土工结构物的稳定性数值分析   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

罗晓辉  邹金林 《岩土力学》2001,22(2):148-151

结构性土体的剪切破坏实质是土的结构损伤导致其力学性质劣化的最终形式，基于应变等效原理，借助非线弹性Duncan-Chang模型建立了土体宏观损伤演化方程，并以三轴试验予以分析，定义土工结构物的安全系数为极限损伤与承载能限状态下的最大损伤变量之比，提出相应的滑动面分析方法，并给出了应用算例。  相似文献   

新一代天气雷达     

刘力 《气象》1996,(8)

阐述了双偏振多普勒雷达的理论基础，以ＣＳＵ－ＣＨＩＬＬＳ波段双偏振多普勒天气雷达为例，介绍了双偏振多普勒雷达的系统结构和工作原理。并以雷达测量的数据处理和分析实例说明了双偏振多普勒雷达在气象学中的应用  相似文献   

短期降水预报方法     

欧阳娜加 《黑龙江气象》1996,(1):42-43

为了提高短期预报的质量，在产生总结一些行之有效的基础上，建立了以三要素４８小时变量分型制作２４小时降水短期预报的方法。经过一年的实际使用，效果较好。  相似文献   

多变量状态空间预报法在旬雨量预报中的应用   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

严中伟 《应用气象学报》1996,7(4):443-451

结合单个时间序列构造状态空间进行预报和传统研究中多要素分析的思路，建立一种客观的综合多要素的状态空间预报法，应用于旬雨量预报。结果表明:考虑雨量和气温的多变量状态空间比仅考虑雨量序列具有更好的预报性能——437对值的预报相关提高5%，显示了多变量状态空间预报的可行性和潜力。  相似文献   

利用多级变量分型法作濮阳6～8月份暴雨48h预报     

张明捷  徐巧真 《气象与环境科学》1996,(3):10-10

暴雨是一种中尺度现象.因其尺度小、突发性强、临界参数不明显,增加了预报的难度.形成暴雨的物理条件虽然只有两个.即强烈垂直上升运动和源源不断的水汽输送,但同时具备这两个条件的天气形势和影响系统确实是非常复杂的.常见的预报方法所用资料都是原始资料,而本方法所用二级变量、三级变量(二级变量是当天24h变高减去前一天24h变高;三级变量是当天二级变量减去前一天二级变量)是原始资料加工出来的.前者是各种系统静态和整体的反映,后者是局部的动态反映.由于暴雨是在系统的移动和变  相似文献   

工程地质多变量统计分析中的定量模型与拟合     

阳吉宝 《水文地质工程地质》1992,19(5):5-6

地质环境是一个复杂系统,许多工程地质问题往往受控于多种因素。自70年代以来,随着电子计算机技术的发展,藉助于数理统计分析这一重要而有效的数学方法,来进行工程地质定量评价已成为行之有效的手段。然而,由于在原始素材的获取与处理、自  相似文献   

引入Himawari-8卫星数据协变量的能见度样条插值方法     

赵春雷  杨鹏  张杏敏  赵增保  冯一淳 《气象科技》2020,48(1):52-58

在ANUSPLIN薄盘光滑样条插值中,高相关协变量的选取决定了插值结果的精确性。本文选取2017—2019年大雾和霾能见度较差的天气过程,利用183个能见度观测站点对能见度进行插值,引入Himawari-8卫星的通道数据和DEM数据作为协变量对能见度的插值结果进行改进,并对能见度插值结果进行对比分析。研究表明,引入Himawari-8数据和DEM数据作为协变量的能见度插值结果在精度上有显著提高,尤其对雾区和霾区的边界范围和纹理的反演更为准确,基于Himawari-8卫星数据和气象监测站点的观测数据,使用协变量的方法进行能见度插值可以做为能见度监测网格化的一种有效途径。  相似文献   

多变量线性回归的平均值概念及其在地学研究中的应用     

周卫健  陈茂柏  鲜锋  宋少华  武振坤  A. J. T. Jull  刘卫国 《中国科学D辑》2007,37(10):1392-1399

文章以实例阐述了多变量一元线性回归计算中的“平均值概念”. 作者根据“平均值概念”, 利用珊瑚δ¹⁸O比值重建了最近90年西沙表层海水盐度的变化历史,并运用洛川黄土¹⁰Be记录示踪了最近80 ka全球性的古地磁漂移事件, 从而阐明了“平均值概念”在地学数据分析中的重要意义及应用前景.  相似文献   

Long-Term Trend and Abrupt Change for Major Climate Variables in the Upper Yellow River Basin   总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7  

ZHAO Fangfang  XU Zongxue  HUANG Junxiong 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2007,21(2):204-214

On the basis of the mean air temperature, precipitation, sunshine duration, and pan evaporation from 23 meteorological stations in the upper Yellow River Basin from 1960 to 2001, the feasibility of using hypothesis test techniques to detect the long-term trend for major climate variables has been investigated. Parametric tests are limited by the assumptions such as the normality and constant variance of the error terms. Nonparametric tests have not these additional assumptions and are better adapted to the trend test for hydro-meteorological time series. The possible trends of annual and monthly climatic time series are detected by using a non-parametric method and the abrupt changes have been examined in terms of 5-yr moving averaged seasonal and annual series by using moving T-test (MTT) method, Yamamoto method, and Mann-Kendall method. The results show that the annual mean temperature has increased by 0.8℃in the upper Yellow River Basin during the past 42 years. The warmest center was located in the northern part of the basin. The nonlinear tendency for annual precipitation was negative during the same period. The declining center for annual precipitation was located in the eastern part and the center of the basin. The variation of annual precipitation in the upper Yellow River Basin during the past 42 years exhibited an increasing tendency from 1972 to 1989 and a decreasing tendency from 1990 to 2001. The nonlinear tendencies for annual sunshine duration and pan evaporation were also negative. They have decreased by 125.6 h and 161.3 mm during the past 42 years, respectively. The test for abrupt changes by using MTT method shows that an abrupt wanning occurred in the late 1980s. An abrupt change of the annual mean precipitation occurred in the middle 1980s and an abrupt change of the mean sunshine duration took place in the early 1980s. For the annual mean pan evaporation, two abrupt changes took place in the 1980s and the early 1990s. The test results of the Yamamoto method show that the abrupt changes mostly occurred in the 1980s, and two acute abrupt changes were tested for the spring pan evaporation in 1981 and for the annual mean temperature in 1985. According to the Mann-Kendall method, the abrupt changes of the temperature mainly occurred in the 1990s, the pan evaporation abrupt changes mostly occurred in the 1960s, and the abrupt changes of the sunshine duration primarily took place in the 1980s. Although the results obtained by using three methods are different, it is undoubted that jumps have indeed occurred in the last four decades.  相似文献   

立体视觉的摄影测量理论   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

单杰 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1998,(4)

从引入空间投影变换的概念入手,证明了体积之交比为一般的投影不变量,从而将其作为描述物体的度量。通过对基础矩阵进行合适的分解,导出了确定投影变换模型之齐次坐标和投影坐标的方法。提出了三维直接线性变换用于由物体的投影变换模型进行物体重建。实验分析证实了所述理论和方法的正确性。  相似文献