由台湾海峡7．3级地震分析中国地震大形势     

刁守中 《高原地震》1995,(2)

本文论述了１９９４年９月１６日台湾海峡７．３级地震对中国地震大趋势所产生的可能影响。作者认为，这次地震应属于中国大陆板内地震，它可能标志着中国大陆及边邻地区７级以上地震从本世纪以来第五活动期（起始于１９８８年）的相对平静时段转入活跃时段并可能步入高潮。它打破了近十年来中国大陆７级地震只分布于青藏块体的格局，但并不意味着本期主体活动区（青藏块体及边邻）的改变；同时，这次地震标志着东南沿海地区进入新的地震活跃幕；台湾地区７级地震活动也将增强。  相似文献   

新疆及其邻区强震活动与趋势预测     

高国英  韩月鹏 《内陆地震》1995,9(4):357-362

对１８８０￣１９９３年新疆及邻区７级以上强震活动特征进行了分析讨论，认为研究时段内７级以上强震活动有明显的活跃与平静交替现象。研究时段内的强震活动经历了５个轮回，每个轮回包括一个平静幕和一个活动幕，每个活动幕都有相对的主体活动区，主体活动区和７级以上单个强震都具有沿西昆仑－南天山－北天山－阿尔泰地震带往返迁移的特征。各地震带６级以上地震活动也具有明显的由西南向北东整体迁移的特征，并且这种时、空、强  相似文献   

山东及其沿海地区强震（M≥6）发生的地质构造背景   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

晁洪太  李家灵 《地震研究》1995,18(2):188-196

本文总结了山东及其沿海地区Ｍ≥６级地震发生的地质构造背景，发现山东及其沿海地区强震活动很少发生在新构造单元内部，而是主要集中于新构造单元边界上，活动断裂对强震具明显的控震作用，不同活动时代，不同切割深度断裂，其控震能力不同，活动断裂交汇处是发生强震较多的地方。  相似文献   

地震活动性的细胞自动机模型   总被引：8，自引：0，他引：8       下载免费PDF全文

刘桂萍  石耀霖  马丽 《地震工程学报》1995,17(2):20-25

本文在二维平面设计了一个模拟地震活动性的细胞自动机模型，分析了模拟地震离列的活动性，并探讨了强震前场兆和源兆的物理机制，结果表明，模型的地震序列很好地反映了实际地震的丛集特性、幂律关系和空间转移概率的稳定性等特点。  相似文献   

利用地震活动图像研究青海强震孕育演化特征     

陈玉华  李静  马晓兰 《高原地震》2005,17(4):1-9

青海地区强震震例研究表明，地震活动图像演化过程对强震的孕育有较好的预示作用。研究了青海强震孕育不同阶段地震活动呈现出的几种清晰稳定的演化图像，对未来强震的时、空、强预测均有一定的指示作用。  相似文献   

Ground motion characterization and seismic hazard assessment in Spain: context,problems and recent developments     

Belén Benito  Jorge M. Gaspar-Escribano 《Journal of Seismology》2007,11(4):433-452

This article points out some particular features conditioning seismic hazard assessments (SHA) in Spain, a region with low–moderate seismicity. Although sized earthquakes occurred in the past, as evidenced by historical documents and neotectonic studies, no large events occurred during the last decades. The absence of strong motion records corresponding to earthquakes with magnitude larger than 5.5 is an important obstacle for the development of ground motion models constrained by local data, with the consequent difficulty in SHA studies. In this paper, some recent developments aiming at providing solutions to these difficulties are presented. Specifically, a strong motion databank containing a massive collection of accelerograms and response spectra from different configurations source-path-site corresponding to earthquakes all over the world is introduced, together with software utilities for its management. A first application of this databank is the development of specific ground motion models for Spain and for the Mediterranean region that predict peak ground accelerations as a function of several definitions of magnitude, distance and soil class. The predictive power of these ground motion models is tested by contrasting their estimates with recently recorded ground motions. The comparison between our ground-motion models with others proposed in the literature for other areas reveals a regular overestimation of the expected ground motions at Spanish sites by the non-local models. Consequently, SHA studies based in external models may overestimate the predicted hazard at the Iberian sites. In the last part of the paper a method for checking whether the response spectra proposed in the Spanish Building Code (NCSE-02) are consistent with actual accelerometric data from recent low magnitude earthquakes is applied. The spectral shapes of the Spanish Building Code NCSE-02 are compared with the response spectral shapes deduced from the available accelerograms by normalising the response spectra with the recorded PGA. It is appreciated that the NCSE-02 spectral shapes are exceeded by a large number of actual spectral shapes for short periods (around 0.2 s), a result to be taken into account in further revisions of the NCSE-02 code. The issues tackled in this work constitute not only an improvement for ground-motion characterisation in Spain, but also provide guidelines of general interest for potential applications in other regions with similar seismicity.  相似文献   

