column-integrated moisture but relatively coarse vertical resolution, and occultations of Global Positioning System provide much higher accuracy and vertical resolution but are relatively spatially coarse. Over low-latitude oceans, experiences with two systems suggest that current analyses reproduce much of the large-scale variability in integrated water vapor but have systematic errors in the representation of the boundary layer with compensating errors in the free troposphere; these errors introduce errors of order 10% in radiative heating rates through the free troposphere. New observations, such as might be obtained by future observing systems, improve the estimates of water vapor but this improvement is lost relatively quickly, suggesting that exploiting better observations will require targeted improvements to global forecast models.  相似文献   

Calculation of the transport coefficients of the nuclear pasta phase     

Rana Nandi  Stefan Schramm 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》2018,39(4):40

We calculate the transport coefficients of low-density nuclear matter, especially the nuclear pasta phase, using quantum molecular dynamics simulations. The shear viscosity as well as the thermal and electrical conductivities are determined by calculating the static structure factor of protons for all relevant density, temperature and proton fractions, using simulation data. It is found that all the transport coefficients have similar orders of magnitude as found earlier without considering the pasta phase. Our results are thus in contrast to the common belief that the pasta layer is highly resistive and therefore have important astrophysical consequences.  相似文献   

Urbanization between compactness and dispersion: designing a spatial model for measuring 2D binary settlement landscape configurations     

Hannes Taubenböck  Michael Wurm  Christian Geiß  Stefan Dech  Stefan Siedentop 《International Journal of Digital Earth》2019,12(6):679-698

Measuring spatial patterns is a crucial task in spatial sciences. Multiple indicators have been developed to measure patterns in a quantitative manner. However, most comparative studies rely on relative comparisons, limiting their explanatory power to specific case studies. Motivated by advancements in earth observation providing unprecedented resolutions of settlement patterns, this paper suggests a measurement technique for spatial patterns to overcome the limits of relative comparisons. We design a model spanning a feature space based on two metrics – largest patch index and number of patches. The feature space is defined as ‘dispersion index’ and covers the entire spectrum of possible two-dimensional binary (settlement) patterns. The model configuration allows for an unambiguous ranking of each possible pattern with respect to spatial dispersion. As spatial resolutions of input data as well as selected areas of interest influence measurement results, we test dependencies within the model. Beyond, common other spatial metrics are selected for testing whether they allow unambiguous rankings. For scenarios, we apply the model to artificially generated patterns representing all possible configurations as well as to real-world settlement classifications differing in growth dynamics and patterns.  相似文献   

53Mn and 60Fe in iron meteorites—New data,model calculations     

Ingo Leya  Jean‐Christophe David  Thomas Faestermann  Michaela Froehlich  Niko Kivel  Dominik Koll  Gunther Korschinek  Sarah McIntyre  Silke Merchel  Stefan Pavetich  Georg Rugel  Dorothea Schumann  Thomas Smith  Anton Wallner 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2020,55(4):818-831

We measured specific activities of the long‐lived cosmogenic radionuclides ⁶⁰Fe in 28 iron meteorites and ⁵³Mn in 41 iron meteorites. Accelerator mass spectrometry was applied at the 14 MV Heavy Ion Accelerator Facility at ANU Canberra for all samples except for two which were measured at the Maier‐Leibnitz Laboratory, Munich. For the large iron meteorite Twannberg (IIG), we measured six samples for ⁵³Mn. This work doubles the number of existing individual ⁶⁰Fe data and quadruples the number of iron meteorites studied for ⁶⁰Fe. We also significantly extended the entire ⁵³Mn database for iron meteorites. The ⁵³Mn data for the iron meteorite Twannberg vary by more than a factor of 30, indicating a significant shielding dependency. In addition, we performed new model calculations for the production of ⁶⁰Fe and ⁵³Mn in iron meteorites. While the new model is based on the same particle spectra as the earlier model, we no longer use experimental cross sections but instead use cross sections that were calculated using the latest version of the nuclear model code INCL. The new model predictions differ substantially from results obtained with the previous model. Predictions for the ⁶⁰Fe activity concentrations are about a factor of 2 higher, for ⁵³Mn, they are ~30% lower, compared to the earlier model, which gives now a better agreement with the experimental data.  相似文献   

Exhumed hydrocarbon traps in East Greenland: A comment on Andrews et al. (2020)     

Flemming G. Christiansen  Jørgen A. Bojesen-Koefoed  Stefan Piasecki  Lars Stemmerik  Jens Therkelsen 《Basin Research》2020,32(5):1234-1238

