中尺度WRF数值模式系统本地化业务试验   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：3  

段旭  王曼  陈新梅  刘建宇  符睿 《气象》2011,37(1):39-47

利用中尺度WRF数值模式及WRF三维变分同化系统,在对比试验的基础上,选取了适合本地的积云过程、微物理过程和辐射过程的方案组合;选择了NCEP/GFS作为模式的背景场;统计计算了以云南为中心的区域背景误差协方差并替换了三维变分同化系统中原有的背景误差协方差;同时,考虑模式底层高度与地面观测站高度的差异,进行了地面资料地形订正.通过上述试验研究,建立了本地化的中尺度WRF数值预报业务系统,该系统能较好地刻画本地下垫面的动力和热力状况,预报能力有明显改善.  相似文献   

Prediction of episodic acidification in North‐eastern USA: an empirical/mechanistic approach     

T. D. Davies  M. Tranter  P. J. Wigington  K. N. Eshleman  N. E. Peters  J. Van Sickle  D. R. DeWalle  P. S. Murdoch 《水文研究》1999,13(8):1181-1195

Observations from the US Environmental Protection Agency's Episodic Response Project (ERP) in the North‐eastern United States are used to develop an empirical/mechanistic scheme for prediction of the minimum values of acid neutralizing capacity (ANC) during episodes. An acidification episode is defined as a hydrological event during which ANC decreases. The pre‐episode ANC is used to index the antecedent condition, and the stream flow increase reflects how much the relative contributions of sources of waters change during the episode. As much as 92% of the total variation in the minimum ANC in individual catchments can be explained (with levels of explanation >70% for nine of the 13 streams) by a multiple linear regression model that includes pre‐episode ANC and change in discharge as independent variables. The predictive scheme is demonstrated to be regionally robust, with the regional variance explained ranging from 77 to 83%. The scheme is not successful for each ERP stream, and reasons are suggested for the individual failures. The potential for applying the predictive scheme to other watersheds is demonstrated by testing the model with data from the Panola Mountain Research Watershed in the South‐eastern United States, where the variance explained by the model was 74%. The model can also be utilized to assess ‘chemically new’ and ‘chemically old’ water sources during acidification episodes. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

连云港海区养殖优质条斑紫菜原因研究   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

陈飞  张耀存  姜有山  冯家沛  张银意 《气象科学》2005,25(5):534-542

根据条斑紫菜的生物学特性及不同生育期的生长、发育要求,通过对我国沿海主要海区11～4月的海温、雾、风向、降水量及雨日和海区底质状况分析,得出连云港海区养殖条斑紫菜的客观条件比其他海区优越,所养殖的条斑紫菜品质好的结论。  相似文献   

The missing middle: Central Arctic Ocean gaps in fishery research and science coordination     

《Marine Policy》2017

The warming global climate is reducing sea-ice coverage in the central Arctic, transforming a mostly inaccessible marine region into a 'new' and relatively poorly studied ocean. History shows that exploitation of newly accessible natural resources tends to precede effective research and management measures. But in response to increasing access to the central Arctic, a precautionary approach has been taking hold, with broad political and scientific support culminating in the Oslo Declaration of 2015, which aims to prevent unregulated high seas fishing in the central Arctic. Negotiations toward a full binding agreement are continuing. Formal efforts toward assessing knowledge of the Arctic marine ecosystems and coordinating research are underway, and practitioner-based research coordination and collaboration in the region is also ongoing. Yet broad gaps in our current marine research and coordination exist, and this paper draws attention to the spatial middle, middle trophics, and the middle scale — an Arctic 'missing middle'. Scientific activity in the central Arctic Ocean region is burgeoning in recent years, and a large number of initiatives, projects, and arrangements are meeting some of the need for coordination. But full pan-Arctic scientific coordination does not yet exist. In support of ecosystem-based and precautionary management of the central Arctic Ocean, this paper considers a fully Arctic-focused organization that can both orchestrate and prioritize marine research in the Arctic in view of policy imperatives, and bring emerging scientific understanding of the region directly into the discussion and formation of new policy.  相似文献   

Management and conservation at the International Whaling Commission: A dichotomy sandwiched within a shifting baseline     

