1999年11月29日辽宁省岫岩—海城5.6级地震震害统计和损失评估     

廖旭  高常波 《东北地震研究》2000,16(2):38-44

在岫岩－海城５．６级地震中,震中区遭受到ＶＩＩ度地震破坏,同时震区又遭受多次强余震,总直接经济损失８４８８．８万元,１６２９户房屋发生严重破坏,５７３４人家可归,由于震前成功预报,无人员伤亡发生。本次地震震区为农村,其中农村砖房大１我数为基本完好和轻微破坏,而大量的石砌房层则破坏较重,在重建粗园中应采取必要的抗震措施。  相似文献   

SAR系统不确定性可视化表达及其应用   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

葛咏 王劲峰梁怡  王贞松 《地球信息科学学报》2003,5(3):86-90

SAR在成像过程中由于受到外界环境干扰和机载本身的不稳定等不确定因素的影响 ,直接影响 SAR图像的使用。因此 ,对这些不确定因素分析是十分重要的。目前 ,对于 SAR不确定性研究主要是基于统计方法 ,但这种方法不便于揭示 SAR不确定性产生的机理 ,以及不确定性可视化表达。本文首先从机理的角度讨论了 SAR成像系统误差传递函数 ,在确定了 SAR系统误差传递函数之后 ,着重讨论了在误差传递函数基础上利用虚拟现实技术和系统仿真技术进行 SAR成像系统不确定可视化研究 ,最后给出可视化表达的应用实例。  相似文献   

近年来中国统计气象学的新进展   总被引：17，自引：5，他引：17  

周家斌  黄嘉佑 《气象学报》1997,55(3):297-305

近年来，统计气象学在中国取得了长足的进展。其中主要有：将熵原理用于气象学，从而建立了熵气象学；引进了忆及过去时次资料的记忆函数，导出了大气运动的自忆性方程；将模糊数学引入气象学；将非线性动力学用于气候学研究，提出了一系列相空间预报模式；将车贝雪夫多项式推广到不规则格点，提出了一种新的时间序列预报的迭代算法；应用子波分析方法进行气候学研究；将Ｌｏｇｉｓｔｉｃ判别分析用于气象预报，研究了二次判别及逐步判别等问题；将中国科学家提出的灰色系统理论和多层递阶方法引入气象预报。此外，还引进了复经验正交分解、奇异值分解、投影追踪、主振荡模态分析等较新的统计学方法。这些方法都已在气象业务预报中发挥了作用  相似文献   

Using GIS and statistics to study influences of geology on probability features of surface soil geochemistry in Northern Ireland     

Crawford Jordan  Chaosheng Zhang  Alex Higgins 《Journal of Geochemical Exploration》2007

The probability features of non-normality and non-lognormality are widely observed in geochemistry due to the influences of multiple factors that are difficult to quantify and model. In Northern Ireland, the pseudo-total concentrations of 14 elements (Ca, Cd, Co, Cr, Cu, Fe, K, Mg, Mn, Na, Ni, P, Pb and Zn) from 6138 topsoils were measured, and GIS mapping showed that the spatial distribution of these data were in line with the spatial distribution of geology in the area. Investigations into the influences of geology on the concentration data and their probability features were carried out using GIS and statistics in this study. The whole raw data sets for each element were positively skewed and none of them followed either normal or lognormal distributions. Logarithmic transformation was found to have “over-transformed” most of the data sets, changing their skewness from positive to negative values. When soil samples were classified by rock type using a GIS overlay function, obvious differences were observed in the chemical concentrations of soils derived from different rock types. Soils in basalt areas displayed the highest concentrations for most elements under study (Ca, Co, Cr, Cu, Fe, Mg, Mn, Na, Ni, P and Zn) but the lowest concentrations for K, while the highest levels for Cd and Pb occurred in the shale areas. Classifying soils by rock type produced more normally distributed data sets, especially for the igneous rock areas. To restrain the influence of soil type and land cover, samples from both gleys and pastures were extracted via a GIS and it was found the data sets then showed generally greater tendencies towards normality. However, many of the data sets would still not pass a test for normality unless the sample size was small (e.g. of the order of a couple of hundreds). Geology, soil type, land cover and sample size all played important roles in determining soil chemical concentrations and their probability features. However, the influences from other factors were still evident. Attempts made in this study show that it remains a challenging task in geochemistry to separate all the factors and to model their influence at the regional scale.  相似文献   

STATISTICAL CHARACTERISTICS ON TROPICAL CYCLONES LANDFALL IN CHINA     

李英  陈联寿  张胜军  雷小途 《热带气象学报(英文版)》2006,12(2):150-158

With the data from the Tropical Cyclone Yearbooks between 1970 and 2001, statistical analyses were performed to study the climatic features of landfall TCs (noted as TCs hereafter) in China with particular attention focused on landfall frequency, locations, sustaining, decaying, transition, intensification and dissipation etc. The results indicate that the sustaining periods of TC over land are quite different for different landfall spots, and increased from Guangxi to Zhejiang. The most obvious decreasing of TC intensity occurs mainly within 12 hours after landfall. The stronger a TC is，the more it decays. The areas over which TCs are dissipated can be in Heilongjiang, the northernmost, and Yunnan, the westernmost. Besides, Guangxi is an area with high dissipating rate and subject to TC dissipation as compared with the other coastal regions.  相似文献   

