河北省粮食生产发展趋势及其地区差异   总被引：8，自引：1，他引：8  

吴凯  袁璋  许越先 《地理科学进展》2003,22(5):499-506

河北省2002年粮食作物播种面积为6484.4千hm2,其中小麦占37.8%,玉米39.7%;粮食、棉花、油料的种植比例为15.9:1.0:1.6。北部四地市粮食播面占全省的23.3%,南部七地市76.7%。2002年粮食总产2435.8万t,为1949年的5.2倍;粮食单产3756kg/hm2,为1949年的5.8倍;人均粮食362kg,为1949年的2.4倍。北部地区粮食总产占全省的17.2%,南部地区82.8%。据回归分析与双向差分建模分析,2010年粮食总产可达3087.5万t,粮食单产4478kg/hm2,人均粮食460kg。据灰关联分析,影响粮食总产的主要因子有:粮食单产、农副产品收购价格总指数(1978年=100)、农业机械总动力、农村用电量、农田化肥施用量与有效灌溉面积等。根据笔者预测,若2010年农业机械总动力达8989万kw,农村用电量240.8亿kwh,农田化肥施用量356.1万t,有效灌面4549.2千hm2,则其粮食单产可达4664kg/hm2;若2010年仍保持2000年小麦播面所占比例(0.387),玉米播面所占比例达0.439,则其单产可达4387kg/hm2。  相似文献   

A Linear Programming Approach to Determine the Normative Composition of Sedimentary Rocks     

V. N. Podkovyrov  O. V. Graunov  R. L. Cullers 《Mathematical Geology》2003,35(4):459-476

The analysis of modal and normative composition of sedimentary rocks is widely used for studying their sources and tectonic settings. The normative calculation of the mineral composition of rocks in this study is formulated as a linear programming problem and is solved by means of the simplex method. This enables both simultaneous and successive subtraction of a set of basic minerals from a rock sample represented by its chemical composition {SiO₂...LOI}. Such an approach provides a more exact calculation of the contribution of basic minerals in the rock. This mathematical approach is used to study two representative sets of sandstones and fine-grained rocks from a Meso- to Neoproterozoic marginal basin of southeastern Siberia (Uchur–Maya region, Yakutia) and a Pennsylvanian-Lower Permian uplifted continental block in Colorado, USA. The calculated normative mineral compositions of the Siberian sandstones are consistent with the observed modal compositions. These sandstones vary from K- Feldspar rich arkoses at the base of the sequence (the Uchur Group, lower Riphean) to quartz arenites or lithic sandstones and wacke in transgressive successions of the middle-upper Riphean. Arkoses and quartz arenites are dominant in Meso- to Neoproterozoic Siberia. These samples represent craton interior uplifted basement and quartzose, recycled orogen provenance of a stable craton in Rodinia. There are higher but consistent discrepancies between the calculated and observed compositions for the Pennsylvanian to Lower-Permian arkoses and quartz arenites (Sangre de Cristo, Belden, and Maroon Formations). The differences between the predicted and observed mineralogy may be due to uncertainties in the modes in the matrix and cement of the sandstones. This normative program should supplement modal calculations and provide better genetic constructions, especially in case of matrix-rich sandstones.  相似文献   

Smoothing and Change Point Detection for Gamma Ray Count Data   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Daniela Leonte  David J. Nott  William T. M. Dunsmuir 《Mathematical Geology》2003,35(2):175-194

Gamma ray detectors are used to measure the natural radioactivity of rocks. For a number of boreholes drilled at a site the gamma ray detector is lowered into each borehole and counts of gamma ray emissions at different depths are recorded as the instrument is gradually raised to ground level. The profile of gamma counts can be informative about the geology at each location. The raw count data are highly variable, and in this paper we describe the use of adaptive smoothing techniques and change point models in order to identify changes in the geology based on the gamma logs. We formulate all our models for the data in the framework of the class of generalized linear models, and describe computational methods for Bayesian inference and model selection for generalized linear models that improve on existing techniques. Application is made to gamma ray data from the Castelreagh Waste Management Centre which served as a hazardous waste disposal facility for the Sydney region between March 1974 and August 1998. Understanding the geological structure of this site is important for further modelling the transport of pollutants beneath the waste disposal area.  相似文献   

声波测试中振子衰减的线列阵模型     

易南概  赵俭斌 《地震工程与工程振动》2003,23(2):81-84

从声波在岩体中传播产生衰减的基本原理出发，建立了声波衰减振子的线列阵模型。该模型是将传播声波路径的岩体分为若干个振子，从波动概念出发，以振动原理作依据建立波动方程．为探讨岩体声波衰减机制提供了一种新的研究方法，把振动和波动直观地联系起来．单一方向上有限点的声波测试技术有可能被多方向的声测技术所代替．该模型的建立，使模态分析和参数识别方法应用到岩体声波测试技术中成为可能。  相似文献   

地震动输入能量衰减规律的研究   总被引：6，自引：1，他引：6  

公茂盛  谢礼立  章文波 《地震工程与工程振动》2003,23(3):15-24

对所收集到的266条强震记录，将其按场地条件分类，计算了不同场地条件、不同延性系数下的“绝对”和“相对”输入能量反应谱，然后利用两步回归法，得出了不同场地条件下地震动“绝对”和“相对”两种输入能量的衰减规律，分析了场地条件、延性系数、震级及距离等参数对地震动能量谱的影响，并对两种输入能量衰减规律进行了比较。  相似文献   

非线性编辑与线性编辑在气象电视节目中的使用     

蓝设华  裴毅 《气象研究与应用》2003,24(3):46-47

通过对非线性编辑与线性编辑两者的概念及其特点、优势的介绍,指出在气象电视节目的后期制作中,怎样恰当地选择使用非线性编辑、线性编辑或二者同时使用。  相似文献   

n维非线性波动方程对应的线性方程Cauchy问题解的一个估计式     

郭华  李月  杨宝俊  刘财  杨冬  张景 《地球物理学进展》2003,18(1):142-145

对于地震波在地球介质中传播的传播非线性而言，在求解n维非线性波动方程Canchy问题时，需要求解其对应的线性波动方程Cauchy问题和建立一些解的估计式。我们已经求得了其对应的线性波动方程Canchy问题解的表达式。在此基础上，本文应用函数空间L^1(R^n)、L^∞（R）的范数，建立了n维非线性波动方程对应的线性波动方程Cancny问题解的一个估计式，为求解n维非线性波动方程莫定了基础。  相似文献   

非线性模型线性近似的容许曲率     

王新洲 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1997,(2)

由于不同的非线性模型具有不同的非线性强度，使得一些非线性模型可以线性近似，而另一些则不能。本文介绍度量非线性强度的方法，提出判断非线性模型能否线性近似的数值标准——容许曲率  相似文献   

线性综合模型用于崩滑体变形预报的研究     

徐进军 《武汉大学学报(信息科学版)》1997,(4)

综合分析和比较了自回归模型和回归模型的特点，提出了采用线性综合模型来预报崩滑体变形的思想，以弥补自回归模型或回归模型预报的不足。实测资料的处理结果表明，综合线性模型具有特别的适用性。  相似文献   

储液罐液—固—土耦合非线性翘离振动分析     

唐友刚  董艳秋 《地震工程与工程振动》1997,17(1):95-101

本文考虑液固耦联及底板几何非线性与土壤弹性，建立了液－固－土耦合的储液罐翘离分析力学模型。算例表明，恢复力矩与翘离角之间的关系可以表达为分段线性，翘离将使地震响应增大。  相似文献