Corresponding Relation Between the Space-time Evolution of Seismic Apparent Strain and the Region of Strong Earthquakes in Yunnan     

Zhang Bin 《中国地震研究》2007,21(3):293-303

On the basis of our predecessors' research,we study the distribution and the space-time evolution characteristics of the seismic apparent strain field in Yunnan since the 1970's using the seismic data of Yunnan and its surrounding areas.The result shows that there is a rather strong corresponding relationship between the anomaly region of seismic apparent strain and strong earthquakes.In the nine earthquakes studied,anomaly areas of seismic apparent strain had appeared before eight earthquakes,including five occurring in the anomaly region and three on the edge.Finally,the investigative result is demonstrated primarily.  相似文献   

强地震附近视电阻率各向异性变化的原因   总被引：21，自引：2，他引：21       下载免费PDF全文

杜学彬  李宁  叶青  马占虎  闫睿 《地球物理学报》2007,50(6):1802-1810

讨论了强地震、孕震晚期阶段、震源区及附近介质的物理变化过程，证明了视电阻率变化最显著的方向与最大加载方向之间的正交关系，建立了真、视电阻率各向异性变化与裂隙率ν、骨架电阻率ρ_o、饱水裂隙电阻率ρ_f的本构关系，解释了视电阻率各向异性变化的原因.研究认为：在强地震孕震晚期阶段，在震源区及附近地壳近地表的较深部，介质微裂隙发育，其走向沿最大主压应力方位优势取向，低阻水充填微裂隙，导电通道连通，引起最大主压应力方向真电阻率变化最显著的真各向异性变化，从而产生垂直主压应力方向视电阻率变化最显著的视各向异性变化，低阻水在其物理过程中起了显著作用.  相似文献   

Inferred ground motions on Guadeloupe during the 2004 Les Saintes earthquake     

John Douglas 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2007,5(3):363-376

Accurate estimates of the ground motions that occurred during damaging earthquakes are a vital part of many aspects of earthquake engineering, such as the study of the size and cause of the uncertainties within earthquake risk assessments. This article compares a number of methods to estimate the ground shaking that occurred on Guadeloupe (French Antilles) during the 21st November 2004 (M _w 6.3) Les Saintes earthquake, with the aim of providing more accurate shaking estimates for the investigation of the sources of uncertainties within loss evaluations, based on damage data from this event. The various techniques make differing use of the available ground-motion recordings of this earthquake and by consequence the estimates obtained by the different approaches are associated with differing uncertainties. Ground motions on the French Antilles are affected by strong local site effects, which have been extensively investigated in previous studies. In this article, use is made of these studies in order to improve the shaking estimates. It is shown that the simple methods neglecting the spatial correlation of earthquake shaking lead to uncertainties similar to those predicted by empirical ground-motion models and that these are uniform across the whole of Guadeloupe. In contrast, methods (such as the ShakeMap approach) that take account of the spatial correlation in motions demonstrate that shaking within roughly 10 km of a recording station (covering a significant portion of the investigated area) can be defined with reasonable accuracy but that motions at more distant points are not well constrained.  相似文献   

Hybrid k-squared source model for strong ground motion simulations: Introduction     

František Gallovi? 《Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors》2007,160(1):34-50

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