Using multiple logistic regression and GIS technology to predict landslide hazard in northeast Kansas, USA   总被引：60，自引：0，他引：60  

Gregory C. Ohlmacher  John C. Davis 《Engineering Geology》2003,69(3-4):331-343

Landslides in the hilly terrain along the Kansas and Missouri rivers in northeastern Kansas have caused millions of dollars in property damage during the last decade. To address this problem, a statistical method called multiple logistic regression has been used to create a landslide-hazard map for Atchison, Kansas, and surrounding areas. Data included digitized geology, slopes, and landslides, manipulated using ArcView GIS. Logistic regression relates predictor variables to the occurrence or nonoccurrence of landslides within geographic cells and uses the relationship to produce a map showing the probability of future landslides, given local slopes and geologic units. Results indicated that slope is the most important variable for estimating landslide hazard in the study area. Geologic units consisting mostly of shale, siltstone, and sandstone were most susceptible to landslides. Soil type and aspect ratio were considered but excluded from the final analysis because these variables did not significantly add to the predictive power of the logistic regression. Soil types were highly correlated with the geologic units, and no significant relationships existed between landslides and slope aspect.  相似文献   

L1-norm pre-analysis measures for geodetic networks     

J. Marshall 《Journal of Geodesy》2002,76(6-7):334-344

 Several pre-analysis measures which help to expose the behavior of L ₁ -norm minimization solutions are described. The pre-analysis measures are primarily based on familiar elements of the linear programming solution to L ₁-norm minimization, such as slack variables and the reduced-cost vector. By examining certain elements of the linear programming solution in a probabilistic light, it is possible to derive the cumulative distribution function (CDF) associated with univariate L ₁-norm residuals. Unlike traditional least squares (LS) residual CDFs, it is found that L ₁-norm residual CDFs fail to follow the normal distribution in general, and instead are characterized by both discrete and continuous (i.e. piecewise) segments. It is also found that an L ₁ equivalent to LS redundancy numbers exists and that these L ₁ equivalents are a byproduct of the univariate L ₁ univariate residual CDF. Probing deeper into the linear programming solution, it is found that certain combinations of observations which are capable of tolerating large-magnitude gross errors can be predicted by comprehensively tabulating the signs of slack variables associated with the L ₁ residuals. The developed techniques are illustrated on a two-dimensional trilateration network. Received: 6 July 2001 / Accepted: 21 February 2002  相似文献   

VARIATION OF THE β COEFFICIENT IN THE RELAXED EDDY ACCUMULATION METHOD     

R. Milne  I. J. Beverland  K. Hargreaves  J. B. Moncrieff 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1999,93(2):211-225

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Comments on FAO's State of Fisheries and Aquaculture, or ‘SOFIA 2010’     

Daniel Pauly  Rainer Froese 《Marine Policy》2012,36(3):746-752

Comments are provided on a few sections of the FAO's 2010 edition of the bi-annual ‘State of the World's Fisheries and Aquaculture’ (SOFIA), i.e., its characterization of the present as a period of ‘stability’, the peculiar role of China's fisheries statistics, the under-reporting of much of the small-scale fisheries catch from developing countries as a key aspect of the deteriorating quality of statistical data submitted to the FAO by member countries, and some other minor topics (but not aquaculture). Overall, this SOFIA report, like its predecessors, provides an excellent starting point for debates about the status of global fisheries, rather than settling them, and a few vignettes are presented, which illustrate this. Moreover, this debate should be broader, e.g., involve more university- and civil society-based researchers, to provide the wide variety of views and analyses required to strengthen FAO in its laudable mission of providing dependable information on the state of global fisheries.  相似文献   

Temporal and Spatial Characteristics of Mesoscale Eddies in the Northern South China Sea: Statistics Analysis Based on Altimeter Data     

Meng Wang  Yanwei Zhang  Zhifei Liu  Jiawang Wu 《地球科学进展》2019,34(10):1069-1080

Mesoscale eddies are active and energetic in the South China Sea (SCS), and play an important role in regulating the multi-scale circulation and mass transportation in the region, especially for those long-lived strong eddies. Using AVISO altimeter data and outermost closed contour sea level anomaly method, this study identified and tracked mesoscale eddies in the northern SCS during 2011-2018, and focused on the temporal and spatial characteristics of mesoscale eddies in recent years. Similarly to previous results in this region, statistical results show that about 8.6 anticyclonic eddies and 4.5 cyclonic eddies (lifetime > 28 days) were born per year. Among them, about 1/3 of the total number are strong eddies (lifetime > 45 days), showing relatively strong dynamic characteristics, such as strong Eddy Kinetic Energy (EKE) and highly nonlinear feature. Statistics also show significant seasonal variability in mesoscale eddies’ birth places, trajectories and distribution of frequency of occurrence. Specifically, anticyclonic eddies mainly form at the north part of Luzon Strait between autumn and winter, and then move southwestward along isobaths. During this period, the largest value of the frequency of occurrence is over 30%. In summer, most of them form in the west off Luzon Island, and then move westward paralleling to latitude lines. In contrast, cyclonic mainly form in the west off Luzon Strait, and then move westward in winter and spring. During this period, the largest value is about 26%. In addition, observation finds that the strong mesoscale eddy pair could generate off the southwest of Taiwan Island. Analysis of the Kuroshio SCS Index (KSI) implies that loop current caused by Kuroshio intrusion is the most important mechanism for the formation of eddy pair.  相似文献