A sidelight on long range forecasting     

Victor P. Starr 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1963,56(1):159-162

Summary A gradually cumulative error due to the use of the hydrostatic approximation is examined through consideration of a simple mathematical model taken from the classical theory of gravity waves. Two cases are chosen which differ solely in the circumstance that in one the hydrostatic assumption is made while in the other it is not. A large divergence of the results present in the later stages is then to be referred to the neglect of terms contained in the exact equation of motion for the vertical direction in one of the solutions. The inference is drawn that comparable phenomena might arise in the integration of the atmospheric equations over long time periods.  相似文献   

Tide-induced residual currents with Stokes and Ekman layers over an undulatory sea floor     

Hidekazu Yasuda  J. T. F. Zimmerman 《Journal of Oceanography》1986,42(4):276-293

Residual currents induced by the tidal current flowing over a rotating ridge, which is infinitely elongated in they-direction and the width of which is so large that the nonlinear effect is weak enough, have been analysed theoretically. The currents are restrained by Stokes and Ekman layers which are given through a constant viscosity. This study shows that the direction of the cross-isobath residual current just above the sea floor varies with the value off ^*(=Coriolis parameter/tide frequency), that the along-isobath residual current forms a clockwise circulation around the rotating ridge and that it is stronger asf ^* grows larger.  相似文献   

西太平洋暖池研究的新进展   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

张立峰  许建平  何金海 《海洋科学进展》2006,24(1):108-116

对近几年国内外有关热带西太平洋暖池的现场观测、暖池物理机制、暖池与ENSO的关系、暖池异常变化对气候的影响等方面的最新研究进展作了回顾;同时,对目前暖池研究中存在的几个问题进行了简要的讨论。  相似文献   

太平洋海温异常对南海西南季风建立早晚的影响——数值模拟研究   总被引：5，自引：2，他引：5       下载免费PDF全文

梁建茵  吴尚森 《海洋学报》2003,25(1):28-41

利用9层15波全球大气环流谱模式研究了太平洋海温异常对南海西南季风建立早晚的影响作用.结果表明:西-中太平洋海温异常数值试验结果最能反映出南海西南季风爆发早、晚年4～5月份大气环流的差异特征.数值试验结果显示:西太平洋海温正(负)异常可导致西太平洋副高减弱(加强);中太平洋海温正(负)异常主要使得中太平洋上空的洋中槽减弱(加深);东太平洋海温正(负)异常可造成东太平洋赤道两侧高层环流产生反气旋性(气旋性)变化,孟加拉湾-南海-西太平洋热带地区出现东风(西风)异常,西太副高加强(减弱).可见西太平洋海温异常和东太平洋海温异常都可以对副高强弱变化产生明显影响,从而对南海西南季风建立早晚产生影响,只不过西太平洋海温异常的影响作用更为显著.西太平洋正(负)海温异常与中太平洋负(正)海温异常经常是同时出现的,其激发出的与向东传的Kelvin波和向西传的行星波相联系的环流异常为南海季风建立早(晚)提供有利的条件,因而这一海温分布型是影响南海西南季风建立早晚的重要影响因子.  相似文献   

三维斜压模式对冬季南海环流的数值计算   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

游小宝  李荣凤  张铭  曾庆存 《海洋学报》2001,23(6):1-10

用一个三维、自由表面、原始方程模式对南海环流进行了计算.计算结果表明:黑潮在巴士海峡以西呈一反气旋弯曲流动路径,有一相对高温高盐的水舌从巴士海峡伸入南海,表明有部分黑潮水侵入南海.冬季南海的一些观测事实在模式结果里得到了很好的反映,像冬季逆风向东北方向流动的“南海暖流”和一些中尺度涡旋.同时还分析了巴士海峡沿120.75°E断面的流速和盐度的垂直结构,并同观测结果进行了比较.根据模式结果,我们还进一步讨论了“南海暖流”的形成和驱动机制.  相似文献   