《Marine Policy》2017

The International Whaling Commission's (IWC) Scientific Committee provides important advice to the IWC on a large variety of cetacean species, sub-species and populations and the issues affecting them. Cetaceans are facing increasing, non-whaling-related threats, and the Scientific Committee (SC), in accordance with the Commission's requests, has strengthened its conservation-oriented research work. A selection of the reports of the Scientific Committee from between 1986 and 2012 was assessed for its: (i) fundamental research; (ii) management; (iii) conservation; and (iv) administrative content, and to identify potential trends over time. Recommendations and their urgency were also examined, as implied from the language used by the SC in its reports. The analysis showed that the work of the Scientific Committee has increasingly been oriented towards conservation issues over the period reviewed, but at the same time this conservation work has received little funding. Increased support for conservation-related research projects is warranted to promote the long-term survival of cetaceans. Based on this review of the content and focus of the Committee reports, the analysis suggested that its issued advice be made clearer, whenever possible, and governments are urged to give due consideration to this science-based advice particularly when urgent conservation actions are needed. In addition, more consistent funding of the IWC's conservation-related research should be pursued to improve international conservation outputs regarding cetacean populations.  相似文献   

关于全国地震重点监视防御区制度实施现状、成效之调查、设计的说明     

伍国春  高孟潭  李健  陈明金  刘强  晁洪太  郎从 《中国地震》2014,30(3):390-398

为评估全国地震重点监视防御区制度的实施现状、成效,课题组对相关问题进行了定性和定量研究,定量研究以系列问卷调查为主,包括政府、社区和公众问卷等。本文重点说明了系列问卷调查的设计、抽样以及回收情况,并对问卷调查发现的问题做了简单介绍。  相似文献   

粤闽赣交界区波速比特征研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

王敏  肖孟仁  肖健  黄仁桂  赵影  李雨泽 《震灾防御技术》2014,9(S1):687-694

根据多台和达法,利用广东、福建、江西三省数字地震观测记录对粤闽赣交界区及邻区波速比特征进行研究,获取了具有参考价值的结果：粤闽赣交界地区沿海一侧明显比内陆地区波速比要高;约在北纬24°,东经114°处,处走向北东方向上是波速变化比较明显的分界线,该分界线可能是由于地下两侧的岩石岩性不同造成的,或与该地区介质物理性质和化学性质存在变异关有,也可能与此地区地震应力场变化有一定关系。  相似文献   

广州市跨国制造企业研发模式演变   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

夏丽丽  林子棋 《热带地理》2014,34(2):191-198

跨国资本对发展中地区创新过程的影响已获得学术界高度关注,但对跨国资本在发展中地区研发模式的演变及其影响因素的研究仍然有限。通过半结构式问卷调研与深入访谈,对广州市跨国制造企业研发模式演变及引致其模式变迁的本土因素进行研究。结果表明：跨国制造企业研发模式的演变主要表现为本地研发人员比例逐步提高,开始构建包含本地创新主体在内的多渠道技术获取网络;调整新产品发布策略,加大对核心技术的保护;增加对研发资源的投入,“独立”和“辅助”母公司技术研发的职能显化,开始将本土企业纳入创新链条等。市场规模扩张、本土企业技术能力增加导致的市场推力和珠三角日益强化的资源、环境规制是引发跨国资本研发模式演变的主体因素。  相似文献   

闪电定位仪在人影作业中的应用研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

贾显锋  郑传新 《气象研究与应用》2005,26(3):33-35

利用闪电定位仪系统所提供的多站综合定位资料和单站定位实况资料,结合9210系统所提供的卫星云图、雷达回波图以及T 213和日本的数值预报等资料,在做出24h降水预报的基础上,用闪电数据、云图等资料可制作未来3h降水预报。根据3h预报对作业点的作业条件进行指示,从而可为人影作业服务。经过试用验证表明,研究结果对人影作业有较好的指示意义。  相似文献   

SCI-E干旱区研究重要期刊与投稿指南   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

张爱军  徐曼 《干旱区地理》2005,28(6):879-883

应用文献计量学方法,在对1997--2005年SCI-E收录的世界干旱区研究论文进行统计、分析、研究的基础上,通过期刊发义量指标（V1）、论文被引次数指标（V2）和期刊影响因子（V3）三项指标的加权综合评判分析,评选出世界范围内干旱区研究领域的28种重要期刊。介绍了世界干旱区研究重要期刊的相关投稿信息。  相似文献