亚洲中部干旱气候研究综述与机理分析     

戴新刚  汪萍 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2020,14(1):1-12

综述了亚洲中部干旱气候若干研究进展,并对亚洲中纬度干旱区形成机理进行了深入分析。依据大尺度气候分类法将全球陆地划分为季风、地中海及西风带气候区,分别对应于年内季节循环中多雨—高温的同位相、反位相及不相关等类型水—热配置特征。亚洲中部干旱区南北部分属地中海和西风带气候区,其不同水—热位相配置又对应于不同的水汽通量及其散度等特征。研究揭示了欧亚大陆中部干旱区形成于降水不足且季节性水—热配置不当,起因于大气环流平均槽脊季节变化引起的大气动力—热力配置,其根源是海陆热力差异及大地形对大气环流强迫的结果。本文还讨论了季风区与非季风区之间平均气流水汽散度的季节性互动,以及行星尺度上不同气候区之间平均气流与瞬变涡动水汽散度之间的配置等问题。  相似文献   

近60a新疆区域气温降水变化事实分析     

吴秀兰  张太西  王慧  郑先念 《沙漠与绿洲气象(新疆气象)》2020,14(4):27-34

利用1961～2017年新疆89个国家级气象观测站57年气温和降水量整编资料,采用一元线性回归进行趋势倾向估计,用最小二乘法反映气候要素的年平均增加、减少速率及年变化趋势。结果表明：新疆及北疆、天山山区、南疆各分区的年和四季平均气温呈现一致的上升趋势,其中新疆年平均升温速率为0.31℃/10a,90年代后期以后出现了明显增暖。冬季升温趋势最明显,夏季最弱。全疆和各分区的年、四季降水量呈现一致的增多趋势,新疆年降水量增加速率为10.14mm/10a。2010年代以来比1960年代增多了30%。冬季降水量增多趋势最明显。1961～2017年新疆气候变化较明显,总体在向暖湿方向变化。  相似文献   

热带气旋生成指数对印度洋热带气旋频数变化的适用性研究     

刘春雷  冯小丽  顾剑峰  廖晓晴  曹宁  徐建军  徐峰  张宇 《南京气象学院学报》2020,12(4):431-441

本文利用ERA5 1979-2019年逐月大气再分析资料计算南北印度洋热带气旋生成指数，并和IBTrACS观测数据进行比较，探讨用热带气旋生成指数研究南北印度洋热带气旋变化特征的适用性.研究发现热带气旋生成指数能较好地刻画南北印度洋热带气旋的空间分布特征、北印度洋热带气旋个数月变化的双峰结构，以及南印度洋比北印度洋热带气旋发生概率高等特征.最新的IBTrACS v4.0观测资料显示，40年来北印度洋热带气旋每年总生成个数平均每10年增加1.3个，频数的增加主要来源于热带低压和热带风暴，而南印度洋热带气旋每年总生成个数每10年减少2.8个.热带气旋生成指数能很好地描述北印度洋热带气旋生成个数的上升趋势，但对南印度洋热带气旋生成个数趋势的刻画与观测不一致，可能原因需要进一步深入研究.  相似文献   

On the Epochal Variability in the Frequency of Cyclones during the Pre-Onset and Onset Phases of the Monsoon over the North Indian Ocean     

P. P. BABURAJ  S. ABHILASH  K. MOHANKUMAR  A. K. SAHAI 《大气科学进展》2020,37(6):634-651

In this paper we examine the epochal changes in the frequency of cyclones over the North Indian Ocean during the pre-onset and onset phases of the monsoon. We consider three epochs; namely, the early(1955-74), middle(1975-94) and recent(1995-2014) epochs. It is found that the number of cyclones in the Bay of Bengal(BOB) decreases throughout the three epochs. Over the Arabian Sea(ARB), however, there is a decrease in the early epoch, before then reaching a minimum in the middle epoch followed by an increase in the recent epoch, thus exhibiting epochal variability. Dynamic and thermodynamic parameters along with Genesis Potential Index(GPI) are examined to understand the frequency variation in cyclogenesis over the ARB and BOB. Over the ARB, thermodynamic factors such as mid-level moisture,surface latent heat flux and sensible heat flux, and dynamic parameters such as lower-level convergence and upper-level divergence, are favorable during the early and recent epochs but unfavorable during the middle epoch, and these results are found to be consistent with the observed epochal variability in the frequency of cyclogenesis. However, all these influential parameters are found to have decreased over the BOB during the entire 60-year period.  相似文献   

板内地震的成因及全球地震活动的分布特征——内波假说对地震活动的解释     

池顺良  钟荣融  骆鸣津  杨洪之 《大地测量与地球动力学》1997,(3)