Modeling of the eddy viscosity by breaking waves     

ZHANG Shuwen  YUAN Yeli  ZHENG Quan''an 《海洋学报(英文版)》2007,26(6):116-123

Breaking wave induced nearsurface turbulence has important consequences for many physical and biochemical processes including water column and nutrients mixing,heat and gases exchange across air-sea interface.The energy loss from wave breaking and the bubble plume penetration depth are estimated.As a consequence,the vertical distribution of the turbulent kinetic energy(TKE),the TKE dissipation rate and the eddy viscosity induced by wave breaking are also provided.It is indicated that model results are found to be consistent with the observational evidence that most TKE generated by wave breaking is lost within a depth of a few meters near the sea surface.High turbulence level with intensities of eddy viscosity induced by breaking is nearly four orders larger than υwl(=κuwz),the value predicted for the wall layer scaling close to the surface,where uw is the friction velocity in water,κ with 0.4 is the von Kármán constant,and z is the water depth,and the strength of the eddy viscosity depends both on wind speed and sea state,and decays rapidly through the depth.This leads to the conclusion that the breaking wave induced vertical mixing is mainly limited to the near surface layer,well above the classical values expected from the similarity theory.Deeper down,however,the effects of wave breaking on the vertical mixing become less important.  相似文献   

The interannual fluctuations of rainfall and temper-ature over China and their correlation with El Nino     

Mo Ruping 《海洋学报(英文版)》1988,7(4):533-541

The analyses of power spectra and correlation coefficients have shown that there exists a distinct quasi-3.5 -year periodicity in the fluctuations of rainfall and temperature over most parts of China, which is closely related to the oscillation of sea surface temperature in the equatorial Pacific. The structures of correlations between El Nino and precipitation and temperature fields are concretely described, and the causes for some striking responses are also explored.  相似文献   

诊断台风异常路径的三层权重控制点方案     

谢玲娟  林丽珊 《海洋预报》1992,9(3):8-16

本方案采用850、700、500hPa三个层次的环境平均流场作控制点法。综合考虑这些层次上的引导气流在不同时、空域中的相对重要性。试验结果表明,其效果比单一取某层作引导为佳。且对用来预测台风的未来24小时路径是否异常具有一定的参考价值。  相似文献   

中国海岸风成沙ESR测年的研究   总被引：9，自引：0，他引：9  

业渝光  刁少波  和杰  高钧成 《海洋与湖沼》1995,26(5):488-493

介绍ＥＳＲ测年的基本原理，并讨论风成沙Ｇｅ心测年的可行性、风成沙Ｅ＇心的特征、测年误差及可靠性等问题。１９９２－１９９３年在渤、黄、东、南海沿岸采集的１００余个风成沙样品ＥＳＲ测年实验表明，绝大部分海岸风成沙的年龄为１－７万年。  相似文献   

热带外太平洋通过海洋过程对热带太平洋的影响   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

赵珊珊  杨修群  朱益民  容新尧 《海洋学报》2006,28(3):29-40

利用MOM2海洋环流模式分别研究了年际和年代际尺度上热带外太平洋通过海洋过程对热带太平洋的影响.利用1945~1993年COADS资料的表面通量强迫海洋模式,积分46 a作为模式控制试验.取热带外太平洋海表面强迫为气候值做敏感性试验.将控制试验结果减去敏感性结果就可以得到热带外太平洋通过海洋过程对热带太平洋的影响.结果表明,年际尺度上,主要是海洋波动过程起作用,但总的海洋过程的影响较小.年代际尺度上,主要是副热带环流输送起作用,其中包括平均环流输送的温度异常以及异常环流输送的平均温度,并且后者贡献相对较大.年际和年代际尺度上,热带太平洋的温度异常主要发生在密度跃层附近.研究发现热带外南太平洋对热带和热带外太平洋之间的水量交换有影响,而热带外北太平洋的影响较弱.  相似文献