In a recent study, Andrews et al. (2020) describe “exhumed hydrocarbon traps” in North-East Greenland. The basic premise for their interpretation is that dark-coloured, pyrobitumen-bearing sandstones represent the remnants of once buried petroleum reservoirs. We do not see the necessary field or analytical evidence to support a model that has strong implications for resource evaluations. Andrews et al. (2020) have not considered previous published information on diagenetic and thermal maturity history of the area. A more probable model would include the intrusion of dykes and sills into a sedimentary succession with immature petroleum source rocks and reservoir-quality sandstones. The heating caused rapid generation of petroleum components and local hydrothermal circulation systems in adjacent porous sandstones. Any petroleum was rapidly destroyed leaving essentially only black grain-coatings and minor particles of pyrobitumen—essentially in one short-lived continuous process. The existence of new plays in the North Atlantic as proposed by Andrews et al. (2020) is in our opinion not substantiated as this requires analytical data from unaltered oils from the less mature parts of the sedimentary succession and considerations of thermal maturity and basin evolution. To draw conclusions that have a serious impact on resource evaluations based on the dark colouration of sandstones without comprehensive analytical data is, in our opinion, ill advised.  相似文献   

A video-based technique for mapping intertidal beach bathymetry   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Stefan G. J. Aarninkhof  Ian L. Turner  Thomas D. T. Dronkers  Mark Caljouw  Leann Nipius 《Coastal Engineering》2003,49(4):275

Measuring the location of the shoreline and monitoring foreshore changes through time are core tasks carried out by coastal engineers for a wide range of research, monitoring and design applications. With the advent of digital imaging technology, shore-based video systems provide continuous and automated data collection, encompassing a much greater range of time and spatial scales than were previously possible using field survey methods.A new video-based technique is presented that utilises full-colour image information, which overcomes problems associated with previous grey-scale methods, which work well at steep (reflective) sites, but are less successful at flatter (dissipative) sites. Identification of the shoreline feature is achieved by the automated clustering of sub-aqueous and sub-aerial pixels in ‘Hue–Saturation–Value’ (HSV) colour space, and applying an objective discriminator function to define their boundary (i.e., ‘shoreline’) within a time-series of consecutive geo-referenced images. The elevation corresponding to the detected shoreline features is calculated on the basis of concurrent tide and wave information, which is incorporated in a model that combines the effects of wave set-up and swash, at both incident and infragravity frequencies.Validation of the technique is achieved by comparison with DGPS survey results, to assess the accuracy of the detection and elevation methods both separately and together. The uncertainties associated with the two sub-components of the model tend to compensate for each other. The mean difference between image-based and surveyed shoreline elevations was less than 15 cm along 85% of the 2-km study region, which corresponded to an horizontal offset of 6 m. The application of the intertidal bathymetry mapping technique in support of CZM objectives is briefly illustrated at two sites in The Netherlands and Australia.  相似文献   

Improved high-resolution global and regionalized isoscapes of δ18O, δ2H and d-excess in precipitation     

Stefan Terzer-Wassmuth  Leonard I. Wassenaar  Jeffrey M. Welker  Luis J. Araguás-Araguás 《水文研究》2021,35(6):e14254

Patterns of δ¹⁸O and δ²H in Earth's precipitation provide essential scientific data for use in hydrological, climatological, ecological and forensic research. Insufficient global spatial data coverage promulgated the use of gridded datasets employing geostatistical techniques (isoscapes) for spatiotemporally coherent isotope predictions. Cluster-based isoscape regionalization combines the advantages of local or regional prediction calibrations into a global framework. Here we present a revision of a Regionalized Cluster-Based Water Isotope Prediction model (RCWIP2) incorporating new isotope data having extensive spatial coverage and a wider array of predictor variables combined with high-resolution gridded climatic data. We introduced coupling of δ¹⁸O and δ²H (e.g., d-excess constrained) in the model predictions to prevent runaway isoscapes when each isotope is modelled separately and cross-checked observed versus modelled d-excess values. We improved model error quantification by adopting full uncertainty propagation in all calculations. RCWIP2 improved the RMSE over previous isoscape models by ca. 0.3 ‰ for δ¹⁸O and 2.5 ‰ for δ²H with an uncertainty <1.0 ‰ for δ¹⁸O and < 8 ‰ for δ²H for most regions of the world. The determination of the relative importance of each predictor variable in each ecoclimatic zone is a new approach to identify previously unrecognized climatic drivers on mean annual precipitation δ¹⁸O and δ²H. The improved RCWIP2 isoscape grids and maps (season, monthly, annual, regional) are available for download at https://isotopehydrologynetwork.iaea.org .  相似文献   

Hyper‐resolution global hydrological modelling: what is next?          下载免费PDF全文

Marc F. P. Bierkens  Victoria A. Bell  Peter Burek  Nathaniel Chaney  Laura E. Condon  Cédric H. David  Ad de Roo  Petra Döll  Niels Drost  James S. Famiglietti  Martina Flörke  David J. Gochis  Paul Houser  Rolf Hut  Jessica Keune  Stefan Kollet  Reed M. Maxwell  John T. Reager  Luis Samaniego  Edward Sudicky  Edwin H. Sutanudjaja  Nick van de Giesen  Hessel Winsemius  Eric F. Wood 《水文研究》2015,29(2):310-320

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