按内波假说的观点，讨论了典型板内地震即中国大陆地震的成因机制，认为造成地壳厚度分化的内波运动依靠地壳厚度差异中蕴藏的重力位能，推动地壳物质运动形成各种类型的板内地震。研究了全球地震活动的纬度分布特点以及地震活动与潮汐作用及大陆分布的联系，指出：外动力地质作用强烈的大陆因剥蚀、搬运和沉积以及负载重分布，使大陆地区始终达不到重力均衡，成为地壳运动的活动区，因而陆壳“地震能量发射强度”曲线具有类似于潮汐剪应力纬度分布的两极衰减、南北对称的特性。文中还探讨了深震及和达—贝尼奥夫带的成因，克服了用俯冲板块解释这一现象的困难。  相似文献   

TRANSACTIONAL AND TRANSFORMATIONAL THEORIES IN BEHAVIORAL GEOGRAPHY     

Stuart C. Aitken  Elaine M. Bjorklund 《The Professional geographer》1988,40(1):54-64

Inadequate theoretical conceptualization of person/environment relations has characterized behavioral geography as an eclectic and incoherent subfield. Past work has failed to appreciate the person/environment unity as an entity of change. A transactional/transformational perspective is adopted in this paper as a basis for understanding the relationships between the dynamics of human behavior and the dynamics of the environment. Two conceptual models are developed which provide bases for understanding (i) different modes of person/environment transformation, and (ii) human behavior as it mediates change. The potential relevance of a transactional perspective for empirical research in behavioral geography is noted.  相似文献   

A case study of the improvement of soil moisture initialization in IAP-PSSCA   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

GUO Weidong  WANG Huijun 《大气科学进展》2003,20(5):845-848

A prediction system is employed to investigate the potential use of a soil moisture initialization scheme in seasonal precipitation prediction through a case study of severe floods in 1998. The results show that driving the model with reasonable initial soil moisture distribution is helpful for precipitation prediction,and the initialization scheme is easy to use in operational prediction.  相似文献   

南北地震带应力场演变的数值模拟研究   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4       下载免费PDF全文

曹雪峰  尹京苑  杨立明 《地震工程学报》2003,25(3):221-225,245

应用有限元方法,考虑主要地质构造情况,就粘弹介质状态下南北地震带及其相邻区域的应力场时空演变过程进行了数值模拟研究．计算了10万零10年累积载荷作用下模型的应力场演变,发现在周边板块不断推挤作用下,当整个南北带的应力松弛趋于稳定后,带上应力场的总体扰动大小取决于印度-澳大利亚板块、菲律宾板块和太平洋板块的共同作用．南北地震带上呈现出的“地震南北呼应”现象,就是区域应力场达到平衡态后,整个南北带对外载荷(板块边界力)作用的总体反应．  相似文献   

世界应力图2000版( WSM2000)介绍及使用说明   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

黄玺瑛  魏东平 《地球物理学进展》2003,18(2):234-246

全球地壳应力状态对于地学及相关领域科学研究意义重大,因此测量全球地壳应力并绘制全球地壳应力图一直受到国际地学界广泛关注．1986年开始实施的世界应力图计划(WSMP：World Stress Map Project,以下简称WSM)经各国专家多年合作和努力工作,现已出版了最新WSM2000版本应力数据库．该数据库在WSMl997版基础上新增收录了4216个观测数据,使其总共包含了全球10920个可靠应力测量数据,并绘制了全球应力图和部分地区的局部应力图,为地质地球物理研究提供了准确详细的应力数据．本文结合WSM官方网站的资料从数据库结构、数据来源、数据质量、数据摘要描述等方面介绍WSM2000数据库,以使国内研究迅速利用此宝贵的数据资源.  相似文献   

Dynamic stress concentration and scattering of SH-wave by interface elliptic cylindrical cavity     

陈志刚  刘殿魁  杨在林 《地震工程与工程振动(英文版)》2003,2(2):299-306

In this paper, the dynamic stress concentration and scattering of SH-waves by bi-naterial structures that possess an interface elliptic cavity are investigated. First, by using the complex function method, the Green‘s function is constructed. This yields the solution of the displacement field for an elastic half space with a semi-elliptic canyon impacted by an anti-plane harmonic line source loading on the horizontal surface. Then, the problem is divided into an upper and lower half space along the horizontal interface, regarded as a harmony model. In order to satisfythe integral continuity condition,the unknown anti-plane forces are applied to the interface. The integral equations with unknown forces can be established through the continuity condition, and after transformation, the algebraic equations are solved numerically. Finally, the distribution of the dynamic stress concentration factor (DSCF) around the elliptic cavity is given and the effect of different parameters on DSCF is discussed.  相似文献